Commentareum

  • Recent Comments

    • AvatarSaul Degraw on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingCivility is overrated: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/12/adam-serwer-civility/600784/
    • AvatarSaul Degraw in reply to Jaybird on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingTBF, I don't have any strong opinions on Mayor Pete. If he is the nominee, I will volunteer for him, be a poll watcher, and vote for him. But I am angry, I am angry all the time. He is not my favorite candidate but he is far from my least favorite candidate. I don't even know if this poll is permanent or not. It probably isn't. But my issue is that I am angry. I am angry all the time. The Trump administration is a corrupt and moral monstrosity. I think it is going to do lasting damage to the civic body, to the United States, and to the world that will be hard to undo. Possibly impossible. And Trump and company are going to get away with it without censure because the media is filled with a rotting corruption and too many people are filled with delusions that we can go back to the good-ole-days. Maybe not to Biden levels but to something close to it. Somehow I feel like Mayor Pete benefits from this delusional nostalgia and captures the votes of people who want the good ol' days but think Biden is too old. Trump is appointing far-right but relatively young ideologue judges who are severely homophobic, racist, believe in unrestrained executive power (as long as someone has an R next to their name). Stephen Miller was outed for being as close to a Nazi as possible for a Jewish person. The corruption is brazen. Stephen Miller being a guy so delusional that he thinks he can be friends with Richard "I'm a nazi" Spencer. He is not a friend. He will just be the last Jewish guy shot.…
    • AvatarJaybird in reply to Saul Degraw on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingYou'd think that an off-the-cuff news article that was talking about Buttigieg's inevitable Iowa victory (and what that means) would be taken more seriously by the commentariat.
    • AvatarSaul Degraw on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingThe bad-faith to serious debate ratio is pretty obvious on this thread.
    • AvatarSaul Degraw in reply to North on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingSouth Bend, Indiana is not where the Democrats need to compete. The Democratic wins on election night were in inner-ring suburbs with bigger populations than South Bend. How is mayor of South Bend attractive to inner-ring PA suburb? Now is not the time to play it cautious like we need a walker for balance and mobility.
    • AvatarSaul Degraw in reply to James K on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingWhat Lee said. She created an executive department from scratch and has tons of experience as a bankruptcy expert, consumer protection expert, professor, and Senator.
    • AvatarJames K in reply to Michael Cain on Lonely Election Geeks With ClipboardsEvery party handles it's own nominations in its own way. MP nominations are generally decided by the local membership, but the central party leadership tends to have a lot more control than would be normal in the US. Party leadership (i.e. the MP who heads the party in Parliament, and in National and Labour's case either the PM, or the Leader of the Opposition), varies more. The Greens are almost entirely democratic with leadership being held by a postal vote of the membership. By contrast, National's leadership is purely decided by the causes, so only National MPs have any say over the National leadership. Labour is somewhere in the middle.
    • AvatarJaybird on Fired CBS Employee Ashley Bianco Speaks Out on Robach/Epstein/ABC ScandalSomeone on the twitters pointed out this juicy excerpt to me: Eventually, the women agreed to go on the record, Ward said, and when Epstein was told about their accounts he went “berserk”. Epstein had already threatened to get a witch doctor to put a curse on Ward’s unborn children – she was pregnant with twins at the time – and now he campaigned to stop Vanity Fair publishing the allegations, even turning up unannounced at the office of the then editor, Graydon Carter.
    • AvatarNorth in reply to Michael Cain on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingPete isn't my #1 choice, but I have a few questions on your position: Does choosing someone who was mayor of a low to declining growth region really mean the party is writing off high growth areas? And considering that the swing regions the Dems need to try and compete in are, by and large, low to declining growth areas is that a bad strategy? Finally, aren't housing and growth questions like that sub-federal issues by and large in the US?
