Wednesday Writs: A Case of This, A Case of That Edition

Em Carpenter

Em was one of those argumentative children who was sarcastically encouraged to become a lawyer, so she did. She is a proud life-long West Virginian, and, paradoxically, a liberal. In addition to writing about society, politics and culture, she enjoys cooking, podcasts, reading, and pretending to be a runner. She will correct your grammar. You can find her on Twitter.

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48 Responses

  1. fillyjonk says:

    WW5: a Texas school district (Paris) not too terribly far from me is trying out a loophole: temporarily adding masks to the dress code. So the twitter joking about “they can police the length of a girl’s Bermuda shorts but they can’t mandate mask wearing” may have come to something after all.

    (I am going to have to offer online teaching the rest of this week; a student came to class infectious and tested positive slightly after and they and everyone who sat around them is having to quarantine. Because I’m vaccinated and was wearing a KN95 mask and was 10′ away I won’t, unless I have symptoms, but it’s being strongly suggested I get swabbed on Monday to be sure I’m not asymptomatically contagious. I am angry at the whole dang world this morning as a result)Report

    • Oscar Gordon in reply to fillyjonk says:

      I was reading something the other day where a mom wrote a letter to her school saying that if parents could allow their children to ‘opt-out’ of the mask mandate, then she was allowing her daughter to opt-out of the excessive requirements of the girls dress code.Report

      • Em Carpenter in reply to Oscar Gordon says:

        I get her point, but let’s game it out. The two possible responses to acknowledging the truth in her argument: legitimize the dress code she clearly opposes by adding masks and continue to enforce it, or rescind the dress code and continue not to enforce masks, which is also not what she wants.Report

        • Oscar Gordon in reply to Em Carpenter says:

          She left a comment to the effect that she wasn’t trying to overturn the dress code at that moment, but wanted the opt-out option removed.

          Not that she was happy about the dress code, but that was a dragon to slay for another day.Report

      • Chris in reply to Oscar Gordon says:

        In my hometown, which has become somewhat famous in the last week or so because of its, er, contentious school board meeting on masks, the school board mandated masks but with health or religious exemptions. As a childhood friend whose son is in kindergarten this year put it, half the kids’ parents have suddenly discovered religion.

        This suggests that the option for dress code defiance is to claim religious exemption.Report

  2. Jaybird says:

    WW2: Black Market Bacon.

    In the past, most places have said “As goes California, so goes the Nation” and then gone on to either comply or make a roadmap to comply with California.

    If that doesn’t happen this time, California will either have to deal with black markets, have to deal with blind eyes to the law, or have to deal without bacon.

    Because I am a cynic: I’m not going to assume that they’re going to do without bacon.Report

  3. Oscar Gordon says:

    WW3: Wrong link – goes to CA bacon crisis, not NY gun caseReport

    • Em Carpenter in reply to Oscar Gordon says:

      Thank you – fixed.Report

    • InMD in reply to Oscar Gordon says:

      It ought to be held unconstitutional. And it’s a great example of why appeals to ‘common sense gun laws’ are so unconvincing.Report

      • Jaybird in reply to InMD says:

        Yeah, from what I’ve seen of the case, the issue was over, ahem, “disparate impact”.

        Like, people from a particular economic caste were pretty much guaranteed to get their permit but people from other particular economic castes were pretty much guaranteed to *NOT* get it.

        And the racial demographics of the economic castes in question were not identical.

        But the linked article didn’t get into this so I don’t know if what I heard happens to be accurate.Report

        • InMD in reply to Jaybird says:

          There is an amicus brief from the NY public defenders office (or certain subsets of it, I don’t quite understand how it’s organized) that the enforcement of what is in practice a ban has a disparate impact on racial minorities.Report

        • Oscar Gordon in reply to Jaybird says:

          It’s the assumption that if you belong to this economic caste, you are both very responsible with a firearm and naturally (by dint of being part of that caste) in some kind of mortal danger, so a permit is almost automatic.

          But if you are part of that economic caste, even though crime statistics show that you are probably in some (relatively) greater degree of mortal danger in your neighborhood, you can’t be trusted to use, or secure, a firearm properly, so no boomstick for you!Report

  4. Oscar Gordon says:

    WW1: A generational divide? Times like this I think we should have an upper age limit of elected representatives.Report

    • Kazzy in reply to Oscar Gordon says:

      Who went on public record opposing a raising of the age and what was their argument? Holy smokes!Report

      • Em Carpenter in reply to Kazzy says:

        Oscar had it right – generational divide. One of the legislators quoted in the article said the opposition came from older members of both parties, several of whom had “my mom was married with two kids at 15 and look at me…” type stories.Report

  5. Chip Daniels says:

    WW@:
    From the article: “With little time left to build new facilities, inseminate sows and process the offspring by January…”

    With “little time”. The law was passed three years ago. But of course, they ignored it, thinking they could
    overturn it, or somehow evade it, but now that enforcement looms, they are squealing and snorting indignantly, complaining that the law leaves them hemmed in with no place to turn.

