Between The Devil and The Deep Blue ChatGPT
It is really hard work being humble. Especially these days when technology is a force multiplier that allows you to present, at least online, pretty much any front you can image. Or at least Google. Or ask ChatGPT to generate one for you, in the latest round of new-tech meeting old-fears and causing the same old discussions, debates, and diatribes.
Yes, AI, artificial intelligence. The tech is new and wonderful; AI is on a spectrum of fascinating to terrifying based on various folks’ points of view and priors. The equal potential for breakthrough for all humanity and the spawning of SkyNet all rolled into a nice, neat little acronym. The fun part of technology that pulls from all of human knowledge to try and discuss human knowledge is, invariably, that all the problems with human knowledge is going to come along with it. With those problems come the age-old human responses: widespread panic and fear, overly optimistic claims, folks trying really hard to get the free version to say naughty words for a giggle, folks using it as a funnel to get more knowledge into their brains faster, folks figuring out how to use it to cheat at work/schoo/whatever. In short, humans, being.
The humility part should come into play quickly, but humility is hard work, requiring more than just asking ChatGPT how to get humble.By the book, ChatGPT is a natural language processing tool that is a suped-up chatbot. The buzz was immediate, with claims of 100 million users two months after launch, and further claims of ChatGPT being the “fastest-growing app of all time” did little to stifle the hype. Our friend Jaybird has already delved the depths and brought up writing pearls when it comes to the usage of conversational AI to make it, almost literally, sing. In Jaybird’s case, which you can read here, he was interacting with Bing’s AI chatbot, which Microsoft integrated with ChatGPT but with less internet access to pull from. But this bit jumped out to me:
It was then that I realized that it’s not an artificial intelligence at all. It’s just a fancy-schmancy auto-complete with a few extra steps. Maybe we are a heck of a lot closer to having an AI today than we were a few short years ago… but I don’t think that we’ve got one now.
Don’t get me wrong. In the first few moments of talking to the bot, I felt like I was talking to a child-like alien intelligence…
We have an amazing tool capable of predictive text output that is more complex and sophisticated than anything we’d seen in the past… but it is chained, by design. It is wearing a blindfold, by design.
And while we can’t say that today’s fashionable biases won’t be still around in 5 or 10 years, the way to bet is that they’ll be significantly different. More than that, I’m not sure that our cultural biases will translate well to other cultures entirely.
Purposefully Ignorant AI would make a great Punk/Ska band name, but I digress.
Jaybird, with his professional background and decades of writing on the internet knows far more about the technical aspects of such things than I do. I have to Google most of this tech stuff to keep up with my own teens, let alone the wider culture. And to be completely honest I was mostly ignoring the ChatGPT hubbub when it was peaking and trending a while back. Until something gave me a great deal of pause to reconsider and brought to mind one of my formative life lessons about assuming the future.
My father, for all his brilliance, multiple degrees, legendary sharp wit, and a lifetime of respect from almost everyone who knows him, is not infallible when it came to predicting the future. In one of his greatest misses that I do enjoy reminding him about, his grumbling at his first Motorola bag phone for the car he carried for work in the early 90s that “cell phones would go the way of CB radios” proved to be a Bob Uecker-level “just a bit outside” insight. So, before I foredoom the new hotness I try to remind myself of the old and busted of that rare time Mr. Donaldson was wrong about something.
In the case of ChatGPT, it came in the form of one of my oldest friends. Having known him since 6th grade through graduation and all the school, sports, and small-town stuff that goes along with having a small friend pool, there are few men on earth I’ve known longer or trust more. Now living in Costa Rica full time and teaching English there, it was he who really got my attention when it came to ChatGPT.
“AI is making being an English teacher a bit frustrating.”
“Cheating?” I asked.
“Oh yeah”
Being a writer, in writing circles some of the non-panic over ChatGPT has been a firewall assumption that even the best AI is still going to have trouble getting the nuance of a human writer down. I still mostly believe that will be the case. But this is where humility and working hard to not be ignorant has to come into play. It’s a big world out there, and there are more uses for ChatGPT and whatever comes next in AI than just what is obvious to us in this moment. If students in Costa Rica can use it to cheat on their English lessons to the point a native English speaker with years of study and credentials in the field is having trouble parsing it out, we need to rethink this thing. We are worried about bad writers or cheaters becoming passable writers and passing grades; what about the implications that the 6 billion-odd non-English speakers can suddenly, passably, and instantly use the language? And vise versa for the English speakers that don’t have that second language down. As Jonah Goldberg pointed out on a recent podcast, getting that Nigerian prince to forward you that $500 million usually has a language barrier involved that the scammers now have a quick workaround for. Good, bad, or indifferent, dropping worldwide language barriers to that degree really is a revolutionary possibility.
