I hate to say it, but this is the best possible loss for Trump. (assuming the estimates/margins hold).
Even if the final totals *eventually* show that Biden won, let's say, GA and PA and AZ... Trump will forever trumpet a 'statistical tie' and claim that some shady shenanigans of an unspecified but collectively half-remembered thing are the reason he didn't win.
For his Brand? This is a win. Might be worth more than an actual win.
I could see a few networks paying him a bajillion dollars to be their expert analyst... I mean, he is, technically, the ex-President... and he's not afraid to make up stories about stuff he heard/said/did and comment on whatever damn thing is up for commenting in our 24hr news cycle.
Although, if I'm reading the Senate races correctly... it's at least a little bit of a pause to think everything will hinge on Kelly Loeffler in the run-off. That kinda has Greek Tragedy (or Comedy) written all over it.
Yeah, from my perspective it's not a horrible outcome. I'm a little concerned that the tightness of the race will keep Trump viable as a sort of "Shadow President" that will retard the reckoning/rebuild/realign. But the work must continue either way... probably better with these results for the next 4 years... but I do think it delays real improvements in a weird hanged state.
I want to imagine that Biden upon reaching his final tally of 270 EC votes pumps his fist and yells, "Nailed it!" while his aides politely look at their shoes.
At least that's how I imagine Sorkin would've written it.
If you go to NYT Biden's path the victory is paved with 0.2% leads, while Trump's undecideds are sitting at +6% and +11%... but you have to understand.
Whelp... this being 2020 I'm just going to stop fighting the fates and assume the results will be disappointing to everyone... Biden skulks into the White House and the Senate remains Republican. But at this point that's based on nothing but pure augury, by which I mean 538.
If that happens, looking forward the the love and gratitude that will be showered on White Men for saving the union.
Whelp... I'm calling it a night... 207 Biden to 148 Trump.
I think the post-mortems are a bit early, and I expect to wake up to a Biden lead... but I'm concerned that the underperformance of Biden will leave the gate open for challenges in a state or two. Needed a clean win (one way or another) and this doesn't look like that. Dang.
PBS is getting that Hillary Supporter on the convention floor look. Soldiering on, but voices quavering and confidence shaken. Everyone seems pre-occupied and missing marks/talking points. Earpieces must be buzzing.
On “Election Day, Le Troisième Jour: UPDATED Recap, Open Thread, and Latest News”
Sun Tzu: Never put the Marketing guy in charge.
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I hate to say it, but this is the best possible loss for Trump. (assuming the estimates/margins hold).
Even if the final totals *eventually* show that Biden won, let's say, GA and PA and AZ... Trump will forever trumpet a 'statistical tie' and claim that some shady shenanigans of an unspecified but collectively half-remembered thing are the reason he didn't win.
For his Brand? This is a win. Might be worth more than an actual win.
On “Thursday Throughput: Luna Water Edition”
Less Political?
Sir Francis Drake would like a word.
On the plus side... SPACE PIRATES
On “Election Day, Part Deux: Recap, Open Thread, and Latest News”
I could see a few networks paying him a bajillion dollars to be their expert analyst... I mean, he is, technically, the ex-President... and he's not afraid to make up stories about stuff he heard/said/did and comment on whatever damn thing is up for commenting in our 24hr news cycle.
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The runoff will be a margin call on whatever she has left invested in the Party.
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Well, right... I thought that's how I arranged the words above. :-)
But seriously, I don't think any of us have fully contemplated what life with two Presidents will be like.
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I was gonna go with 'insufferable' ... but yours is better.
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Although, if I'm reading the Senate races correctly... it's at least a little bit of a pause to think everything will hinge on Kelly Loeffler in the run-off. That kinda has Greek Tragedy (or Comedy) written all over it.
"
Yeah, from my perspective it's not a horrible outcome. I'm a little concerned that the tightness of the race will keep Trump viable as a sort of "Shadow President" that will retard the reckoning/rebuild/realign. But the work must continue either way... probably better with these results for the next 4 years... but I do think it delays real improvements in a weird hanged state.
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Keep telling y'all... first party to the Upper Left wins.
Could be Dems, could be Republicans, could be other.
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Sings Nessun Dorma and carries 'Vincero' like Pavarotti?
I probably should've paid closer attention to West Wing when it was on.
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I want to imagine that Biden upon reaching his final tally of 270 EC votes pumps his fist and yells, "Nailed it!" while his aides politely look at their shoes.
At least that's how I imagine Sorkin would've written it.
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Let's see if this embeds:
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The only demographic that didn't increase their support for Trump. He lost 5% in that single demographic.
[Posted by Matt Bruenig, noted leftist...assuming the data from Bruenig isn't made-up or all that]
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Closing in on Mid-night I thought I saw Karl Rove running around Fox without his shirt on...
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Heh, there's Stare Decisis and there's No Backsies. Both are equally hallowed traditions.
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Yep.
If you go to NYT Biden's path the victory is paved with 0.2% leads, while Trump's undecideds are sitting at +6% and +11%... but you have to understand.
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Oh yeah, I almost had a send tweet moment with that too.
But this is a safe space, right?
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Except for Brandon, he's getting everything he wanted in 2020.
~The Fates
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One of the networks (forget which) put up a graphic *before* polls closed that showed voter motivation.
Repubs:
Voting FOR Trump: 79%
Voting AGAINST Biden: 21%
Dems
Voting FOR Biden: 51%
Voting AGAINST Trump: 49%
That was my first, "huh" moment of many.
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Whelp... this being 2020 I'm just going to stop fighting the fates and assume the results will be disappointing to everyone... Biden skulks into the White House and the Senate remains Republican. But at this point that's based on nothing but pure augury, by which I mean 538.
If that happens, looking forward the the love and gratitude that will be showered on White Men for saving the union.
On “Election Day 2020: Open Thread, Breaking News, and Running Discussion”
Whelp... I'm calling it a night... 207 Biden to 148 Trump.
I think the post-mortems are a bit early, and I expect to wake up to a Biden lead... but I'm concerned that the underperformance of Biden will leave the gate open for challenges in a state or two. Needed a clean win (one way or another) and this doesn't look like that. Dang.
"
PBS is getting that Hillary Supporter on the convention floor look. Soldiering on, but voices quavering and confidence shaken. Everyone seems pre-occupied and missing marks/talking points. Earpieces must be buzzing.
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Is it weird yet?
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If Trump wins because of the two-fist-two-step to YMCA I'm going to have to turn in my Time Capsule Prognostication Card.