Po9: A general point more so than this poll specifically. An issue with these is you get the headline of "majority favor gun control", which is true and is consistent over many years. The problem you have though is "gun control" is not a legislative bill. Much like the "generic candidate" in polling always does well, "gun control" without any specifics does not have any negative and only the projected positive connotations. Once you get into the weeds of specifics the numbers change, often dramatically.
For example, the number of people who would say on a survey "should people with mental health issues be allowed to purchase a weapon" the overwhelming response will be in the negative. Start asking what constitutes disqualifying "mental health" and you quickly run into issues: does that mean people on medication, does any MH history fully disqualify you, does that mean an official diagnosis or does anyone who seeks a provider qualify, veterans with PTSD do they fall under that, what if you went to anger management as part of couples therapy, etc. Part of the "durability" is really just lose of momentum when you go from an easily answered survey to the grunt work and legalese of legislation.
The connected part to wanting more gun control also falls into another issue this survey raises. The one bipartisan issue that has overwhelming agreement is loathing towards Congress. This poll has approval as D11/R18 pct, which is pretty consistent with other data for the last few congresses. There is bit of a disconnect in wanting legislation, or opposing legislation, and both sides calling for congress to do things they have no faith in them doing. Something to think about.
I'm not entirely convinced the State of Israel is necessarily 100% the same as the Jewish people "Israel" in scripture when it comes to spiritual matters. Israel has other faith groups as citizens, 20% of its population is Arab, and amongst those majority Sunni Muslim but also a Arab Christian minority, Druze and others. So to me the State is separate from the religious people, just for example, so you would have to figure that out. I get where many draw that conclusion, and I'm all for applying prophesy to modern day events, but it has its limits. It's a deep theological rabbit hole to go down, I personally enjoy such things, not sure how everyone else feels.
They lost all momentum to do. anything after some impressive bipartisan achievements, then lost ground in subsequent elections until their majority all together in 06. It caught up to them. Johnson's is interesting but such unique circumstances it's really it's own thing.
People are focusing on the House in the midterms, but its impossible for Dems to get the Senate votes they need to convict if impeachment occurs w/o bipartisan support. They are going to have to get R help to do so, and unless some really iron-clad stuff comes out or Trump does something so out there as to dent his own parties desire to not have him saddled with him for eternity, it's just not going to happen. Remember to the timing here, IF they take the house and not the senate, the impeachment proceedings could easily run into the start of the 2020 election cycle. Trump will be running as the persecuted martyr, congress sucks all the oxygen from whoever is running against him, and you cant convict him even if you do impeach so he's going to claim victory no matter what as he will still be in office...what a circus that would be.
a few do, problem they are going to have is reeling in the progressive left and their big money people. A lot of loud voices with deep pockets and plenty of influence are going to be demanding it, regardless of strategic situation.
Probably. If they shoot for impeachment and don't get it the parrelel is look what happens to the Republican Congress that spent a year with Clinton impeachment. Plus with Trumps die hards anything short of conviction will be tantamount to absolution and they'll make a walking martyr of him. But if Dems get the house I don't think they will be able to restrain from it.
His survival is a mathmatical equation. He isn't resigning, so you either have 67 votes in the Senate to convict or you don't. Till then they can impeach him all they want and he will still be president.
To recycle my own list when he first brought this up on Twitter, noting these try to stick to his original qualifiers that also included airport considerations:
Charleston, SC
Wilmington, NC
San Antonio, TX
Raleigh/Durham, NC
If you take out airport these three go way up the list
Flagstaff/Sedona AZ
Temecula CA
Southern Pines NC
Speaking of which, the story from a few weeks ago on Cobalt mining was really something. The demand for materials for lithium batteries seems to be its own issue right now.
I've read a few interesting things where it comes to not only robotics but also prosthetics where they can have high force/torque or a replication of "fast twitch" muscle but cannot seem to get both at the same time in a miniaturized form that is in a singular unit.
The power thing is fascinating as a small, portable, highly powered and efficient unit like what would be needed in these humanoid robots has long been a dream of folks for a variety of reasons and application.
There were quite a few things I read, but nothing that was solid enough to link too, that also brought up power source. You folks with better scientific minds than mine can expound on it, but seems there is a real issue with power when these things are working untethered. It was pointed out that these clips are always rather short and that is one reason, the portable power needs is not at a practical application level and these full sized models still need power tethers for all but relatively short periods of time.