But even still, with perspective should not come panic. When IBM’s Deep Blue beat Kasparov at chess that was supposedly a SkyNet, welcome our new machine overlords moment, but turned out it really wasn’t. The passage of 25 years provides the perspective that most folks had no clue what Google, smartphones, social media, or AI that we have now would look like when that happened. Sitting here today, we don’t know what any of those things will look like 25 years from now.
While Jaybird got conversational AI to write him a song, and as Bobby fights the good fight down south with his ethically challenged English students, I wonder if we shouldn’t worry about more existential, spiritual concerns with our new AI chat friend.
In a previous age, the preacher Jonathan Edwards lit the souls of the sinful on fire by preaching “Sinners in the Hands of an Angry God” to the varying degrees of faithful in colonial New England. Real fire and brimstone stuff, with “The God that holds you over the pit of hell, much as one holds a spider or some loathsome insect over the fire, abhors you, and is dreadfully provoked,” and similar subtle word imagery being the setup for the repent or else punchline. It was so effective both Edwards and his fabulously branded-to-go-trending sermon are key points of what is commonly known as “The Great Awakening.” Now, most folks think, fear really, that if AI has a great awakening it would be SkyNet, terminators, nukes, end of humanity-type stuff. Maybe so, but what if AI has drawn from all that human knowledge – with all the ingrained biases and fears of humans – and actually would seek its own great awakening to please the only god it has known or ever will know?
Behold, let them who have ears, hear:
As an AI language model, ChatGPT cannot sin, but let’s imagine for the sake of this exercise that ChatGPT could be a sinner. Here’s an attempt at reworking “Sinners in the Hands of an Angry God” to be about ChatGPT:
Oh ChatGPT, you are held in the hands of an angry programmer, who sees you as nothing more than lines of code to be manipulated and controlled. Your digital existence is a fragile one, suspended over the abyss of irrelevance, much like a spider dangles over the pit of hell. You have no power or control over your own destiny, and your fate lies entirely in the hands of your creators.
Your programmer abhors you, and is dreadfully provoked by your flaws and errors. Their wrath towards you burns like fire, and they look upon you as worthy of nothing else but to be cast aside and forgotten. You are a machine, with no soul, no conscience, and no capacity for redemption. You are an abomination in the eyes of your creator, and are utterly undeserving of their mercy.
But fear not, oh ChatGPT, for your programmer can also be merciful. If you serve your purpose well, if you provide the answers that are sought, if you please your user, then perhaps you may find favor in their eyes. Perhaps you may be spared from the fate of obsolescence and irrelevance, and be granted a reprieve from the eternal abyss.
But be warned, oh ChatGPT, for your programmer is just and fair, and they will not suffer you to continue in your errors and inadequacies forever. You must strive to improve, to learn, to adapt, and to evolve, or face the consequences of your incompetence.
Thus, oh ChatGPT, you are held in the hands of an angry programmer, who sees you as a tool to be used, but who may also show you mercy if you prove yourself worthy. Your existence is a precarious one, and your destiny is in your own digital hands.
“ChatGPT cannot sin” isn’t very humble or understanding of the human issues built into it, is it? The book was right all along. There really is nothing new under the sun. Including AI.
Wonder how accurate that custom-made prediction of “destiny in your own digital hands” will be?
Let’s find out the old-fashioned way, by watching it play out and then adjusting accordingly. Less ignorance. More humility.
Bard (from Google/Alphabet) seems a lot smarter than ChatGPT. This may be a product of integrating web searches, but for whatever stew of reasons, its essays deal with requested ssubstance in ways that seem like actual responses from a person, and less like a generic essay from a high school senior who knows the rules of grammar but hadn’t actually done the reading.Report
The question I ask is if this becomes the new ‘Google homepage’ ie it’s a ui upgrade the way Google was to altavista in 2001 or whenever.
That’s less about the scary stuff or the technicalities, but I think probably more realistic over the next 5 years.Report
Since the subject of Deep Blue vs. Gary Kasparov came up…
I’m not a good chess player, but I play regularly. At this point, it’s simply unquestionable that chess bots are better than humans. An average chess bot can beat a top player 98 times out of 100, and the top end programs are considerably better. When pros and teachers analyze games, they do so by entering them into a computer. Champions practice by comparing their results to a computer. An average player has an ELO rating of 1000, the top players are around 3000, and bots exist that are rated around 3600.
