Collateral Damage
DirecTV and Viacom have taken their contract dispute to the death cage.
DirecTV’s 20 million satellite TV subscribers have lost 17 channels produced by Viacom in a dispute about the fees paid to broadcast the media company’s programs. Late Tuesday night, the satellite service removed BET, Comedy Central, MTV, Nickelodeon, Spike and VH1 because contract talks with Viacom had reached an impasse.
(edited to add): And The Better Half pointed me at Viacom’s attempt to bid 11-no-trump, cutting off free episodes of the Colbert Show and The Daily Show. Which was surely the dumbest possible escalation in this affair (/edited).
First serious but side question: Viacom has 17 channels? Seriously? Is this like “Use Your Illusion I and II” where there’s less than one album’s worth of good songs on two albums… and you have 17 channels of crap with 6 or 7 good shows spread around to create an illusion of substance?
Does anybody watch… wait, sorry, I have to check again… seventeen channels? That can’t possibly be right. Seventeen? Comedy Central is big, but Spike is “non-HD movies you probably already own on VHS if you’re the sort of guy who would watch ’em on Spike anyway” and nobody watches VH1 unless they’re
- mind-numbingly bored
- totally exhausted from yardwork or completely hungover
- it’s Sunday and there’s no golf on
- and there’s some 80’s video retrospective thing on VH1
So, really, Viacom has the Jon Stewart show and Colbert, and a pile of stuff that nobody wants to pay for but they’ll take for free if it’s there. And Nick. But if you’re a DirecTV user, and you have kids that watch Nick, you already have enough content DVR’d from Nick to get you through to the next stage of development where they don’t watch that show any more.
Dish Network’s 14 million users lost AMC, IFC, Sundance and WE TV channels last month, so this isn’t just DirecTV squabbling, here.
I think the wrangling between the content creators-who-also-want-to-be-distributors and the content-distributors-who-want-to-ignore-the-Internet are waging the wrong battle, and they’re definitely waging it in the wrong place and at most importantly at the worst possible time.
I’ve been a DirecTV subscriber since 2000. I originally hooked up because I wanted to get NFL Sunday Ticket, and I never dropped it. Not just because I’m lazy, but because Time Warner, DirecTV, and Dish all – perhaps unintentionally – collude to make it nigh-impossible to do a decent comparison in side-by-side service. AT&T Uverse just unrolled in my neighborhood, and undoubtedly they’ll join the party.
The problem is that they’re eating their young. See, the youngsters nowadays get their television shows a la carte on their mobile devices. They’re paying a premium for it, but in the long run shelling out $20 for the entire season of The Walking Dead, which I then can own and watch whenever, is preferable to spending $80/month on a buffet table.
Unless the buffet table is zero effort. If it’s not hard to find what I want at the buffet table, the illusion of extra choices is worth something. Hey, all I really want is a half-dozen shows.. not even the entire channel… and for there to occasionally be something interesting on the other 200 when those 6 are in dead air cycle.
But if you’re going to sign me to a one- or two-year contract, and then dump one of those six channels during that contract… and all your competitors are going to do the same thing… guess what? You’ve failed to differentiate yourself *and* you’ve made your product a stone around my neck, as a consumer. Because I’m stuck paying for your service until the contract runs out, but I don’t want to pay for this service that suddenly changed right in the middle of the contract. You just removed the only selling point over going the route of not having a cable provider whatsoever, you made it a pain in the butt.
Sure, I get that it’s in the contract. Buyer beware, caveat yadda yadda. But when this contract is up, it’s going to be very, very difficult for me to renew. Honestly, it was difficult to renew when we moved, it was only your sales guy giving me $300 worth of credits that got me off the fence in the first place. Why should I bother? I can throw an HD antenna on my roof for the local channels, subscribe to the one or two shows I really want to watch via Google Play or iTunes, never be stuck with my DVR telling me that I can’t copy that file to my phone or computer, and not be angry because I’m going to lose out on the rest of the season of (insert show here).
