About Last Night: Primaries in MI, MO, KS, AZ, and WA
Primaries return after a few quite weeks on the midterm election front, with Missouri, Kansas, Michigan, Washington, and Arizona going to the polls.
Missouri:
In a relief to the Republican party and a win for decent human beings everywhere, former Missouri Governor Eric Greitens came in a distant third in the GOP primary for US Senate. Greitens had resigned from office in scandal, and since had faced allegation of abusing a woman he was having an affair in and also mired in a divorce and custody battle with more accusations of abuse. Republican Eric Schmitt will move on to face Democrat Trudy Busch Valentine in a seat that is expected to remain in the GOP camp.
Kansas:
In a surprise, the “Value Them Both” abortion amendment has been voted down:
A “yes” vote on the measure would remove from the state Constitution the right to an abortion and hand the issue back to the state legislature. A “no” vote on the measure would make no changes, keeping abortion rights enshrined in the state Constitution.
Kansas Reflector:
Kansas voters in a landslide Tuesday defeated a constitutional amendment that would have stripped residents of abortion rights, defying polling and political observers who expected a close result.
The ballot measure was failing by a 60-40 margin late Tuesday after voters responded to an intense and costly campaign marked by dubious claims by amendment supporters and the unraveling of protections by the U.S. Supreme Court.
The question before voters, in the form of a confusingly worded constitutional amendment, was whether to end the right to abortion in Kansas by voting “yes” or preserve the right by voting “no.”
“You guys, we did it,” said Rachel Sweet, campaign manager for Kansans for Constitutional Freedom, as she addressed a crowd of abortion-rights supporters at a watch party in Overland Park. “We blocked this amendment. Can you believe it?”
The outcome could have far-reaching political implications, with a governor’s race and congressional seats on the ballot in November. It also means reproductive health care will remain available in a state where six girls younger than 14 were among nearly 8,000 patients who received an abortion last year.
“I’ve always maintained that a woman’s reproductive health care decisions should be between her and her physician,” said Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly, in a statement to campaign supporters. “I’m proud to say that Kansans stood up for our fundamental rights today.”
The proposed constitutional amendment is a reaction to a 2019 decision by the Kansas Supreme Court, which struck down a state law banning a common second-term abortion procedure. The court determined that the right to bodily autonomy in the state constitution’s Bill of Rights includes the decision to terminate a pregnancy.
That meant abortion remained legal in Kansas when the U.S. Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, allowing each state to determine its own rules for reproductive health care. Kansas attracted national attention as the first state to vote on abortion rights in the post-Roe world.
In the US Senate races, Democrat Mark Holland won a three-way race and will face Senator Jerry Moran. For governor incumbent Laura Kelly will be challenged by Republican Derek Schmidt in the fall.
Also of note: Kris Kobach, who lost in the Kansas GOP senate race two years ago, narrowly won his primary for AG, moving on to face Democrat Chris Mann.
Michigan:
Businesswoman and conservative commentator Tudor Dixon won the Republican primary for Michigan governor on Tuesday, setting up a tough race against Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer as anger and division within the state GOP threaten the party’s efforts in the battleground state this fall.
Dixon, who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump last week, defeated four male candidates in a race between little-known political newcomers. She also had backing from the prominent Michigan Republican family of Betsy DeVos, who was education secretary in Trump’s Cabinet but was critical of him and resigned after the Jan. 6, 2021, riot, as well as the Michigan Chamber of Commerce and several anti-abortion groups.
Taking the stage at a victory party, Dixon pledged to fight for families who struggled through COVID-19 lockdowns that Whitmer imposed and who can’t afford to put gas in their vehicles and pay bills. She called the first-term governor “the queen of lockdowns” and recounted how her own grandmother died in a nursing home, alone, during the pandemic.
“Frankly Michigan, we deserve better,” Dixon said. “Now we have the opportunity to truly hold Gretchen Whitmer accountable for the pain she has inflicted on each and every one of us during the past four years.”
Whitmer, who did not have a Democratic opponent, was seen as potentially vulnerable heading into 2022 because of anger over her pandemic restrictions, rising gas and food prices, and her ties to President Joe Biden, whose approval ratings are low. But some of those hopes were dashed after top Republican candidates didn’t make the ballot because they didn’t file enough valid nominating signatures and the remaining field struggled to compete in fundraising with Whitmer and her multimillion-dollar campaign fund. None of the GOP candidates had held public office, and many had baggage that could hurt in a general election.
