Trump-as-a-businessman has repeatedly shown that he doesn't care about court orders or business agreements, just how they're enforced. So if there is no way to enforce something then the agreement or order doesn't exist.
We're paying that government a ton of money to house those people ergo we have a lot of leverage. Worse, their gov has no reason to refuse to send him back.
Highly likely that just asking for him to be sent back would do the trick.
If that's not working then the big question should be "why" and I don't see any non-seriously-corrupt reasons on the table.
Burt: Which I interpret to mean Khalil has been critical of the Netanyahu government in Israel and is expected to be critical of it again in the future.
...participation and roles of [REDACTED] And Khalil in antisemitic protests and disruptive activities, which fosters a hostile environment for Jewish students in the United States. My determination for [REDACTED] is also based on [REDACTED] citations for unlawful activity during these protests.
That is more than simply being critical of Israel's gov. The gov is trying to deport him because "fighting antisemitism" is a foreign policy objective? Since when is that a thing? And notice he's not claiming that what Khalil is doing will hurt our relationship with Israel.
When does this end up in front of an Immigration Judge?
JayBird: the dance where someone asks for evidence and then, when it’s provided, they say “that’s not conclusive!” or “that’s not *PROOF*!”
Unfortunately for the conspiracy people, at the moment we don't have "proof", much less "conclusive proof".
What we have is unfalsifiable guesswork along with China being stupidly sensitive about having bad news.
Let me quote wiki here: Most scientists are skeptical of the possibility of a laboratory origin, citing a lack of any supporting evidence for a lab leak and the abundant evidence supporting zoonosis. Though some scientists agree a lab leak should be examined as part of ongoing investigations, politicization remains a concern. In July 2022, two papers published in Science described novel epidemiological and genetic evidence that suggested the pandemic likely began at the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market and did not come from a laboratory.
So we're probably never going to know with 100% surety unless China really did do it and kept records we'll find eventually. However the longer something like that doesn't show up, the more convinced we should be that this was Mother Nature.
If this were a Murder case then we probably have enough to put Mother Nature in jail but we'd occasionally lose that trial. China would always be let go by law enforcement without a trial.
I have some sympathy for this theory because it passes a number of smell tests.
Covid's home town has that lab, which researches something that might be Covid.
China takes "face" seriously so if it did something embarrassing and stupid it would behave the way it has and lie about it. They lie and/or suppress a ton of other normal data.
The US for diplomatic reasons might reasonably not want to poke China about this since we have other priorities and it doesn't really matter.
So the margin of error (fog of war?) is very large.
Having said that, we don't have evidence Covid is man made and explaining that lack through China being a bad actor is somewhat anti-scientific... but we should also keep in mind that China really is a bad actor.
That's the way the media has represented it. Here is a deeper dive from a lawyer who is deeply opposed to Trump: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rXXsAiKYDIM
He titled the video, "Supreme Court - ALL 9 JUSTICES - Tell Trump, No More Deportations Without Due Process!"
InMD: It may be that the entire ROI model needs to be reconsidered to keep both studios and theaters afloat.
Hollywood has "special" accounting to keep down how much they're going to "share" with various people/groups. They both include things they probably shouldn't (increasing the cost to make the movie) and exclude income streams.
So some of these "unprofitable" movies will in fact make money for the studio, just not other interested groups.
And I can't reply to posts at this level so if we continue we should move it down to the bottom.
Every Presidential Election Team Blue has had for the last 50+ years has been against na.zism. If that's all you've got, then you've got nothing because there's nothing you can say on that subject against Trump that you haven't already said a dozen or so times.
I would love for Team Blue to discover and advocate for good government, rule of law, gov reform, and so on. I would love even more for Blue to run on economic growth.
Philip: What do you expect will change as a result?
The political calculus at the moment is Trump was just elected and his base is solidly behind him, so any GOP member can expect to lose their next election if they oppose him.
Trump crashing the economy on a whim is also him losing the backing of his base (or just making the other 80% so angry that they're willing to stand up to him) that GOP politicians will have to oppose him to get elected.
