The China Call is probably over-blown... I mean, saying we're not going to nuke you is exactly what we'd say if we're planning a first strike nuke, and the Chinese would know that Miley was an educated man, so he'd want to put the nuclear strike as far away from him as possible... so they could clearly not choose to strike first... but they clearly would know that Miley knew that they were great fools, so they could clearly not choose *not* to strike first... and so on as it goes with death on the line.
The odd tid-bit is his 'refusal' to execute an Afghan evacuation order. On the one hand, of course... such an order on Jan 15 as the president is exiting the office is stupid and designed to sow chaos. And quite possibly Miley is embellishing his 'resistance' cred (or Woodward is playing up the drama) such that an order like that is just plain silly in terms of actual execution. However, if presented with such an order (if he was) ... his duty is to resign - if it's really the case that he thought himself doing something heroic. More likely everyone knew you couldn't even schedule the first con-call to go over the order before the inauguration... so I'm assuming this is all useless guff.
Unless Miley believes his own bullshit... in which case, he needs to be removed. If however, he knows it's all bullshit but still played himself up to Woodward, he needs to be removed. The only reason he stays? Woodward made it all up. And even then, he probably should be removed for the Passive Aggressive bullshit he pulled on the Afghan withdrawal. And we can remain silent/agnostic on Lafayette park or Jan 6. But honestly, can't see why you'd keep Miley around as Commander in Chief.
But as I said before, Joe is an institutionalist and isn't interested in fixing broken things... just doing more of what Joe thinks needs doing.
Sure... and there are non-Profits and other entities which aren't specifically designed to make money beyond operations.
It's not entirely true, though that small businesses don't or couldn't share equity; in fact, a lot of small businesses 'work' precisely because ownership is taking profits as distributed income... and that's ok. Effectively we'd have to change the regulations such that '30% share of dividends' would also go to waitresses. Might not be a lot, it's not a get-rich-for-everyone plan.
My Family has operated a small business for 100yrs... on the one hand Capital in this case is really only making 1.5x-2x median worker (sometimes less) but we've experimented with dividends on profits and it works - in terms of productivity gains and incentives.
But true... there's not likely to be a big liquidation event, but also not impossible that there wouldn't be.
I'm not sure I'd say we need 'socialism' to fill the gaps since I like to use the terms correctly... but we'd surely continue to have civil society programs to fill in the gaps. Those programs might simply be better served by straight cash transfers rather than Managed Services.
Today's news about Yellen suggesting we need a massive Govt run Child Healthcare? Take 75% of the money and give it directly to parents and take 25% and provide supplemental day-care... let the 75% flow where it needs to go.
Right... baseline principle is that nothing Capital can do with their shares is privileged over what Labor does with theirs... no Class A... no Voting Rights Only... no Preferred, etc.
Now, honestly, that 30% would be as organized as Cats in a meadow... but the goal isn't control, it's capturing some of the productivity gains even as your gains make you redundant (eventually).
Devils, Details, and Lawyers and all that... but that's your Political Sell-To story... after that it's all execution, accountants, and Bezos tears.
Someday I'm going to have to write a formal post on March's crazy distributist schemes.
It isn't trickle-down, nor noblesse oblige... it's better than Warren's toothless 30% Labor Board Seats... and God save us from Taxes to set-up sinecures for the managerial class.
A non-wonky Dorm-room precis looks like this:
Think of it as a one time re-pricing event ... we wave our magic wand of Democratic Will (and 2044 Executive Powers) and 30% of all corporate wealth is 're-priced' to include labor (realistically we could go back 5-yrs and would likely phase in over, say, 5-yrs)... Repricing events happen all the time... we're just going to deal Labor in at the Corporate Charter level.
That's it.
No socialism, no unions (but sure, have them if you wish! And Elk's Clubs and Curling societies have them all!), revise the tax code? Sure, we should simplify so congress doesn't have incentives to sell incentives, but it doesn't impact this.
Hence forth each minute, hour, day, year, decade you work you accrue some fractional portion of the real value created by capitalism.
Absolutely impossible to fathom 30- maybe even 20-years ago... but computers, electronic records, and fractional ownership via independent brokers are a thing now... new things are possible. New Deals may be struck.
...but there's only so much I can fit on the back of my gown.
If only there was a party saying that it wasn't that the rich had too much, it was that they spent too little... and what we needed more than taxes to fund managerial class 'boondogles' disguised as 'programs for the poor' is instead that we increases the velocity of money by diverting much much more of that money much much more broadly at the point of creation.
