Commentareum

  • Recent Comments

    • Avatarpillsy on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNI saw that on the Twitters yesterday but couldn't find the comment where @Jaybird was talking about Smashmouth.
    • AvatarDavidTC on Never Say Never NeverTrump: Dems Far-Left Fringe Will Re-Elect TrumpCould you see him winning the 2016 election? Could and did are not the same things. I believed the polling data, and it was off by a bit. Believing polling data is quite a bit difference than having paid attention to the investigations and Trump's legal liability. I'm not predicting how the _voters_ will act, I'm predicting Trump's level of criminality and how it will no longer remain secret. At which point I expect the Republicans to break with him. It's going to be too damaging to their own reelection. What exactly Trump does in response to this, I don't know. I can't model the behavior of someone who has no idea what is going on outside of what Fox News tells him without knowing what Fox News is going to tell him. Before people get too worried about the fact I'm over-optimistic there, I will also state that I see it almost impossible for Trump to be reelected _even now_. Like, this moment. Trump was the Brexit of the US, someone that a moderate percentage of people voted for as a protest, a 'screw you' to the establishment, understanding 'it couldn't happen', and then being shocked and confused when it did. Trump wouldn't have won reelection _a week later_. As I've pointed out, Republicans in general somehow lost somewhere around 15% of their support when they elected (Or sometimes preemptively when they nominated) Trump. This has slowly tapered arguable 10% or so, but that's just Trump's disapproval's _drag_. And don't just look to Trump's polled popularity there, even th…
    • AvatarBill Stephenson on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNThat wins the internets today as far as I'm concerned
    • AvatarMichael Cain on Stratifying SuperheroesTwelve-year-old me would have said it wasn't possible. Present-day me says it would take a good villain/villains to pull it off, and a topic likely to pull the individuals in different directions. Perhaps Namor on one of his jihads, this time against CO2 and ocean acidification, with Doom because it's a good chance to take over the world.
    • AvatarAaron David on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNSo, a copy has been released, for any who would actually like to read it, as opposed to just talk about it. https://www.scribd.com/document/402800029/Report-from-the-Special-Counsel-Investigation-into-Russian-Interference-During-and-Before-the-2016-Presidential-Election
    • AvatarWill Truman on Stratifying SuperheroesI'd like them to do a (good) Fantastic Four movie just to prove it can be done.
    • AvatarBrent F on The Unbearable Lightness of BidenThe best argument for Biden is that he polls best against Trump right now, so has an argument for being the surest bet in a race you desperately want to win. That's a pretty good reason to support him all things considered, even if it's not a satisfactory one to the very politically involved who want someone closer to their ideological preferences. If that holds up into the campaign season he's got a legit argument for being a front runner. If it doesn't, then he has much less to recommend him and stronger candidates should push him aside. This is entire purpose for having a primary campaign in the first place, to see who is catching the public's imagination at this point in time and not just choose from a stack of resumes.
    • AvatarChip Daniels on Stratifying SuperheroesI'm not so much an arrested adolescent, as an unindicted co-conspirator.
    • AvatarJaybird on Stratifying SuperheroesThey could do the Doctor Doom/Dr. Strange story "Triumph and Torment". It's a good introduction to the character and they can easily do either one-off Doom/Thor or Doom/Cap or Doom/Iron Man stories... or, heck, Doom/Avengers. But Doom/Strange would give Strange a second movie and easily establish Doom as someone capable of carrying a movie as bad guy.
    • AvatarMichael Cain on Stratifying SuperheroesOne of the few potentially bright spots in Disney's acquisition of 20th Century Fox is that they now have the movie rights to the Doctor Doom character. Which hero(es) should they pair him with? (Please, don't waste him on the Fantastic Four.)
    • AvatarJaybird on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNThere's a lot of motivated reasoning going on. It's weird.
    • AvatarJaybird on Stratifying SuperheroesThere's no accounting for taste.
    • AvatarJaybird on Stratifying SuperheroesI dunno. V sort of latched his wagon to the star that was Guy Fawkes and retconned the hell out of him. I don't know how many people see a Guy and say "V" compared to seeing "Guy" (compared to seeing 4chan).
    • AvatarChip Daniels on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNI think Marcy Wheeler has a good take on this: http://www.emptywheel.net/2019/03/23/after-mueller-an-off-ramp-on-russia-for-the-venal-fucks/ That what we already know is damning in itself. That a hostile foreign government wanted Trump to win, that he eagerly accepted whatever help they could provide, and was eager to offer rewards in return. "An unbelievable swath of this country — including the denialists who say all those things that Trump’s own aides swore to doesn’t amount to evidence of wrongdoing — have chosen for tribal reasons (and sometimes venal ones) to side with kleptocratic Russians over the protection of America. Now that the report is done, it’s time to start focus on protecting the United States again."