Of course, Viacom is blaming DirecTV, and DirecTV is blaming Viacom. They’re both trying to get me to call the other one and demand that they cave.
Jeeze, folks, don’t your realize that the only reason why I’m still using your service is because I’m lazy? I suspect that many of my fellow DirecTV subscribers are just as lazy as I am. So now, to watch The Daily Show, they’re going to start watching it online. And if your contract dispute lasts longer than a couple of weeks, they’re not ever going to come back, because they’re lazy.
This was a great post, Pat, and one that has solidified a bunch of stuff that’s been going through my head lately. Like everyone else, I’ve been having to sit through the remarkable ad campaign that AMC and Comedy Cntral have been doing. I’ve never seen anything like it, and I’ve not been sure what to think about it.
I mean, if I liked Coke and I saw an ad from them saying to let Burger King have it for not stocking coke products, I’d find that to be a bit dickish in a way I don’t quite feel about the cable ads.Report
The wife & I dumped cable over a year ago. Now we use a Roku. All we miss is PBS.Report
I haven’t had cable in years. Does MTV still play music videos except at night? Does Comedy Central still play MST3K at midnight?Report
I can’t agree that this is Directv’s only selling point, though it surely is the only selling point for most TV services. Sunday Ticket remains a huge selling point; were it not for Sunday Ticket, I’d never have signed on for Directv in the first place, and I’d have cancelled my subscription years ago.
I expect Directv’s going to win out on this one – with, what 15-20% of the nation’s homes hooked up to it, of which only a minority presumably actually watch Viacom’s programming with any regularity, it seems to me that Viacom needs Directv more than Directv needs Viacom. I suspect this is especially true since it seems like Directv is the one service provider that’s still consistently adding subscribers (thank you Sunday Ticket), so its clout is only increasing, even if that of service providers in general might be going the other direction.
They’re basically giving Sunday Ticket away at this point, presumably trying to get as many subscribers as possible who will gladly pay a minimum of $60 a month (and usually well above that) for the privilege of getting Sunday Ticket as long as there’s at least some channels for them to lazily and mindlessly watch in the offseason.
I suspect the that the increase in new subscribers paying $60-$100 a month solely so they can get Sunday Ticket (seemingly about 500,000 new subscriptions a year from what I can tell) will result in more new revenue than the value of subscriptions lost (few, if any, of which will be premium-type subscriptions) less the savings from not having to pay half a billion a year to Viacom.Report
> it seems to me that Viacom needs Directv more than
> Directv needs Viacom.
There’s also a built-in problem for Viacom. DirecTV’s customers are on contract for N months. If DirecTV pays Viacom more money, that comes right out of their bottom line, they can’t pass it through to their customers until the contract is up, and if they up contract prices they’ll lose some of those new subscribers they’re adding. All the incentives are for DirecTV to give Viacom the big GFY, unless Viacom can generate enough buzz to get DirecTV to budge.
I don’t see that happening. AMC has a better chance with Dish.Report
I have a number of friends who push me to rid myself of cable. “Everything is on the internet!” they say. Not sports! But none of them are sports fans. They also pirate a lot of stuff, something I’m unwilling to do from both a moral and practical standpoint. I also take comfort in the buffet. Will my life be much different if I didn’t watch “Chopped”? No. Not one bit. I don’t even know when it’s on and the concept is so absurd you don’t really learn anything about cooking… But I’m a sucker for competition and I’ll watch it when it’s on. And I like having that option. I’m also a stimulation junky. I *need* stimulation or I’ll drive the wife batty. Something I know I should work on and am sorta kinda trying to… But a reality nonetheless.
So it’s not just laziness in switching, though I’m sure that is part of it. The real issue I see is the near-monopolies companies have. I got the best customer service from DirecTV because I lived in a major city with many competitors and they had to kiss my ass to keep me. I got the worst when living in an apartment complex that signed an exclusive rights deal with Comcast; when I called to complain that their new policy of charging the customer for any hardware failure, even one they caused, was absurd, they hung up. That’s when I called DirecTV. When Fios first appeared, they trumped everyone for quality, in part because they had to because no one wants to change providers. But then they took over certain areas, failed in others, and the status quo remains.