Tax the Rich begs the question of who becomes the fund managers of the taxes.
Distribute the gains of successful capitalism more broadly is a better policy goal.
Can't say I followed very closely, but the general campaign of simple malaise had some traction and the polls were indeed close... until the Stupidity of First Past the Post made it clear that Elder was viable, perhaps likely replacement.
For Political Science, if Californians would agree, I''d like to re-run the experiment with Ranked Choice voting, or even better a run-off. For science.
But even with the numbers you cite: 45% agree he enacted the right safety measures... of that 45% how many also thought they should apply to him?
As I say, I'm not the least bit surprised by the outcome, but I think it weird that we can ignore actual events and rhetoric and framing and all the things politicians do and react to as part of a foregone conclusion.
But honestly I'm not litigating the last election or election - n ... we need voting reforms across the board, and it's better to build in Trust as a primary not secondary issue.
I'm also not trying to get one side or the other elected, and I think a lot of ballot enhancements (with the right level of trust) will break down some of the sclerotic party factions that is driving some bad decisions on what Voter Reform (TM) should be.
I'll even say that I think y'all are underestimating the risks from the Trumpified Republican faction that can capture the voting mechanisms - a'la Mayor Dayley in Chicago - which we all know was never *proven* to be the case [wink, wink]. Within the current system and any system that privileges access over trust.
It's similar to when I talk about Redistricting and folks assume that it's obvious how redistricting should work... but it's not obvious, and in some cases the "it's obvious" is masking a lot of subtext on how redistricting would 'fix' problems for their team and not as much thought on how it might open new problems and/or whether we're talking about underlying challenges that redistricting is masking or a proxy.
No, you seem to be overlooking the fact that OSHA fine's the Employers for the Worker's non-compliance.
As if the FAA would fine the Airlines for the Passenger's non-compliance.
Companies want to get back to business... they aren't interested in potentially firing large chunks of their workforce.
It's an open question whether the workforce caves (probably they will)... but rather than find out the Companies are going to make sure the regulations give them the wiggle room to neither fire, nor be responsible for the testing, nor pay the actual fines for non-compliance.
They will, however, cheerlead vaccinations... which is why OSHA isn't necessarily as great an idea as more money for Corporations to pay people to get vaccinated.
OSHA violations don't review intent. The theory is that Verizon is making other workers unsafe if Tim wasn't tested and or vaxed that week. Haven't read that deeply on what the reporting mechanism is... but OSHA allows for other workers to report violations.
Which is why I'm predicting that the regulations won't survive K-Street making sure that the employers have discretion on how this is handled.
Which, on the one hand is what JS is implying... on the other hand, outsourcing OSHA Safety to the discretion of employers is a neat trick of regulatory capture... but that's a fig leaf we already have, I suppose?
Right... RealID is kind of a pain when I looked at it (I got deferred last year due to Covid)... I could see lots of folks not wanting to bother with it... except for the whole airplane thing.
Sure... there are paths... we're just not really talking about them
But this the evolution of RealID... as of now not all 50-states have the same ID requirements... would also have to specify update rules to validate voter eligibility... which is done in many, but not all states.
So potentially we could piggy-back on strengthening (even further) the RealID requirements and specify various rules regarding voting, etc. But RealID was postponed into MAY 2023... and you'd need this as a minimum for updating Voter Rolls... not sure if that's doable by 2024 elections.
But sure... we can't fly without RealID are we good if we can't vote without RealID?
Has RealID been scrutinized to pass muster with all factions as fair and reasonable?
I'm not sure I'll be comfortable giving Lowes my Real ID number when I get it.
Here's what's required in VA (presumably all states) to start the Real ID process (1st minimum requirement ... there's more after this):
You are required to provide proof of your identity. DMV accepts the documents listed below. On this page, select one document that you will bring to DMV as your primary proof of identity.
*Official birth document issued by a U.S. state, jurisdiction, or territory. Birth documents issued by a hospital, notifications of birth registration, foreign birth certificates, and Virginia certificates of foreign birth (documents displaying the statement "Not evidence of U.S. citizenship") are not accepted.