It might even get so bad that his cabinet needs to replace him with Vance leading the coup.
Big picture the root problem with Trump is he wins elections, so him being able to do what he wants is a feature of Democracy and not a bug.
I don't think it's useful to dumb down "racism" to the point where "everyone is racist".
I also think it's a naked power grab to claim "opposing Team Blue is racist".
We've had constant cries of "wolf" to the point where no one pays attention. I'm not sure whether that's a good thing or a bad thing.
Did this play a role in Trump's 2nd rise? Maybe... but "Racism" is such a small part of Trump that I'd call it a non-factor in his unfitness.
The Courts are less than one percent of the gov. The bulk answer to Trump.
Trump fired everyone he could when he entered office. That's the top 3+ levels of management with most being people who were there to carry out the will of upper management. So that's a lot of "tribal" knowledge and the people who understands how to do stuff.
Some of upper management understand just how fished they are without people to carry out orders, others do not. In addition a lot of upper management were given their jobs for insane reasons. Kennedy for his opposition to medical science. Whoever is in Justice and various other law enforcement agencies needs to be good with Trump pardoning the Jan 6th rioters.
So the overall competence level of the gov has gone massively down. We should expect every department to have it's own equiv of Signal Gate on a daily basis it's just mostly it doesn't end up in the news.
We should expect massive amounts of really stupid stuff, maybe including defying court orders, to happen just because the gov doesn't have the ability to do a lot of basic stuff.
Yes. The only good news is the darker ideas of over throwing the gov would require more organization than they have. This is chaos and incompetence, not fascism.
Yet another review on Snow White.
She has serious spoilers for the plot. Probably the biggest tell was the last few seconds where she points out all but one of the writers took their names off the credits.
I would say that Trump clearly believes Tariffs are a net positive to the economy and not (at best) a net negative, much less (at worse) a disaster.
For example a car whose parts cross the border 20 times during manufacture will be massively affected, and it takes years, not months, to move manufacturing plants.
What we're seeing showcased is economic ignorance, the idea that if you keep "American Jobs in America" then that's a good thing.
However that's like a heart surgeon mowing his own lawn "to save money" when he could instead hire a service and do more surgery.
If you just want to know how bad things will be bad, you can probably find a best-case scenario by looking at how long it took for the Chinese economy to recover after they took the drastic actions I listed above.
The Chinese economy has used Enron style accounting+economics to the point where they have built homes for 3 Billion more people than is needed. That's more than 3x as much as they need if their population is 1.3b, if their population is actually more like 800m then it's more like 5x. See link below.
They have responded to various negative economic indicators by outlawing the collection of data.
Their GDP figures are clearly (and deliberately) made up. If we measure their GDP by lumens (i.e. light produced by cities at night is somewhat relatable to GDP and we can measure light from space), then their actual GDP is something like a third to 40% less than is claimed.
They got a "dead cat bounce" from the latest massive injection of state money into failing businesses and local state govs. However they have not yet started to reform their economy much less "recovered" from anything.
On “Open Mic for the Week of 4/7/2025”
Yes, that.
Trump-as-a-businessman has repeatedly shown that he doesn't care about court orders or business agreements, just how they're enforced. So if there is no way to enforce something then the agreement or order doesn't exist.
"
We're paying that government a ton of money to house those people ergo we have a lot of leverage. Worse, their gov has no reason to refuse to send him back.
Highly likely that just asking for him to be sent back would do the trick.
If that's not working then the big question should be "why" and I don't see any non-seriously-corrupt reasons on the table.
"
Burt: Which I interpret to mean Khalil has been critical of the Netanyahu government in Israel and is expected to be critical of it again in the future.
...participation and roles of [REDACTED] And Khalil in antisemitic protests and disruptive activities, which fosters a hostile environment for Jewish students in the United States. My determination for [REDACTED] is also based on [REDACTED] citations for unlawful activity during these protests.
That is more than simply being critical of Israel's gov. The gov is trying to deport him because "fighting antisemitism" is a foreign policy objective? Since when is that a thing? And notice he's not claiming that what Khalil is doing will hurt our relationship with Israel.