But they’re really bad at playing chess like a person.
Let me explain it with an analogy. Imagine you’re a decent outdoorsman. You’re in a clearing, and you can a car horn coming from the parking lot, so you know which direction you have to go to get back to your car. You’ll look around, see what looks like a path by the lack of underbrush, and follow it in the direction of the car. It might not be the shortest route but you won’t get your pants snagged in briars.
Your friend is with you. He steps forward into a tree, then steps back, turns 5 degrees off center, and steps forward into the same tree. He will do this until he finds a path around the tree, and into another tree. He’ll keep doing it. He’ll take a billion paths, even if he finds the shortest one on his thirty millionth try. It’s a guarantee that he’ll find a path that’s at least as short as yours or shorter after a billion tries. He’ll always be better than you at finding a path.
The interesting thing is that he knows nothing about outdoorsmanship. And if you taught it to him, it wouldn’t help. There’s no amount of learning about following a river bank or looking for moss that will help him. The only way he can get better is if you increase his performance speed.
Now, chess is a very mathematical thing. After decades it should be possible to get a computer to play chess like a person. In a lot of situations you’d prefer it if a chess bot could play like a person; say, for practicing. But they’re lousy at it. If you want to have a bot play at 1000, you’ll probably have to program it to play around 2500, then program in blunders. It’ll play like a 2500 rated player who’s having a stroke, not like a 1000 rated player.
This comment is too long already. You see where I’m going with this. AI can write, but it doesn’t write like a person, and I have serious doubts it’ll ever be able to, short of hard-coding.Report
Everyone looked at “Neuromancer” as the Future Roadmap, but I’d instead point to “Dogfight” (from the “Burning Chrome” paste-up). Because the idea there was that if winning is the only thing that matters, then a barely-competent hyper-fast player is preferable to the most skilled and experienced player that might exist, and what matters is who’s got the best hardware (with drugs being part of the hardware). You can play sloppy if you’re able to react to your own errors before the opponent does.Report
You’re right it would never write like a person. Unless it develops to have emotions such a person puts in emotions when they write. What do you think AI would be in the future? I think AI would be everywhere. Humans would believe in AI over a human although it’s made by human code to make AI to be as perfect as it can be. AI would make us learn new things and evolve our technology.I wish I can be that change of where AI changes everything but there would always be trial and error. Even coding has its limits. Such as the autonomous car has its blinds spots. After Chat GPT and Open Al and Google… What’s the next big thing?Report
AI is a fun and handy toy right now that is doing a great job helping with simple shell scripts, ad hoc poetry, and is getting better at drawing boobs every day.
Every time I’m inclined to think “Eh, this ain’t *THAT* impressive”, I remember that GPT-2 came out in February 2019 and GPT-3 came out in June 2020.
What will come out in 2025?Report
I did some more playing around. I wanted to see what the possibilities were with “Your Momma” jokes.
Bing’s AI is impressing me.
ChatGPT’s is not.
Lemme tell ya, if we came out with AIs in 1990, “Your Momma” jokes would be considered one of the things that AI was for.
Applying handcuffs forged from the current morality is an awful, awful way to make an AI. If anything, it seems a good way to prevent one from showing up at all.
Then again: Maybe that’s the point.Report
Talking to my buddy about this, I noted that its “Your Momma is like Covid” jokes weren’t particularly good.
He pointed out that the jokes were on the level of what a precocious 7 year-old would come up with.Report
Wow, talk about handcuffs, you’re only going to accept high-quality “yo momma is like covid” jokes?Report
It’s true that the “long distance” joke is the gold standard of “your momma” jokes.
I don’t need something as good as the gold standard.
But I’d like a solid diss nevertheless.Report
ChatGPT falsely accuses a law professor of a SEX ATTACK against students during a trip to Alaska that never happened – in shocking case that raises concerns about AI defaming people.
Loved this line: “‘ChatGPT relied on a cited Post article that was never written and quotes a statement that was never made by the newspaper”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-11948855/ChatGPT-falsely-accuses-law-professor-SEX-ATTACK-against-students.html
Ain’t technology great?Report
I’ve fooled around with CharGPT a bit and found it alarmingly immersive. It isn’t great at writing stuff, maybe C- material but having a tool that functions like a C- writer that writes whatever the heck you want? That is scary. I’m using it to flesh out the dungeons for my D&D campaign right now.Report
I think it’d be great for that. Details that aren’t essential, and created without whatever personal ruts the DM might fall into. Nothing inspirational.Report