Dixon is a former steel industry executive who also hosted a conservative program on a streaming channel and once acted in low-budget zombie movies in what her campaign described as an “admittedly lame” hobby.
Washington:
In a state where the top two move on to the general election, US Senator Patty Murray will look to hold off Republican Tiffany Smiley.
Also, from King5 News:
Incumbents from all 10 of Washington’s Congressional districts are facing at least one challenger.
In a closely-watched race, Democrat incumbent Kim Schrier leads with 49% of the vote, following an initial round of returns counted. Republican challengers Matt Larkin and Reagan Dunn trail Schrier in a tight race.
Representatives are elected to a two-year term and serve people in specific districts. The number of voting representatives for all 50 states in the U.S. House is no more than 435.
Secretary of state
Sen. Steve Hobbs, who was sworn into the position last November following an appointment by Democratic Gov. Jay Inslee to fill the seat, is leading with 41% of votes counted, following an initial round of returns counted. Julie Anderson (NP) trails Hobbs with 13%, followed by Republicans Bob Hagglund and Keith Wagoner.
Arizona:
In the US Senate race, Blake Masters is holding a lead over Jim Lamon in the GOP primary to see who will challenge incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly. For governor, Katie Hobbs easily won the Democratic nomination, and awaits the winner of Karrin Taylor Robson v Kari Lake matchup on the GOP side. Robson holds a lead with about 70% of the vote counted.
Sadly, the AZ House Speaker was further punished for doing his moral and Constitutional duty by being defeated in his primary. I a sure he knew it was coming, but its still … disheartening … to see people doing the things they swore to do on taking office being punished by voters for those things.Report
Schmidt is only better the better Eric by slight matters of degree. He still displayed plenty of antics which should be embarrassing in any civilized society.
Kansas was a bit of good news last night but overall Trump backed fanatics and conspiracy theorists won the day and this can be very bad for the nation. Unless we get lucky and they all Aiken themselves.Report
As a native Kansan (and one who spent last night at my poll worker parents’ house in my childhood bedroom), I cannot describe the feeling.
From the Kansas Constitution in 1859: “All political power is inherent in the people.”
Witnessing democracy in action through a referendum on such a weighty issue is not something people experience often. Personally, I’m very grateful to have had the chance to witness such a thing.Report
Quite an incredible result in Kansas. I had, dimly, hoped for an abortion rights win but the margins dropped my jaw. I hope it snaps some heads around on the right.Report
I read somewhere there was insane turnout from unaffiliated voters, likely motivated by the amendment proposal.Report
I’m surprised but not that surprised. This is a situation where if you can pull the specific issue out of the party platforms the pro-choice position blows the actual alternative out of the water.
We see this in other situations like the minimum wage referendum in Florida.Report
Yeah.
Broadly and generally speaking, there were two kinds of anti-Roe positions:
1. This should not have been decided at the federal level, this should have been left up to the states!
2. Abortion is morally wrong!
So when we put it up for a state-level referendum and a ban fails, there are going to be, broadly and generally speaking, two kinds of responses:
1. This is all we wanted in the first place! Yay democracy!
2. NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
In any case, it looks like the dems are turning things around at the polling level and, instead of a “red wave”, there’s going to be either churn or, get this, a *BLUE* wave.Report
Suggested addition: “3. Oh.”Report
538 continues to up the odds of the Dems taking the Senate, though odds remain low with the House.Report
Yes, very interesting indeed though it remains to be seen if such voters will engage absent a literal referenda.Report
All the more reason to attempt referenda in those jurisdictions that allow for them.Report
One potential problem with referendum is dude’s like DeSantis just ignore them. The people feel like they got something over the months of slow rolling and out right sabotage what the people voted for ends up in the bin.Report
My favorite example is when NYC voters overwhelming voted for Mayoral term limits (2 terms) in 1993 and again 1996. But when Bloomberg wanted a third term he arm-twisted the City Council to extend the term limit another 4 years without issuing a referendum. Of course he won anyway.
And predictably, when he left office the voters overwhelming voted for a 2-term limit in 2010.Report
Meh. Floridians voted to let felons regain their right to vote. Desantis and R’s said nope sorry citizens, to hell with that. At least one state with an R gov voted to legalize pot and the gov said nope sorry peeps.Report
Meh? I thought such an authoritarian move would move the needle for the OT lefties. I mean, you know, overturning democratic will to retain power and all.Report
That was Mississippi and its actually worse then that. We approved medical marijuana overwhelmingly. A small town white conservative mayor sued to have the referendum language thrown out. See, in Mississippi you had to have referendum signatures from an equal number of people in all the state’s congressional districts. The state Constitution says we have 5 congressional districts, while the Census has given us 4 districts for a couple of decades. So the State Supreme court tossed the win and the referendum law because 5 doesn’t equal 4.
