The Lawsuit That Could Define The Future Of The Film Industry
Last year new films were released to the public for home viewing. In fact, enough were released that I personally watched 160 of them last year as they did so, and I didn’t even attempt to watch every single one that had a wide release. That seems like a very useless fact to point out until you remember a pandemic shutdown the film industry last year gave us the worst modern box office the states have ever seen, and an Academy Awards season dominated by more smaller films than usual. When you take that into account, it’s kind of miraculous that movies were still able to come out to the public, particularly given how unprepared the industry was for the pandemic.
Studios and theatre owners found themselves in a titanic battle amongst themselves for how they could continue to release new product in an industry that is constantly producing it even as their core customers were shut in their homes binging streaming shows. With most theatres closed either because of low attendance or government policy, and completed blockbuster money-makers just sitting in a vault somewhere ready to be unleashed to the public, the major studios started to realize that they could use streaming services to their advantage. Warner Brothers took the unprecedented step of releasing their movies for the first thirty-one days on HBO Max even as they came out to theatres. Disney meanwhile came to the conclusion they could do the same with some of their releases through Disney Plus, though they charged a thirty dollar fee and the timeframe extended past thirty-one days.
On one hand this was an extension of an already accelerating trend with movie-goers watching streaming exclusives just as much as they were heading to the local theatre to watch the latest MCU flick. Not to mention that even in the awards side of things the film industry has accepted streaming distributors competing for some of the most prestigious prizes in film with Netflix seemingly getting closer and closer each year to having a Best Picture winner, and Apple now gunning to make their own play and partnering with arthouse studio A24 with their Apple TV Plus service. On top of this, studios have begun to shrink their theatrical windows to as short as forty-five days for some and films hitting physical home media are now three to four month waits instead of the half a year plus window it used to be. For the casual movie fan they seem to be in an almost utopia of movie content these days with various streaming services now offering exclusive movies that range from genre escapism to award caliber films or entire libraries of a specific studio’s archives. Now add this mix of actual theatre released content coming out either on the same day or just a couple months later to these streamers, and it really is getting harder for some to justify a trip to the theatre when they could just relax at home for much less.
But while the casual movie goer has been enjoying the almost endless amount of content, the industry’s evolution hasn’t been welcomed by everyone involved. In the grander picture, we have an obvious trend developing regarding non-franchise or spinoff films struggling at the box office, and that has accelerated to a point that my previous optimistic feeling things would sort themselves out has vanished. The same day streaming experiment from these studios has only confirmed that crowds will show up big for known properties at the box office while smaller films continue to get less attention, no matter how well reviewed they may be. This means streaming might arguably be the best path for original films to catch an audience more quickly as Netflix or even others like Amazon have shown they’ve been able to do, but that has only made the box office dominating franchise blockbusters become even more important to the industry…and its stars.
These days practically every major star, even some award recognized actors and actresses, have partaken in franchise films, whether it be the massive roster of the MCU, the Fast and the Furious franchise, hit horror sequels, or even some of the modern Godzilla and King Kong films. With those big franchise movies, studios can potentially make billions, and royalties and back-end bonuses are promised to stars for those films’ successes. That drives major stars to continue to come on board to such films and studios to make up for their smaller films struggling by banking money with their bigger ones. An actor or actress may get to play a role that brings them critical acclaim in a smaller budget movie, but they can make significant paper if they’re in a billion dollar grossing film thanks to those bonuses. The stars are happy to make money, the studio is happy to make money, and the average movie goer enjoys mindless escapism entertainment.
Enter the current streaming revolution. Suddenly films that could have made even more at the box office are available at home through streaming. It’s uncharted territory that allows studios to makeup for whatever audiences they could have left sitting at home thanks to the pandemic, but much less money for the actor or actress who is poised to get bonuses. And many of these talents who were looking forward to making such money off these films went to work on these projects fully expecting they were going to be major theatrical exclusives, only to be told (sometimes last second) that they would be available on streaming or have much smaller theatrical windows than anticipated. What is utopia for the average movie goer is an issue for the talent dealing with the studio.
Stories have ranged from Christopher Nolan throwing a fit at long time partner Warner Brothers, That same studio having to make new deals with talent and even sister studios regarding upcoming releases to adjust to the streaming availability, John Krasinski reportedly being frustrated with the smaller window for his newest movie, Pixar being furious with Disney regarding their newest film becoming a straight-to-streamer, and now the massive headache for Disney of one of their biggest stars — and perhaps another — wanting to sue for lost wages due to their films not being exclusive to theatres.
