Open Mic for the week of 1/13/2025

Jaybird

Jaybird is Birdmojo on Xbox Live and Jaybirdmojo on Playstation's network. He's been playing consoles since the Atari 2600 and it was Zork that taught him how to touch-type. If you've got a song for Wednesday, a commercial for Saturday, a recommendation for Tuesday, an essay for Monday, or, heck, just a handful a questions, fire off an email to AskJaybird-at-gmail.com

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48 Responses

  1. Jaybird
    Ignored
    says:

    This one is weird. The Eagles beat the Packers last night in a big playoff game, 22-10.

    Saquon Barkley was the big running back who made a play where he got a first down and then did a slide instead of running all the way to the end zone for another touchdown.

    The first down locked the game down tight. There was no way that the Packers could come back, even in theory, after that first down was scored. Clock management, baby.

    HOWEVER. Barkley was the biggest recipient of sports betting on Sunday. More people bet that he’d score a touchdown than they made on any other player.

    And Barkley did *NOT* score a touchdown, he, instead, did the slide thing to lock down the game and the QB took a knee on the next play to win the game.

    And ESPN is covering it as controversial due to the whole betting thing.Report

    • Slade the Leveller in reply to Jaybird
      Ignored
      says:

      Professional sports may (probably will) someday rue the day they got into bed with bookies, but Barkley’s slide was just a class move to not run up the score. Why prolong the game?Report

      • Jaybird in reply to Slade the Leveller
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        says:

        What is the difference between point shaving and not running up the score?

        (And I agree, getting into bed with the bookies was a bad move… especially since there are people who have six-figure one-year contracts playing right next to people who have nine-figure multi-year contracts. How much money is there to be made in making sure that a prop bet goes *THIS* way instead of *THAT* way?)Report

        • Slade the Leveller in reply to Jaybird
          Ignored
          says:

          Let’s say he scores. Then there’s the PAT, where no time runs off the clock. The Eagles kick off and it’s a touchback. Still the same amount of time on the clock. The Eagles’ D has to come out and defend who knows how many plays in garbage time. Why risk the injury?Report

          • Jaybird in reply to Slade the Leveller
            Ignored
            says:

            100%. Perfectly reasonable.

            That’s what makes point shaving so pernicious.

            Why do you care? The Eagles won anyway. How does it affect you personally?Report

            • KenB in reply to Jaybird
              Ignored
              says:

              But this has always been a thing, to some extent – the main difference with *legalized* gambling is that ESPN is more apt to write a post about it.Report

              • Slade the Leveller in reply to KenB
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                says:

                I’m going to go with Occam’s Razor on this one. ESPN is JAQing off with this stuff. There’s absolutely no substance. (Though the NFL has certainly invited this. Remember when there couldn’t be professional sports in Vegas due to the legalized gambling?)Report

              • Michael Cain in reply to Slade the Leveller
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                says:

                Amazon’s Thursday Night Football has three of the studio analysts put together a three-factor parlay bet during their pregame show. With at least fine-print disclaimer on screen that neither Amazon nor the analysts have any association with the online sports book doing the instant money line for the parley, and that the money line for the bet is subject to change.Report

          • Michael Cain in reply to Slade the Leveller
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            says:

            Some years back the Chicago Bears wound up losing a game because on a play inside the last two minutes, their running back went out of bounds and stopped the clock instead of sliding. The opponents had no time outs left and almost certainly wouldn’t have scored a game-tying field goal as time expired without the 40 seconds that didn’t run off the clock.Report

      • InMD in reply to Slade the Leveller
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        says:

        They will absolutely rue it.

        I believe the slide is now the consensus ‘correct’ play, not (just) a matter of sportsmanship. Even in a game that is almost certainly won you don’t want to give the ball back or have someone injured on meaningless plays.Report

  2. Philip H
    Ignored
    says:

    As usual, dismally so, the Democrats have learned all the wrong lessons from their very small Senate and House defeats this election cycle. Thus they are still trying to be Republican light on important things like immigration. The worst part of this is that granting states standing to sue over federal performance in immigration enforcement is yet another blow to federalism.

    Read more here –

    https://www.cnn.com/2025/01/12/politics/laken-riley-immigration-enforcement-lawsuits/index.htmlReport

    • Jaybird in reply to Philip H
      Ignored
      says:

      To be perfectly honest, suing over federal performance for issues where the federal government has claimed jurisdiction is a First Amendment issue.