Now, interestingly, the Republican House Speaker (who looks to run for governor next year) then decided without public prodding to pass a state law essentially codifying the referendum language . . . .Report
Hasn’t anybody tried to fix this yet? It should be simple.Report
Nope. Because the state’s GOP power structure would have to acknowledge their ineptitude.Report
Bloomberg was and is many things – a lefty and/or a liberal has never been one of them. Few of us like or support him anyway, so the fact he pulled a DeSantis before that was a verb isn’t going to get a rise out of use – because that’s what we would have expected him to do.
Us lefties do have trouble squaring the circle of the “party of small government” and the “Party of legitimate Americans” trying so hard to avoid implementing small government solutions that the “legitimate” Americans want implemented.Report
Hey, if so-called Progressives don’t want to claim Mike Bloomberg, I’m afraid he is a billionaire without a country. I think RINOs would be insulted if he were called a RINO. He was a life long democrat – switched to ride Guiliani’s coattails (yes, they did exist) and promptly acted like a Dem as soon as he was in office.
That said, I just find it funny that that the OT lefties habitually rage against “guys like [the current R boogeyman]” as if they are a unique brand of politician that only the “bad guys” produce. It reads ridiculous to anyone non-partisan.Report
Why do you think i would care that much about bloomers? To hell with him. And screw his move but that was less then what those R’s gov’s have done. At least bloomers got the people to vote for him. The R’s just told We The People to go get bent.Report
I don’t see that as an argument against using them as part of the strategy.Report
I’m for them. But if they are going to be ignored then they are just a way to pretend to listen. They need to mean something if we are to have them.Report
Also, and I can’t actually confirm this so sorry, no links, but that Kansas voters that registered after June 24th (The day Roe was overturned) tilted Democratic by 8 points.
The state currently tilts Republican by 19 points. Seems, um,…things changed politically on June 24th.
And yes, people aren’t mentioning it, but this was a closed primary, but a bunch of unaffiliated voters showed up anyway, which meant they could literally only vote on this one question.Report
Also, 70% of the voters that registered after June 24th were women.
Over the same time period in 2020, the registrations were split 50/50, so this isn’t some normal thing.
This data is coming from ‘Target Smart’ if anyone wants to track it down, I’m just seeing people tweet about it.Report
Republicans: Laboriously constructing a new third rail of politics and then urinating on it.Report
A lot of my fellow liberals are always talking about how the Republicans have always been like this, and maybe in some ways its true, but I don’t recall any time when the lunatic fringe was so out and proud and letting their freak flag fly.
This Orange County city to consider banning abortions, becoming ‘sanctuary for life’
The San Clemente City Council is set to consider a resolution in a couple of weeks that would declare the city a “sanctuary for life,” making it an abortion-free zone.
The resolution, which was written and proposed by Councilman Steven Knoblock, states that the City Council “considers life to begin at conception” and stands against the establishment of Planned Parenthood health centers or any other clinics where abortions are performed.
…
San Clemente Mayor Gene James, who seconded the motion of drafting the resolution at last month’s City Council meeting, said he was “appalled” and “embarrassed” while reading the resolution draft late last week.
“It appears to me to be a document that could have been written by a Taliban tribunal, and I’ll say that as a conservative, pro-life Republican,” James said
Sorry, Mr. Fronkensteen, but you knew the jar read “Abby Normal” when you put it in charge.Report
Their dog caught the car. They own it all.Report
You have to go to the Bulwark to find writers willing to assist that Republicans have agency: https://thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/what-are-you-doing-to-protect-good
“Meijer and his apologists are insisting that his own voters lack agency and that they would have made “the right choice” if only Democrats hadn’t told the voters who and what John Gibbs is.
And like I said up top: We are not children. Raising Gibbs’s name ID probably did help the guy.1
But at the end of the day, the problem isn’t that Democrats tricked Republican voters into choosing John Gibbs.
The problem is that Republican voters want John Gibbs.
And Peter Meijer can’t bring himself to say that.”Report
Believe people when they tell you who they are.Report