As it goes, Disney decided to release Black Widow and Cruella to their streaming service at the same time as they released in theatres, for a surcharge. Even with the extra home media availability, both films did rather well at the box office with the former having a crazy good first weekend and the latter having impressive legs. However, both films fared decently on Disney Plus as well, money that could potentially have been at the box office instead and, industry analysts believe, cost the movies, and thus their leading ladies in each, even more money. Thus in a stunning move, Black Widow star Scarlet Johansson, with whom Disney has had a great relationship in the past, has sued the company, claiming to have evidence that the studio promised a theatrical exclusive run and yanked the rug from under her last second. Keep in mind other studios, even though they, too, have talent that is begging audiences to return to theatres, at the very least had contractual concerns addressed before moving forward. Disney, however, seems to be making these decisions without much forethought as to how their talent might react, and they seemed so surprised by this move that they responded to the lawsuit with a biting press release that made it very clear they were ready to turn their back on her no matter how much money she made for them. And to make things worse for the mouse, Emma Stone from Cruella is now reportedly weighing the same option, potentially hurting a relationship that was to progress into a sequel to the film and a potential awards campaign at the end of the year.
On paper this may seem to many casual watchers as just a bunch of rich people arguing over who can have more money – and quite frankly I think there’s more truth to that than some film journalists might want to admit which is why I personally am sort of neutral on the whole matter. Whoever wins or loses this lawsuit won’t be that financially set back. These actresses are among the most sought of the day, and Disney could lose the entire film division and still have a billion plus dollar tourism industry to make money with. But when you think about the situation a little more you realize this could be our generation’s breaking of the studio system moment. This has the potential to create a wave of events one way or another that will shape how talent is paid in the era of streaming, how we watch new movie content, and maybe even how we pay for it, and not to mention perhaps create bad blood among some studios with the very people who help them make money.
Now I should mention I am no legal expert but I think there is some common sense thought here on how things might play out. Disney could win this case if they reveal evidence of such things like an “Act of God” clause or perhaps even convince a judge or jury that streaming revenue can be separated from theatrical revenue. That in itself would create a precedent that sets up the studios to see streaming as potentially a bigger platform to gross money with than the box office, and it could set up talent to really need major sway to get their films an exclusive theatrical run. It could also in a way be the death of “the movie star” as we know it, as major sought out talent could suddenly be pushed to the side by streaming giants who won’t have to pay as much now for said talent.
However, the actresses in question claim to have evidence of Disney promising a theatrical run and thus being in breach of contract. If that is true, a judge or jury could decide that Disney owns them money and would set up a potential downstream of actors and actresses looking to get every penny of their promised bonuses and royalty checks. That in turn could lead to future major streaming content getting more expensive for studios to produce and thus could lead to either tighter budgets, less obsession with trying to lure major stars with bonuses, or even higher prices for streaming services. It could also drive a big push by major studios to return to having more exclusive theatrical runs, fighting a tough battle as more and more audiences shift to the home media consumption they helped drive.
On another subject this situation which seems to be becoming bad blood between Disney and their talent could be a hole they dug themselves in that they only make bigger, depending on who they piss off. MCU head Kevin Feige reportedly is on Johansson’s side and he is arguably responsible right now for helping Disney OWN the box office these days thanks to the MCU’s success. Industry insiders are reporting many industry talent are behind her as well, which could lead to some backlash against Disney in getting major stars to join their new projects and perhaps even see some protest votes against them at the next Oscars when it comes to certain categories they’ve been known to compete hard for. Disney has been enjoying a prolonged period of success the last decade and this could be a situation that becomes dynamite that enters them in one of their down periods – though they will survive if they do.
There’s also the possibility this gets settled out of court and becomes something that comes and goes, but I have my doubts there won’t be some kind of film industry ramification from this. We are now in an era where I can watch a brand new film that would have otherwise been released to theatres at home without the immoral and unethical action of watching a bootleg via a streaming service pushed by a major film studio. We are now in an era where a movie I watch day one on Netflix can go on and compete for Oscars. We are now in an era where the leading men and women in film of our day can show up on our phones in a movie that came out that very day. The industry has been evolving to having content everywhere and studios are going to have to figure out how that changes their dynamics with talent, the same talent that seems to be fighting the real change happening and at the same time a customer base that is becoming more and more predisposed to staying at home or watching new content from their mobile devices.