Valid, unexpired U.S. passport or U.S. passport card (temporary passports are not accepted)
*Unexpired foreign passport with unexpired or expired U.S. visa and unexpired I-94 or entry stamp
*Unexpired foreign passport with unexpired I-94W
*Unexpired foreign passport with unexpired or expired U.S. immigrant visa
*Unexpired foreign passport with unexpired or expired I-551 stamp
*Unexpired Employment Authorization Document (I-766)
*Consular Report of Birth Abroad (FS-240)
*Certificate of Birth Abroad (FS-545)
*Certification of Report of Birth of a U.S. Citizen (DS-1350)
*U.S. Certificate of Naturalization (Form N-550 or Form N-570)
*U.S. Certificate of Citizenship (Form N-560 or Form N-561)
*Valid, unexpired permanent resident card (Form I-551)
Obviously, additional rules would need adding for Voting eligibility... DHS website says that these ID's are still State Level only (i.e. You couldn't use your VA RealID to vote in TX, but it should make the process of getting your TX RealID easier). There's no National Data Base of RealID. Everytime you move (out of state), you get a new RealID... which would have to be matched/de-duped.
Absolutely... here's the shit-show that it kick-off though:
1. How do you verify the first National ID everyone gets?
2. How do you manage 4th Amendment and Privacy regulations for a National Data Base that is used everywhere.
3. Are there any limits to what is required or even voluntarily authorized to use your National ID? Can Lowes request it? If yes, why, if no, why not?
On “President Biden Gives Vote of Confidence to CJCS General Milley”
Sure, I'm blaming him for not firing incompetent brass.
I blame the brass for the things the brass should have done better.
On “Thursday Throughput: Jovian Impact Edition”
"Elephant meat is dense and fibrous, making it hard to chew."
Just need a bigger spit for a longer roast.
On “President Biden Gives Vote of Confidence to CJCS General Milley”
I actually blamed the brass *and* explicitly said that Joe would *not* fire them for the debacle.
We know who Joe is... and there's absolutely nothing surprising about that.
"
The China Call is probably over-blown... I mean, saying we're not going to nuke you is exactly what we'd say if we're planning a first strike nuke, and the Chinese would know that Miley was an educated man, so he'd want to put the nuclear strike as far away from him as possible... so they could clearly not choose to strike first... but they clearly would know that Miley knew that they were great fools, so they could clearly not choose *not* to strike first... and so on as it goes with death on the line.
The odd tid-bit is his 'refusal' to execute an Afghan evacuation order. On the one hand, of course... such an order on Jan 15 as the president is exiting the office is stupid and designed to sow chaos. And quite possibly Miley is embellishing his 'resistance' cred (or Woodward is playing up the drama) such that an order like that is just plain silly in terms of actual execution. However, if presented with such an order (if he was) ... his duty is to resign - if it's really the case that he thought himself doing something heroic. More likely everyone knew you couldn't even schedule the first con-call to go over the order before the inauguration... so I'm assuming this is all useless guff.
Unless Miley believes his own bullshit... in which case, he needs to be removed. If however, he knows it's all bullshit but still played himself up to Woodward, he needs to be removed. The only reason he stays? Woodward made it all up. And even then, he probably should be removed for the Passive Aggressive bullshit he pulled on the Afghan withdrawal. And we can remain silent/agnostic on Lafayette park or Jan 6. But honestly, can't see why you'd keep Miley around as Commander in Chief.
But as I said before, Joe is an institutionalist and isn't interested in fixing broken things... just doing more of what Joe thinks needs doing.
On “Listed: AOC, The Met Gala, and That Dress”
Thanks for at least having a crack at it...
"
Sure... and there are non-Profits and other entities which aren't specifically designed to make money beyond operations.
It's not entirely true, though that small businesses don't or couldn't share equity; in fact, a lot of small businesses 'work' precisely because ownership is taking profits as distributed income... and that's ok. Effectively we'd have to change the regulations such that '30% share of dividends' would also go to waitresses. Might not be a lot, it's not a get-rich-for-everyone plan.
My Family has operated a small business for 100yrs... on the one hand Capital in this case is really only making 1.5x-2x median worker (sometimes less) but we've experimented with dividends on profits and it works - in terms of productivity gains and incentives.
But true... there's not likely to be a big liquidation event, but also not impossible that there wouldn't be.
I'm not sure I'd say we need 'socialism' to fill the gaps since I like to use the terms correctly... but we'd surely continue to have civil society programs to fill in the gaps. Those programs might simply be better served by straight cash transfers rather than Managed Services.
Today's news about Yellen suggesting we need a massive Govt run Child Healthcare? Take 75% of the money and give it directly to parents and take 25% and provide supplemental day-care... let the 75% flow where it needs to go.