I heard this issue/argument frequently growing up in a slightly different context. My hometown was forever changed by the damming of the river creating a large lake in the 60's. This was done for flood control, and the community my Mother lived in was completely removed by eminent domain. There was a distinct thing where from one generation to the next the makeup of the area completely changed. The now-lake area is popular for outdoors, tourist, etc, and the flood control has worked as advertised. Also recently hydroelectric power was added to the dam as technology improved. But there are groups that insist this type of development should never be done, and the occasional extremist that argues for its reversal. But it's 50 years on, I don't see the point in making an argument against, especially an environmental one as removing the largest lake in the state would be an unmitigated disaster.
The caving idea is great. We had some small caves on my grandfathers property we would slither into, probably not the safest thing to do looking back on it. The joke in my family growing up was whenever we travelled the two things we always stopped and did were battlefields and caves. Mammoth, Luray, Organ, all the tourist-y ones were done, but never being much of a rock climber (despite having excellent rock climbing literally right behind my childhood home) never did any real spelunking. What a cool concept. When I come to the area for a wedding in Oct might have to check it out.
As is our tradition, our weekend will be dominated by the Mothers day beach trip as a family, including the first Mothers day for one of my "not-children children" and her daughter that we have dubbed the "practice grandbaby". Combine with one of the last weekends that has good weather but before the tourist descends its always a good time for the ocean.
I don't watch this show. From what I gather reading it the two drivers where A) it had a "cult following" which is polite code for not enough people watched it B) it was the only remaining show on Fox that was produced by an outside studio (universal) so there were business concerns now that this series was in syndication with TBS and others.
I think Cohen is dirty as all get out, so not sure what your getting at, I've been pretty clear in my distaste for him and Trump. Cohen was at that level "above his price range" as you put it, because of his association with Trump, no other reason. Thus my previous statement, he isn't really a "lawyer" in the common usage of the term, he really is a fixer that dabbles in the law and happens to be an attorney to fulfill his role for Trump and others.
Manafort is separate to my mind, and without blowing up the comments section too much with info lets just stipulate that unlike Cohen and Stone and maybe some others, there is no questions about his association with Russia due to his known activities in the Ukraine. Whatever crimes they get Manafort on, he knew what he was doing, and did so over a long period of time and on a high level. Though forgotten now there was quite the outcry of "what are you doing" when Trump brought him in, only to quickly relieve him. Then there is Flynn, who of all people the Obama people specifically warned the Trump transition team not to let him back into the WH after Obama had fired him. That alone should tell people something.
Fair to point out one meeting is sufficient, or the every popular "corporate speaking engagement" for big $. Terminology wise maybe we should come up with different terms. Yes Cohen and others are lawyers, but what they are doing here isn't "lawyering" as such, mostly lobbying to use the more polite term for grifting.
There is a theme going here with these Trump associates. If you read into the material, after one meeting the company pretty much determined that Cohen was full of it. Its why the more I think and read on the Russia stuff, its going to come down to the Cohens, Roger Stones, and Flynns of the world being deemed by the Russians as not worthy of running real intelligence ops with despite what they originally thought, so they settled for the chaos instead. Then the cover-up stuff is just self inflicted stupidity. Possible more incompetence than master plan.
WWE took some flack for the Saudi show, but they have been running direct purchase (meaning the host pays for it such as Kuwait or Dubai, or in this case the Saudis) spot shows in the ME going back to the early 90s. I don't think they are doing anything wrong with going, other than you can have the discussion of doing business in general with repressive regimes, etc.
This stereotyping is actually an important conversation to have re: Iran, as these exact issues, such as lumping all ME countries under "arab" warps many peoples ability to process foreign policy. Tell a proud Iranian, like my dear friend Hadi Banei, they are Arab, see what happens.
A bit of pushback here. Yes, and in fact before taking on the Iron Sheik persona Khosrow's first gimmick was as an Arab, creatively name Hossein Arab. But he was legitimately Iranian, born in Tehran and even having been directly involved with the Shah's family at one point. His rise to fame as the Sheik coincided with the hostage crisis and went from there, so stereotype as it may be it was good marketing strategy with enough real to make it work. His story is actually amazing reading, this piece by BleacherReport is good and there is also a documentary out. Fascinating, if certifiably nuts, character.
On “Morning Ed: Politics {2018.05.15.T}”
Po9: A general point more so than this poll specifically. An issue with these is you get the headline of "majority favor gun control", which is true and is consistent over many years. The problem you have though is "gun control" is not a legislative bill. Much like the "generic candidate" in polling always does well, "gun control" without any specifics does not have any negative and only the projected positive connotations. Once you get into the weeds of specifics the numbers change, often dramatically.