Increase competition and we’ll all be better off. In fact, one of the damn providers might actualky go a la carte with channels and/or shows, which is really all anyone wants.Report
> In fact, one of the damn providers might actualky
> go a la carte with channels and/or shows, which
> is really all anyone wants.
This really would be the death of the modern television provider model. Most of the content creators would be forced to just create content, instead of bundling.Report
Is that a bad thing? Who needs Cablevision? Let Fox, Abc, ESPN, and whomever else just send me whatever I want via the internet to my TV.Report
The relationship between the customer and Cablevision and Cablevision and Fox and Fox and the independent houses or in-house teams that produce all of the Fox shows enables a lot of bundling, which lowers a lot of risk.
So Fox contracts for some shows, produces some in-house, arranges them in channels, splits up the betters shows among the multiple channels, and gives rights to those channels to Cablevision, who they charge for “all their productions, plus vig”.
If Fox had to sell shows a-la carte, they would have… zero?… in-house production, ’cause that’s all risk, with very few winners.
You’d see more of this, which basically kills off not only Cablevision but… Fox as well.
Personally, I’m okay with that.Report
Shows might be a step too far. Maybe even channels. But let me pickup a sports package and movie package and Fox package and decline a news package or science package or what have you. They already sort of do this with premium and upgrade packages… The problem is the base package.Report
Well, sure.
Because if I’m a media conglomerate, I don’t want you to buy some of my stuff. I want you to buy *all* of my stuff.
And I’m going to package my stuff in such a way that you’re maximally likely to buy the maximal amount of my stuff.
Meaning all of my packages are going to include everything I can reasonably include at the highest possible price point I think I can get you to pay for “the thing you actually want to buy” plus “all the rest of this crap”.Report
The thing is, I might be willing to pay MORE overall for cable to get less of what I don’t want (and less overall) and more of what I do want.
So if I could get the whole fleet of ESPN channels for $20, the upgraded sports package for $15, HBO for $15, local channels for $20, I’m already up to $70, am getting more of what I want than before, and paying roughly the same. I’d probably tack on a few more packages for the wife, meaning more money overall but likely fewer overall channel. Unfortunately, this isn’t an option. To get everything I want right now, I’d cost me well over $100, meaning the cable company is only getting about $70/month out of me when they could be getting $85 because they’re holding out to get $100.Report
The content creators are trying to bring the same model online. For example, see ESPN and their online ESPN3.Report
Kazzy, you’re friends with non-sports fans? What’s wrong with you?Report
Are you saying Doc Saunders is not allowed in your clubhouse?
Generally, there is less overlap between tech savants and jocks. Tech savants are the ones who got rid of cable.Report
Well, OK. Dr. Saunders is allowed. But Jaybird has to promise to watch basketball before can come in!Report
I saw Hoosiers once, I’m pretty sure.Report
That was a movie. Not a real game. Not even a documentary!Report
JB’s out. Period.
It’s the No Non-Sports FanS club… We’re allowed to have one.Report
I have a Tebow Jersey!
I’m thinking about getting a Manning one and going into work wearing it and a neck brace. When people say “what happened?”, I can say “it came with the jersey”.Report
I have a Tebow Jersey!
Blackballed!
I’m thinking about getting a Manning one and going into work wearing it and a neck brace. When people say “what happened?”, I can say “it came with the jersey”.
OK, that would be space awesome (even though I’m a Colts fan), and just might get me to fight Kazzy to let you in as our second non-fan member.Report
Real basketball, or do the Warriors count?Report
Any team that once started Manute Bol automatically counts! (The only pro basketball game I ever saw live.)Report
One thing that’s interesting about the Directv-Viacom fooferaw is that one of the claims Directv keeps throwing out there is that it has offered a la carte pricing as a compromise but Viacom refuses to even discuss that option. I’ve no idea the extent to which this is true versus a PR lie, but I’d be shocked if Viacom would ever even consider this.
