Meet the Teams: Holland
By their orange you shall know them. Although the Dutch flag is red, white, and blue, the royal family is from the House of Orange-Nassau.* The House of Orange knows how to do modern royalty well, and remain very popular, and on holidays you’ll see the Dutch flag with an orange pennant at the top. Orange is Holland, and Holland is orange, and the Dutch National Team is simply known as the oranje (pronounced or an’ yuh). As the home team they will be wearing orange, but as the visiting squad they will be wearing all blue.
My fondness for the Orange dates back to the first World Cup I paid any attention to, 1990. In 1989, despite watching very little television at the time, and never having been a soccer fan, I just happened to stumble across a broadcast of the U.S. vs. Trinidad and Tobago game, where a 1-0 victory by the U.S. put them in the World Cup for the first time in four decades. By the next summer I was dating a beautiful Dutch girl, and we camped out for weeks in an Irish bar in San Francisco, cheering for the Dutch as they drew against England, Ireland and Egypt (each game in that group ended in a draw). A year later I married into her soccer mad family, and have cheered for the Dutch ever since.
History
The Dutch have a long-standing rivalry with Germany, stemming from German occupation during World War II,** and strengthened by their loss–despite being heavily favored–to West Germany in the 1974 final, a defeat they consider a national trauma. Their revenge was defeating Germany on its home turf in the 1988 EUAFA semifinal, and going on to win the championship. That victory lessened the outright hatred of the German side, but the rivalry is still intense.
The Orange are always considered a strong team, but they have never won the World Cup. Three times they have made the final, losing in 1974 and 1978 to West Germany and Argentina, and then in 2010 losing a heartbreaker in extra time to Spain. That year they charged through group play, winning all three games and notching 5 goals while surrendering only 1, and in a huge game in the knockout round, knocking out heavyweight Brazil. In the final, both teams played scoreless through 90 minutes in a very rough match, in which both sides missed good chances, and from the 109th minute on, the Dutch played a man short due to John Heitinga’s second yellow card.
Unfortunately, the Orange have declined since 2010. In Euro 2012 they were in a group of death with Germany, Portugal and Denmark, losing all three games. Despite doing well in the qualifying rounds, they are ranked only 15th in the world, and are in a group with Spain (ranked #1), Chile (14) and Australia (62). They’re a young team, returning only 7 players from 2010, and with 11 of their squad being under 25. It will be a challenge, but a surmountable one, for the Dutch to finish in the top two and advance to the knockout round.
The Manager
Manager Louis van Gaal has been a successful coach at Dutch soccer giant Ajax (winning three Eredivisie (the top Dutch league) titles, the EUEFA cup and the Champions league), Bayern Munich (1 Bundesliga title), Barcelona (two Spanish league titles and the Copa del Rey), and has recently been appointed manager of Manchester United. But in his previous stint as the Dutch manager they missed the 2002 World Cup. This time he led the Dutch to 9 wins and 1 draw in the qualifying, but in a rather weak group containing Romania, Hungary, Turkey, Estonia and Andorra. Anything less than domination would have been disappointing.
The Dutch have often been known for good goaltending and midfield play, with difficulty in finding the finishing touch. Van Gaal, though, favors what the Dutch call the Total Football style, which took the Dutch to the Cup final in ’74. Total football is an attacking style in which players’ positions are fluid, and no player (other than the keeper) is fixed to a particular role. Because players have to be aware of these constant adjustments on the field, total football requires great awareness of space and positioning of one’s teammates. It’s a demanding style, but places great pressure on opposing defenses.
Players to Watch
Robin van Persie, one of the top strikers in the world, returns for his third world cup. He recently became the top Dutch international goal scorer of all time, but struggled in the 2010 World Cup and the 2012 European Championship. He has also missed league games with injuries this year. Fortunately he is expected to be healthy for the tournament, but the Dutch need him to find the mark if they are to advance from group play.
Wesley Sneijder provides the experience at midfield. He seems to be past his prime, but Holland doesn’t have many options at midfield due to injuries to two young stars. So he probably won’t equal the 5 goals he had in 2010, but hopefully he helps keep the younger players on the team calm.
Arjen Robben also returns for his third world cup, and is a solid scorer. Watch for him drifting down the right side of the pitch looking to curl one across and into the goal.
Prediction
The Dutch, I really hate to say, probably will not get out of their group. Their weakness at midfield is forcing them to adjust their formation to pack extra men in the middle, making up with numbers what they’re lacking–due to injury–in talent, but dropping their front line down to three players. But they played very well in qualifying, and van Gaal has been a very successful coach in the past.
The Dutch will lose to Spain on Friday. The important task in that one is to keep the goal differential close. They’ll beat Australia next Wednesday. And then the crucial game in the group will come down to the following Monday’s (June 23) game against Chile, which will also have lost to Spain and defeated Australia (which will go winless and drawless). The winner of the Holland-Chile game will move on. In case of a draw, the tie-breaker between the two teams will be goal differential (which is why the Dutch need to keep the Spain game close). I’d bet on the Dutch narrowly losing that differential, given their current limitations, so I’d say a win against Chile will be a must. But of course Chile will, to some extent, have home-field advantage, both for fans and for dealing with the climate.
That may be one of the most interesting games in group play, so buy yourself an orange t-shirt and chant “Hup, Holland, Hup!”
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*The House of Orange name, ironically, derives from the Principality of Orange in southern France, and the royal family descends from William of Orange, who was a German, but who helped spark the Dutch war of independence from Spain.