When does this end up in front of an Immigration Judge?
"
Yep. Trump is unfit for office. The unfortunate reality is a lot of things which are illegal for the President have no enforcement mechanism.
If we're very lucky he'll go down as the 2nd worst President we've seen. If we're unlucky then he'll be number 1.
"
JayBird: the dance where someone asks for evidence and then, when it’s provided, they say “that’s not conclusive!” or “that’s not *PROOF*!”
Unfortunately for the conspiracy people, at the moment we don't have "proof", much less "conclusive proof".
What we have is unfalsifiable guesswork along with China being stupidly sensitive about having bad news.
Let me quote wiki here: Most scientists are skeptical of the possibility of a laboratory origin, citing a lack of any supporting evidence for a lab leak and the abundant evidence supporting zoonosis. Though some scientists agree a lab leak should be examined as part of ongoing investigations, politicization remains a concern. In July 2022, two papers published in Science described novel epidemiological and genetic evidence that suggested the pandemic likely began at the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market and did not come from a laboratory.
So we're probably never going to know with 100% surety unless China really did do it and kept records we'll find eventually. However the longer something like that doesn't show up, the more convinced we should be that this was Mother Nature.
If this were a Murder case then we probably have enough to put Mother Nature in jail but we'd occasionally lose that trial. China would always be let go by law enforcement without a trial.
"
I have some sympathy for this theory because it passes a number of smell tests.
Covid's home town has that lab, which researches something that might be Covid.
China takes "face" seriously so if it did something embarrassing and stupid it would behave the way it has and lie about it. They lie and/or suppress a ton of other normal data.
The US for diplomatic reasons might reasonably not want to poke China about this since we have other priorities and it doesn't really matter.
So the margin of error (fog of war?) is very large.
Having said that, we don't have evidence Covid is man made and explaining that lack through China being a bad actor is somewhat anti-scientific... but we should also keep in mind that China really is a bad actor.
"
That's the way the media has represented it. Here is a deeper dive from a lawyer who is deeply opposed to Trump: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rXXsAiKYDIM
He titled the video, "Supreme Court - ALL 9 JUSTICES - Tell Trump, No More Deportations Without Due Process!"
"
InMD: It may be that the entire ROI model needs to be reconsidered to keep both studios and theaters afloat.
Hollywood has "special" accounting to keep down how much they're going to "share" with various people/groups. They both include things they probably shouldn't (increasing the cost to make the movie) and exclude income streams.
So some of these "unprofitable" movies will in fact make money for the studio, just not other interested groups.
And I can't reply to posts at this level so if we continue we should move it down to the bottom.
On “What To Expect When You’re Expecting a Trade War”
He's a narcissist who has surrounded himself with "Yes" men.
"Not budging" and "being unreasonable" are part of the package, even before we get into dementia.
"
Every Presidential Election Team Blue has had for the last 50+ years has been against na.zism. If that's all you've got, then you've got nothing because there's nothing you can say on that subject against Trump that you haven't already said a dozen or so times.
I would love for Team Blue to discover and advocate for good government, rule of law, gov reform, and so on. I would love even more for Blue to run on economic growth.
These would be easy issues to steal from Trump.
"
Philip: What do you expect will change as a result?
The political calculus at the moment is Trump was just elected and his base is solidly behind him, so any GOP member can expect to lose their next election if they oppose him.
Trump crashing the economy on a whim is also him losing the backing of his base (or just making the other 80% so angry that they're willing to stand up to him) that GOP politicians will have to oppose him to get elected.
It might even get so bad that his cabinet needs to replace him with Vance leading the coup.
Big picture the root problem with Trump is he wins elections, so him being able to do what he wants is a feature of Democracy and not a bug.
"
China is massively unstable and should be expected to implode some day (see also: Russia).
Apple should have been in the process of moving for years.
"
The Republican Party is very weak, the voters overrode it to pick Trump. The "appointed" candidate both cycles was someone else.
The unfortunate reality is the system allows for popular but unfit candidates to be voted in.