By chance, I happened to read the Newsweek piece on ESPN from January this morning, and about how ESPN (and, increasingly Disney more generally) is able to command absolutely exorbitant fees from carriers (like thrice the next most expensive provider) by virtue of its stranglehold on live sporting events, which in turn amounts to a pretty sizable stranglehold on live TV more generally. In addition to the fees they command, though, they’re also able to force carriers to put all of the ESPN channels in their basic package while also forcing those carriers to buy up all of the Disney channels as well; if they don’t get what they want, they’re able to credibly threaten to walk away, taking the Disney Channel along with them. None of the providers can afford to give up live events, especially with the rise of internet content, so they’ll pay whatever they need to.
Here, it seems like Viacom is trying a similar strategy, except they don’t have the live events to offer as leverage, and there’s no shortage of competition for Viacom’s flagship stations. MTV and VH1 are just reality show channels at this point, competing with the likes of Bravo, TLC, etc. Nick is obviously competing with PBS-owned Sprout and Disney. I suppose Comedy Central doesn’t have much in the way of competition, but that’s not a lot of leverage when people can just pay a couple extra bucks to watch online, especially for something of a niche channel.
Since, due to that whole “needing live events thing,” carriers have to pay for the likes of Disney (and presumably NBC-owned Bravo as well) anyhow, and PBS-owned Sprout (and, for that matter, Discovery-owned TLC) can’t possibly be very expensive, I can’t imagine there’s much incentive to pay boatloads for Nick and MTV just to keep Comedy Central. We reached a point where there’s so many “I’m lazy and there’s nothing else on” channels that not a lot of people will really care much about losing some of them.
I half expect that at some point Disney will buy all of the Discovery-owned channels, jack its rates up even further through the roof, and basically put carriers in a position where it makes no economic sense to carry any channels other than those owned by Disney.Report
One interesting thing about ESPN.com is that more and more of the content other than scores and stats is going behind the paywall. They’re the only web site I know of that seem able to do this.Report
Thr Mag subscription offers free insider. You can find online deals for less than $10/year.
Really, they just buy up all the talent. As soon as someone gets a following, they bring them on and, if the readership follows, they go behind the wall.Report
Can I get a Mag subscription that doesn’t involve receiving the Mag? I’d pay extra.Report
If you find a way to do that, let me know. Maybe I should just give them the wrong address when I subscribe?Report
That was my first thought. Or “generously” donate it to your local library.Report
Aren’t libraries struggling enough as it is?Report
Their most valuable commodity though is free (ish).
The live streams are almost all available if your ISP provides WatchESPN, up to and including marquee MLB and NBA streams.
It’s kind of crazy.Report
I don’t mind paying for premium live sports. I don’t mind paying for online content. I don’t even mind when a free ESPN writer suddenly goes behind the paywall. I do get a bit pissy when a free non-ESPN writer suddenly becomes a paywalled ESPN writer.
Another little known facet of this is the ownership of stats, which you wouldn’t think could be owned, but absolutely are. I believe ESPN now owns the Elias Sports Bureau. From reading over at the former Baseball-Reference blog, this was not insignificant for those doing statistical analysis, though I don’t know exactly how it works.Report
Saying that the live streams are free if your ISP provides WatchESPN is like saying that ESPN is free if your cable provider provides ESPN. Both are true, but you are paying for the fees that the ISP/cable company are paying Disney for WatchESPN/ESPN.Report
Also, Use Your Illusion I & II are both pretty interesting.Report
No religion!
Wait, we’re not on MD.
Okay…
You’re crazy!Report
While changing the subject might be a favored tactic of Rush fans, I’d like to point out that UYI1 has, as its only weak songs, Dust N’ Bones, Bad Obsession, and maybe Bad Apples. UYI2 has… what? 14 years and maybe Shotgun Blues?
