Ed Whelan, a former Scalia Clerk and no one's idea of a liberal is apparently hearing through the grapevine that there is apparently a bonkers plan for Trump to get these appointments through on recess by adjourning Congress using Article II, Section 3. Article II, Section 3 states:
"He shall from time to time give to the Congress Information of the State of the Union, and recommend to their Consideration such Measures as he shall judge necessary and expedient; he may, on extraordinary Occasions, convene both Houses, or either of them, and in Case of Disagreement between them, with Respect to the Time of Adjournment, he may adjourn them to such Time as he shall think proper; he shall receive Ambassadors and other public Ministers; he shall take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed, and shall Commission all the Officers of the United States."
I suppose it would be pretty darkly funny in a lolsob grim way if Trump decides to go Charles I on Congress and tell them they are not needed.
He does. It is trolling because 78 percent of the Jewish vote when to Harris according to early preliminary exit polling (not seen since 2008) and it is also trolling the Arabs of Michigan who apparently vote for Trump or Stein to send Democrats a message.
Welp, Trump's advisors are apparently considering a warrior board in order to demote insufficiently loyal officers: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2024/nov/12/donald-trump-marco-rubio-juan-merchan-stormy-daniels-us-politics-live
I never thought the Leopards would eat my face: https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/35e20d57ba367eac41506b058cf7c800884e37895139209eb3464a5e57e7b0f8.jpg
Well it sure looks like Putin has Compromising materials on Trump and also might have done unspecified stuff during the 2024 election: https://newrepublic.com/post/188284/vladimir-putin-donald-trump-election-obligations
“To achieve success in the election, Donald Trump relied on certain forces to which he has corresponding obligations,” [ Presidential aide] Nikolay Patrushev told the business daily Kommersant in response to a question about whether the outcome of the presidential election would bode well for Russia. “As a responsible person, he will be obliged to fulfill them.”
The stupid it burns. AOC asked people in her district who voted for her and Trump why and got a range of responses, most of which provoke a headdesk in me: https://www.reddit.com/r/WhitePeopleTwitter/comments/1goup3n/americans_are_just_dumb_as_hell/?share_id=xnTBX3ZXvRY85Itt_hjqZ&utm_content=1&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=ioscss&utm_source=share&utm_term=1&rdt=49778
The short version is this:
- They DON’T believe Harris would have delivered on promises that they DO like (eg home health care funding, ending taxes on tips, first-time home buyer assistance, protecting reproductive rights)
- They DO believe Harris would have delivered on promises that they DON’T like (eg supporting Israel & Ukraine)
- They DON’T believe Trump will deliver on promises that they DON’T like (eg deporting millions, rounding up political opponents, ending environmental accords & programs, replacing progressive taxation with regressive taxes & tariffs, adding more far-right judges to the federal bench)
- They DO believe Trump will deliver on promises that they DO like (eg ending war everywhere with a phone call, ending taxes on tips(!)
Who is allowed to practice identity politics? https://donmoynihan.substack.com/p/who-is-allowed-to-practice-identity?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=492324&post_id=151431627
"Lets unpack this a bit. Dukakis was the son of immigrants who ran against a scion of an American political dynasty. Gore and Kerry lost to the next generation of that dynasty. Second-term Barack Obama defeated a hedge-fund leader whose father was a Governor. Clinton lost to a man who lived in a golden mansion.
To run for President certainly implies some elite status. But relative to who they were running against, the Democrats Dowd lists are not “avatars of elitism” by any stretch of the imagination, unless elite is drained of any signifier of political or economic power. Which of course is the point. The elites today are not the billionaire President or his plutocrat backers, but the adjunct faculty member who talks about Latinx people."
More evidence for people voting for Trump and no one else includes:
North Carolina. Trump's margin of victory above Harris was about 2 percent. On the other hand, Democrats swept the major state wide races (Gov, AG, Sos, Lt. Gov) and appear to be on track to break the GOP supermajority in the State Legislature.
1. Harris received more votes in Nevada than Rosen;
2. Rosen is going to win reelection because about 70K people showed up to vote for Trump and did not vote for Sam Brown for Senate.