For example, the number of people who would say on a survey "should people with mental health issues be allowed to purchase a weapon" the overwhelming response will be in the negative. Start asking what constitutes disqualifying "mental health" and you quickly run into issues: does that mean people on medication, does any MH history fully disqualify you, does that mean an official diagnosis or does anyone who seeks a provider qualify, veterans with PTSD do they fall under that, what if you went to anger management as part of couples therapy, etc. Part of the "durability" is really just lose of momentum when you go from an easily answered survey to the grunt work and legalese of legislation.
The connected part to wanting more gun control also falls into another issue this survey raises. The one bipartisan issue that has overwhelming agreement is loathing towards Congress. This poll has approval as D11/R18 pct, which is pretty consistent with other data for the last few congresses. There is bit of a disconnect in wanting legislation, or opposing legislation, and both sides calling for congress to do things they have no faith in them doing. Something to think about.
On “US Embassy Opens in Jerusalem to Praise and Violence”
I'm not entirely convinced the State of Israel is necessarily 100% the same as the Jewish people "Israel" in scripture when it comes to spiritual matters. Israel has other faith groups as citizens, 20% of its population is Arab, and amongst those majority Sunni Muslim but also a Arab Christian minority, Druze and others. So to me the State is separate from the religious people, just for example, so you would have to figure that out. I get where many draw that conclusion, and I'm all for applying prophesy to modern day events, but it has its limits. It's a deep theological rabbit hole to go down, I personally enjoy such things, not sure how everyone else feels.
On “Whither Mike Pence”
They lost all momentum to do. anything after some impressive bipartisan achievements, then lost ground in subsequent elections until their majority all together in 06. It caught up to them. Johnson's is interesting but such unique circumstances it's really it's own thing.
"
People are focusing on the House in the midterms, but its impossible for Dems to get the Senate votes they need to convict if impeachment occurs w/o bipartisan support. They are going to have to get R help to do so, and unless some really iron-clad stuff comes out or Trump does something so out there as to dent his own parties desire to not have him saddled with him for eternity, it's just not going to happen. Remember to the timing here, IF they take the house and not the senate, the impeachment proceedings could easily run into the start of the 2020 election cycle. Trump will be running as the persecuted martyr, congress sucks all the oxygen from whoever is running against him, and you cant convict him even if you do impeach so he's going to claim victory no matter what as he will still be in office...what a circus that would be.
"
a few do, problem they are going to have is reeling in the progressive left and their big money people. A lot of loud voices with deep pockets and plenty of influence are going to be demanding it, regardless of strategic situation.
"
Probably. If they shoot for impeachment and don't get it the parrelel is look what happens to the Republican Congress that spent a year with Clinton impeachment. Plus with Trumps die hards anything short of conviction will be tantamount to absolution and they'll make a walking martyr of him. But if Dems get the house I don't think they will be able to restrain from it.
"
His survival is a mathmatical equation. He isn't resigning, so you either have 67 votes in the Senate to convict or you don't. Till then they can impeach him all they want and he will still be president.
On “America, the Awesome”
To recycle my own list when he first brought this up on Twitter, noting these try to stick to his original qualifiers that also included airport considerations:
Charleston, SC
Wilmington, NC
San Antonio, TX
Raleigh/Durham, NC
If you take out airport these three go way up the list
Flagstaff/Sedona AZ
Temecula CA
Southern Pines NC
On “Michael Cohen linked to AT&T, Novartis Payments”
sounds about right
On “Robots: Viral Success, but Practical Challenges Remain”
Speaking of which, the story from a few weeks ago on Cobalt mining was really something. The demand for materials for lithium batteries seems to be its own issue right now.
"
I've read a few interesting things where it comes to not only robotics but also prosthetics where they can have high force/torque or a replication of "fast twitch" muscle but cannot seem to get both at the same time in a miniaturized form that is in a singular unit.
The power thing is fascinating as a small, portable, highly powered and efficient unit like what would be needed in these humanoid robots has long been a dream of folks for a variety of reasons and application.
"
There were quite a few things I read, but nothing that was solid enough to link too, that also brought up power source. You folks with better scientific minds than mine can expound on it, but seems there is a real issue with power when these things are working untethered. It was pointed out that these clips are always rather short and that is one reason, the portable power needs is not at a practical application level and these full sized models still need power tethers for all but relatively short periods of time.
