DeLong Care
By way of this post, Matt Yglesias explains why he likes Brad DeLong’s “totally unrealistic health care plan.” First, to boil down DeLong’s rather long post on the subject, let me lift this excellent summation from Yglesias:
— 1. Taxes on public health hazards (booze, sweeteners, etc.)
— 2. An army of publicly employed doctors and nurses working in clinics and vans and such roaming the country dispensing preventive care and lifestyle advice to all and sundry.
— 3. 15 percent of your income is automatically plunked into a Health Savings Account.
— 4. When you want health care services that aren’t covered by the clinics, you pay out of your HSA.
— 5. If there’s money left in your HSA at the end of the year, it gets plunked into your IRA unless you specifically fill in an opt-out form.
— 6. If you run out of money in your HSA and need more health care, the government pays for it.
— 7. On top of the 15 percent HSA deduction, there’s a 5 percent tax to pay for 6.
I actually think this is a pretty good idea. I’ve mentioned before I think flat-out single payer might actually be more efficient than the mess we have now, but adding health savings accounts (and thus direct, personal involvement) into the mix is a really good idea at containing costs. Personal choice also helps avoid some of the problems I’ve bemoaned in regards to monopolization. I may have not made this clear enough, but I really do think monopoly (not “government”) is at the heart of many economic and social problems.
Consumers responsible for their own health care purchases makes a lot of sense because they have incentive to exercise restraint and because they have options on where that money is spent. Having insurance (whether single payer or otherwise) for costs above and beyond what goes in their savings account also makes sense.
I might have to think about this more, but it makes sense to me not to simply funnel HSA funds not spent at the end of the year into a savings account (with the option of taking them as part of a tax return). It might make more sense to have part of whatever is left roll over into the HSA the next year – maybe even as a tax-deductible sum? – as the older you get the likelier you are to need these funds. That would provide a larger pillow between your spending and the need for the government to kick in anything. Obviously if you had an ongoing, long-term illness a lot more of your income would end up going to that over the years, but at least you wouldn’t be ruined by it.
I also like the idea of personal savings accounts for left-over funds. Maybe down the line when social security reform is on the table, we could use these same accounts to transform that program into one of personal savings rather than ponzi-savings.
In a lot of ways this combines many of the good things about more conservative approaches to health reform – personal accountability and decision making over health care spending (not insurance, as insurance at this point is out entirely) with a lot of things progressives like, too. As Yglesias explains:
Then note that the 15 percent health withholding is not a 15 percent tax. Most people will spend less than 15 percent of their income on health care in most years. If so, your money will be returned to you. Because there’s reason to believe that Americans save too little for retirement and also reason to believe that default rules matter a lot, the default rule would be for the money to be returned to your and placed in a retirement account. But if you need or want the money, you’d fill out form 1346-FGH or whatever and get the cash.
In addition, note that people’s cash income would be a lot higher in a universe without health insurance plans and Medicare taxes. That’s a hefty chunk of your compensation.
Last, this plan is a lot more progressive in its distributive implications than the flat tax rates involved imply. Consider two guys who both contract the same illness. It winds up requiring $20,000 in treatment. A person who only earns $30,000 a year is going to find himself paying $4,500 out of pocket whereas someone who makes $100,000 will pay $15,000 out of pocket. The taxpayers will cover his last $5,000 in expenses, but he’ll also be paying $5,000 in taxes. Conversely, the $30,000/year guy is getting $15,500 in government benefits and paying only $1,500 in taxes. In other words, the tax structure is pretty flat but the benefit structure is highly progressive so the net impact is very progressive.
Now there are elements of actual socialization in this. The clinics and traveling government-paid doctors and “barefoot nurses” and so forth, as well as the single-payer. I think we could probably tinker with this, reduce regulations that lead to medical cartelization and create very efficient, affordable private “barefoot clinics” as well. The market would respond to these HSA’s, I think, if we were to let nurses do a lot more of the heavy lifting that doctors do these days. (Though, honestly, when you go to the “doctor” how much time do you spend with the doctor and how much with the nurse already?) Yes, a single-payer would be a big expense, but if we could ax both Medicare and Medicaid, that would be a good thing in and of itself.
I also like the idea that most health costs will be restrained by the natural desire for individuals to economize, while at the same time real catastrophic expenses will be covered. Those barefoot clinics might go a long way to minimizing the distorting effects of emergency rooms as primary care facilities as well.
Oh, and I’d add one more caveat – lets stop protecting Big Pharma. No way we can ever control costs while we let protectionist policies set prices on our drugs.
Anyways, just stumbled on this, and I think it has merit. I’d be interested to hear others’ thoughts.
This is pretty much the Singapore plan I brought your attention to before, except with government mobile clinics.