    • AvatarNorth in reply to Walter Daniels on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingAnd now he's a repeated convicted fraudster as well. If the Dems are mad enough to choose Pete he's gonna be toast because everyone will just go who? /sarc
    • AvatarJaybird in reply to dragonfrog on Fired CBS Employee Ashley Bianco Speaks Out on Robach/Epstein/ABC ScandalThis strikes me as a reason to condemn Trump voters if they vote him back in despite the news coming out. But the Epstein story also strikes me as being big enough that I changed "when" to "if" in the above sentence.
    • AvatarGeorge Turner in reply to Chip Daniels on Fired CBS Employee Ashley Bianco Speaks Out on Robach/Epstein/ABC ScandalSignature, a free stylometry program I wonder if it's worth burning a couple hours to see if the answer is in plain sight?
    • AvatarJ_A on Sunday Morning! The City & The CityI look forward to your take about the novel and the series, and the differences - I hope you publish an update I finished the series earlier - Without any further spoilers - It's good, it's very, very, good and, before I forget again, thank you for bringing The City & The City to our attention. I enjoyed it
    • AvatarJ_A in reply to Rufus F. on Sunday Morning! The City & The CityI look forward to your take about the novel and the series, and the differences - I hope you publish an update I finished the series earlier - Without any further spoilers - It's good, it's very, very, good and, before I forget again, thank you for bringing The city & the city to our attention. I enjoyed it
    • AvatarChip Daniels in reply to George Turner on Fired CBS Employee Ashley Bianco Speaks Out on Robach/Epstein/ABC ScandalThis timeline would be perfect if a textual analysis revealed the name of the leaker to be...Francis Bacon.
    • AvatarMichael Cain in reply to LeeEsq on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingMy complaint about Mayor Pete has two parts. The first, one that other people have raised, is that his experience is with a city smaller than my inner-ring suburb. The second, and more concerning to me, is that it's a city with a slightly smaller population than it had in 1930, and that has shrunk by ~5% over the last 20 years. A very significant portion of Clinton's EC votes came from states where the state problem, and especially the metro areas in those state's problem, is nearly unmanageable growth and the consequences of that. The party can't write off the high-growth areas.
    • AvatarGeorge Turner in reply to Jaybird on Fired CBS Employee Ashley Bianco Speaks Out on Robach/Epstein/ABC ScandalIf it's someone who writes copy, a textual analysis program could probably spit out a name in half an hour just by comparing the statement to ABC's published articles.
    • AvatarWalter Daniels in reply to George Turner on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa Polling"Do I have executive experience? Why, buddy, I ran seven different businesses into the ground! I lost money on a casino! I started out with nothing but a few millions from my father, and earned less than a index fund!"
    • AvatarGeorge Turner in reply to North on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingWell, I guess Buttigieg is about as close to a generic Democrat as you can get, short of picking a random name out of a phone book. When Trump came down the escalator to throw his hat in the ring, he entered the race with more fame and name recognition than anyone else who got in the race. I knew who he was back in the 1980's. He flew around in his own 757 and ran a major real estate business. That's executive experience. Mayor Pete probably wasn't even a familiar name to many of the people in South Bend until he joined the Presidential race and got lots of press coverage for it. He is way younger than any winning Presidential candidate in history, even the ones who ran back when most folks died young. You might as well run the manager of a local Best Buy. But if that's what you want to do, more power to you! 🙂
    • AvatarMarchmaine in reply to Jaybird on Fired CBS Employee Ashley Bianco Speaks Out on Robach/Epstein/ABC ScandalRight... my first thought is that there are probably only 5 people TOTAL at ABC who you might even *think* would write that. In fact, the phrase "road to redemption favors no soul" is so idiosyncratic that it has to be a give away to someone. Unless... s/he knows that and is faking a voice to throw off the hunt.