3. The same thing apparently happened in elections for the House of Reps and State Legislature because Democrats easily one their three seats in the House again and appear on track to keeping their supermajorities in the Nevada State Legislature
1. It's inflation, stupid. The same thing that has toppled most governments, left or right, in elections since 2021.
2. Lots of people neither take Trump seriously or literally based on numerous articles I have read. Or 2024 might the F around and find out election for a lot of people.
3. Trump's coattails are remarkably small to non-existent.
FWIW, it looks like Trump is not winning a majority but a plurality.
The final vote account according to Silver appears to be this:
1. Trump = 78.5 million votes (49.9 %)
2. Harris= 76.2 million votes (48.4 %)
3. Other = 2.6 million votes (1.5%)
Total turnout 157.3m votes (about 1.3 million less than 2020)
Trump Margin = 1.5 percent
Turning point state: PA (+2.1 %)
Notably, PA is the only swing state where a Republican won their Senate race. No one ever seriously thought that Montana, Ohio, or West Virginia would go for Harris and there is an entirely plausible scenario where Harris wins the election but Tester and Brown lose their reelection bods.
On “Open Mic for the week of 11/11/2024”
Ed Whelan, a former Scalia Clerk and no one's idea of a liberal is apparently hearing through the grapevine that there is apparently a bonkers plan for Trump to get these appointments through on recess by adjourning Congress using Article II, Section 3. Article II, Section 3 states:
"He shall from time to time give to the Congress Information of the State of the Union, and recommend to their Consideration such Measures as he shall judge necessary and expedient; he may, on extraordinary Occasions, convene both Houses, or either of them, and in Case of Disagreement between them, with Respect to the Time of Adjournment, he may adjourn them to such Time as he shall think proper; he shall receive Ambassadors and other public Ministers; he shall take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed, and shall Commission all the Officers of the United States."
I suppose it would be pretty darkly funny in a lolsob grim way if Trump decides to go Charles I on Congress and tell them they are not needed.
"
Kafka was supposed to be kind of funny too!
"
Matt Gaetz is Trump's nominee for Attorney General
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Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy are going to be co-head of a not yet created "Department" of Government Efficiency.
Yes, DOGE like the meme coin or like the ruler of Venice. Really, it is an advisory committee probably.
On “3 Headed Monster of the New Trump Diplomatic Machine: Cerberus with a hand shake.”
He does. It is trolling because 78 percent of the Jewish vote when to Harris according to early preliminary exit polling (not seen since 2008) and it is also trolling the Arabs of Michigan who apparently vote for Trump or Stein to send Democrats a message.
On “Open Mic for the week of 11/11/2024”
So is Pritzker in Illinois. Inslee is out in 2025. The next governor of Washington is Bob Fergusson, the current A.G. of the state
On “3 Headed Monster of the New Trump Diplomatic Machine: Cerberus with a hand shake.”
In further trolling and signaling:
Peter Hegseth is his nominee for Defense Secretary and Huckabee is his nominee for Ambassador to Israel
On “Open Mic for the week of 11/11/2024”
Welp, Trump's advisors are apparently considering a warrior board in order to demote insufficiently loyal officers: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2024/nov/12/donald-trump-marco-rubio-juan-merchan-stormy-daniels-us-politics-live
"
I think it is more what Kompromat will be released into media
"
I never thought the Leopards would eat my face: https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/35e20d57ba367eac41506b058cf7c800884e37895139209eb3464a5e57e7b0f8.jpg
"
Well it sure looks like Putin has Compromising materials on Trump and also might have done unspecified stuff during the 2024 election: https://newrepublic.com/post/188284/vladimir-putin-donald-trump-election-obligations
“To achieve success in the election, Donald Trump relied on certain forces to which he has corresponding obligations,” [ Presidential aide] Nikolay Patrushev told the business daily Kommersant in response to a question about whether the outcome of the presidential election would bode well for Russia. “As a responsible person, he will be obliged to fulfill them.”
On “He Got Away With It”
So does AOC. We do need someone who can speak bro.