As a 'for example'
"
Right... baseline principle is that nothing Capital can do with their shares is privileged over what Labor does with theirs... no Class A... no Voting Rights Only... no Preferred, etc.
Now, honestly, that 30% would be as organized as Cats in a meadow... but the goal isn't control, it's capturing some of the productivity gains even as your gains make you redundant (eventually).
Devils, Details, and Lawyers and all that... but that's your Political Sell-To story... after that it's all execution, accountants, and Bezos tears.
On “About Last Night: Gavin Newsom’s Comfy California Recall Edition”
Me? Last I checked the fine State of California had not extended my the privilege of a vote.
But let's be honest, replacing Dianne Feinstein with a non-partisan cat would Make America Great Again.
"
"unenforced error"
...well now it is.
On “Listed: AOC, The Met Gala, and That Dress”
I'm more radical... kill the intermediary. Ownership and Money directly in the hands of Labour to squander as they see fit.
"
Someday I'm going to have to write a formal post on March's crazy distributist schemes.
It isn't trickle-down, nor noblesse oblige... it's better than Warren's toothless 30% Labor Board Seats... and God save us from Taxes to set-up sinecures for the managerial class.
A non-wonky Dorm-room precis looks like this:
Think of it as a one time re-pricing event ... we wave our magic wand of Democratic Will (and 2044 Executive Powers) and 30% of all corporate wealth is 're-priced' to include labor (realistically we could go back 5-yrs and would likely phase in over, say, 5-yrs)... Repricing events happen all the time... we're just going to deal Labor in at the Corporate Charter level.
That's it.
No socialism, no unions (but sure, have them if you wish! And Elk's Clubs and Curling societies have them all!), revise the tax code? Sure, we should simplify so congress doesn't have incentives to sell incentives, but it doesn't impact this.
Hence forth each minute, hour, day, year, decade you work you accrue some fractional portion of the real value created by capitalism.
Absolutely impossible to fathom 30- maybe even 20-years ago... but computers, electronic records, and fractional ownership via independent brokers are a thing now... new things are possible. New Deals may be struck.
...but there's only so much I can fit on the back of my gown.
"
Not trickle down at all... still taking money directly from the rich.
"
If only there was a party saying that it wasn't that the rich had too much, it was that they spent too little... and what we needed more than taxes to fund managerial class 'boondogles' disguised as 'programs for the poor' is instead that we increases the velocity of money by diverting much much more of that money much much more broadly at the point of creation.
Tax the Rich begs the question of who becomes the fund managers of the taxes.
Distribute the gains of successful capitalism more broadly is a better policy goal.
On “About Last Night: Gavin Newsom’s Comfy California Recall Edition”
Can't say I followed very closely, but the general campaign of simple malaise had some traction and the polls were indeed close... until the Stupidity of First Past the Post made it clear that Elder was viable, perhaps likely replacement.
For Political Science, if Californians would agree, I''d like to re-run the experiment with Ranked Choice voting, or even better a run-off. For science.
But even with the numbers you cite: 45% agree he enacted the right safety measures... of that 45% how many also thought they should apply to him?
As I say, I'm not the least bit surprised by the outcome, but I think it weird that we can ignore actual events and rhetoric and framing and all the things politicians do and react to as part of a foregone conclusion.
"
But seriously, a recall vote in CA is boring... are we going to have a post about Gen. Miley?
"
Yes. But is this not politics 101?
I don't know what Silver said, but basically Newsom was smart to make it Newsom vs. Elder rather than Newsom vs. the French Laundry.
On “Ballot Zombies”
Trust is an artificial construct too.
But honestly I'm not litigating the last election or election - n ... we need voting reforms across the board, and it's better to build in Trust as a primary not secondary issue.
I'm also not trying to get one side or the other elected, and I think a lot of ballot enhancements (with the right level of trust) will break down some of the sclerotic party factions that is driving some bad decisions on what Voter Reform (TM) should be.
I'll even say that I think y'all are underestimating the risks from the Trumpified Republican faction that can capture the voting mechanisms - a'la Mayor Dayley in Chicago - which we all know was never *proven* to be the case [wink, wink]. Within the current system and any system that privileges access over trust.
It's similar to when I talk about Redistricting and folks assume that it's obvious how redistricting should work... but it's not obvious, and in some cases the "it's obvious" is masking a lot of subtext on how redistricting would 'fix' problems for their team and not as much thought on how it might open new problems and/or whether we're talking about underlying challenges that redistricting is masking or a proxy.