On “Iran, Iraq and Path Dependence”
I heard this issue/argument frequently growing up in a slightly different context. My hometown was forever changed by the damming of the river creating a large lake in the 60's. This was done for flood control, and the community my Mother lived in was completely removed by eminent domain. There was a distinct thing where from one generation to the next the makeup of the area completely changed. The now-lake area is popular for outdoors, tourist, etc, and the flood control has worked as advertised. Also recently hydroelectric power was added to the dam as technology improved. But there are groups that insist this type of development should never be done, and the occasional extremist that argues for its reversal. But it's 50 years on, I don't see the point in making an argument against, especially an environmental one as removing the largest lake in the state would be an unmitigated disaster.
On “Weekend!”
The caving idea is great. We had some small caves on my grandfathers property we would slither into, probably not the safest thing to do looking back on it. The joke in my family growing up was whenever we travelled the two things we always stopped and did were battlefields and caves. Mammoth, Luray, Organ, all the tourist-y ones were done, but never being much of a rock climber (despite having excellent rock climbing literally right behind my childhood home) never did any real spelunking. What a cool concept. When I come to the area for a wedding in Oct might have to check it out.
As is our tradition, our weekend will be dominated by the Mothers day beach trip as a family, including the first Mothers day for one of my "not-children children" and her daughter that we have dubbed the "practice grandbaby". Combine with one of the last weekends that has good weather but before the tourist descends its always a good time for the ocean.
On “Morning Ed: Law & Order {2018.05.09.W}”
I don't watch this show. From what I gather reading it the two drivers where A) it had a "cult following" which is polite code for not enough people watched it B) it was the only remaining show on Fox that was produced by an outside studio (universal) so there were business concerns now that this series was in syndication with TBS and others.
On “Morning Ed: Economics {2018.05.10.Th}”
Pretty much where I am on it as well.
On “Michael Cohen linked to AT&T, Novartis Payments”
I think Cohen is dirty as all get out, so not sure what your getting at, I've been pretty clear in my distaste for him and Trump. Cohen was at that level "above his price range" as you put it, because of his association with Trump, no other reason. Thus my previous statement, he isn't really a "lawyer" in the common usage of the term, he really is a fixer that dabbles in the law and happens to be an attorney to fulfill his role for Trump and others.
"
Manafort is separate to my mind, and without blowing up the comments section too much with info lets just stipulate that unlike Cohen and Stone and maybe some others, there is no questions about his association with Russia due to his known activities in the Ukraine. Whatever crimes they get Manafort on, he knew what he was doing, and did so over a long period of time and on a high level. Though forgotten now there was quite the outcry of "what are you doing" when Trump brought him in, only to quickly relieve him. Then there is Flynn, who of all people the Obama people specifically warned the Trump transition team not to let him back into the WH after Obama had fired him. That alone should tell people something.
"
granted
"
Fair to point out one meeting is sufficient, or the every popular "corporate speaking engagement" for big $. Terminology wise maybe we should come up with different terms. Yes Cohen and others are lawyers, but what they are doing here isn't "lawyering" as such, mostly lobbying to use the more polite term for grifting.
"
There is a theme going here with these Trump associates. If you read into the material, after one meeting the company pretty much determined that Cohen was full of it. Its why the more I think and read on the Russia stuff, its going to come down to the Cohens, Roger Stones, and Flynns of the world being deemed by the Russians as not worthy of running real intelligence ops with despite what they originally thought, so they settled for the chaos instead. Then the cover-up stuff is just self inflicted stupidity. Possible more incompetence than master plan.
On “Morning Ed: Economics {2018.05.10.Th}”
WWE took some flack for the Saudi show, but they have been running direct purchase (meaning the host pays for it such as Kuwait or Dubai, or in this case the Saudis) spot shows in the ME going back to the early 90s. I don't think they are doing anything wrong with going, other than you can have the discussion of doing business in general with repressive regimes, etc.
"
@aaron-david @em-carpenter let them fight...
"
This stereotyping is actually an important conversation to have re: Iran, as these exact issues, such as lumping all ME countries under "arab" warps many peoples ability to process foreign policy. Tell a proud Iranian, like my dear friend Hadi Banei, they are Arab, see what happens.
"
A bit of pushback here. Yes, and in fact before taking on the Iron Sheik persona Khosrow's first gimmick was as an Arab, creatively name Hossein Arab. But he was legitimately Iranian, born in Tehran and even having been directly involved with the Shah's family at one point. His rise to fame as the Sheik coincided with the hostage crisis and went from there, so stereotype as it may be it was good marketing strategy with enough real to make it work. His story is actually amazing reading, this piece by BleacherReport is good and there is also a documentary out. Fascinating, if certifiably nuts, character.