Nearly half of America’s doctors will quit under Obamacare
This startling figure from Investors Business Daily. Chart after the fold:
James Joyner notes:
I consider these numbers about as valid as those in the recent commuting pain survey claiming most people would pay $20 per 15 minutes saved on their commute. In reality, few of the doctors that are truly outraged at the proposed changes can either afford to give up their practices or would rather be doing something else. Further, this is a mail survey, so the results are particularly skewed because it’s essentially a self-selected sample.
My guess is that the 2/3 who oppose “the” plan is about right, despite the fact that there isn’t yet a single plan to oppose. Moreover, I’m actually surprised that they found 25% who believed “government can cover 47 million more people and it will cost less money and the quality of care will be better.” Granted, it’s a ridiculously written triple-barreled question with no research validity whatsoever. But anyone who’s not only schooled in how medical care works but did well enough in advanced math to get into medical school should know better.
See Also: Nate Silver
Wouldn’t “Shockingly Unscientific Survey says that…” be a more accurate title for this post? I know its qualified by part of the quotation, but still…
Meanwhile, over in Scientifically-Conducted-Surveyland (though that survey also comes with its own set of qualifications, as noted at the end of the piece, and its hard to say exactly what a survey of doctors proves — maybe how doctors define their own interests?)…Report
538 does a thorough dismantling of this poll:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/09/ibdtipp-doctors-poll-is-not-trustworthy.htmlReport
Everyone needs to take a breath and look back at the laughable history of IBD polling. It exists exclusively for the purpose of providing Larry Kudlow with talking points.Report
Hah; not quite on schedule but as predicted: http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NTE4MDBlMWE1NGQyNzM1NDMxN2Y1YjkxZjYyYjYyY2I=
Report
A full 65% of Hollywood Actors/Actresses polled said that they would move to Canada if Bush was going to be re-elected in 2004.Report
It was that low? Sounds like an unscientific poll…Report
I have some of the much-more reliable results from the poll published in NEJM up – it’s actually a solid study showing substantial physician support for reform including a public option. Good stuff.
Rob, the qualifications of the poll are reasonable ones. You can extrapolate from this poll to the genral population of doctors much more readily than you would from the IBD poll. Doctor’s define their interests according to their income; it’s clear that they see reform of *insurance* as not a threat (and potentially an increase, since more people with insurance = more patients).
republican claims that this reform will be a “government takeover” notwithstanding, its clear that theres no threat to private practice here. Thats why doctors are pretty supportive overall.Report