Sears, Trump, and the Age of Bull
If there’s been anything that has been heartbreaking for me to watch over the last few years, it has been the demise of Sears and Kmart. Yes, like a lot of places a lot of other retailers, you could say this is the story of two retailers that did not update with the times. But the story of Sears is, in reality, the story of a hedge fund manager who either didn’t know how to run a company or didn’t care. Since 2005 Eddie Lampert has had a role in Sears and he never ran the company well. When Lampert came on the scene in 2005, Sears and Kmart had some 3500 stores. Now Kmart is down to 34 stores. That wasn’t a typo.
Lampert’s business style is head-scratching. He has run the company in a ruthless and cold-hearted fashion. For a long time, I’ve thought this was all about the evils of hedge funds and private equity. I still think that has a role, but another thought has come into my mind: what if besides being cold-hearted, he is incredibly incompetent? What if he thinks he is the best businessman there is and can’t see how bad he really is?
In a 2017 interview with the Chicago Sun-Times, he seemed to think that Sears was well ahead of his competitors. “I feel like we’re ahead of J.C. Penney, we’re ahead of Macy’s, we’re ahead of Target, in some aspects of where the world is going.”
Huh? Had he walked into a Target lately?
What you start to learn is that Lampert lives in his own world where he is a genius.
So yes, he was a failure and delusional. There are lots of people like that. It gets dangerous when people are affected.
This leads me to a question that I’ve been noodling about for years: why didn’t anyone stop Lampert? JC Penny hired Ron Johnson to be their CEO in the early teens armed with a new look and strategy. The end result is that the company lost $1 billion. I personally think the company should have given him time, but the fact remains: Johnson failed to turn the company around and he was gone. Of course, the difference is that while Johnson was hired, Lampert owned Sears. The employees and board of Sears were stuck with Lampert and seemed helpless as the horror unfolded.
The thing is, Lampert’s actions are familiar. A man that is incompetent and lives in his own world where he is the king? It sounds very familiar because it also happens to be found in Washington, DC. President Donald Trump is in many ways Eddie Lampert, but with nuclear weapons.
The thing is, I believe we are seeing Sears happening on a larger scale with the United States. President Trump has been a failure of a president. His most recent failure was not preparing for the coronavirus pandemic. Over and over again, Trump has not made an effort to govern effectively.
Like Ron Johnson, past presidents such as Jimmy Carter and Herbert Hoover paid dearly for repeated failures in office. But Donald Trump? He seems to not have paid any price for his incompetence. Why is that? Why has he been able to do well, even when his party is failing?
So why have Lampert and Trump been able to get away with their bad leadership?
I believe it comes down to one word: bullshit.
(As a pastor, I feel weird made a swear word the center of an essay. So, I will be sparse in my using the whole word.)
Harry Frankfurt wrote the famous essay, On Bullshit in 1986 which later became a book. Bullsh**ting is not the same as lying. As Matthew Yglesias wrote in 2017, the liar wants to be seen as telling the truth. The bs artist, however, doesn’t care if what they say is true or not. Why? Frankfurt explains in 2016 essay for Time:
The distinction between lying and bullshitting is fairly clear. The liar asserts something which he himself believes to be false. He deliberately misrepresents what he takes to be the truth. The bullshitter, on the other hand, is not constrained by any consideration of what may or may not be true. In making his assertion, he is indifferent to whether what he is says is true or false. His goal is not to report facts. It is, rather, to shape the beliefs and attitudes of his listeners in a certain way. (Emphasis mine)
The end goal for someone who flings bull is to control people, bend reality to his will and signal to certain constituencies that he is on their side.
The person who creates bull is trying to create an image of success even though everyone knows the reality is quite different. But they don’t care, because the goal is to make people believe it even when their eyes tell them otherwise. Going back to that 2017 interview, Lampert was good at spinning reality to look like a turnaround for Sears was just around the corner. When asked in that interview if Sears has time, this is how he answers:
We have as much time as our vendors and our lenders and our shareholders are willing to give us. It’s up to us to basically demonstrate to people that we can drive results to get people behind us. We’re trying to be proactive with our vendors, we’re trying to be proactive with our members, with our employees, associates, etc., to explain that the reality is a lot better than the perception. The reality needs to be better than it is for us to really demonstrate to people that the transition is starting to take hold.
He says he needs people to see that things aren’t so bad and then reveals that his goal is to paint a reality that will bring change- or to get people to believe that this reality can come true.
Which is maybe why he has been able to hang on as the head of Sears. He was able to convince shareholders, board members and others that a revival was just around the corner. Maybe they wanted to believe that a turnaround was possible and Lampert was able to give them what they wanted.