Everything else on those two albums range from guilty pleasure to pretty good to “Holy Crap, this is *AMAZING*” (Coma still blows me away).
I mean, yeah, I don’t listen to them every day but, dang, there aren’t a whole lot of FF buttons on those two discs.Report
> While changing the subject might be a favored tactic of Rush fans
Was that a dig? That was a dig, wasn’t it?
Okay, I’ll tell you what. I will assume that my original and secondary (and… well, several other attempts to get into UYI) were flawed. I’ll try again.
And if I feel the same way about it after attempt number N+1, I’m gonna hafta post a new Wrong post.Report
Eh, it’s not like there’s any arguing matters of taste. I will say that 2 has aged better than 1 but the best song on either album is on 1 (Coma).
I could put together more than one album by taking everything “good” and better from the two albums. An album and an EP, maybe.
Right Next Door To Hell
Live and Let Die
Don’t Cry (original Version)
You Ain’t The First
Novermber Rain
The Garden
Dead Horse
Coma
Civil War
Yesterdays
Knockin’ on Heaven’s Door
Get in the Ring (the song isn’t a tenth as good as Axl’s rant, but that rant…)
Pretty Tied Up
Locomotive
Estranged
You Could Be Mine
Don’t Cry (Alternate Lyrics)Report
UYI1&2 are both good. Lies is still better than both of them combined, though.Report
A lot of things happened on that album.Report
It took Axl more than 20 years to come up with something approaching an actual apology for it, actually. I mean, sure, he gave a handful of “I’m sorry if anyone was offended” and “I’m sorry you can’t take a joke” apologies, but it wasn’t until Chinese Democracy’s Madagascar that he actually said something even close to “I realize that I was wrong.”Report
I don’t care. One in a Million is a great song. And Patience may or may not be stolen from Tesla. Great album. Their best.Report
You know what’s the best thing to do during a battle for public relations? Make yourself look horrible…
http://www.latimes.com/entertainment/envelope/cotown/la-et-ct-viacom-20120711,0,3984016.storyReport
Dish Network got into it with Fox last year, right during the football season, negating any reason I had for one of my sports packages right when I needed it most.
I agree on the self-destructive nature on this, but somebody has to flinch. It’s hard to be cooperative when your cooperativeness is used as leverage against you.
In the end, I don’t know what can be done. As inconvenient as it is, there’s no way to cut the cord without Missing Something, and nobody wants to Miss Something. Few are going to go the route of Pat, I think. More likely, we’ll continue to grin and bear it because the content-owners will – as Viacom just demonstrated – cut off other legal options.Report
The grin and bear it generation is dying.
The young just shrug and continue on downloading .torrents.Report
Doesn’t work for sporting events. A lot of people won’t do it due to the liabilities (I have a friend who did it regularly until the “We know what you did” warnings started going out). A lot of people will, of course, do it and keep doing it. I don’t think it’ll ever be what music was in the days of Napster, though.Report
Actually, I’m not sure if I believe that or not. The contrarian in me poking its head. Catch me on a different day and I’ll be talking about what a post-profit Hollywood might look like (not that there wouldn’t really be profits, but that it’d be… different… if they couldn’t rely on their basic sticker price to pay for the sorts of things we’re seeing now).Report
I don’t know that it will work for live sports. We tried that once… bad quality, sound was off, skips and buffering… Perhaps there are or will be better ways, but sports fans are a picky bunch.Report
I’ll say this.
Cablevision. Time Warner. DirecTV. Dish. Comcast. Cox. Charter.
Disney. Newscorp. Time Warner again. Sony. NBC Universal.
That’s a lot of providers to duke it out over 3.5 major sports in the U.S.
That ain’t gonna pull weight.Report
I’m sorry, I meant that .torrenting or whatever live sports likely will never work for the vast majority of sports fans.Report
Pat, No one wants to write off sports fans, though, because while they aren’t everybody, they are distributed between households. You’re not just waving off sports fans, but you’re waving off households with sports fans (or a sports fan) in them. That’s a pretty big deal.