The good news is Trump crashing the economy will lower his popularity. This is also the bad news.
On “Open Mic for the Week of 4/7/2025”
I misspoke. The Supremes dislike creating Constitutional crisis.
"
They're giving Trump a chance to back down so they don't need to rule against him. The Supremes dislike injecting themselves into open politics.
It was a small child who pointed out that the Emperor had no clothes. Everyone else was waiting for someone else to point that out.
"
I don't think it's useful to dumb down "racism" to the point where "everyone is racist".
I also think it's a naked power grab to claim "opposing Team Blue is racist".
We've had constant cries of "wolf" to the point where no one pays attention. I'm not sure whether that's a good thing or a bad thing.
Did this play a role in Trump's 2nd rise? Maybe... but "Racism" is such a small part of Trump that I'd call it a non-factor in his unfitness.
"
We have deadlines for Trump to bring back that guy he illegally sent to a Central American prison in a few minutes.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=80UzAKNadow&list=TLPQMDcwNDIwMjU25agnSH1wrw
On “Read It For Yourself: How Trump Admin Defines “Gang Members” For Deportation”
This is entertaining.
"
The Courts are less than one percent of the gov. The bulk answer to Trump.
Trump fired everyone he could when he entered office. That's the top 3+ levels of management with most being people who were there to carry out the will of upper management. So that's a lot of "tribal" knowledge and the people who understands how to do stuff.
Some of upper management understand just how fished they are without people to carry out orders, others do not. In addition a lot of upper management were given their jobs for insane reasons. Kennedy for his opposition to medical science. Whoever is in Justice and various other law enforcement agencies needs to be good with Trump pardoning the Jan 6th rioters.
So the overall competence level of the gov has gone massively down. We should expect every department to have it's own equiv of Signal Gate on a daily basis it's just mostly it doesn't end up in the news.
We should expect massive amounts of really stupid stuff, maybe including defying court orders, to happen just because the gov doesn't have the ability to do a lot of basic stuff.
On “Open Mic for the week of 3/31/25”
and Jimmy Carter being secretly replaced with an android.
That was a joke in a movie (parody).
There was a Chinese official explaining that... "The Jimmy Carter who went to China wasn't the one we sent back".
"
Yes. The only good news is the darker ideas of over throwing the gov would require more organization than they have. This is chaos and incompetence, not fascism.
"
Yet another review on Snow White.
She has serious spoilers for the plot. Probably the biggest tell was the last few seconds where she points out all but one of the writers took their names off the credits.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qrLLcFuIDJU
"
I would say that Trump clearly believes Tariffs are a net positive to the economy and not (at best) a net negative, much less (at worse) a disaster.
For example a car whose parts cross the border 20 times during manufacture will be massively affected, and it takes years, not months, to move manufacturing plants.
What we're seeing showcased is economic ignorance, the idea that if you keep "American Jobs in America" then that's a good thing.
However that's like a heart surgeon mowing his own lawn "to save money" when he could instead hire a service and do more surgery.
"
If you just want to know how bad things will be bad, you can probably find a best-case scenario by looking at how long it took for the Chinese economy to recover after they took the drastic actions I listed above.
The Chinese economy has used Enron style accounting+economics to the point where they have built homes for 3 Billion more people than is needed. That's more than 3x as much as they need if their population is 1.3b, if their population is actually more like 800m then it's more like 5x. See link below.
They have responded to various negative economic indicators by outlawing the collection of data.
Their GDP figures are clearly (and deliberately) made up. If we measure their GDP by lumens (i.e. light produced by cities at night is somewhat relatable to GDP and we can measure light from space), then their actual GDP is something like a third to 40% less than is claimed.
They got a "dead cat bounce" from the latest massive injection of state money into failing businesses and local state govs. However they have not yet started to reform their economy much less "recovered" from anything.
https://www.businessinsider.com/china-vacant-homes-3-billion-people-housing-crisis-ex-official-2023-9
"
That would be why I totally ignored Telegraph/Yahoo after looking at it and did my own thing.
*Comment archive for non-registered commenters assembled by email address as provided.