On Sports, Culture, and the Desire for Meaningful Change
(above photo: the Cincinnati Bengals doing the Ickey Shuffle. That’s right. I said the Ickey Shuffle. It was a thing.)
For a while now, I’ve been trying to sort out why I think that our political system works in the broken-feeling way that it does. After all, it’s a system dominated by highly intelligent, successful well-meaning people on both sides. There are disagreements over issues, sure. But they often seem tribal and arbitrary, using complicated logistical gymnastics to back into the required philosophical underpinnings. I’ve been using my space here to think out loud on these subjects.
Despite what we tell ourselves I have long considered that, for most of us, our attachment to political party and dogma is more akin with our love of a sports team than the results of rational thought. Because of this, Ryan’s musings on football tactics here led my mind down the rabbit holes that are the NFL and NBA. And I couldn’t help but think about the strategies I have loved most in both sports, the No-Huddle Standard Offense and the Triangle.
Some here will be too young to remember, but for a while in the late 80s and early 90s there was a very small, short-lived movement to take the no-huddle offense you see in the last two minutes of games – or teams like the Patriots or Colts periodically use in different situations – and just go flat out, high speed, batshit crazy with it for four straight quarters. Using it as an-all game strategy rather than a situational tactic is now dead, but it was the most entertaining brand of football I have ever seen an NFL team play.
The No-Huddle Standard Offense is exactly what its name implies. Teams run their offense without stopping to huddle and re-think what their next step is. In theory, while you lose the ability to analyze your next move, so does the defense – which can be to your advantage. And since a defense player, not knowing what the play is, has to move less efficiently than an offensive player fatigue should tip the balance in favor of the offense throughout the course of the game.
Sam Wyche ran this offense during the late 80s with the Cincinnati Bengals, and used it for four consecutive years. The results? One year – Wyche’s last – was a pretty dismal failure, where the club went 3-13. Another year they went 5.00 and just missed the playoffs. One year they made the playoffs but did not make the Super Bowl. One year they played in the Super Bowl and lost by a respectable 4 points to the then-dynastic 49ers. So while not exactly Steel Curtain numbers, it cannot be denied that these results are far, far better than most other teams achieve in any era – and are certainly better than the Bengals have been able to do since. After having lost to Wyche’s high-octane offense, Marv Levy copied the NHSO in Buffalo and got better results with it than Wyche did. In the period Levy used this offensive philosophy, he amassed a Bills win-loss record second only to the 49ers, and made it to the Super Bowl four consecutive years. (X-Files fans here will remember the classic scene where in a meeting of the shadow government that secretly runs our lives, the Smoking Man bitterly orders that the Buffalo Bills never win a Super Bowl championship while he is alive.)
So while the NHSO hasn’t won any Super Bowls, it did create results for two (let’s be honest) second tier teams that are far, far above what just about any other team was able to accomplish. If more teams were using it over a longer period of time, who’s to say it couldn’t capture a pile Vince Lombardis?
While we might have to extrapolate to guess how successful the NHSO might be, all we have to do with the Triangle is look at the scoreboard.
USC Coach Sam Barry originally conceived the core principles of Triangle in the 1930s, but the system we know today was developed, refined and perfected by NBA assistant coach Tex Winters. The system essentially rotates three perimeter players interchangeably around two more anchored post players, trying to either force a mismatch on the perimeter or get the ball to a post player close to the basket for a high percentage shot. Granted, its constant fluidity creates two potential problems for those that wish to implement it: First, it is harder to learn and so it takes time to perfect. Second, it requires a “star” player to take a backseat to the system, and will usually result in that player getting fewer shot attempts than he would in a system where plays are specifically drawn for him.
Only one NBA coach has had enough faith in the Triangle strategy to implement it for even one full year, and the results are staggering. In the past 20 years since Phil Jackson embraced Tex Winters’ Triangle, his teams have won 55% of all NBA Championships, and made it to at least the Conference Championship games 75% of the time. In the modern era of professional sports, no one even comes close to this level of success over this length of time.
So why don’t any NBA or NFL teams attempt to recreate the strategy that Jackson, Levy or Wyche have had such success with – even those teams that have such poor records that they have nothing to lose? It’s not as if what they did was any secret.
