DOD Admits Kabul Drone Strike Killed “As Many As 10 Civilians, Including Up To 7 Children”
The Department of Defense has admitted the Kabul drone strike in the final days of the US evacuation killed “As Many As 10 Civilians, Including Up To 7 Children” according to CENTCOM Commander Maj Gen McKenzie.
Washington Post:
The Defense Department, which previously defended the Aug. 29 operation as a “righteous strike,” saying it tracked a white sedan for hours after it left a suspected Islamic State-Khorasan safe house and that officials believed the car was loaded with explosives for an imminent attack. In fact, the driver, Zamarai Ahmadi, was a longtime aid worker for a U.S.-based group and was hauling water cans for his family, according to officials and video obtained by The Washington Post and others.
The chain of missteps ending with the missile strike that killed Ahmadi, seven children and two other adults, came days after a suicide attack at the Kabul airport claimed the lives of at least 170 Afghans and 13 U.S. troops, inviting a sense of urgency that may have been misplaced. It also highlights flaws in the Biden administration’s strategy for targeting threats that emerge in Afghanistan from long distance, a plan analysts have criticized as being vulnerable to inadequate intelligence and overconfidence among commanders reading ordinary behaviors as evidence of malicious intent.
“Having thoroughly reviewed the findings of the investigation … I am now convinced that as many as 10 civilians, including up to seven children, were tragically killed in that strike,” Marine Gen. Kenneth “Frank” McKenzie, the head of U.S. Central Command, told reporters Friday. “It is unlikely that the vehicle and those who died were associated with ISIS-K or were a direct threat to U.S. forces.”
The strike bookended the U.S.-led war with what has come to symbolize Western intervention in Afghanistan, the Middle East and Africa: airstrikes that kill civilians, followed by initial Pentagon denials that it may have made mistakes.
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The acknowledgment comes after three news organizations, including The Washington Post, published investigations of the incident that each cast doubt on the Pentagon’s claims, including whether Ahmadi carried any explosives and whether his actions implied a man who delivered meals to displaced people was secretly moonlighting as a suicidal insurgent.
A key part of evidence presented by The Pentagon — that the Hellfire missile explosion triggered “significant secondary explosions,” indicated the car contained a “substantial amount of explosive material,” according to a statement issued hours after the strike.
But experts, including Castner, combed through videos and photos of the blast site and could not identify any evidence of a large explosion. A physicist who assessed imagery from the site for The Post estimated the explosion’s force of about 22 pounds of explosives at the high end — within the range of a Hellfire missile’s payload.
The described secondary blast, experts said, was likely the result of fuel vapors igniting.
The investigation concurred with that assessment, the defense official said, with the likeliest scenario being a fuel canister near the car that went up in flames. The Pentagon is no longer describing that reaction as an explosion.
But, the official said, there is a remote possibility there were explosives in the car.
“Personally,” the official said, “I don’t think there was.”
Something must be done.
This is something.
Therefore this must be done.Report
Joe Biden is so smart and dreamy. Whee!Report
Koz, why do you see this as something Biden did rather than something the intel agencies did?Report
Basically for the same reason you articulated in your comment above.
It was Biden who’s political stature and approval rating that was cratering, he was the one who had to do something.Report
And the intel agencies handed up a war crime on a platter.Report
Well geez, maybe if we didn’t draw down all our intelligence capabilities to preserve some talking points for some lib cable net news-hack, that might not have happened now, hmmm Jay?Report
Leaving Afghanistan was going to happen. I’m not one of the Panglossian “This was the Best of All Possible Evacuations” people that you will find on the board defending the evacuation as though they were defending Biden himself.
I *DO* think that the bungling of the leaving of Afghanistan includes stuff like “massive military failures” (like the whole “wait, you were serious?” thing that happened in the last two weeks there) and “massive intelligence failures” (like the whole “two days to fall” thing).
Now maybe both of the above are indicators that Biden shouldn’t have trusted a goddamn thing that either the military or intelligence said about Afghanistan the moment that kids were falling off of leaving planes.
That said, the massive, massive failures are indicators that we should not have been there and, indeed, should have left years prior.Report
Yeah, I gotta admit that part is grinding my gears a little bit.
Yes and no. In a vacuum, yes. But in this world Joe Biden is the President and given that there are no indications he plans to resign, we have to make allowances for that.