    • AvatarMichael Drew in reply to InMD on Whereas It is Fitting: Veterans Day in AmericaIt should feel patronizing; I'm asking you to buy the notion that we should credit service members for having signed up and sacrificed to protect our freedom even if you don't really believe it. There may be a cost of that in our debates about the missions we assign, but it is cost we really ought to be able to overcome as a polity. It's at worst a faction we really owe it to them to affirm at least to them. And I personally don't think it is that great a cost in the debates - except when people won't acknowledge the basic idea that that is what they do. Our foreign policy debates aren't as out of whack as they are because there is an expectation that we formally acknowledge that military service at leas theoretically exists in this country to protect our freedom. It's out of what because political actors of many varieties have come to misrepresent our country's real interests so expensively that the average American can't make heads or tails of the various arguments and decide for themselves where our interests (and how best to protect our freedom) really lie. Some default to supporting the troops given that confusion, but a significant potion of them do so by supporting their withdrawal from conflicts they can't see the benefit to the country of. Others simply throw up their hands or never think about it in the first place. Very few reflexively line up behind all of our ongoing wars ostensibly on the merits out of a sense that it is the only way to support the troops. That…
    • AvatarDoctor Jay in reply to Jaybird on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingYeah, I saw that. I think Harris positioned herself as the Trump Fighter. But in fact Democrats are bored with that. We're all Trump Fighters. Yawn. What else ya got?
    • AvatarDoctor Jay in reply to Michael Siegel on Welcome to Disney+! Please Stand ByI wish I could tell my cable company that, but they are also the only consumer broadband available at my house, since the copper that the phone company ran to my house went bad, and they don't want to replace it. The tech told me that, but AT&T's official response is "too far from the node". Gah. I hate them all.
    • AvatarMichael Cain in reply to George Turner on Lonely Election Geeks With ClipboardsWhich set of county officials did your friend get to vote for?
    • AvatarMichael Cain in reply to James K on Lonely Election Geeks With ClipboardsNo, they're done at the same time on different ballots. In my state, major parties (based on share of the vote in the last governor's election) have primaries on the state's dime (and schedule). Minor parties can do whatever non-primary thing they want. Some years back we had a disgruntled but well-known Republican run as a third party candidate and get enough votes to make that party a major party for the next four years. They went broke trying to meet all the reporting obligations major parties have to go through. We are a vote-by-mail state. If you're a registered Republican they mail you a Republican ballot; if you're a Democrat they mail you a Democratic ballot; and if you're unaffiliated, they send you both ballots but you can only return one. If you go to the vote center, they look up your affiliation and give you that ballot (or whichever you request if you're unaffiliated). I'm sure the Brits find our primary (and convention) system as bizarre as I find the notion that 190,000 Tories and 520,000 Labourites get to make the choice for a nation of 66M people. In my state there are ~4.4M registered voters who can vote in the primary. How does New Zealand do it?
    • AvatarJaybird in reply to Marchmaine on Fired CBS Employee Ashley Bianco Speaks Out on Robach/Epstein/ABC ScandalPosting a letter? You just *KNOW* that s/he has a recognizable voice in it. “We are all human and mortal, creatures of mistakes and redemption. The road to redemption favors no soul.” I mean, Good Lord. There are at least 5 people who work with whomever wrote this who know that s/he wrote this based on that sentence alone.
    • AvatarLeeEsq in reply to James K on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingShe was involved in creating and running an executive agency. Warren is also a Senator, so has experience in the federal government. Mayor Pete was mayor of a college town. Not exactly the most challenging position in the world.
    • AvatarGeorge Turner in reply to Marchmaine on Fired CBS Employee Ashley Bianco Speaks Out on Robach/Epstein/ABC ScandalI think the big giveaway would be the sign on the person's door that says "The Ign Of The United States." I'm guessing IGN is for "In Game Name." Disney is probably checking all their gamer profiles just in case.
    • AvatarJaybird in reply to North on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingOh, goodness no. I was more thinking that he was the perfect face for the Future of the Democrats that would completely misunderstand what the Future consists of.
    • AvatarNorth in reply to Jaybird on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingYou think he's cheating on his husband? If there's a kid produced that'll be quite the tabloid mover.