The answer, I think, is culture.
The primary reason I remember no one using the NHSO was the line “It’s not really football,” even as his or her team was really getting shellacked by it. I travel a lot, and in the thick of the NBA season listen to a lot of sports radio in different markets; I have yet to go anywhere outside of Chicago or L.A. and not hear fans and hosts alike knowingly agree that the Triangle “just doesn’t work.” I think these kinds of sentiments filter down from professional analysts, who in turn get them from assistant coaches in their market, who in turn get it from their head coaches. For them? It’s just not what they were taught and had reinforced over, and over, and over.
Like a lot of other highly exclusive vocations, professional coaching is at its heart a kind of “good ol’ boys” network. If you are an apostate of the culture, you rarely get a job as an assistant; if you are an assistant and develop theories outside the norm, you are rarely tapped to be a head coach. And if you do get to be head coach with a new vision but achieve anything less than a Phil Jackson level of success, the very first time things go wrong everyone declares “I told you so” and you are sacrificed to the alter of the good ol’ boys. A new NBA coach running a standard pick and roll offence might well have a losing record in November, and it will be attributed to the quality of players, or the need for time to get the “kinks” worked out, or any one of a dozen (usually accurate) reasons that request patience of the fan base. But if that same new coach comes out of the gate limping having installed the Triangle or some other apostate philosophy, it is proof positive that this new fangled sissy style was a sucker’s bet. And the same goes for the NHSO in the NFL.
In short, a professional sport’s mindset rarely changes not because there are no viable alternatives, but because on the whole a professional sport doesn’t want to change. And when you think about it, this makes sense.
If you were part of a closed, highly compensated system where you knew that even were you to be fired you would be immediately rehired at some other highly paid position in the same system, would you want a whole lot of change?
This is not to say that there is a conspiracy in the world of professional coaching. It’s just that in that kind of system, this kind of thinking develops organically. Human beings convince themselves that their own self-interest is really all about the team; they also convince themselves that those with new ideas are acting out of pure self-interest at the expense of the team. This hard-wired trap is known as the Fundamental Attribution Error, and is pretty universal – especially in systems that are more closed. The more closed minded the system, the more this type of Culture-over-Results thinking festers and is taken as gospel. In fact, not only is it taken as gospel but the system convinces itself that it has a results-only mindset.
Not surprisingly, I think this same dynamic gets in the way the way of meaningful change in our political systems. Right now, everything exists along a spectrum that exists in a R – to – L framework. I would argue this has less to do with the world at large than it does that’s what we who like politics are taught to argue about. Do we want to improve education? Maybe, but we rarely actually have discussions about how to improve education. Instead, we have conversations about More Government vs. Less Government wrapped up in words about education. Any attempt to not be on either side usually is a compromise between the two, situated somewhere along the center of that line. But discussing the ways that people of different ages learn, and tying that into what we know about brain development and different styles of cognitive learning? That not so much. That framework we work within isn’t necessarily reality; it’s just how we choose to frame reality.
Professional politics, national-media punditry and even the management of government – like professional coaching – are fairly closed, highly compensated systems and subsequently are good ol’ boys networks through and through.
But the question I find myself asking more and more these days is do they have to be?
Orton sucks. They should put in Tebow.Report
No way. The problem is the line.Report
Not to nitpick, but there are very good reasons for not running the no-huddle offense full time:
1.) You have to have a smart, accurate quarterback who can call audibles effectively and throw the quick slants and other timing plays that the no-huddle offense requires. The Bengals, in their semi-no huddle offense, had Esiason, and the Bills had Kelly.
2.) You have to have a good running game, or it doesn’t work. One of the biggest keys to the no huddles success is the inability of the defense to substitute. If they can play pass (or run) every time, they don’t really need to substitute. So you have to be able to run the ball well, or it doesn’t work.
3.) It’s not easy to chart plays out the way you have to in the no-huddle. I doubt most coaches can do it.
I’d rather see the Greatest Show on Turf offense more widely implemented, anyway.