    • AvatarMike Schilling on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNThere will also be a "conservative" version of it that makes Hillary and Obama the colluders. IT WILL BE IN ALL CAPS!!!!!!!!
    • AvatarMike Schilling on Stratifying SuperheroesThat when it comes to entertainment choices, 90% of the people here are arrested adolescents? I'm not sure.
    • AvatarMarchmaine on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNAwesome... so we open the box to see if the cat is dead or alive and... its a DRAGON!
    • AvatarJaybird on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNMUELLER: [hands over giant stack of papers]BARR: "Wait, why is this titled... THE WINDS OF WINTER?"MUELLER: [peels off face, revealing himself to be GEORGE R.R. MARTIN] "A man is finished."INTERNET: [explodes]— Jeff Weiner (@JeffWeinerOS) March 22, 2019
    • AvatarBill Stephenson on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNIt's been 23 hours now since Trump has twirted. That's got to be one of the longest stretches of Twitter silence since he started campaigning. That, if nothing else, seems to be a sign he's struggling with how to respond to the contents of the report.
    • AvatarSlade the Leveller on Stratifying SuperheroesCan you say that here?
    • AvatarMorat20 on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNThat tradition is for politicians. Mueller is not one, nor has he played any sort of game this entire investigation. Pretty much all of his big moves have been on Fridays (Roger Stone's arrest, for instance). I don't think you can tea leaf read good or bad off of his timing. Nor do I think you can read much off of Trump's Twitter habits. On the one hand, he just came off a two week meltdown that culminated in a truly bizarre NK move that seemed designed to dominate the weekend coverage. On the other hand, that's...pretty normal (even if the meltdown was worse than normal). He has, in the last two weeks, alternatively claimed the report should be released, never be released, it was a witch hunt, it was fake news, etc. And then had the bill to require a public release quietly killed in the Senate before it could be voted on. The only leaks we have are from political appointees so far (Mueller doesn't leak, and IIRC the report is circulating only at the highest DoJ level). I suspect nobody in the WH or Congress or even the DoJ was entirely certain what was in it, although ironically the person most likely to know were the people running the campaign.
    • AvatarRoad Scholar on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNIt's always wise to skew skeptical unto cynicism, but Mueller has always struck me as a straight shooter. I imagine that he set an internal deadline of COB Friday and the timing really doesn't indicate anything one way or the other.
    • AvatarMarchmaine on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNPerhaps... but all that will happen while you and I are reading it via unauthorized websites. Two things will follow: 1. Attempts to sow doubt that what we're reading is *really* the *real* report. 2. Our pursuit of truth will be rewarded with thousands of emails for blue pills and miracle grills.
    • AvatarMike Schilling on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNIt will be, the DoJ will get an injunction to suppress it, the Washington Post will appeal, and the Supreme Court will reverse New York Times Co. v. United States 5-4.
    • AvatarMarchmaine on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNJust want to point out that this hinges on what a "good" report is. If we flip the logic, then a "bad" report which alleges collusion against the President would be dropped on a Friday, obviously. It just that we see that as a "good" report... so our categories are scrambled. Personally, I see this as more akin to all the RFP's that I get on Friday evenings... the team working on the RFP set a deadline of COB Friday for *their* portion of the work... and don't care about the jerks like me who have to review and work on it over the weekend.
    • AvatarMike Schilling on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNTrump wants to suppress it because it's exculpatory?
    • AvatarAaron David on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNWell, I am waiting with breath baited for the indictments of Jared, Don Jr. and anyone else involved... Oh, wait...
    • AvatarMike Schilling on Save Our EnglishAnother example: https://www.npr.org/2019/03/22/705802295/charlottesville-schools-closed-following-racially-charged-threat “Police in Charlottesville, Va., say they have arrested a 17-year-old male in connection with a threat that ‘contained vile, racially charged language targeted African-American and Hispanic students’ at an area high school.” Threats are "racially charged" instead of "racist"?
    • AvatarMarchmaine on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNI have a hard time believing it won't be leaked somewhere.
    • AvatarJ_A on The Ordinary Bookclub makes its Triumphant Return with Harry Potter and the Methods of RationalityAnd there is the second year fanfic of a fanfic: Harry Potter and the Memories of a Sociopath. https://www.fanfiction.net/s/11398850/1/Harry-Potter-and-the-Memories-of-a-Sociopath Not as good, by any stretch but quite an interesting take on the HPMOR Harry’s personality
    • AvatarKenB on The Ordinary Bookclub makes its Triumphant Return with Harry Potter and the Methods of RationalityI really enjoyed HPMOR -- it sucked me in immediately, and while it wasn't without its flaws, it was the first book in a long time that had me staying up until 2AM because I couldn't bear to stop reading. My favorite aspect of the book was the way it took the Rowling world elements and applied real-world analytic methods to them -- especially the bit about gur cbffvovyvgvrf sbe neovgentr orgjrra gur zhttyr naq jvmneqvat pheerapvrf. I'm rather disappointed in myself for not coming up with that on my own. I was never able to convince my family or friends to read it, so I'm looking forward to this virtual book club - thanks for doing this!