      The law shouldn’t have had to be passed to get that part going.Report

      • Philip H in reply to Jaybird
        Ignored
        says:

        This is not a redress of grievances issue – its a sovereign immunity issue. The Constitution grants the federal government sole control over borders, immigration and war making. Congress then appropriates to the executive such monies as Congress (not the Executive) deems warranted to perform those duties. The Executive then implements those responsibilities within those constraints.

        Texas not liking that there is not more border enforcement is nice, but the way to impact that is to have Texas Congressional representation assure proper funding and oversight. Diverting federal public funds to answer Texas in court every time a decision has to be made won’t actually change how DHS does its job unless Congress appropriates funds differently.Report

        • Jaybird in reply to Philip H
          Ignored
          says:

          proper funding and oversight

          Ah, funding.

          Anyway, I think being able to sue the government for screwing up something where it has claimed jurisdiction *IS* a redress of grievances issue.

          I mean… how is it *NOT* that?

          Come on, man.Report

          • Philip H in reply to Jaybird
            Ignored
            says:

            Just because they aren’t doing it Jaybird’s way doesn’t mean they are screwing it up.

            That aside, the Bill of Right is about individual citizens, not a subordinate level of government.

            Again – the way for Texas to address the issue as a state is to have its congressional delegation appropriate and authorize while conducting oversight through public hearings. Its quite telling that Congress wants to hand off more of its responsibilities to others.Report

            • Jaybird in reply to Philip H
              Ignored
              says:

              That aside, the Bill of Right is about individual citizens, not a subordinate level of government.

              So it would require a law to make it so that Texas can petition them for redress of grievances?

              Sounds like they went about it one of the several right ways, then.

              Just not, you know, the one that Philip H would have preferred.

              I mean, if we’re willing to run with that as a particularly salient criticism.Report

              • Philip H in reply to Jaybird
                Ignored
                says:

                You are right – I wouldn’t have Congress give away their authority in this manor. It won’t actually solve anything.

                Which I thought was the point. But I guess its better that Jaybird get to iterate his game.Report

    • Slade the Leveller in reply to Philip H
      Ignored
      says:

      “Never let a crisis go to waste.” – Winston Churchill – Rahm EmanuelReport

    • InMD in reply to Philip H
      Ignored
      says:

      it all depends on which version of the Democrats we’re talking about. If it’s Obama era trade of increased security and enforcement for leniency for long settled non felons and/or broader legal pathways to immigrate thats something that can be worked with, and isn’t so obviously in stark opposition to the views of the broader electorate. If it’s Biden era tolerance of specious asylum claims to backdoor in the mass, unregulated, and indefinite resettlement of millions and millions of illegal aliens then it’s not going to work. And the ball has been dropped so badly during the later era that the only path back to the former positions that has any credibility may well be making a bunch of concessions to anti immigration hardliners unrequited. It sucks but it’s the predictable consequence of the party giving so much credence to out of touch activist organizations that it turns out don’t even represent the views of the people they claim to and true believers in the immigration bar.Report

      • Philip H in reply to InMD
        Ignored
        says:

        And when those concessions lead to both citizen deportations without redress and a hobbled federal executive forever bogged down by lawsuits what then?

        Much as I detest Jaybird’s Divorce or War quip, I’m beginning to believe We would all be better off without Texas.Report

        • InMD in reply to Philip H
          Ignored
          says:

          The nice thing about democracy is that nothing is permanent. If the predicted disasters materialize then the answer is to go win an election and change the law to something better. As always the tides will turn and the Democrats will at some point have power again, probably sooner than anyone is predicting in the wake of a defeat.

          We also just have to be realistic about the current environment. Ask yourself if we’re better off with, I dont know, Fetterman in the Senate or with whatever Republican defeats him.Report

          • Philip H in reply to InMD
            Ignored
            says:

            As a student of the modern history of Central America, I would posit that your rosy ideas about democracy are rapidly becoming a quaint notion of history. And if Fetterman continues to back irresponsible GOP positions because Democrats continue to learn the wrong lessons, no we are not better off.Report

            • InMD in reply to Philip H
              Ignored
              says:

              I don’t think you really believe that because if you did you’d be out in the street and/or taking up arms not debating it on some website.

              I would also think really hard about what you’re saying about Fetterman. A succesful party that governs more in line with your preferences has a lot more Fettermans and probably even Manchins, because thats what it takes to build strong majorities. You also cannot be succesful in a democracy or even claim the mantle of defender of democratic principles if you’re unwilling to ever meet the electorate where it is on completely legitimate questions of public policy, like immigration.Report

              • Philip H in reply to InMD
                Ignored
                says:

                Democrats signing on to this bill are not meeting the electorate where it is – because the bill does nothing that present law already does, save allowing governors to usurp the powers of Congress and the President when the governors don’t like things. The electorate also doesn’t want mass deportations, but we had a president just get elected promising just that.

