What is a race of people made of?
Your Ordinary World links for 15 Oct 18, focusing on Prognostications, Previews, and Perspectives on Midterm Elections 2018, plus two from the Ordinary Times Archives on the 2010 and 2014 midterms.
Remember: You Can’t Make Fun of Someone Else’s Prediction Unless You Post Your Own
There’s More Than Just Control Of Congress To Keep An Eye On
We don’t want to be here. Nobody wants to be here.
Donald Trump figured out the cheat code to get the New York Times to believe anything.
A Supreme Court seat hangs in the balance.
Why State-Level Presidential Job Approval Matters In Midterm Elections
No easy solutions.
If the left see Avenatti busy about the work of the resistance while elected officials only talk about it, with little to show for it, the opening for an outsider might be an Avenatti-sized hole in 2020.
The more I turn over [Bush’s] record and compare it to where Trump is going, the more it becomes obvious that this isn’t just about a personal animus for Trump. At every turn — the environment, the budget, trade policy, immigration — Trump is shaping up to be worse.
This movie will end like the Gorsuch show did, the outcome having been scripted with the 2016 election results. The Democrats do not have the votes, and barring something very unforeseen there will be a vote on Judge Kavanaugh sometime in the next 30 days or so.
As our own Em Carpenter ably wrote Wednesday, West Virginia’s (badly hobbled) Supreme Court refused to allow Don Blankenship to appear as a candidate on the state’s ballots for its Senate election this year. This post is about that decision.
John McCain will be remembered for many things, but I will remember what he did in Minnesota a decade ago.
The news that Sen. John McCain will no longer seek medical treatment for his illness brings about a chance to use the sometimes controversial Senator as a test of character. Not his, ours.
I believe the Cohen revelations raise the likelihood of impeachment precipitately. Given the new conditions what is the most likely outcome of this reality show. Will Trump get voted off the island? I see three recipes – all of them fraught.
But now we have groups, not new just louder and more visible, that we should not be labelling with the traditional terms at all. If we do, I propose repurposing a very old term for this rising class of political beings: the acolytes.
Omarosa is doing the media rounds with a tell-all book to sell, tapes of President Trump, John Kelly, and claims of more to come. While her own credibility issues mean this will probably be a temporary annoyance, this is a headache completely of the President’s own making.
If you are a Dem, liberal, progressive, or a conservative who thinks Trump is awful, Rick Wilson’s “Everything Trump Touches Dies” will reinforce and harden your views. It’s shock jock entertainment in written form. But other than a fan-fiction vignette with Ivanka and a weird homo-erotic fantasy involving Trump and Sean Hannity, there is nothing new here.
The debate is over whether Dems should be more socialist, left leaning, and liberal and whether those things are interchangeable anymore.
As Donald Trump continues to make a mess domestically and internationally, have his opponents learned anything? Nope.
“Having a candidate silenced is a threat to American democracy,” The statement read. Let us leave the debate over whether or not the republic can endure 12 hours of Twitter silence from Austin Petersen for a moment, and deal with what this incident shows us about the man.
Jim Acosta and CNN versus Trump and the MAGA crowd is the most entertaining storyline going in news media. Which is exactly how it was designed to be.
Each side is predictable in one respect – they overreach.
Moral panics can crash quickly. Or they can last centuries, as the moral panic over witchcraft did. I have no feel for how long the moral panic over sex work will last. But now that FOSTA is law, the potential damage it will cause has dramatically increased.
If you follow the news surrounding hopefuls for the empty SCOTUS seat, you undoubtedly know that Barrett, a federal circuit judge and Notre Dame law grad, is the mother of seven children. In fact, judging by the media’s profiles of her, this is the most interesting thing about her…
If public-sector unions are worth saving, it supporters will have to do a better job at advancing the reasons.
Our imagined community is myth that requires some strong juju. We collectively imagine what it “means” to be an American. The fact that we still care about our imagined identity means we haven’t given up on our joint project. We scrap and cuss and “resist” and “maga” because we all still care.
NYT (1995): “Clinton Embraces a Proposal To Cut Immigration by a Third”
A naturalized citizen takes a skeptical look at H1-B visas.
The predictable split of the Court on this matter portends the inevitable split between the left and right leaning citizenry, as many decisions this term have done. With the strong, provocative rhetoric from our President which underlies the whole thing, it is hard to reconcile the two sides.
Where will the Era of Bad Feelings ultimately take us?
The crushing cost of living in America is on the rise — both in reality and in the minds of disenchanted voters.
In my last post I was tough on the Democrats. Some readers pegged me as a closet Trump supporter with American flag pajamas. In this post I will lay that misconception (that I sleep in pajamas) to rest. 7 days ago Trump & Kim Jung Un shook hands. Today the universe is talking about one thing – children and border enforcement. Here’s my short summary.
Using outrage to draw an overreaction from opponents then becomes self-fulfilling prophecy of “See, those people really do hate us”; for Stephen Miller, immigration checks many boxes for engagement by enragement politics.
Lawyers for Scot Peterson (one of the Deputies on-site during the Parkland shooting) are arguing that Scot Peterson had no Duty to stop the school shooting