    • AvatarNorth in reply to George Turner on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingYeah he has got you rattled. Ya know, well spoken, moderate veteran with more executive experience than Trump had in 2016 and no loony left ties. Trump loses to the generic Democrat in polling and Peter definitely improves on that standard. *snort* and still no sign of HRC jumping into the race? She still plotting her comeback at Ping Pong Pizza according to your sources? Maybe using Vince Fosters corpse to keep her whiskery cold?
    • AvatarMarchmaine in reply to Jaybird on Fired CBS Employee Ashley Bianco Speaks Out on Robach/Epstein/ABC ScandalThe first rule of leaking is not cultivating an identity. The second rule is writing in simple Subject/Verb/Object sentences. The third rule is not to say anything and let your mouthpiece protect you. This person is going to get caught soon.
    • AvatarNorth in reply to Jaybird on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingWhich would only demonstrate the utter political impotence of the "wokies" if such an implausible occurrence were to happen. They suffered some pretty sharp backlash even to those few sorties and it didn't effect Pete's actual electoral numbers in the least.
    • AvatarMichael Siegel on Welcome to Disney+! Please Stand ByI've been waiting for this. We got the ESPN/Disney/Hulu bundle and my wife is now eager to tell the cable company to stick their fees where the sun don't shine.
    • AvatarGeorge Turner in reply to North on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingUm, yeah, absolutely! I'm terrified that the Democrats will challenge President of the United States Donald J Trump with the mayor of Whoville, who looks like Alfred E Newman and who has no notable accomplishments except marrying another guy and probably something about Southbend's downtown parking meters. The average age of the mayors in America's 25 largest cities is 54, almost 20 years senior to Pete. Going on down the list of cities by population, the smaller city mayors typically aren't any younger than big city mayors because small towns have the same old folks that big cities have. However, it's problematic to compute average mayoral ages further down the list because those mayors don't even have Wikipedia entries. Pete is from city #306. Nobody even half that far down the list has a Wiki entry unless they shot somebody. But was he lightning in a bottle, like Obama at the 2004 convention? Nope. Pete stayed stuck below 10% or so until the other horrible candidates faltered. His strength relative to the pack is that he doesn't constantly say things that are completely crazy. When that's what it takes to lead in Iowa, your party is in real trouble because almost any janitor sweeping up after a rally can meet that standard. The Democrats have plenty of potentially electable candidates, especially governors, but the ones who ran got booed by the party's communist/socialist wing, or got attacked and dismissed for not being radical and hateful enough. I suspect that Pelosi, S…
    • AvatarJaybird on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingThis stat is also somewhat notable: Harris: 3% (-9)
    • AvatarJaybird in reply to Jaybird on Fired CBS Employee Ashley Bianco Speaks Out on Robach/Epstein/ABC ScandalThe leaker, apparently, has a codename: "Ignotus". ABC scrambles to figure out identity of Amy Robach leaker, who goes by ‘Ignotus’ https://t.co/uWWznxUcwW pic.twitter.com/K4CnWMcZtj— Page Six (@PageSix) November 12, 2019
    • AvatarMarchmaine in reply to Jaybird on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingThat's true... and If I were advising him, I'd have him write it up on a single page... the entire Plan... on One Page. Then at the next debate, I'd wave it around and point out that my plans are actually doable.
    • AvatarJames K in reply to Michael Cain on Lonely Election Geeks With ClipboardsThose are done at the same time on the same ballot? I knew that party elections were government-funded, but I didn't realise that they were that heavily integrated into the electoral process. I'm guessing that only that the Democrats and Republicans gain this privilege?
    • AvatarMarchmaine in reply to Jaybird on Pete Buttigieg Tops Latest Iowa PollingHeh, that might be a good comp. Talk about a dead end for The Edge (do they call him that?). If he wants to keep his ambitions alive, I'd say his Rhode Scholar brain needs a Cabinet post and then, perhaps, a stint in a Governor's mansion somewhere.