                As to taking up protest – no one is organizing them here yet because Mississippi seems to think our undocumented migrants won’t be touched – even though we were one of the few states where Trump’s prior administration actually rounded undocumented migrants up.Report

              • InMD in reply to Philip H
                Ignored
                says:

                The electorate also doesn’t want mass deportations, but we had a president just get elected promising just that.

                My dude… what do you think the election was about? Sure there were other issues most notably inflation but the people spoke. I too strongly doubt this is going to go well but I don’t know what makes you think people are worked up about deportations of people the law says are to be deported.Report

        • Marchmaine in reply to Philip H
          Ignored
          says:

          Where’s the claim that citizens will be deported?

          Are you talking about ‘undocumented citizens’ … I’d be curious what level of exposure that is… sure, I could imagine a 100yo fellow born at home in rural West Texas that might have some(?) challenges… probably not, but I could imagine a curious edge case.

          Live birth recordings are generally available online on a state-by-state basis. Heck, you can get *anyone’s* birth certificate after 75 yrs:

          Protected records are:
          Birth certificates from the last 75 years
          https://ovra.txapps.texas.gov/ovra/order-vital-records?

          Anyhow, would be interested in a cite where someone is making the case that Citizens are at risk.

          Note, I’m not commenting specifically on the Laken Riley bill (which doesn’t reference citizen deportations that I could tell from the article), but curious about this sort of claim that I’m starting to hear bubbling under the surface — trying to get a bead on that.Report

          • Philip H in reply to Marchmaine
            Ignored
            says:

            Citizens being deported has been part of the incoming CBP head’s rhetoric for weeks – where he blatantly says that if a family has citizens and undocumented migrants in it, the citizens should leave with the undocumented migrants to keep the family together. To punish the citizens apparently. Once that starts, its a not very slippery slope for them to be rounded up and shipped out without due process.Report

            • Marchmaine in reply to Philip H
              Ignored
              says:

              Thanks for clarifying; strikes me a rhetorical escalation to call that Citizen Deportation, but it helps to know where that’s coming from.

              On slippery slopes in matters social, I have it on good authority from years of leftist criticisms that Slippery Slopes do not exist.Report

          • InMD in reply to Marchmaine
            Ignored
            says:

            Obviously he means self deportation by the nation’s DEI officers to the occupied people’s freedom zone Justin Trudeau is establishing in the Yukon territory.Report

        • Jaybird in reply to Philip H
          Ignored
          says:

          I’m beginning to believe We would all be better off without Texas.

          Everybody thinks that there are people the country would be better off without.

          The only difference is whether you think that we’d be better off without criminals, homeless, etc versus whether you think we’d be better off without people who do their jobs, pay their taxes, and mostly stay off the radar.Report

        • Chris in reply to Philip H
          Ignored
          says:

          Make Texas Mexico Again!*

          *Also everything taken in the Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo.Report

    • LeeEsq in reply to Philip H
      Ignored
      says:

      There needs to be a way to convince people to be more pro-immigrant. I think that globally, the developed world is turning against immigration. I don’t like it but it is where popular sentiment lies. At the same time going “racist, racist, racist” at people skeptical of immigration has not exactly worked as a strategy.Report

      • Jaybird in reply to LeeEsq
        Ignored
        says:

        One of the problems is that you’ve got some yokel saying “they’re giving debit cards to illegal immigrants!” and good, honest people correct him saying “no human being is illegal and NOBODY WALKS HUNDREDS OF MILES FOR WELFARE!” and then the media prints out something like “NYC ending controversial debit card program for migrants” and the yokels see this as justification for what they said instead of appreciating the nuance that the good, honest people were explaining to them.Report

      • James K in reply to LeeEsq
        Ignored
        says:

        Fixing the housing market would probably help. That’s the main thing that leads people to actually suffer harm from new people entering the community. The best part is that the real regulatory problems are at the state level, so it doesn’t matter that the Democrats are 0 for 3 in controlling the federal government.Report

  3. LeeEsq
    Ignored
    says:

    My opinion on immigration is that relatively free and open immigration happens at times of elite consensus that relatively free and open immigration is a good thing. When you have at least one group of elites that believe that this is not a good thing or believes they can benefit from xenophobic feeling than you aren’t going to have free and open immigration.Report

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