I’m not sure who will win this lawsuit. I just know it could end up being one that changes the film industry in a way that might be better or worse for the talent involved, but could even change how we watch and pay for new movies. Think this fight between rich folks for money won’t affect you? Wait until your local theatres close at an even more rapid pace or you find yourself having to choose one streamer over another because you’re paying double what you were. This could affect everyone, top on down. From a movie producer figuring out what movie to green light to the everyday joe deciding what streaming service bill to pay. This is one Hollywood celebrity drama you might want to keep an eye on.
There is a certain risk in filing a lawsuit against the studio when your series character is canonically dead.
Although one of the more common criticisms of comics storytelling is how often a character’s dramatic death is reversed; it would be amusing if that were addressed because of a contract dispute rather than a genuine commitment to artistry!Report
some backlash against Disney in getting major stars to join their new projects
This is where it might get interesting, maybe.
Part of the problem is that they already did The Infinity Gauntlet. That was already a major reset point. Everything after feels like denouement. “But what does ‘happily ever after’ *MEAN*?” “Well, Black Widow fought the Taskmaster.”
They’re already starting new stories with the secondary cast characters. I could see it being meaningful for Robert Downey Jr. to stand in solidarity with ScoJo, I’m not sure it would be for Sebastian Stan to do so. (Beyond the emotional support level, anyway.)
And, let’s face it, Disney does a very good job of finding new 20-somethings for us to look at and say “holy cow, they’re beautiful!”
Would *YOU* turn down an opportunity to be Darkstar and, effectively, replace Black Widow? Get 13 episodes on Disney+?Report
And one take I saw pointed out how Disney played the Covid Card.
How dare Scarlet Johansson be so *SELFISH* in these unprecedented times?
Which, you know, is an interesting play if you can play “we had a contract, we fulfilled the contract, sue your agent” instead.
If Delta rips through the country and is even half as bad as has been hinted, the ability to say “See?”, even after the fact, will play well in the court of public opinion.Report
Superhero movies have been bringing in big names for small roles, going back to Marlon Brando’s Jor-El. But for the major roles, not really. Paul Rudd and Benedict Cumberbatch might be the biggest pre-Marvel names in recent history. You’d have to go back to a washed-up Robert Downey Jr. or to Edward Norton to find something like an A-lister. Actually, Scarlett Johansson may have been the biggest name among the Avengers. It’s not 100% certain that any of the superhero actors will do well after the MCU, so they don’t have much bargaining power.
I almost get the feeling Johansson is looking to this as her last big paycheck. She’s doing three things you’re never supposed to do: criticize the material, sue the studio, and grow older. Hollywood hates that stuff.Report
I think you’re right. Johanssen is 36, and for a woman in Hollywood that’s old enough to be approaching the end of her career. She may be trying to get all the money she can before her opportunities dry up and that would make her willing to burn bridges for more money now.Report
I didn’t quite follow the logic in this paragraph:
“That in itself would create a precedent that sets up the studios to see streaming as potentially a bigger platform to gross money with than the box office, and it could set up talent to really need major sway to get their films an exclusive theatrical run. It could also in a way be the death of “the movie star” as we know it, as major sought out talent could suddenly be pushed to the side by streaming giants who won’t have to pay as much now for said talent.”
Are we assuming that ‘block-buster movies’ as streaming events will be similar to or replaced by, say, Game of Thrones type content where the ensemble cast is paid significantly less than a Scarlett Johansson? Perhaps.
But, I thought the economics of an SJ (or any ‘Star’) is that they generate revenue by anchoring the movie… in which case, SJ signing on for a retainer of $20M plus a projected $50M +/- in bonuses is just a business math project of cost/value. I’m not seeing how streaming as a medium changes that calculus, unless we’re killing the block-buster itself.
What I think is really going on is a vertical integration/disruption of the distribution model where the Content Providers are eating their distributors and in so doing can provide their products at a lower price for the same net return… especially if they are using (legal or not) loopholes in distributing those revenues to the talent.
The most likely upshot is that actors like SJ will close the streaming loophole such that their projected value of $70M to the project is captured one way or another.
I don’t see shifting the platform changing the $$, unless changing the platform also changes the paradigm… which it might.
Will streaming services become more expensive? Yes. Will we pay for ‘premium content’ – we already do.
Prediction: Once the theatres have been killed, theaters will re-open but only show, say, Disney+ content for a boutique viewing experience.Report
I would guess at two classes of theater — upscale places that deliver an entire “night out” experience (I’m thinking dinner theater, without the live performance), and downscale places for the people who can’t afford broadband or the monthly streaming membership, but can afford the one-time ticket in a bare bones theater plus concessions.Report
The only theater I was patronizing before COVID-19 was the one with decent food and craft beer on tap, delivered to your table as you watched.
