MAGA Wants a Shutdown
There was a Republican debate this week, and I want to give it all the attention it deserves so let’s ignore it. Let’s talk about something that matters like the looming government shutdown instead.
It looks increasingly likely that the government will run out of money this weekend. There’s one reason for that. The Republican MAGA faction is holding the process hostage. In fact, there is every indication that MAGA wants a government shutdown.
One tell is that Donald Trump has endorsed the idea of a shutdown. In a Truth Social post (an Orwellian moniker if there ever was one), Trump wrote, “The Republicans lost big on Debt Ceiling, got NOTHING, and now are worried that they will be BLAMED for the Budget Shutdown. Wrong!!! Whoever is President will be blamed. UNLESS YOU GET EVERYTHING, SHUT IT DOWN! Close the Border, stop the Weaponization of ‘Justice,’ and End Election Interference.”
There’s some truth to that. Blame for shutdowns is usually apportioned to both parties, but the party screaming “SHUT IT DOWN!” usually bears the brunt.
Of course, Trump has an ulterior motive. The Former Guy previously called on Republicans to use the crisis as an opportunity to defund the federal prosecutors who are bringing cases against him. Make America great or something or other.
Trump’s minions in Congress received their marching orders and got in step. A second tell is the focus of Republican negotiations in recent days.
The Republicans in the House approved an amendment from Marjorie Taylor Greene – MARJORIE TAYLOR GREENE! – that would reduce Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin’s salary to $1. This is not an amendment that is intended to become law. This is a poison pill that is designed to kill the appropriations bill to which it is attached. You don’t try to kill appropriations bills with nonsensical garbage two days before the government runs out of money unless you want the government to shut down.
A second tack that MAGA is taking is to use the threat of a shutdown to cut off aid to Ukraine. Senator Rand Paul, who never ceases to underwhelm me, threatened on Twitter to only support a continuing resolution to keep the government open if it did not contain aid to Ukraine.
“To avoid a government shutdown, I will consent to an expedited vote on a clean CR without Ukraine aid on it,” Paul wrote. “If leadership insists on funding another country’s government at the expense of our own government, all blame rests with their intransigence.”
Remember that John McCain accused Paul of “working for Vladimir Putin” in 2017. I haven’t seen much to make me question McCain’s assessment.
And many House Republicans have taken up Paul’s rallying cry of “Whatever Putin wants!” The House resisted MAGA attempts to strip Ukraine aid from the defense appropriations bill, but Republicans were split on the issue. The amendment failed by a 104-330 vote, but the breakdown among Republicans was 104 in favor of following Putin’s wishes and 117 in favor of keeping the aid intact.
The battle over the Ukraine aid is not over, however. We haven’t seen the last of MAGA attempts to abandon our allies to their fate. There are many rationales for this position but the arguments mainly fall into two main categories.
First, is the pseudo-pacifist position that aid must end to stop the war. It won’t. Ending aid won’t end the Ukrainian desire to resist the invader who is literally raping and pillaging their land and its citizens. It will just make it more difficult and bloody for Ukraine to win.
You can also be sure that the impeachment inquiry into Hunter – I mean Joe – Biden will continue. By most accounts, the first day of hearings ended with a thud that included star witnesses that undercut the Republican narrative, allowed Democrats to shift the spotlight to Donald Trump, featured apparently falsified evidence, and led Democrats to attempt to prohibit Marjorie Taylor Greene from exhibiting pornography (two terms I’d really rather not hear together).
Second, critics of aid cite the cost. This is disingenuous because both parties can easily find money for anything they want to, despite the mountains of red ink that fill the federal ledger. If a bill to fund a border was up for a vote, those nays would quickly become yeas.
The reality is that Ukrainian aid is a tiny share of the federal budget, and it is money well spent. We don’t have boots on the ground, but we are weakening a major geopolitical foe and showing our own strength and resolve. Well, most of us are.
In my view, the anti-Ukraine wing of the GOP (still a minority!) takes that view for a couple of reasons. First, they are reflexively anti-Biden. If Biden favors it, they assume it must be bad. And they don’t want Biden to get credit for any success so they have to make sure that Biden fails, even if means handing an entire nation over to Vladimir Putin.
Further, I think a lot of these people have an axe to grind with Ukraine over Trump’s first impeachment. They blame Zelenskey and Ukraine for the problems that Trump had over his “perfect phone call” and are holding a grudge.
Finally, a lot of Republican extremists are simply pro-Putin. Right-wing propaganda has painted Putin as anti-political correctness, an enemy of homosexuality (despite his odd penchant for shirtless photos). and a defender of Christianity. This isn’t new, going back at least a decade.
So when the shutdown happens next week, remember that it didn’t have to happen. It will have happened because certain Republicans are agents of chaos who wanted it to happen. These people have no loyalty to anyone or anything except Donald Trump. That includes the Republican Party or Speaker McCarthy, who they use when it suits their purpose but are just as happy to leave him twisting in the wind.
I call this crowd the “kamikaze caucus” because they thrive on angst and destruction. They are happy to shoot themselves in the foot if it elevates their name. They really don’t care if their party loses the shutdown shenanigans because victory for them is to become more prominent among the Republican base and to be able to call other members of their party “RINOs.”
Voters should remember the shutdown when they go to the polls next year. Republicans who are serious and work for the betterment of the country should be rewarded, but MAGA radicals who toy with the national economy and are just as happy to “burn it down” as to “make America great” should never be trusted with power again.