On March 13, President Trump gathered on the White House lawn with executives from a number of corporations. The President stated there would be testing done at several major chains such as Target, Walmart and CVS. I remember sitting in church hearing this press conference and was surprisingly pleased that maybe this President was going to take this crisis seriously.
Nope. The President was just flinging bull yet again:
…according to the Washington Post, there are only four drive-through testing sites as of last week among the 26,400 stores those retailers operate: two at Walmart locations near Chicago, one each at a CVS in central Massachusetts and a Walgreens in the Chicago area, and none at Target. Rite-Aid, which was not represented at the press conference, has also opened one drive-through site in Philadelphia.
Why would the President just bullshit his way on something so serious as a pandemic? When it comes to the President, most of his followers are aware that a lot of what Trump says isn’t true. They weren’t expecting that there were going to be testing sites tomorrow. That doesn’t matter to them. Trump isn’t the usual politician, but a salesman. Like Lampert, Trump was involved in real estate. He tells people what they really want to hear and even if it doesn’t totally come true it doesn’t matter- what matters is that Trump gives them the reality they desire and he is able to get his way. In the case of the March 13 press conference, he was able to create a reality for himself and his fans where he was doing something about the crisis, even if the reality was far different.
But at the end of the day, we must ask ourselves why bullsh**ting is dangerous and how to combat it. Let’s take these one at a time.
First BSing is dangerous because it can have adverse effects on people. President Trump is telling people he is taking hydroxychloroquine as a prophylactic against the coronavirus. Most people think he isn’t taking the drug. Trump doesn’t care if hydroxychloroquine works or not. But what it does is sow doubt in the experts and makes the President into something of a genius even though he has no idea how the drug will work and frankly doesn’t care.
For a democracy to work, you have to trust others. In fact, you have to trust that some people might know more about an issue than you do and you have to give that person the power to make decisions on your behalf. But if a demagogue comes along and tells people that they shouldn’t listen to Senator so-and-so or Dr. so-and-so about a certain issue or illness and people start to not listen to the expert or the leader. They lose legitimacy and the BS artist is lifted up and ready to do more damaging bullsh*tting about another issue.
How do we stop bullshitting? That means calling out the bullshit. People have to be willing to ask questions about the comment. Calling out the BS gives other people permission to ask more and more questions about the BS and that weakens the power of the person shoveling the BS.
What would have happened if journalists and politicians were willing to ask Trump hard questions in 2016? Would Lampert have been able to keep wrecking Sears if someone on the board had asked the Chairman the specifics of his vaunted turnaround plan? Who knows, but maybe asking for some proof, some evidence would have caused people to stop, think and hold the bullsh**ter accountable.
There is actually an old tale about bullshitting. The Emperor’s new clothes tells the story of two tailors who promise a king that they will make the most dazzling garment for him. Whenever the king came by, they would tell him they were working on a loom that wasn’t really there. But they acted like it was and the king, wanting approval, went along. When the king’s “clothes” were done, he again pretended to see the clothing even though there were not clothes. The tailors are able to get the king to strip naked and put on his new “clothes.” His advisors were also afraid to point out the obvious and they talked about how beautiful it was.
The final scene of the tale has the king marching down the street showing of his new ensamble to his subjects. Everyone knew the king was naked. Even the king knew he was naked. But no one says anything, except for one young boy who was too young to know any better. He tells his Mom in a loud voice, “the king has no clothes!”
If we want American society to be healthy, then we need to have more little boys who are willing cut through the BS. We can’t afford having more people who can’t admit the king is walking around in the buff.
Seems to me like we have a real problem with valorizing the salesman over the creator, or at least the person dedicated to doing things correctly. The whole Elizabeth Holmes affair also comes to mind.Report
Yeah. Steve Jobs has a good rant on that.
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To a great degree the worship of Elon Musk falls into this. I keep hearing how he is a genius. But he isn’t doing the actual work. He has giant teams of actual scientists and engineers making the cool things his companies are making. He is the mouthpiece, moneyman and PR man ( along with being yet another guy who thinks he is brilliant at everything). Sure you say, Musk has invented The Tunnel greatest marvel of our modern age. Gotta give him that. Space X and Tesla are also cool of course/Report
Musk is a difficult quantity and it’s not unheard of for people to both have some real genius while also being shameless self-promoters. Sometimes we may need to tolerate a bit of the latter for the sake of the former. I’d like to think we can do that without abandoning discernment altogether but maybe that’s too optimistic.Report
Agreed in general. I’m a big fan of Space X so if that was all musk ever did i’d be happy. Shameless self promoters seem like the current american archetype for our age which i’m not thrilled about. Personally i’d prefer to tolerate weird eccentrics who are also geniuses but it’s not up to me.