The ticket prices were no higher than anyone else’s, and the food and drink prices were comparable to restaurants serving that sort of food.
I could have real dinner, real drinks, and pay only slightly more than if I’d just had soda and popcorn.Report
The ticket prices were the same because most of the ticket price goes back to the studio; the theater doesn’t actually make much money from showing the movie, they make it from concessions sales.Report
Reasonable… though I wonder if the ‘low end’ doesn’t have to provide a new ‘hook’ to go to the trouble of getting to the theater and paying for something you can watch on your phone (even the poor have phones, I’m told). On the one hand, ‘The Big Screen’ experience might be better… but I’m not sure it’s that much better any more… not with 4k screens, even if they are small. I’m imagining moving from Movies to ‘Feelies’ (h/t Brave New World) or some such other technological enhancement.
On the boutique side, agreed… we started going to the Alamo (which is definitely middlebrow) on account of reserved seating and beer/apps. There was a place in NoVA that was touted as boutique-y… but it was merely pretentious-Middle Brow, which is worse. Other than a private screening room, I’ve yet to be somewhere that I’d consider upscale.Report
When I was a kid, the *BIG* television was a 27″ screen. Suitable for watching football, Happy Days, and Saturday Morning Cartoons. (Also: The Atari 2600!)
The Movie Experience? Man, that was something else entirely.
Now? You can’t even get a 27″ television at Costco. 32″ is the smallest available and you have to actively look for it and click on “32 in & Below TVs”.
The price of a big television allows for you to spend a *LOT*, if you want, but the 75″ and above televisions look like they’ve got two that might be within reach of a heck of a lot of entertainment budgets: a 75″ for $950 or an 82″ for $1200.
There’s no way that a 27″ will ever give the home movie experience. 75″? That might. And you can watch football on it too. Video games, even.Report
Sure, but that really craters the middle-market of folks who have enough to dedicate a certain amount to a viewing experience…. just enough.
I think it still leaves the Upscale and Downscale markets available… esp once new tech is introduced.
Contra new tech: 3D hasn’t done much, iMax seems stuck, and the Disney ‘feelies’ that they were pushing 20-30 years ago haven’t arrived. So VR? But why go to a special place for VR? Unless it’s the really really good VR?Report
Of all of the 3D movies and shorts I’ve ever seen, I’ve seen maybe one that did a better job with the medium than the 3 Stooges did in “Pardon My Backfire”.
It was Pixar, of all companies, with Day & Night.
When it comes to VR, well… other than a very specific genre, I can’t think of VR having anything moviewise to offer. There was a little flick called “Hardcore Henry” that came out in 2015 that did absolutely positively freaking *EVERYTHING* it possibly could to deliver an Awesome First Person Movie Experience…
But it kinda sucked.
I mean… it didn’t really *WORK*. (But I see what they were going for.)
If you want a cinematic VR experience, you want something like Skyrim. Not what the camera setups we currently offer can give.Report
I think the assumption is that with the longer tail of online video services you’ll no longer need to make 80% of the revenue in the first week, and so you won’t need as huge an advertising blitz to get everybody hype, and therefore you won’t need Big Famous Movie Stars on the poster to get people to want to come in and see your movie.Report
That would make sense if content is consumed over time; though now that I think on it, there’s no actual need for anyone to watch your movies… just subscribe to the service (as long as you’re not modeling a premium charge for movies).
In this scenario, the goal is to be ‘perceived’ as having good content (or just enough) to warrant the $9.99 or $19.99 or whatever… whether you ever watch is not relevant anymore.
Tangentially, Lady Marchmaine and I were discussing how we cannot find anything we’d like to watch together despite our subscriptions to Netflix, Disney+, and Amazon Prime (not to mention Cable with HBO). There’s certainly a lot of content and to the industry’s credit they’ve captured a lot of $$ from a household that isn’t ‘mainstream’ … but honestly, we’re more lazy than anything else and not averse to cancelling subscriptions (which we do from time to time). For us, the content is neither good nor what we’re looking for… but that’s definitely a tangent.Report
Coda… meant to get to the main point which is that ScarJo is worth $70M because she makes the Advertising blitz work… without ScaJo, the Advertising would cost a *lot* more. She’s a risk/cost mitigation strategy.