21 Republicans voted against their leadership’s own CR today. With poison pill riders on border security they claimed they wanted.
These people do not want to govern.
If you voted for them you need to rethink your politics.
We can have a reasonable debate at any point about what government should or shouldn’t do. This isn’t it.
I and my co-workers deserve better.Report
OK, I’m probably the biggest hawk on this site, and I’m in favor of our current Ukraine policy. But this article is way off. First of all, $100 billion in a year and a half isn’t chump change. It’s about equal to all our other foreign aid combined. But the two most common arguments against Ukraine aid aren’t mentioned here. One, that we’re destabilizing a superpower nowhere near our borders, and two, that the Ukraine government isn’t worth our protection, as it’s not a member of NATO and is at least perceived as corrupt.Report
When we get to the $1 Trillion mark swallowed by Iraq based on lies about nuclear and chemical weapons told by a Republican President then you can throw a flag or two about cost.
Otherwise – Russia invaded Ukraine unprovoked. To believe they would stop there (given all of Putin’s other hijinks) is to not be paying attention. Destabilizing Russia is the least bad outcome here.
That aside – democracies are worth our protection. Including our own.Report
Iraq and Afghanistan cost more, but within the same league.Report
I don’t think those arguments hold water though. We aren’t destabilizing Russia by helping Ukraine, Russia is destabilizing Russia by invading Ukraine.
As for the worth question, it’s largely academic because even by the most cynical, gimlet eyed and cold blooded analysis the return on investment the US is getting for the aid dollars it’s sending is astronomical. We can set aside more nebulous “soft power” benefits like the cold water it’s throwing on authoratarians everywhere on the idea of invasion and adventurism or the bolstering of the US’ reputation across the developed world and East Europe while acknowledging that they are likely real. But sticking strictly to concrete benefits, the obliteration of Russian material, the humiliation of Russian arms manufacturing, the ocean of Russian soldiers blood being shed all at the cost of considerable quantities of US army surplus material (ffs all the cluster munitions we’re sending was stuff we’d otherwise had had to PAY to dispose of safely) and not a single drop of US blood is simply an incredible return. If a program that had this outcome at this cost had been available during the Cold War they’d have carved the face of the President who oversaw it on Mount Rushmore.Report
I definitely have vivid memories of the 17 day shut down in 2013. What I don’t have any memories of the 2018/2019 shutdown that lasted for 35 days despite the fact that my job was still impacted. I guess the closeness to COVID and the fact that it occurred during a slack period of the year blurred that memory.
There is about a 95% chance of their being a shutdown. The issue is how long is the shutdown going to last for. I predict that it will be at least two weeks and possibly longer. The Republicans pushing for it are basically even crazier than the 2013 House was. Kevin McCarthy is no John Boehner and is even less skilled at herding cats. He fears working with the Democratic Party. Possibly he even fears this for his life.Report
McCarthy’s stopgap bill fails the House: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/09/29/us/government-shutdownReport
Its worth mentioning, yet again, that although the customary parlance by media outlets and pundits is that this is being caused by a small handful of extremists, the truth is, this is being caused by the much larger group of GOP “moderates” who could at any time, join with Democrats for force a budget through.
The “moderates” prefer a shutdown to any deal of any kind with the Democrats.Report
Yes, that is correct and it’s infuriating. If McCarthy merely scheduled a vote on anything the Senate has passed it’d pass easily. But he’d them immediately face a motion to vacate the chair. The continued function of the country pales to nothing compared to McCarthy continuing to be Speaker in McCarthy’s estimation*.
*Heck, merely the -chance- of McCarthy not being Speaker. If he offered to schedule a vote in exchange for the Dems promising to throw him enough support to survive a motion to vacate I would imagine that’s a deal Jeffries would take.Report
McCarthy stops being speaker then. McCarthy doesn’t want to stop being speaker and he doesn’t want to share power with the Democratic caucus to remain speaker. It is that simple.Report
indeed, but he just scheduled a 45 day patch bill and it passed overwhelmingly so the rights red line has been crossed. it will be put up or shut up time for the MAGA caucus.Report
I will be fascinated to see what was promised to Dems to get their votes.Report
for the 45 day cr probably nothing. it is it’s own reward. for anything further? remains to be seen.Report
The problem we have is that the while the GOP might think of the current adamants as thorns in their side, they are also pretty low on how they view Democrats and fear being primaried from the right as RINOs.Report
Correct, and as they demonstrated with Jan 6 and countless other examples, they prefer literally anything, including a direct assault on American democracy as preferable to being governed by a Democrat.
This is why I say that no Republican at any level of office anywhere can be trusted to uphold democracy. They just don’t value it.Report
Because they prefer to remain in office then have actual principles they won’t compromise on.Report
90 Republicans and 1 democrat voted against a clean 45 day CR. McCarthy only got it across to the senate because he worked across the aisle. Now we will see if MAGA Nation actually has bite.
And for the record I did not expect McCarthy to do this.Report
I was surprised and gratified by him doing this as well though, to be fair, it isn’t as if the Maganaughts left him many appealing choices.Report
Well, congratulations Philip. Uncertainty about a paycheck is a tough thing.Report
Shutdown averted:
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/live-blog/live-updates-government-shutdown-set-begin-midnight-rcna118172Report