19 thoughts on “The Election’s Home Stretch

    1. I could only see a preview clip, not the full episode, but Cass is an interesting figure to follow; he’s deceptively clever and people underestimate his positions and ability to speak on them.

      Ultimately, I don’t think he’s the ‘future’ of the Republican Party because he’s just one guy (ok I think now 4 or 5) at a think tank… but I do think some future right of center faction will pick up his work. And, by and large, that would be a better correction to the Libertarian / Tech-bro right economics that I think we’re going to see come after (and in some form during) Trump.

      p.s. the small clip isn’t a great clip since it’s mostly Stewart saying that Trump doesn’t follow Cass’s policies — which, yes, but that’s not why you have Cass on your show.Report

      1. Yeah, I can 100% see that. There’s going to have been plenty of early and absentee votes cast for him anyway, and the CW is he has a ceiling and a floor for his support.

        Thing of it is, if he doesn’t have the energy to make it through a full day of campaigning, does he have the energy to President come January? I recall we were required to consider similar sorts of concerns for another candidate only a few months ago…Report

        1. Thing of it is, if he doesn’t have the energy to make it through a full day of campaigning, does he have the energy to President come January?

          Certainly the stories that came out of the White House while he was President the last time were that he didn’t spend full days president-ing. That he didn’t take meetings before 10 or 11 in the morning. That briefing booklets be cut to a single page. Record number of days spent off golfing.

          OTOH, he gave the media a consistently rich set of outrageous Twitter comments, which seemed to make them quite happy.

          ETA: When I was in the business of writing tech summaries that SVPs had requested, one of the rules that I learned was “one side of one page.”Report

  1. It would be interesting to ask the 12% and 30% what sort of violence they envision. I suspect that the vast majority mean “the military installs my candidate” rather than “millions of us will roll out with our guns, shooting everyone/thing in sight, and install my candidate”.Report

      1. “Hon, get up early tomorrow morning and pack me a lunch. Then get online and book me a motel room for, let’s see, tomorrow night south of Atlanta, and the next night in Virginia. Don’t worry about the night after that, we’ll be in charge in DC and occupy whatever hotels we need. Text me when you’ve got the details. This is an important deal, so I’m going to take the truck down to Jiffy Lube this afternoon and get the oil changed and tire pressure checked. Is there still room on the credit card for gas and a few meals at Mickey D’s?”Report

          1. considering the beating they took from active duty LEOs at that event I’d say they all got soft. Still aren’t enough of them to overcome all the law enforcement and military professionals who will seek to repel them should it come to that.Report

            1. Yeah. The mutiny part isn’t a big concern IMO. Anecdotally – I have some active duty family members and interacting with them it’s hard to imagine them doing that. A couple are MAGA-adjacent but they all take their oath seriously.Report

  2. 1. According to NBC, early voting in most states is looking good for Democrats in key states. Some people consider this Voodoo but I don’t think it is completely without merit. NBC also reported Harris leads among people who intend to vote early.

    1a. Nevada and Arizona maybe outliers here and they are a bit behind in Georgia but still have a punching chance. Harris appears to be doing very well in PA, MI, WI.

    2. The weekend had a flurry of GOP flood the zone polls but more substantial polling places like Ispos and Morning Consult gave Harris +3 and +4 edges nationally.

    3. Emerson apparently has her leading with late deciders by 24 points.

    https://jabberwocking.com/kamala-harris-leads-trump-by-24-points-among-recent-deciders/Report

      1. Yeah only #3 turns my head, possibly because it aligns with a notion I had that Trump voters who were willing to vote for him already overtly want to vote for him and those who’re hesitating/uncertain about voting for Trump will end up breaking away from him.

        Still, it’s just gonna be an agonizing two weeks and change.Report

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