**My father-in-law was a young boy during the German occupation, and had family in German prison camps. He has no love for Germans, and once, while driving to work on a winding mountain road, suddenly came across a film shoot involving German tanks and troops from WWII, which left him deeply shaken for the rest of the day.
I think you’re overly pessimistic about the match with Chile. The very fluid style that earned the Orange so many accolades in the last World Cup is still there, and Sneijder understands how to direct that sort of traffic. It’s confusing for a more traditional sort of defense to deal with.Report
I hope you’re right, @burt-likko, but 538 doesn’t think so. They give Chile a 70% chance of advancing, and a 4% chance of winning, and the Dutch a 44% chance of advancing and <1% chance of winning. and their win-lose-draw odds for Chile in their game with the Netherlands are 48%-26%-27%.
I don't think it's by any means impossible, and it wouldn't be a major upset. But if I was laying money down, I'd go with Chile.Report
Don’t know why you’d even read 538’s World Cup coverage. Their SPI metric is smoke and mirrors of the worst variety.Report
And now it’s ESP 1:4 NED with a second goal from Van Persie.
Still feeling pessimistic about Chile? If this Netherlands team keeps on performing this aggressively, the Oranje could easily run the table in the first stage.Report
Don’t know what you’re talking about, counsellor, it’s 5-1 now. 😉
Yes, the Hanley-DeBoer household hopes this play carries on.Report
Given the goal differential, and next game against Australia, it’s fair to say the Oranje are in the catbird seat right now. Nothing’s certain, but … Wow. what an upset.Report
Yes, that’s one for the ages. It would have been a great upset even absent it being an opening round rematch of the previous Cup’s final, but that just gives it such a great background.
So what are the Chileans thinking now? That they’ve got a better chance against Spain than they thought, or that the Dutch game is going to be even tougher than they thought? Are their chances of making the next round higher or lower?Report
If I’m Jorge Sampaoli I’m thinking I’m going to make Spain my bitch because the Dutch just showed me how to do it, and with wins over Australia and Spain, Chile is moving on too.
But I’m also thinking I still have to go all-in against the suddenly-fearsome Oranje, because if Chile and Netherlands are both at 2-0-0 going in to the last match, the loser of that game is all but certain to get Brazil next.
Of course, that all assumes that Australia is an “easy” win. Given the strength of the group, the Aussies are not likely to be anything but spoilers, but you don’t want to be the team that gets spoiled by Australia.Report
…wait, how can you talk about the history of the Oranje without bringing up Cruyff?Report
Good point.Report
Sadly, I must agree with your prediction. They’re overall a much younger side than the team they brought four years ago, and while their attack still centers on Van Persie, Robben, and Sneijder, those three may now be slightly past their prime. The change in the caliber of club teams represented on the Dutch side shows the decline – in 2010, they had 9 players on their roster from top-five English, Spanish, German, or Italian clubs, plus several others playing with solid clubs like Hamburg or Everton. Now, they’ve only got three such players, and that’s only if you still consider Man U a top-5 English side despite its failure to qualify for Europe at all this year. The majority of their roster this time around is from Ajax, PSV and Feyenoord, all top Dutch teams, but none of which were able to make a significant impact in Europe this year.
Combine that with the fact that Dutch players just about always have a hard time getting along with each other, and I think you have to say that Chile should be favored over them.Report
Just saw the lineup for ESP : NED, starting in just a few hours. Your Oranje will be playing Cillessen, Vlaar, De Vrij, Martins Indi, Blind, De Jong, Janmaat, De Guzman, Van Persie, Sneijder, and Robben. Came up on the webcast of El Tri on its way to besting the Indomitable Lions (Cameroon has one of the coolest team nicknames going).
Spain is to be respected and I’m not unrealistic about the strength of that side. But both as an Italy fan and in sympathy for you, I’ll be pulling for the Dutch.Report
Wow, what a goal!Report
Way to use your head, Van Persie!
I saw most of the first half of play at a sports bar just now. Sadly I must return to work.
Spain’s players are flop artists! Especially Alonso, who drew that penalty kick on what sure looked to me like incidental contact. Bad call if you ask me, although the announcers thought it was righteous. So I think it ought to be ESP 0 : 1 NED right now.
As it is, the teams look well matched — Spain does seem to have good ball control skills and is playing pretty defensively, doing a lot of keep-away. When the Oranje get the ball, they take chances and are aggressive. I notice some swarming that more often than not is diversionary.
Also, Professor, you’ll be glad to know that when Spain scored, applause was healthy, but the whole bar roared at Van Persie’s header. Including most the guys and girls in Mexico kits sobering up from this morning’s match.Report
And now Robben scores! Note in my OP who I said to watch! /own horn tootingReport
Who said that Robben and Van Persie might be slightly past their prime? Because that person appears to be an idiot right now.Report
Hmm. In our pick’em, I predicted a 2:2 draw. Professor Aitch predicted a 3:2 Spanish victory. Counselor Thompson predited a 2:1 Spanish victory. El (who is this?) predicted a 1:0 Spanish victory. And it looks like Kazzy predicted a 0:0 draw.
No one predicted that Netherlands would be up 1:3!Report
What the hell is wrong with Iker Casillas?Report
That guy who said Robben was slightly past his prime is a complete moron: http://www.espnfc.us/fifa-world-cup/story/1888364/spains-arjen-robben-becomes-worlds-fastest-playerReport