But I suspect a lot of people are going to be shocked when the leopards eat their faces
"
The stupid it burns. AOC asked people in her district who voted for her and Trump why and got a range of responses, most of which provoke a headdesk in me: https://www.reddit.com/r/WhitePeopleTwitter/comments/1goup3n/americans_are_just_dumb_as_hell/?share_id=xnTBX3ZXvRY85Itt_hjqZ&utm_content=1&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=ioscss&utm_source=share&utm_term=1&rdt=49778
The short version is this:
- They DON’T believe Harris would have delivered on promises that they DO like (eg home health care funding, ending taxes on tips, first-time home buyer assistance, protecting reproductive rights)
- They DO believe Harris would have delivered on promises that they DON’T like (eg supporting Israel & Ukraine)
- They DON’T believe Trump will deliver on promises that they DON’T like (eg deporting millions, rounding up political opponents, ending environmental accords & programs, replacing progressive taxation with regressive taxes & tariffs, adding more far-right judges to the federal bench)
- They DO believe Trump will deliver on promises that they DO like (eg ending war everywhere with a phone call, ending taxes on tips(!)
On “Open Mic for the week of 11/11/2024”
Who is allowed to practice identity politics? https://donmoynihan.substack.com/p/who-is-allowed-to-practice-identity?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=492324&post_id=151431627
"Lets unpack this a bit. Dukakis was the son of immigrants who ran against a scion of an American political dynasty. Gore and Kerry lost to the next generation of that dynasty. Second-term Barack Obama defeated a hedge-fund leader whose father was a Governor. Clinton lost to a man who lived in a golden mansion.
To run for President certainly implies some elite status. But relative to who they were running against, the Democrats Dowd lists are not “avatars of elitism” by any stretch of the imagination, unless elite is drained of any signifier of political or economic power. Which of course is the point. The elites today are not the billionaire President or his plutocrat backers, but the adjunct faculty member who talks about Latinx people."
"
AOC asked people who voted for her and Trump why and got a lot of responses along the lines of "the stupid, it burns"
https://bsky.app/profile/tamaracharese.bsky.social/post/3laolnxooie2q
On “He Got Away With It”
More evidence for people voting for Trump and no one else includes:
North Carolina. Trump's margin of victory above Harris was about 2 percent. On the other hand, Democrats swept the major state wide races (Gov, AG, Sos, Lt. Gov) and appear to be on track to break the GOP supermajority in the State Legislature.
"
Make of this what you will but:
1. Harris received more votes in Nevada than Rosen;
2. Rosen is going to win reelection because about 70K people showed up to vote for Trump and did not vote for Sam Brown for Senate.
3. The same thing apparently happened in elections for the House of Reps and State Legislature because Democrats easily one their three seats in the House again and appear on track to keeping their supermajorities in the Nevada State Legislature
"
https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1855608085571580169?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1855608085571580169%7Ctwgr%5E4cb579babd391fc75989b35520707dd6414ef5f2%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com%2F2024%2F11%2Fthe-emerging-picture
"
I think the answer is more likely:
1. It's inflation, stupid. The same thing that has toppled most governments, left or right, in elections since 2021.
2. Lots of people neither take Trump seriously or literally based on numerous articles I have read. Or 2024 might the F around and find out election for a lot of people.
3. Trump's coattails are remarkably small to non-existent.
"
FWIW, it looks like Trump is not winning a majority but a plurality.
The final vote account according to Silver appears to be this:
1. Trump = 78.5 million votes (49.9 %)
2. Harris= 76.2 million votes (48.4 %)
3. Other = 2.6 million votes (1.5%)
Total turnout 157.3m votes (about 1.3 million less than 2020)
Trump Margin = 1.5 percent
Turning point state: PA (+2.1 %)
Notably, PA is the only swing state where a Republican won their Senate race. No one ever seriously thought that Montana, Ohio, or West Virginia would go for Harris and there is an entirely plausible scenario where Harris wins the election but Tester and Brown lose their reelection bods.
"
We are in "The Democrats would have won if they did all these things which coincidentally happen to align with my ideological priors" season.
On “2024 Election Day Live Stream, Reaction, Open Thread”
It is encouraging but let's wait for more data.
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Stephen Miller on Musk's thing: If you know any men who haven’t voted, get them to the polls.
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Trump is having a normal about Philadelphia
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/503ba08866d41eaf60a3db5b6ae245b397f330223e861ba89edaf7f5b028ba6a.jpg
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You are potentially right but I want him to have some info and be freaking out.
*Comment archive for non-registered commenters assembled by email address as provided.