Kazzy, I will watch games online sometimes, but generally speaking, the unauthorized stuff tends to be particularly bad. So I agree, sports is a problem.Report
Good point on the authorized vs. unauthorized steaming. I don’t doubt that there already exists the technology to effectively stream sports. It’s just not in place to do so without authorization.Report
Let me put it to you this way: right now, the three big leagues (baseball, basketball, and football) don’t have enough content to drive 100 for-pay channels. Maybe three.
Mark’s point about Disney having the ESPN hammer is a good one, but the ESPN hammer is only as effective as its contracts with those big three leagues are. And unlike other actual contract content creators, the NBA, the NFL, and MLB all don’t sign exclusivity contracts like that.
The funny thing to me is that, say, NFL Sunday ticket is attractive because there’s so many city ex-pats in the country who really want to watch the Bills but live in Texas, or really want to watch the 49ers but live in Maine. But most of the NFL Sunday ticket consumers don’t want to watch *all* the games (although they certainly do, given the chance), they just want to watch *their* teams’ games. Given the choice between NFL Sunday Ticket with DirecTV and $80/month for a package plus $N for the games or whatever, I’d hazard a guess they’d rather pay $N/year for a flat subscription to “All the 49er games on Hulu”.
Now, Football is communist, so most of the money goes into the system and then gets spread around to everybody. But Baseball is decidedly less communist. Why the Giants don’t have a channel on Hulu is beyond me.Report
Why would, or should, the leagues let you follow a single team when they can make you go with the whole caboose. You may be only interested in watching the Bills, but that doesn’t mean that you will not also watch the other games. They want you to watch the games, they want you to buy the games. Whether they bundle them to a single source, or sell them to many sources, they own the content and I don’t see any particular reason that they should be generous about letting people purchase only what they want.
One of my big things is ESPN3. I can’t get it. I would pay for it, but I can’t get it. Why would they not let me pay $15 a month to watch games over the Internet? Because if they let me do that, they lose leverage trying to extort my ISP into carrying it and charging a few cents for every Internet subscriber.
It’s their content and they can do with it what they want. I can argue to the high heavens about how much I hate ESPN3’s model, but it’s their legal right to do so. For things to change, you’d have to change their legal rights. I don’t think the market will do it.Report
I know myself and many others in my generation (college-age) always talk about the two things we’ll never have in our first house that we had growing up: home phone and cable tv. Everything I would want to watch I can find on the internet for a small price (ala Netflix, HBO Go, iTunes, Hulu, Google Play, shared files) and then connect the ol’ HDMI. Soon enough, I can imagine the TV will connect directly to the interwebs and the HDMI cord will become obsolete too. Obviously sports is the kicker here, but usually the basic public channels have sufficed for my hometown teams.Report
If the entertainment suppliers lose the revenue from cable subscribers, what do you think is going to happen to the prices and availability of the services you will be relying on (or the shows themselves)? I could be wrong, but I think a lot of these things lean on the revenues from carriage fees.Report
That’s a good point, though, for myself, most of favorite TV shows come from premium channels and not basic cable. The television industry will have to adopt just like the music industry. With the rise of clever business models like iTunes, Spotify, Rhapsody, and Pandora, piracy has gone down in the U.S. without forcing people to keep buying CDs (http://mashable.com/2011/03/25/internet-music-piracy-study/)….As long as we all still choose to pay–rather than torrent-entertainment will survive. Alot of the free-loading shows on those channels that nobody watches (or even the channels themselves on the cable packages) will have to be ditched.Report
Here’s the thing about ala carte pricing. The truth is, ala carte pricing for cable channels would likely send a lot of cable channels into the ether and it wouldn’t be the ones we would want to be sent into the ether.