It’s a good plan for sure. But it completely gets rid of insurance companies, which likely means it will never get the support of so-called American conservatives.Report
Check out the trackback below – to the minipost I just wrote….Report
Well if AEI supports it, there must be something sinister about it 🙂Report
There are a number of systems that may be better than the status quo.
I think that the one thing that they all have in common is that they assume a dismantling of the status quo and then replace the vacuum with this, that, or the other plan.
Is a dismantling of the status quo, like, even possible? Don’t get me wrong. I’d love to see the status quo dismantled. I’d love to see a libertopia. I just dwell on such things a lot less than I used to.Report
Oh, and I’d add one more caveat – lets stop protecting Big Pharma. No way we can ever control costs while we let protectionist policies set prices on our drugs.
This part also made me scratch my head.
From what I understand, other countries pay “big pharma” just a little over cost for pills. R&D isn’t taken into account, the R&D for pills that never made it to market sure as hell aren’t taken into account… under threat of “if you don’t sell to us at this price, we’ll steal your IP”.
Without getting into the whole “information wants to be free” debate with regards to IP, this strikes me as an area where a somewhat more “protectionist” policy would result in lower costs in the US without risking the death of a golden goose.Report
Points three through five, regarding the Health Savings Account, are interesting. The rest of the points, of course, are going to be dismissed out of hand by conservatives. It seems the HSA idea could comport quite easily with conservative thinking, so I frankly don’t understand why it’s bundled up with other ideas that are so anathema to conservatives.
But the HSA idea might have enough of a “pay for your own self” spirit without too much paternalism in forcing folks to pay into it. But oy!—what’s this bottomless pit lurking around in there at number 6? I think I can find catastrophic insurance for less than 5% of my income. I understand that folks have this over-enlarged “social justice” center in the brain that spurs them to sliding measures like this into the conversation, but many of us do not. Over here in California, we pay through the ear for social programs. If health care is the social program du jour, then implement some pay-go spirit, and shift the cost from welfare into health care. All of it seems silly to me, this feeling worse for people than they feel for themselves. But shift around those silly program dollars to less silly programs, if you like, and you’re not likely to hear folks like me pipe up about it.
Without the HSA idea, the rest of the points are rubbish. I’m on board with fighting costs by some federal preemption on health care regulation and lifting the shroud of mystery over the costs of procedures. (And re pharma, is anyone talking about any ways of kicking the euro-free-riders off the innovations we pick up the tab for?) But let’s do those things before shoving out with this funny sounding mobile government doctor army idea. And “taxes on public health hazards” at number one on the list is going to halt the eyeballs’ downward momentum straight off.Report
Perhaps I fail to take to heart DeLong’s admission that the plan is “unrealistic.” Then again, one can’t use such things as a shield from criticism.Report
Why is it “bundled up with other ideas that are so anathema to conservatives?”
Because that’s the way to ensure everyone has access to affordable health care. Yes, doing that involves taxing the rich and using that money to subsidize the poor.
This is a compromise (from a full single-payer government system) that recognizes personal responsibility for payment of health care needs while simultaneously ensuring that nobody goes bankrupt paying their hospital bills.
If you’re going to reject offhand any proposal that involves tax-subsidizing health care based on income, then the rest of us can just safely ignore you, because you’re in right-wing fantasyland. Whether it’s public option, DeLong Care or Canada-style single payer, there’s going to be tax subsidies involved.Report
Milton Friedman suggested a decade ago comprehensive public insurance for costs over a high deductible conjoined to the use of medical savings accounts. I do not recall if he suggested these accounts be funded though mandatory sequestration of income. To distinguish sequestration from taxation, one would have to be permitted to use at ones discretion any funds in excess of a standard balance.
One question I have had is whether an economic analysis has been done of the implications of the deductible being on a sliding scale according to income or being a specific dollar amount per family.
You could vitiate ill effects of the latter by having a comprehensive tax and welfare reform (which is at least as unrealistic).
As for who functions as the insurer, one might consider dividing the country into catchments and then randomly assigning the households therein to cohorts. The government might then hold an auction for each cohort, with each participating insurer submitting bids for the medical insurance contract and / or the long term care contract for one of the cohorts. The government collects the premium for the cohort by making a flat assessment on incomes, so the affluent are subsidizing the impecunious. The contracts run for (perhaps) six years and expire at staggered intervals and the deductible is automatically re-adjusted so that public commitments through the sum of all contracts remains fixed at 9% of domestic product. The government writes the contract, conducts the bidding, and collects the premiums. The insurers negotiate with provider networks over rates. Local medical societies publish the rates for consultations and lab work charged by the practices within their bailiwick. Some degree of constraint on prices is maintained by the cash-for-services transactions taking place below the level of the deductible.Report