    I say, we should leave them hanging on a hook.Report

    • Jaybird in reply to Chip Daniels says:

      It looks like there are multiple hooks there.

      I have found that turkey bacon isn’t particularly good but turkey sausage is kind of okay, in that it makes you remember real sausage. Beef sausage is fine, I guess, but you’ll probably find yourself saying “I’d have preferred steak and eggs”.Report

    • Oscar Gordon in reply to Chip Daniels says:

      Did you miss the part where the state hasn’t released formal regulations yet? Why the hell should anyone invest in changes before they have hard and fast rules to work from? That quip about how the space requirements have been known for years is disingenuous, because those details matter, a lot!Report

      • Chip Daniels in reply to Oscar Gordon says:

        I did see that, just above where it says the key rules about space have been known for years. Their complaints are hogwash.Report

        • Jaybird in reply to Chip Daniels says:

          You seem to keep making the assumption that pork producers will change in response to this legislation.

          Have you taken the assumption that they may merely say “okay, we just won’t sell there” for a drive around the block? Could be interesting!Report

          • North in reply to Jaybird says:

            I want to chime in and say that I, at least, appreciated Chips clever wordplay in his swine comments.Report

          • PD Shaw in reply to Jaybird says:

            I assume California will just get more pork from China.Report

            • Jaybird in reply to PD Shaw says:

              Oh that’d be fun to see justified publicly.

              “We have been assured that China’s bacon meets California standards by Chinese officials.”

              (That kinda qualifies as a “blind eye”, though… California Pork has demonstrated that they don’t have enough clout to keep this law from passing in the first place. Pretty sure they won’t have enough clout to force the issue of Chinese Bacon.)Report

          • Chip Daniels in reply to Jaybird says:

            Yes, it would be interesting. California would be supplied with a small number of very richly compensated producers.

            Say, maybe one of the Econ 101 folks could inform us- What are the long term consequences of a small number of producers making a killing in a market, with returns far above all the others?Report

            • Jaybird in reply to Chip Daniels says:

              California would be supplied with a small number of very richly compensated producers.

              I’d need this fleshed out.

              My read of the situation is that the assumptions are that their costs will be high enough to bite into the production costs and turn “very richly” into “eh, I’d make more money charging less but making it up on volume in the other 49.”Report

              • Chip Daniels in reply to Jaybird says:

                4% already comply, so presumably are already turning a profit.

                But why are we talking like this is some hypothetical?

                This is a perfectly normal occurrence in markets, where there is some external shock, followed by a spike in prices, then a return to equilibrium.

                In this case, the equilibrium may be higher pork prices in California, and an opportunity for substitutes.Report

              • Jaybird in reply to Chip Daniels says:

                That 4% that already complies are likely to be able to continue to turn a profit and, indeed, charge more and thus make *MORE* of a profit!

                “But why are we talking like this is some hypothetical?”

                It has to do with the other 96%.

                “In this case, the equilibrium may be higher pork prices in California, and an opportunity for substitutes.”

                Yes. I agree.Report

            • Oscar Gordon in reply to Chip Daniels says:

              CA, proudly served by Big Pork, and only Big Pork, because F-You to the small family farms.

              PS I don’t honestly think the majority of pig farms in the US are small family farms, the capital outlays are just too much, but I guaran-damn-tee you that is how the PR goes.Report

        • Oscar Gordon in reply to Chip Daniels says:

          The key rules are useless without the details. You spend $X updating your pens to meet the space requirement, and the final rules come back with some detail about how the area must be A, but the perimeter must be P1 to P2, or each pen must use specific materials, or whatnot, and now your investment is not in compliance, and there is no grandfathering.

          Don’t pretend to be naive about how these rules are gamed by all parties (the regulators and the regulated).Report

          • JS in reply to Oscar Gordon says:

            I have no idea what’s going on here.

            But I have found that, in my experience, 99% of the time when business is screaming like this, they’re lying. There are often valid complaints about regulations, but you should take any complaints with a large grain of salt simple because it’s in their monetary interest to, at the very least, massively exaggerate or simply leave out key details that would massively undercut their complaints.

            lately it’s been the “We’re offering 15 an hour and can’t get people to apply” when, in reality, they’re offering 10 with irregular hours.Report

            • Oscar Gordon in reply to JS says:

              You work in a pretty regulated field, IIRC? How often would a company in your industry commit capital to changes based upon key rules fleshed out by a legislature but before the regulatory body had completed the final regs?

              Do the prep work? Sure. Figure out if you’ll need to expand facilities and get that going, or line up suppliers and contractors, get on their schedules.

              But being ready to be in full compliance, especially if the law itself was being challenged in court?Report

              • JS in reply to Oscar Gordon says:

                “How often would a company in your industry commit capital to changes based upon key rules fleshed out by a legislature but before the regulatory body had completed the final regs?”

                It depends on what’s being finalized.

                But I know for a FACT my company will cheerfully lie about regulations to pin blame on regulators and not themselves.

                They did it to their own employees, blaming an unpopular shift in healthcare plans on the ACA. This was months before it was voted on, so it wasn’t a good lie.