For example, take AMC. According to a WSJ report, it brought in $326 million in revenue (now, it entire network did, but the rest of it’s network [Sundance, IFC, etc.] is negligible). According to an Internet report from two years ago, AMC cost cable companies .23 per subscriber. Multiple the number of cable and dish subscribers (75% of 130 million households – so let’s say 91 million). That’s about $20 million in revenue just from fees from the networks.
Now, you do the quick math in your head about Walking Dead numbers (10 million) and say, “OK, I’d spend 2.50 a month to watch AMC every month.” But, you wouldn’t pay $2.50. Because if General Mills and Chevy know only subscribers will see their ads and not random people sucked into a showing of Space Cowboys, their ad rates go down. Throw in the fact that probably only half to two-thirds of the Walking Dead cares enough about the show to pay for it and all of the sudden you’re paying seven or eight bucks a month for AMC.
Now, you may say that’s a fair deal. But, here’s the thing. AMC’s a relatively successful network. Let’s look at other channels lower down the list. For instance, the Food Network gets .06 per subscriber. So, using the same basic extrapolation and you get about three or four bucks for the Food Channel.
I’m not even getting into places like ESPN, HBO, or such that can really afford to raise rates in an ala carte world. Or that with media consolidation, no large multinational corporations is going to let you just buy one channel. You’re buying five channels and that’s that.
I’m not saying cable pricing could be better. But, the idea that an ala carte world would lead to all of us having $40 dollar cable bills is as likely as Jessica Alba being in my bed when I wake up in the morning.Report
Forgot a link to the list of prices – http://allthingsd.com/20100308/hate-paying-for-cable-heres-the-reason-why/Report
This is a first: Jesse Ewiak taking the words right out of my mouth.
We can legislatively force the networks to unbundle, but we still run into the same dynamics that Jesse refers to here.
At the end of the day, the networks are going to get their money. Or, if they don’t get their money, expenditures are going to be a lot more conservative. Fewer of those cable originals that we all love so much, more reality shows and low-rent syndication programs. If we pay less, we’re very likely going to be getting less.
People keep imagining that if they just limited cable to the channels we watched, it would slash their bill. It would, for some, but it’s going to be calibrated to the average viewer. So you don’t have to watch a fraction of what you have in order to save money, but you would have to watch a fraction of what the next guy is watching.
I say this as a guy who, in the football off-season, watches maybe 5 channels (excluding local channels) that I might subscribe to in an a la carte model. I might save money with a la carte, or I might actually be rather typical – in which case, the networks are going to be needing to extract all of their money from comparatively few people.Report
Inevitably, what happened to music will happen to video. Hollywood’s lost its mind. They’re still clinging to the old revenue models established back when anyone with a television set could tune in the Big Three. The cablecos are trying to horn into a model which wasn’t created around them. It’s never going to work. Yeah, it’s a lot of trouble to switch, but ultimately, the pipe is fungible.
Outfits like HBO and Showtime are doing fine. They were set up around cable distribution. Nobody’s going to screw with them: they don’t come with “basic” cable anyway.
The problem is that they’re eating their young. See, the youngsters nowadays get their television shows a la carte on their mobile devices. They’re paying a premium for it, but in the long run shelling out $20 for the entire season of The Walking Dead, which I then can own and watch whenever, is preferable to spending $80/month on a buffet table.
Unless the buffet table is zero effort.
The buffet table at a cheap Chinese joint, where the shrimps are doing a better disappearing act than Sasquatch hiding out in the forests of Washington State. I have Rhapsody for my music and I’d love to find the video equivalent, something a little nicer than Netflix, which I do have, but I’m getting a little weary of the earnest TED talks and retreads from the Hitler Channel.
Sport? Concerts? Broadway shows? All these are perfect models for one-off subscriptions. We already have working pay-per-view. The corporations who invested all that money to put in the last-mile light fibre could agree on a common set-top box to carry everyone’s content and make a killing. The carriers could work distribution between themselves but they’re all too stupid and greedy to work out how.
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