Which goes to the tangential point that you can pump out a lot of middling garbage without advertising, but who cares?
To whit… the counter point is: it doesn’t matter anymore if we’re not selling tickets to Movies, but to a service.Report
As the supply of movies increases the value of people who can attract attention to “your” movie also increases.Report
Once it became clear just how warped Hollywood accounting could be — series that ran for years, then continuously in syndication, and continued to show a net loss after decades — the talent started insisting on contracts for a flat payment plus percentages of the gross. The talent will now move on to contracts that cover all of the gross, box office or streaming.
I have a standing bet with my son the graphic designer, made 20 years ago, that I will live long enough to see the first Academy Award for Best Synthetic Actor handed out. The physics packages are already good enough, human rendering is almost there, and the AI pattern matching software is getting more robust all the time. The creators of the synthetic actors will be on salary.Report
You’re assuming that those lifeless things can hold people’s interest once the spectacle is gone (and I mean the Oscars, not the CGI movie characters).Report
The paparazzi will never stand for it, that’s for sure.Report
Paparazzi – now there’s a profession that’s got to be near the end of its run. With social media, celebs post their own pretty pictures and scandals.Report
If computer-animated movies can have blooper reels, synthetic actors can have embarrassing candids.Report
For the superhero movies, they’ll have to figure out how to deal with Comic-Con. Real-time rendering — it’s just processor cycles, memory, and in-house bandwidth — with different plug-in personalities? Special über-geek sessions with the talent that designs the “talent”?Report
We might finally get a decent version of The Hobbit!
Well, other than the 1977 version, of course.Report
The point he’s making is we may not be able to tell the difference.Report
Disney REALLY doesn’t want to talk about “all the gross” because “all” could easily include things like merchandizing and theme park rides and so on. I assume they’ve spent decades convincing themselves that these are “seperate” streams and it’s impossible to cross the streams.
These are the people who make a Princess movie and then turn that into a dozen plus revenue streams, and presumably they’ve done that with the Avengers. They live to bundle up streams so it’s impossible to figure out how much of the main stream should go to a specific tallent so they can argue the correct amount is zero.Report
I don’t foresee quite the upending. This whole thing could have been addressed by very minor contract edits that all agents will now ensure are made.Report
Hey, why say in one sentence what I say in 9 paragraphs? This ain’t twitter, bud.Report
Think of it as the executive summary.Report
I agree. This case doesn’t seem to be about what studios and performers are allowed to put in contracts. It seems to hinge on what was put in this particular contract. I suspect the ultimate outcome will be an extra clause in future contracts that clarifies the situation.Report
Exactly.Report
Although it’s not really a new thing for there to be lawsuits over publishers refusing to pay creators for online or similar streaming distribution.Report
Not even the first time they’ve beefed about streaming, even.Report
On a purely legal grounds, ScarJo has good points and this case is a classic breach of contract and also terms about ambiguities. FWIW, when Warner Bros did this with WW1984, they threw a few extra million to Gal Gadot to keep her happy.Report
That touches on something I said above. This looks more like Johansson burning bridges. Maybe she anticipates this as a me-too moment for equal pay. I’d guess that Disney has probably offered her four yachts as an apology.Report
She feels the other party violated it’s contract and sued, and you decide it’s something like “me-too”?
My company sued another company last year for breach of contract. Was it a moral, “me-too” movement for my company?
Male actors have sued over contract issues a number of times — not just actors — heck, Alan Dean Foster JUST settled with Disney over them trying to shaft him over a contract.
Was it an authorial “me-too” movement where he symbolically burned bridges?
or was it a contract dispute?
What’s making THIS a “me-too” movement and not a bog-standard contract dispute?Report
Because she’s talked previously about the Hollywood “wage gap”, she’s been complaining recently about the sexiness of the role, and she probably could have handled this dispute quietly.Report
How DARE she mouth off to her betters!
Clearly she has no complaint, she’s just milking it for the attention!
Unlike everyone else who ever had a contractual dispute, complained about their industry, or had a dick.Report
This is silly. If Disney breached they should make her whole. If they didn’t breach, but she has some kind of unjust enrichment or quantum meruit claim or whatever go for it. If she signed a bad contract that didn’t account for the combination of pandemic and evolution of technology, well that sucks but she still made enormous amounts of money.
There are no victims here, just two sides fighting for their commercial interests.Report
I sat we stand in solidarity with ScarJo and boycott all superhero movies.Report
It’ll be interesting to see if Weekend Update had any jokes about this.Report