Also, the Triangle, while effective, has produced some of the most boring offenses ever seen in professional basketball. It’s not easy to make a team with Jordan-Pippen or Bryant-O’Neil look boring, but the Triangle did it, and did it so effectively that the Lakers were almost unwatchable. I say go back to the 80s style run-and-gun offenses of the Lakers, Celtics, and just about everyone besides the Pistons. Plus, it gave us Bernard King.Report
I should add, the no huddle wears out your own defense as well, because offensive series don’t last as long, so they spend more time on the field.Report
should add, the no huddle wears out your own defense as well, because offensive series don’t last as long, so they spend more time on the field.
If both teams played NHSO or variants of it, the game would start to look a lot more like rugby (which of course is the better game). But of course americans dont like Rugby. They certainly didnt raise rebellion against england so that they could watch rugby!Report
Two quick thoughts:
First, your criticisms of NHSO are valid. (Though I might quibble that while the “you need a good running game and QB that can make good decisions in order to be successful” is certainly true for a NHSO team, I think it is for all other teams as well.) But I still don’t think, based on relative success patterns, that these are the real reason it was scrapped as quickly as it was.
The point about BB is a good one as well, and you don’t even have to go back as far to the 80s. I think unless you were raised in LA as a Laker fan, you had to root for the Kings in the early 00s. They were fun to watch.Report
I give you the 2000 Ravens and 2002 Buccaneers as counter-examples.
As a lifelong fan of the most successful franchise in Super Bowl history, I’ll also admit that neither Bradshaw or Roethlisberger are exactly known for their flawless decision-making, yet they’ve both got more rings than Kelly, Esiason, and Peyton Manning put together.Report
Good point.Report
i’ve long called political uh “fans” the sports bar; it’s people arguing passionately about the values and actions of other people who not only don’t know them, but can’t even give a fig whether they live or die.Report
There is something to be said for “muddling through.” [A semi-famous poli-sci essay by Charles Lindblom.]
The problem with exceptionally bright systems is that they take exceptionally bright people to run them. If you have superior athletes who also think quicker than the other side, you win, hands down. But as I recall, Phil Jackson and the Triangle have won zero championships without the exceptionally talented and bright Michael Jordan and Kobe Bryant, perhaps the best players of their generations aside from the system they were in.
The Triangle has been tried in other scenarios: ex-Laker coach Kurt Rambis failed miserably with it with the Timberwolves. Not smart enough? Inferior athletes? Regardless, in the end, systems have only limited power divorced from the quality of who peoples them.
The Caine Mutiny has a scene where they describe the painfully simple engine room as “designed by geniuses to be run by idiots.” I sometimes think of the American Founding that way: somehow we’ve muddled through this far, and come to think of it, beat the Japanese Empire with thousands of ships like the Caine and the idiots who ran her.
[Great pic, Tod. Even Mrs. TVD remembers the Ickey Shuffle, an inspired piece of nonsense of the type that makes America what she is.]Report
The Caine Mutiny has a scene where they describe the painfully simple engine room as “designed by geniuses to be run by idiots.”
Nice quote, but recall that it’s uttered by the least sympathetic character in the entire book, an extremely bright guy whose resentment at being treated like an idiot ruins a number of live.Report
Fred MacMurray less sympathetic than Humphrey Bogart?
We would like you to start coming to Libertarian Meetings. We suspect you would fit in nicely.Report
Exactamundo again, Mr. Schilling: Keefer is exactly who Thomas Sowell’s “The Vision of the Anointed” is about:
“In the anointed we find a whole class of supposedly ‘thinking people’ who do remarkably little thinking about substance and a great deal of verbal expression. In order that this relatively small group of people can believe themselves wiser and nobler than the common herd, we have adopted policies which impose heavy costs on millions of other human beings, not only in taxes, but also in lost jobs, social disintegration, and a loss of personal safety. Seldom have so few cost so much to so many.
…always trying to impose their version of the Triangle on the American people.Report
Playing Devils A:
True, but as I recall the level of success that anyone else was ever able to get out of those same two was significantly less. Especially Kobe and Shaq.