On “President Biden To Use OSHA To Enforce Mandatory Vaccinations For Companies”
No, you seem to be overlooking the fact that OSHA fine's the Employers for the Worker's non-compliance.
As if the FAA would fine the Airlines for the Passenger's non-compliance.
Companies want to get back to business... they aren't interested in potentially firing large chunks of their workforce.
It's an open question whether the workforce caves (probably they will)... but rather than find out the Companies are going to make sure the regulations give them the wiggle room to neither fire, nor be responsible for the testing, nor pay the actual fines for non-compliance.
They will, however, cheerlead vaccinations... which is why OSHA isn't necessarily as great an idea as more money for Corporations to pay people to get vaccinated.
"
OSHA violations don't review intent. The theory is that Verizon is making other workers unsafe if Tim wasn't tested and or vaxed that week. Haven't read that deeply on what the reporting mechanism is... but OSHA allows for other workers to report violations.
Which is why I'm predicting that the regulations won't survive K-Street making sure that the employers have discretion on how this is handled.
Which, on the one hand is what JS is implying... on the other hand, outsourcing OSHA Safety to the discretion of employers is a neat trick of regulatory capture... but that's a fig leaf we already have, I suppose?
"
"That’s like making the prediction that airlines would resist heavier fines for unruly passengers."
...paid by the Airlines.
On “Ballot Zombies”
Virginia requires an appointment at the DMV; presumably for document review? Which is why I don't have one.
"
Right... RealID is kind of a pain when I looked at it (I got deferred last year due to Covid)... I could see lots of folks not wanting to bother with it... except for the whole airplane thing.
"
Sure... there are paths... we're just not really talking about them
But this the evolution of RealID... as of now not all 50-states have the same ID requirements... would also have to specify update rules to validate voter eligibility... which is done in many, but not all states.
So potentially we could piggy-back on strengthening (even further) the RealID requirements and specify various rules regarding voting, etc. But RealID was postponed into MAY 2023... and you'd need this as a minimum for updating Voter Rolls... not sure if that's doable by 2024 elections.
But sure... we can't fly without RealID are we good if we can't vote without RealID?
Has RealID been scrutinized to pass muster with all factions as fair and reasonable?
I'm not sure I'll be comfortable giving Lowes my Real ID number when I get it.
Here's what's required in VA (presumably all states) to start the Real ID process (1st minimum requirement ... there's more after this):
You are required to provide proof of your identity. DMV accepts the documents listed below. On this page, select one document that you will bring to DMV as your primary proof of identity.
*Official birth document issued by a U.S. state, jurisdiction, or territory. Birth documents issued by a hospital, notifications of birth registration, foreign birth certificates, and Virginia certificates of foreign birth (documents displaying the statement "Not evidence of U.S. citizenship") are not accepted.
Valid, unexpired U.S. passport or U.S. passport card (temporary passports are not accepted)
*Unexpired foreign passport with unexpired or expired U.S. visa and unexpired I-94 or entry stamp
*Unexpired foreign passport with unexpired I-94W
*Unexpired foreign passport with unexpired or expired U.S. immigrant visa
*Unexpired foreign passport with unexpired or expired I-551 stamp
*Unexpired Employment Authorization Document (I-766)
*Consular Report of Birth Abroad (FS-240)
*Certificate of Birth Abroad (FS-545)
*Certification of Report of Birth of a U.S. Citizen (DS-1350)
*U.S. Certificate of Naturalization (Form N-550 or Form N-570)
*U.S. Certificate of Citizenship (Form N-560 or Form N-561)
*Valid, unexpired permanent resident card (Form I-551)
Obviously, additional rules would need adding for Voting eligibility... DHS website says that these ID's are still State Level only (i.e. You couldn't use your VA RealID to vote in TX, but it should make the process of getting your TX RealID easier). There's no National Data Base of RealID. Everytime you move (out of state), you get a new RealID... which would have to be matched/de-duped.
"
Absolutely... here's the shit-show that it kick-off though:
1. How do you verify the first National ID everyone gets?
2. How do you manage 4th Amendment and Privacy regulations for a National Data Base that is used everywhere.
3. Are there any limits to what is required or even voluntarily authorized to use your National ID? Can Lowes request it? If yes, why, if no, why not?
"
You guys are fighting the last war.