    • AvatarJ_A on The Ordinary Bookclub makes its Triumphant Return with Harry Potter and the Methods of RationalityI loved HPMOR. I found about it from Slate Star Codex, at a time when the story wasn’t yet finished (we were in THE QUIDDITCH GAME if I recall correctly) so I got the “pleasure” to have to wait for the weekly updates until the story finished. It was Harry’s home life what hooked me. I, too, lived in a household where there couldn’t be enough books, and I wished Harry’s dad had been my dad (mine died when I was six, so I’ll never know if he could have been). Luckily, at least Harry’s mum was very much like my mum. And, every time I reread HPMOR I notice a lot of allergens around me when I read, in Chapter 7, "It was a really, really, really good try."
    • AvatarMarchmaine on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNThis is so exciting... has it been more than 4 hrs? How many hours is it until we're supposed to call a doctor? I think I prefer this exact moment of Trump being both a colluder and non-colluder simultaneously to what will follow after we open the box. For sure I'm not signing up to any drinking game involving the phrase "mistakes were made" But since we're baselessly speculating, here's my uninformed guess: Where I thought Mueller would triangulate around the collusion issue to slowly increase the pressure on Trump via financial exposure and the threat of eventual ruin; it seems he might just have stayed true to his charter, investigated Collusion and indicted the folks directly caught up in illegal activities as a result of that investigation. That's assuming the one page leaked summary isn't hiding a blockbuster collusion conclusion, obviously. That doesn't mean that the Trump empire will survive the Trump Presidency. Perhaps that will be the "pour encourager les autres" our Celebrity Billionaires need to witness. My controversial "how to lose OT friends and Whole Foods privileges" take: Obstruction was always a tip-in/add-on charge; if there was collusion, then there was obstruction. No collusion, no obstruction owing to the constitutional privileges granted the executive. In even more prosaic political terms, you can't obstruct an investigation that isn't hindered by the act, and, which finds there wasn't the underlying crime of collusion [assuming such is the finding].…
    • AvatarJaybird on The Ordinary Bookclub makes its Triumphant Return with Harry Potter and the Methods of RationalityI figure we'll come back to this, oh, every Sunday. So if you are tempted to participate, just go to the Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality link and read the first five chapters before then (that'll get you to when Harry meets Lucius Malfoy the first time in Madam Malkin's Robes). Then, next week, you can tell us either "ugh, no freakin' way" *OR* "dang it, I'm on chapter 23". Hope to see you there!
    • AvatarPhilip H on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNThere’s a “tradition” in DC that you don’t drop good news late on Friday. As is when Trey Gowdy finished up the last Benghazi investigation he dropped his report on a Friday at about 6pm because he couldn’t find anything legally wrong that Sec. Clinton has done. So one way to read this is Mueller knows it’s not going to change the political landscape and thus shoved at 5pm on Friday.
    • AvatarPhilip H on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNI tend to agree with this, though I’m a little more hopeful regarding what AG Barr might do. AG Sessions - while toady-ing on almost everything else - remained firm in his commitment to be recused from this. So there may be a sliver of hope. I’m more interested to see what remaining indictments are dropped both by the NY State Attorney General and the Southern District - NY US Attorney. Meuller’s Virginia grand jury is now officially done but I do t think we’ve heard the last of his referrals.
    • AvatarLeeEsq on Progress And Its EnemiesThe expert wasn't wrong. I wonder what people at the time would be more dismayed about, women wearing paints or the general great informalization that occurred?
    • AvatarInMD on Obligatory Mueller Report TSNIt ought to be released to the public. It's the only way to determine the merit of the allegations.
    • AvatarMike Schilling on Save Our EnglishFenimore Cooper’s Literary Offenses is one of the great essays on how not to write, another being Politics and the English Language. Its rules are Never use a metaphor, simile, or other figure of speech which you are used to seeing in print. Never use a long word where a short one will do. If it is possible to cut a word out, always cut it out. Never use the passive where you can use the active. Never use a foreign phrase, a scientific word, or a jargon word if you can think of an everyday English equivalent. Break any of these rules sooner than say anything outright barbarous.
    • AvatarMike Schilling on Save Our EnglishPicturing a writer I dislike unable to find the English words he needs for his current screed is one of my favorite forms of schadenfreude.