And in _that_ world, we don’t have enough information processing power at the top of our leadership pyramid, and for that reason we should still be in Afghanistan.Report
There should be several dozen resignations over this.
There won’t be any and I doubt that there will be any firings.
It is *THAT* that the Biden-defenders need to defend because *THAT* is the shameful thing.
But the failures were not Biden’s. They were legion among the organizations that had spent the last decade (or more) building a house of lies and selling it to the Executive.Report
Yeah, I’m on the other side of the fence for that one.
Like I wrote on another thread, I don’t believe we’re in a situation where we have to choose between blaming the brass and the deep state or blaming Biden. _But_, (and this is important), if we _do_ have to choose, I’m with the brass all the way.Report
I’m just noticing that Afghanistan fell in fewer than 3-4 days.
I know that *MY* expectation was that it’d take about six months to fall… and that’s because I thought that, over the last two decades, we’d done a good enough job setting stuff up that it’d take half a year to collapse.
As it turns out, it took less than 100 hours.
That’s on a lot more people than Biden, Trump, Obama, and Bush.
Though if someone wanted to begin their list with “whose fault is this?” and started with Bush, I could understand why they would.Report
I’m not one of the Panglossian “This was the Best of All Possible Evacuations” people…
I haven’t been, but: 120,000 people evacuated (plus tens of thousands by other countries), 13 US casualties, on the order of a hundred Afghan casualties. I’m still waiting to hear a plan that (a) accurately reflects the actual conditions on the ground on Jan 26, (b) would have the US out by this past Aug 31, and (c) would produce better numbers than those three.Report
Given that we didn’t know A and that we still don’t know A, I’d say that the biggest problem that I still have is that we didn’t know that we didn’t know A.
After two decades.Report
Personally, on a scale of 1 to 10 with 1 being “Biden should be a shoo in for reelection thanks to this triumph!” and 10 being “Biden should resign in disgrace and be impeached if he doesn’t.” I’d put it at around a 4. And I think I’m being over generous to the Biden detractors in doing so. Still I don’t think it’ll be a lift of an anchor for the Admin going forward.
It’s not an immaculate removal from Afghanistan but I’ve yet to see any persuasive argument that it could be avoided without Captain HIndsight levels of hindsight.
And, I’ll be blunt. 13 American casualties are sad but the public isn’t going to remember that by winter, let alone by the next election. Also, to be blunter, the Afghan lives are probably already out of mind for the public and if they aren’t yet they’ll be forgotten by October.Report
It’s not about Biden!
Biden got out! He’ll be the guy that got out! People will look back at the chaos and think “meh, only a few kids got killed and they should have known better than to play monkey bars on a plane”.
This isn’t an attack on Biden!
The attack on Biden is the whole “did you fire the people who told you that we’d turned the corner and the government will stand for a week or three?” question. Not about the chaos (which is not Biden’s fault (though, granted, it is his responsibility)).Report
Well sure, but there’s not much to talk about once you turn your gaze away from the Executive. Yeah the Blob shat the bed in Afghanistan and the Media threw themselves into the mess and rolled around in it. Everyone except the tiny neocon rump recognizes that. Not much to argue over there.
I too wish Biden would just slaughter the various DoD and Pentagon leaders, analysts and careerists who midwifed this disaster. I also would have loved it if Obama had taken up a fiery sword and gone after the torture folks. I just can see why it’s such an unappealing prospect for them to do it.Report
Here is a transcript from General Miley from, holy cow, a mere two weeks ago?
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Yup. We’ve had twenty years of strikes like these. I bet there’re zero “non-righteous” strikes per the brass.Report
I guess my mind is hazy to the point where I remember such things being described as “war crimes”.
I’ll put them back in the “friction” folder.
And start wording the question about whether anyone wishes to roll in my Mercedes.Report
Allow me to cynic for you. They were called war crimes by Dems during the later half of Bush’s term, Republicans during Obama’s terms, Dems again during Trumps term and now presumably back to Republicans now that Biden is running the show.Report
I think there’s always been a faction on the left willing to call these things war crimes, across administrations (and honestly I sometimes think they’re right).
In either case such incidents are among the many reasons the GWoT fails any just war theory analysis.Report
Agreed.Report
The DoD being honest about their own atrocities is unacceptable. At least they need to wait until administrations change , so we can all blame That Guy.Report
At least it’s not like that time that we killed an Iranian General.
Man, that was *AWFUL*.Report