My guess is musk’s great new ideas are gonna be fewer and fewer while the bull shit is going to increase. Gonna be a lot more vegas tunnels and FREE MY WORKERS and keep OSHA out from him. Just keep space x flying.Report
Just because they are experts doesn’t mean they don’t have egos running rampant.
And egos are the number one cause of Dunning-Kruger…Report
Letting those actual scientists and engineers actually do the work is an important skill, and I say “skill” because it genuinely is a learned behavior; the natural impulse, on seeing something fail, is to take over and give it a shot yourself.
Same with watching an exploding rocket crash to the ground and saying “welp, let’s make sure that doesn’t happen next time” instead of “welp, that’s it, we’re done” — and convincing everyone to go along with you. Obviously this is easier when you’re funding your own project, but you still have to convince people to use your rockets afterward!Report
My impression was that Lampert was bsing all right, but he had some sort of financial scheme in place where he made lots of money, even thought the company maybe didn’t. So “competence” doesn’t come into it. He’s highly competent at lining his own pockets. And that was the point all along.
In this case, I’m not sure what that was, but we can imagine that there were important subcontractors for Sears that just happened to be wholly owned by Eddie Lampert.Report
Calling that a ‘scheme’ seems a bit silly. Setting things up where they suck money out of an already distressed company, and injure it even more, is standard operating procedure with venture capitalists. That’s literally how the premise works.
Sometimes, almost by accident, a functioning company emerges at the end. But that’s in spite of the venture capitalists, not because of.Report
You have your terminology a bit off. Venture capitalists start new projects, usually of a technological nature. Private equity firms and hedge funds (like Bain) do the thing you describe.
This is a minor terminology quibble.Report
Oh, sorry, you’re right. I was not paying attention.
Venture capitalists suck money out of new investors, not companies. 😉Report
I believe you’re thinking “Vulture’ capitalists, not venture capitalists. Think Mitt Romney.Report
As citizens of a democracy, our most pressing question is why those other citizens, who saw the emperor strutting naked, felt compelled to say they saw the beautiful clothes.
We don’t lack for little boys saying the truth; This essay is one of hundreds, thousands all written by sharp articulate people who are correctly pointing out the truth.
What we have is a massive plurality of voting citizens who keep insisting that they see the beautiful clothes.
And unfortunately we have a large vocal group of journalists who tell us equally insistently that those who see the clothes have a valid point, and that to openly say that the emperor is naked is a debatable point and vulgar besides.Report
Good piece Dennis. The lamperts of the world have done more to damage the idea of capitalism then any truck load of chapo or red rose types ever could. Romney caught , fairly or unfairly, some of the heat for predatory capitalism that has been around since the 80’s.Report
Agreed, it’s a glaring weakness in how we do capitalism that we have no check against that kind of Robber-Baron. And at the risk of sounding like Chip, I’m not convinced that it’s because we can’t come up with a good check, but that we want, or perhaps willing tolerate, such behaviors.Report
Self promotion is absolutely necessary for success in America, and it has been for a long time. We have long celebrated the sort of person that does this, but we also make an important distinction.
Consider The Music Man. Harold Hill is a huckster, to be sure. He is fantastic at it. His character turns, indeed, the whole film turns, on whether he stays or goes. If he stays, and uses the energy he tapped to create something real, then he’s a hero. If he takes the money, and the love, and runs, he’s a villain. That’s how it is with these guys.Report
“The person who creates bull is trying to create an image of success even though everyone knows the reality is quite different. But they don’t care, because the goal is to make people believe it even when their eyes tell them otherwise.”
Sounds like a majority of the press corp as well Dennis.Report
A big part of the problem is we’re out of neutral players. The media has given up anything more than a figleaf pretense that they’re not on team blue or team red.
So efforts to call out the other side can trivially get spun into efforts to advance your team’s side.
So Trump blocking flights from China becomes an example of his racism, there is no other possible explanation. The implication is everything else he does on this subject gets the same treatment.Report
Yeah, this sort of thing is happening now:
I suppose, on one level, we can say “hey, it’s not the government doing it!”
But on another level…Report
https://www.theonion.com/protestors-criticized-for-looting-businesses-without-fo-1843735351/amp?utm_medium=sharefromsite&utm_source=theonion_twitter&__twitter_impression=trueReport