Also true. But a lot of other people coach poor teams (like the Wolves) to poor records (like the Wolves) using the standard strategies, and those strategies don’t get scrapped.Report
Tod, it’s not to say some systems aren’t better than others. Per political philosophy, it might be safer to say that systems should suit the personnel. You got a bunch of smart guys, run some no-huddle. The Eurostate might be perfect for Norway but not the US. Or Mexico.
Per Sowell, this brings to mind the many failed coaches who were steeped in an offensive philosophy [ideology?] but never found good or smart enough athletes to people it. Nor did they adapt to the strengths and weaknesses of the talent at hand to maximize the results.
I stipulate that all things being equal in athleticism, the smarter team mastering the more intricate system will tend to win.
Then again, there’s good old-fashioned smashmouth football, against which the greatest genius will be run over by a bunch of idiots if they’re big enough and mean enough.Report
“Per political philosophy, it might be safer to say that systems should suit the personnel. You got a bunch of smart guys, run some no-huddle.”
Agreed. My point being that we never get to those discussions on any kind of meaningful level, because of the way we approach the game. Or maybe more specifically, the way that the machinery we have build deals with the game.Report
Mr. Kelly, the one constant is human nature. You construct the game of politics around that in the first place. At least this was Mr. Madison’s method. You do not construct a system a priori and hope you can find or create the people to fill it. This is the Vision of the Anointed, and its greatest flaw is that it doesn’t work.Report
Why do you assume this? There are politics in the company that I work for, but we are able to make decisions based on non-tribal strategies for the good of the company. My wife and I don’t agree on everything, but we are able to assume that each comes from a place of wanting the relationship to succeed, and are able to have our marriage not be a series of He Said/She Said. Why can you and I, or you and Jesse, for example, do the same?
In other words, is there any reason it cannot be collaborative rather than combative, at least to the point we are able to make all out other group dynamics?
This is the question I am asking myself these days.Report
Tom, if Madison had had that view of how to structure political structure over the long term (which I agree is ingenious), but rather than having stasis as his desired default output behavior for the system, he had instead had action in mind, how do you think the system he might have designed have been different? Or do you hold that the end of instituting a system for the long term and the end of enabling a system to produce action are mutually exclusive, or at least at opposing purposes?Report
Messrs. Kelly & Drew: Madison’s core premise is that human nature competes for power. Best to keep them competing—checks and balances—and resist investing it in too few hands. The division of powers between 3 branches [and the legislative split in two] is the start.
It’s said [and I agree] that he favored a stronger central gov’t at first, but became more of a federalist after ratification. This of course would make sense, as federalism follows the decentralization principle as well. And his 1817 veto of a public works bill is on the grounds that carte blanche for any good idea ostensibly serving “the general welfare” would render the clauses enumerating and limiting the power of the central government “nugatory.”
As for Tod’s challenge, one need only consult the Framing debates, where the Federalists give speech after speech assuring the populace that too much power is not being surrendered to the central gov’t. [The Anti-Federalists, of course were opposed for the reason as well. See also
http://www.amazon.com/Ratification-People-Debate-Constitution-1787-1788/dp/0684868547
where Pauline Maier declines to even use “anti-Federalist,” as pejorative and as a term written by the winners.]
Keep in mind we shouldn’t even call it the Constitutional Convention, capital CC, because the delegates were sent only to modify the Articles of Confederation, not compose a constitution and new structure of government. When they all went home to sell it, Job One was to assure the people they hadn’t exceeded their authority [too much, because they did].
In other words, is there any reason it cannot be collaborative rather than combative
All successful enterprises begin collaboratively of course; the French Revolution was peachy at first, but then came the guillotine and eventually Napoleon.
Fortunately Madison forsaw that all-for-one & one-for-all cannot be assumed in the long term, esp in the venal world of politics. To preserve it from the ditch of popular sentiment, we cannot eliminate the tension, the check-and-balance, of keeping the factions competing rather than conspiring together.Report
While hat is both enlightening and somewhat pedantic at the same time, I’m pretty sure you didn’t answer my question. Which is okay.Report
Also, it bears repeating that the Federalists, aka the Framers of Our Republic , were flat-out lying to the people about the amount of power the words they were using to constitute the new Federal Government plainly on their face grant to that Government, a fact that was plain to see and was seen and frantically pointed out at the time by the not-Anti-Federalists.
