The Perseverance of the Monarchy
It survives!
It is good that it does. There is nothing to say that Britain, Australia or any other country has to have a monarchy. It would be perfectly understandable if Australia decided to break its monarchical ties with Britain. There are many who would argue that it would be an essential step in Australia’s coming of age, the point at which it would finally outgrow its colonial master. There are few in Britain who would seek to stand in the way of Australian republicanism.
Yet monarchy has proved remarkably durable in Australia. We are nearly a generation on from 1999, when Australians voted 55 per cent to 45 per cent to retain the monarchy, defying the wishes of a Constitutional Convention of appointed worthies. In the event, every state bar the Capital Territory rejected the proposed appointed presidency. There is little indication that the result would be any different now. While some polls have put support for a republic at just over 50 per cent, the polls in 1999, too, showed republicanism on course for victory. In the end, however, the public denied the political class what it wished for — which was its own aggrandisation.
That is the point about republicanism — in Britain, Australia and elsewhere. While it can seem notionally attractive, its appeal tends to wane when people realise what would almost certainly replace it: a party politician as head of state. ‘Would you like Britain to be a republic?’ is a question which is sure to elicit a different answer to ‘Would you like Tony Blair or David Cameron to be installed at Buckingham Palace and to swan around the world representing Britain?’ The current incumbents of the White House and the Elysée Palace do nothing to promote the cause of republicanism — one a narcissist and the other with the air of Napoleon. It is marked how modest, both in lifestyle and cost to the taxpayer, Elizabeth II — and all other monarchs of western democracies — seem in comparison.
The best part is how it was basically saved by its millennial generation. It’s actually so strong that Charles may not even have to abdicate and let it pass him by, which some people suspected would be the only way it could be saved.
I think it also helps that Elizabeth has lasted as long as she has, and has been able to rehabilitate her image and her family’s over the past 15 years. If Charles had been in charge for most of the period after the annus horriblus & Diana’s death, I dare say things would be different.
(I also think Tony Blair deserves some credit for being a centre-left pro-monarchist 3rd way fusionist at the exact time the monarchy needed that the most).Report
Yeah no small credit should go to HRM the Queen herself.Report
The article, or at least the quoted portion, seems to conflate the presidential and quasi-presidential systems of the US and France with what I imagine was proposed in Australia: a mostly-ceremonial “head of state” president. If all that’s asked for is a ceremonial head of state, then why not stick with what you already have? And as others have pointed out, Elizabeth 2.0 has rehabilitated the institution as well.
That said, if what was proposed for Australia was more than just a ceremonial head of state, then the calculations are definitely different.Report
IIRC, one of the reasons the Republic vote in Australia failed is because there wasn’t a consensus on some of the specific mechanics o the republic. There was a disagreement between whether the President should be elected or appointed by Parliament (those of you who know a little about the drafting of the Constitution might find this dispute familiar).
You have the essential dilemma down – if the President is appointed by Parliament then they’re really no different than the Governor General. But there’s also a lot of people in this part of the world who don’t want to copy the US or France, and in my opinion there are good reasons not to.Report
Yeah, I’m moving toward the side of supporting reforms to the US constitution that would make its government more parliamentary-ish. Not that those reforms would get much traction here.
ETA: Thanks, by the way, for informing me on some of what was being debated in Australia.Report
The thing about the millennial generation saving the royal family is that they will age out of their adorableness. Feelings about Prince Charles were much the same, until one day he woke up as a middle aged privileged white guy. Now he isn’t even that. He is a old privileged white guy with a history of shouting at clouds. Prince Harry is the youngest of the next generation, and he is 34. His clock is ticking loudly. Getting a hot wife will give him a few extra years, and apparently she is preparing to start popping out babies. Everyone loves babies. So that will help. Also, he has good hair. That puts him up over his older brother, who I suspect benefits from Harry drawing most of the attention nowadays.Report
It wasn’t age that did Charles in, though. It was divorce. In some sense – that he has stuck with his second wife and that she will not become queen – he is actually in better shape than he used to be as far as that goes. Despite the yelling at clouds bit.Report
@richard-hershberger William and Pippa also have a herd of cute babies / young kids. (3 I think with another on the way?)
The babies will keep the Millennials on board for a while…Report
Especially when William’s wife finds out about the babies with her sister… Millennials love drama.Report
D’oh. Kate not Pippa. (I am not a Millennial, obvs. Exercising my Canadian privilege to be ignorant about my overlords.)Report
Dang… So, not true about William and Pippa? That sounded hopeful. Millennials will be so disappoint.
🙂Report
So, Meghan will be popular if she keeps poppin’ them out?Report
@michael-cain Honestly she might be popular regardless. An American Princess has been a reliable heart grabber since Grace Kelly days…Report
I will bet one Schrute buck that Meghan doesn’t last 5-years. And I’m giving Sam Wang 93% – 7% likelihood that she pulls down the monarchy around her ears on the way out. Just a hunch. bookmark this page.Report
@marchmaine Fie on thee sir.Report
I didn’t say I was rooting for it…Report
QEII really has basically figured it out for the current era and it looks very much like her grandchildren have learned the lesson pretty well:
Be charitable, friendly, photogenic and a-political, avoid tawdry scandals and have a happy family life that allows but doesn’t pursue constant media scrutiny.
Basically get those items down pat and the public will view your institution as superior to some political appointee office when it comes to personifying the body politic and serving as a repository for symbolic and practical powers that shouldn’t be available to career politicians grubby mitts.Report
The success secret of the British royal family since the Hanoverian Dynasty was that the most popular monarchs manage to combine the image of a loving middle class family with royal mystique. George III, Victoria, George V and VI, and Elizabeth II got this figured out. George IV, William IV, Edward VII, and Edward VIII did not.Report
Yes to all of that while also, very importantly, relatively gracefully relinquishing temporal power to their elected ministers.Report
It’s true that Charles actually was fairly popular before the whole affair thing became widely known, (so much so that an expy of him that was a barely disguised version of him was Francis Urquhart’s main opposition in the 2nd season of the UK version of House of Cards).
Plus, as other people have pointed out, even as the current generation ages out of attractiveness (but considering Tom Cruise looks like he does at nearly 60, let’s not assume that totally), there’ll be a new generation of conventionally attractive folks to get the limelight.Report