                My point here is you’re taking the company’s complaint as gospel truth. Yes, some details are finalized last minute — but in general, those are not details that will trip anyone up — if anything, those last minute changes are there to make transitions easier, lobbied for by the industry itself.

                Regulators aren’t assholes, dude. They don’t make massive, last-second changes, then fine people for not snapping their fingers into compliance in a day.Report

              • Oscar Gordon in reply to JS says:

                If only 4% of pig farms are already in compliance (I’m betting that 4% represents a good chunk of the organic pork market), then regulators won’t have a problem putting a 6 or 12 mo* grace period on enforcement to allow people to get in compliance.

                If they aren’t assholes, anyway.

                We see this all the time, right? Hell, police departments often need years in order to get in compliance with legal rulings and new regulations, and constantly get deadline extensions, etc. I mean, if government itself needs so much time to align itself with new rules, we can’t expect less of private industry.

                PS I’m not opposed to the rules themselves, just the idea that private actors who had a reasonable concern that a given law was up in the air should not be roasted for waiting to see where the chips fell, and should be permitted a grace period to get in compliance.

                * WAG on the time needed to get in compliance, assuming farms have financing & suppliers & contractors ready to go.Report

              • North in reply to Oscar Gordon says:

                Might be a good idea in realpolitik terms too because, outside of a handful of vegans, taking the bacon away from the voting public is sure to go over like a lead balloon.Report

              • PD Shaw in reply to Oscar Gordon says:

                The 4% is probably misleading. At one time, every farm in the midwest was raising a few pigs, with one to be sold for slaughter in winter. Does Marchmaine own hogs? The move towards factory farms has meant most of the smaller operations closed. 96% percent probably produce 99.9% of pork.

                And as they’ve gotten bigger, they are more regulated. Around here a new facility will need to go through notice and hearing and environmental regulatory review before concrete can be poured. And the regulations strongly encourage a concrete waste basin under the building to prevent breaches.

                And specialization usually means the hogs are not owned by the farmer. The farmer probably gets financing to build, but the farmer is there to meet the requirements of the pork processor. He only gets the hogs given to him and they are not his to sell elsewhere.

                All in all though, the regulations might be so unenforceable outside the State of California that nobody outside the State needs to worry about doing anything.Report

          • Dark Matter in reply to Oscar Gordon says:

            The problem may be less “updating your pens” and more “proving that your pens are updated and that your special meat is somehow different from all other meat upstream”.

            California is insisting there is now two different types of otherwise identical meat, rule compliant and not rule compliant. Who is going to be distributing this and how will it be done? Who is going to be labeling this and how will it be done?

            Every stage in the national distribution network now needs to care about this. That 4% who comply are presumably “producers who control their own distribution networks”.

            Up until this point, at a national level, different slices of a pig can be shipped to different states and mixed with other pigs from different states.

            The level of engineering (and thus cost) will vary wildly from producer to producer, so some of them simply won’t comply. That means what for their processors? Can tools which were used to process “X” meat be used for tools that processed “Y” meat? Are we using a one drop rule where one slice of meat in a package means it’s unclean? How about one pig in a processing plant?

            Not having rules for what means what at a processor level means some farmers can’t tell whether they should bother complying. Even if your farm does what CA wants, if your neighbor doesn’t and the processor can’t tell the difference, then you’ve just wasted your money.Report

            • Oscar Gordon in reply to Dark Matter says:

              How does a regulator from one state enforce a rule in another? I know with automotive exhaust, it was pretty straightforward to just check the car itself, the parts and assembly, to make sure it met the standard. But even VW found a way past that, and for how long before they were caught (not by regulators, mind).

              So yeah, how are the meat packers supposed to control the entire supply chain? Actually, having grown up on dairy farms, the processors and distributors can exert a great deal of control over the producers, if they want to. If it’s in their financial interests to do so.

              The problem CA will have is verifying that the processors and distributors are only selling meat in CA that came from compliant farms. The question will be, do the processors and distributors have the kind of tracking that let’s them make that determination, and if not, is it worth it to them to implement such tracking across the board; or the changes to the production facility that will enable such segregation?

              And to take North’s comment up above, it will probably be in the best interests of the CA regulators to allow a generous grace period, unless they want to spend all their time trying to chase down violations while prices rise back home (and / or people just travel out of state for a couple of sides of bacon for their chest freezer and all their friends and family).Report

              • The problem CA will have is verifying that the processors and distributors are only selling meat in CA that came from compliant farms.

                Just me, but I suspect the threat that “Unless you prove that your suppliers are meeting the requirements, you will not be selling in a market that is 40M people, 12% of the US population.” With the fear that some other states will follow CA’s lead, and you lose access to a much bigger market. Enough will figure it out.Report

              • Oscar Gordon in reply to Michael Cain says:

                I suspect they will. I also suspect CA will wind up granting a grace period for everyone to get into compliance.Report

  6. WW2: An obvious compromise is to give the pigs less space in return for granting them carry permits.Report