A Critique of the System, or: A Fool and his Money….
I think what many mainstream defenders of Geithner or the rescue plan don’t realize is that critics of the plan are not always merely partisan hacks out with a political agenda. Some of us are actually out to critique the system itself, rather than the President (whom I admire a great deal) and aren’t in it simply to pile on the easy target that is the Treasury Secretary. Likewise, when Matt Ygelesias offers up this sort of argument in defense of consumption over sacrifice, he misses the point that many of us are trying to make which is essentially that our levels and means of consumption are simply unsustainable. Writes Yglesias:
But if Americans were to collectively sacrifice—everyone agree to eat only potatoes on Wednesdays or something—that wouldn’t help anyone except the potato farmers. Consumption in a market economically is almost always a positive-sum exchange; economic growth, and therefore prosperity, requires more economic activity, not more sacrifice. If the big national problem were a giant war, things might be different—we could all conserve gasoline and save it to fuel the tanks. But it’s hard to see how sacrifice could solve the problem of rapidly rising unemployment.
Now, the essence of this argument is very true – indeed, in a market economy spending is the fuel that keeps everything moving. The problem is that we’ve equated spending with credit, and so people have moved slowly further and further into a cycle of spending money that they don’t actually have. I’ve certainly fallen prey to this many times over the years. It’s such a pervasive thing nowadays to buy with credit that we hardly think twice about it. So perhaps asking Americans to “sacrifice” is the wrong approach; perhaps asking American to stop going into so much debt would be better. Same goes for the government, which leads by example if nothing else, and has shown time and again that massive debt is okay, that spending what we don’t have is good, and that going out and buying stuff is the answer to the problem. Well, it may be on some level: the purchasing of goods and services naturally creates jobs and so forth. But again, doing this to the detriment of personal savings only leads to more trouble.
This is a critique of the system – not of the concept of buying and selling goods, or of capitalism – but of doing so without the proper financial means, and of our national leaders encouraging our doing so. Obama’s predecessor pushed Americans after 9/11 to “go shopping” and now, in this current crisis, that’s exactly what Yglesias is saying, and what the Obama administration is saying. I suppose in a market economy, going shopping is the answer. The question then is whether or not that should be the answer, or perhaps more saliently, if this is the way things are, then how can we as a nation change so that markets work without people going into boatloads of debt. Spending is good only within the boundaries of our capacity to also save and to invest in our futures.
This is what I find so unsettling about the general philosophy behind the bank rescue, behind the push to get “credit flowing” and “banks lending again.” Though I certainly understand the need for credit to move, especially in order for businesses small and large to do business, I also think that we are witnessing a national denial of what got us into this mess to begin with. We can’t simply go back to old bad habits. We can’t be told to just “go shopping” even though yes, it is good for the economy or at least for jobs, because it’s short-sighted and part of the boom/bust cycle that has been going on for decades now. Economic stability is also important, and it relies heavily on personal savings as well as stable businesses and a government with a balanced check book. Growth for its own sake, or spending to revive employment rates simply won’t secure us for the long run. And it’s high time we began thinking about our economy and our general welfare in terms of the long run, not merely in terms of what’s good for the here-and-now.
On a deeper level we need to begin asking questions about the distribution of wealth and property and the centralization of power in Washington and Wall Street, but this post is not the one for that.
And also, it’s important to note that there are many, many sane critics of “the system” out there. Many of us believe that underpinning all of this is a moral question, not a political one, and certainly nothing calling for some sort of violent revolution. In a certain sense, it’s all really just a matter of pragmatics – don’t spend what you don’t have. The villain isn’t the US government or the evil capitalists – and as often as not lies “not in our stars but in ourselves.”
Not everyone can be as crazy as Glenn Beck or Chuck Norris, after all.
Please understand that my wanting to see the credit markets thaw has nothing to do with wanting to see the sort of credit markets that fueled the spending boom restored. I don’t think that will happen and the declines in consumption will be followed by flat or slow growth as things stabilize.
Some of what you may want to see may happen naturally as savings rates increase (which they’ll have to do absent another asset bubble).Report
Certainly, Dave. In fact, I’d say probably most of the policy makers and Prez. Obama probably all want to see change – they just want to fix the problem first. My concern is that fixing the problem in this fashion will encourage status quo. Or that’s the way I’m starting to see it, though there is certainly plenty of compelling evidence that I’m wrong.Report
I take arguments like Warren’s The Two-Income Trap (and more general ideas about Risk Transfer) that the problem with Americans households isn’t that we are consuming too much out of discretionary income, but that we are spending more on education and health care, and that is pushing us over.
I appreciate arguments that our current levels of consumption are unsustainable – but I also realize I get food and clothes much, much cheaper than my parents did. (They wore suits, to like the movies!) However my education and health care costs, as well as housing, are bounds above theirs.
I’m curious as to your reaction to this line of inquiry; if you have mentioned it before, sorry.Report
That’s a very good point, Rortybomb. But then one has to ask, why? Why is education so much more expensive? Why is health care so much more expensive? And beyond that, I don’t completely buy this line because it seems fairly evident that people are buying a lot more toys now than ever before. But certainly the combination doesn’t help – and certainly easy credit and a gradually shrinking middle class also lend to the problem.Report
E.D., I’m in no position it say who is right or wrong but I have read and listened to speculation that the current economy could be the equivalent of the Great Depression in changing fundamental attitudes towards spending and debt. I certainly, with you, hope so.
Re: the call for spending. I’m in good shape financially because I have stayed debt free for many years, I hate debt, always tried to avoid it. So I have started spending, a new 2009 Toyota – the cheapest Camry I could find and paid cash. Eating out more and giving the servers really nice tips. Charities are also getting more of my cash. Salvation Army gets the cash, my local Catholic church, it’s food bank, lots of baby formula and dappers, anything that I figure will help free up whatever money young families have for rent or medical bills. I relate all this not to brag but to say that responsible spending has some virtue at this time.
President Obama and Yglesias are correct to reminds us that saving may not be the optimal strategy today.Report
Hoarding is certainly not the answer, but most Americans aren’t in the solid position you’re in Bob. Spending should obviously keep happening, but not at the cost of people’s fragile savings. It’s all about the balance.Report
Exactly, that is why I said “responsible spending has some virtue at this time.” And a few extra cans of soup can easily be purchased by most folks in this country.Report
Spending vs. saving is the wrong way to look at it. Because of exogenous factors (e.g. China) debt was really cheap. And it still is. It made sense to borrow in the Bush years, and, for the moment, it makes sense to borrow now.
Where we screwed up was not in borrowing money, but in what we spent the money on. The real issue is consumption vs. investment. We should be (and should have been) investing the money on things that will be useful in the future, infrastructure and new technology research, rather than consuming toys/mcmansions/suvs. We should think about the future in physical, technological, ecological terms rather than the illusory thermodynamics-violating economic abstractions we’ve built on top of them.Report