Our Founders were some wicked, tricky, hard-ass superbastatrds is what they were.Report
To take a different, but somehwat related example, at least in spirit, I use to cover college soccer matches for student newspaper.
Honestly, except in a few circumstances, I’ve rarely seen any kind of soccer that matches that same level of intensity. At the professional level things die down, they become more safe and cautious, and the fun filters out a bit as teams seek to stay on strategy and remain tactically impenetrable.
But still, because soccer is so diverse at the international level, you get countries like Brazil and Argentina who play soccer with flare and energy, taking big risks and often reaping the rewards.
Since the world system is so much more diverse, you get a bit more openess when it comes to coaching philosophies.
With regard to the political, I think the closed-loop feeback of election and campaign tactics fit your sports model nicely. You have a punditry class and number of mostly older campaign trail journalists that will remark with certitude that such and such a tactic just doens’t work, or the electorate will only reward such and such. And as a result you get silly discussions that lead to inadquate predictions that expose a highly unsophisticated calculus.
Mark Halperin is a great example. Read any of his books on political campaigning, and their riddled with historical analysis that, rather than trying to put forth a theory and seeing where it measures up and where it doesn’t, just adjusts the theory at every new data point until the distilled strategy is so convoluted and contradictory that the whole thing becomes a joke.
I don’t listen to much sports radio or read the finer analysis, but any NFL commentary demonstrates a similar lack of imagination that doesn’t allow of the possibility that maybe something just didn’t work that time, but would have 3 times our of 5 on average.Report
Regarding the no-huddle, I think you have the cart before the horse. It’s something you might want to adopt if your offensive unit has a decided edge in the talent matchup. If you don’t have that edge it’s going to be more problematic. With a healthy Peyton Manning at QB, who has been at it for over a decade, it would make sense. If you followed the Seattle Seahawks, on the other hand, you would conclude that the more time the offensive unit stayed in the huddle the better.Report
If I followed the Seattle Seahawks, I would conclude that I was condemning myself to prolonged stretches of frustration and disappointment, and switch allegiances.Report
“Have to be?” Probably not, but I don’t think that’s a very useful question. Instead, I propose something more like “what changes to the current incentives system would have to be made in order for them not to be?”Report
I like that question you pose a lot, and it seems a necessary one to both ask and answer. But I think the first question is important to ask as well. The first post I ever wrote here (or anywhere, actually) talked about the potential virtue of moving to a results-oriented rather than a party-driven mindset, and overwhelmingly the response was “you can’t, it has to be the way it is now.” Not because they thought it was impossible, necessarily; also because that idea was not particularly popular. Without getting enough consensus on the first question, you can’t get to the second.Report
In The Damned UTD, manager Brian Close takes over a championship team, challenging them to still win championships but without their cheating and dirty play.
Close lasted 44 days in the job. This fits in here somewheres.Report
It really, really does. Nice fit.Report
I think answering my question would imply a definitive answer to yours.
In the case of switching from a party-oriented system to a policy-oriented one like you (and Welch and Gillespie and many others) suggest, I don’t think the best answer is “we can’t because it’s unpopular,” but rather “we can’t because representative (small-r) republican democracy has structural incentives that heavily reward party politics over policy-based politics.”
Your more recent question of “does politics have to be dominated by interconnected networks of change-resistant good ol’ boys?” can be looked at similarly, since there are some obvious incentives for both parties to defend the status quo and resist radical change.Report
To some extent, isn’t it the case that getting something tdone in politics really is about insiders getting together, working out a deal behind closed doors, and then later explaining to their respective constituencies why the deal is a reasonable compromise?
Without the insiders — very likely to be change-resistant good ol’ boys — that doesn’t get done and instead you get crowds of people in different tribes shouting past one another, stamping their feet in rage and frustration, and calling each other names?Report
I know almost nothing about professional sports. I’m curious about this however:
Is it not apparent that this rhetoric is an extension of the football field? That is, it too is a way of playing the game?Report