Commenter Archive

Comments by Philip H

On “No, Virginia, Natural Immunity is Not Six Times As Good As Vaccine Immunity

I mean, I have gotten more pushback on my saying “I resent when leadership defects even though I am cooperating” than I have seen leadership get for defecting.

WHICH IS WEIRD.

From whom did you expect that "leadership" to get pushback? Gov. Newsome got recalled for his handling of COVID - which while laughably unsuccessful as a politicla maneuver is still not a null data set.

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As yes, filtration vs. masks.

Bazinga!

Or some such . . . since we apparently can't do this and, we must all do this or . . . .

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I'm aware, and that a lot of places are tracking outbreaks by sampling municipal sewage. Which has also been widely reported . . . I sure would love to know where you are going with this?

On “Why Can’t Joe Biden Force His Agenda Through Congress?

The harm is he does it again. And again. And again. Plus he can introduce legislation - he did so on his voting rights alternative. Which the Republicans he kept negotiating with promptly filibustered.

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your numbers suggest Flu deaths at 620,000 per decade from flu (on average). We've had 890K deaths in two years from COVID.

Perspective dude. 2 years means a lot of COVID deaths.

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I cite the CDC all the time. So far none of it has gotten me nixed. SO that may not be your problem.

I've read the fecal studies. They aren't cited because they haven't pointed to a significant impact. Nice try though.

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that howbad site is hilarious. Yep it has data, and told me my dose 1batch (which is written on each your vaccine card each time you get it) had:

DEATHS - 35
DISABILITIES - 43
LIFE THREATENING ILLNESSES -53

If your friend is really a biomedical statistician, they will tell you what the probability of death is by comparing those numbers to the batch size used. I don't have that data, so I won't go further down the rabbit hole. It's hilarious to me that you'd so tout a website that says

USA Data : All data is sourced from VAERS, a public database of over 700,000 adverse reaction reports for Moderna, Pfizer and Janssen Covid 19 vaccines in the USA.

after dismissing my data above from the same source.

As to your pubmed studies - your first citation is to a modeling study that leads with this caveat - "However, a complete experimental evaluation of Omicron might take weeks or even months." It then goes on to say " Omicron may be over 10 times more contagious than the original virus or about 2.8 times as infectious as the Delta variant." which has been widely report in the mainstream press, and no one is debating here. Going to the actual article, in the results section we find this - "In general, it is essentially impossible to accurately characterize the full impact of Omicron’s S protein mutations on the current vaccines in the world’s populations." Seems to me that drawing gran conclusions on that study would go against what the authors are warning about. The entire rest of their analysis focuses on the monoclonal antibody treatments, and with some compelling results that they may need to be updated. Which again, no one is disputing.

Your other study is pre-press, meaning it has yet to be peer reviewed. Given the number of pre-press studies that have been retracted over the last two years relating to COVID, I'll wait until they are done to see if it holds up.

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I've put sources in nearly all my posts. It might help your case if you did the same.

On “Yes Virginia, There Was A Coup

The violence was instigated in service of

The refusal to accept the legitimacy of an election on the part of those who lost.

A framing not unlike the Southern states seceding from the union to protect states rights . . . to continue to enslave human beings. The two are inextricably linked. Just like the attack on the Capitol is inextricably linked to the failure to accept the election results.

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The problem with J6 wasn’t the violence.

Wow.

Just Wow.

No clearly the violence wasn't the issue. I suppose the attempt to stop the peaceful transfer of power wasn't the issue. Or the violence in service of trying to stop the peaceful transfer of power.

Do you ever actually read your own stuff?

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I enjoy reading substantive differing view points who are willing to show their work. which is most of the regulars around here.

I detest the intentionally intellectually vapid, and those who think owning the libs in some high art form. But sparing with them has two benefits - I get a better sense of what the issues really are, and I sharpen my sword. They may not care, but I do.

On “No, Virginia, Natural Immunity is Not Six Times As Good As Vaccine Immunity

I'm a scientist. I don't like letting bad data or data free arguments purporting to have data slide. Sure I'm feeding a troll, but I'm also providing our more intellectual readers something real to latch on to.

Besides, he/she always stops once i get a certain number of numbers posted.

On “Yes Virginia, There Was A Coup

Though Ahmari would probably be surprised when he gets attacked for being Persian and his wife for being Chinese by the White Supremacists

Seems related to

The primary issue in the United States is still racism. A lot of people do not want to believe that their fellow citizens can see white, male, heterosexual, and at least nominally Christian supremacy as being a material interest. A lot of people do not want to believe that there is truth to LBJ’s quote on how the lowest white man will empty is pockets for you as long as he is higher in the pecking order than a black or brown person.

In that a LOT of people cling to the belief that all this is hurting some "other" and won't come back to hurt them.

On “No, Virginia, Natural Immunity is Not Six Times As Good As Vaccine Immunity

The 2019-2020 flu season is believed to have killed between 24,000 to 62,000 Americans. so far, the 2021-2022 flu season is estimated to have killed 1,100 – 3,200 Americans.

So it would seem you'd loose your wager.

On “Yes Virginia, There Was A Coup

I didn't coordinate my submission with anyone. I doubt Michael did either. I suspect the editors may have thought it was fun to juxtapose the titles, but beyond that I am not aware of any explicate plan. I submitted mine Friday; it was published early monday which is about the turn around I've seen so far on my articles.

Correlation doesn't imply or equal causation.

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And Damon wants to troll us by equating the two.

On “No, Virginia, Natural Immunity is Not Six Times As Good As Vaccine Immunity

Excess Deaths at this point is massively confounded with “Excess Deaths caused by the Vaccine”

How many people have died after getting a vaccine?

Between December 2020 and July 19th, 2021, VAERS received 6,207 reports of death (0.0018% of doses) among people who got a vaccine, but this does not mean the vaccine caused these deaths. Doctors and safety monitors carefully review the details of each case to see if it might be linked to the vaccine. There are three deaths that appear to be linked to blood clots that occurred after people got the J&J vaccine. Since we now know how to correctly treat people who develop these blood clots, future deaths related to this very rare side effect can be prevented.

https://covid-101.org/science/how-many-people-have-died-from-the-vaccine-in-the-u-s/

We've lost 889,197 to this disease. Quit it.

On “Yes Virginia, There Was A Coup

You don't believe Joe Biden is legally president, do you?

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Really? He's pointing to the "all the peaceful social justice protests" (which he doesn't really think were peaceful) and all but saying what about those? He's saying quite clearly that we haven't reached that level of "violence" so this wasn't even a protest, much less and insurrection. Because "what about" all those peaceful protests?

On “No, Virginia, Natural Immunity is Not Six Times As Good As Vaccine Immunity

England's data is consistent with the US data:

The new U.K. study also found Covid vaccines reduce the risk of hospitalization from omicron across the board, though a booster dose provides the highest level of protection. The latest data adds to a growing body of evidence demonstrating that although the vaccines have taken a hit from omicron, they still provide significant levels of protection compared to people who are unvaccinated.

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/31/omicron-hospitalization-risk-upside-vaccine-protection-good-uk-study-.html

Spain seems to be backing this up:

Analyzing the deaths in this northeastern region between December 23 and January 12 per 100,000 inhabitants, the mortality rate among individuals aged 70 and 80 is five times higher for the unvaccinated. Something similar occurs in other age demographics. In the 70-79 population, 50 deaths per 100,000 people are reported among the unvaccinated, compared to 10 per 100,000 among the vaccinated, i.e. five times less. Meanwhile, in the 60-69 demographic, the disparity is repeated: the mortality rate among the unvaccinated is 15 per 100,000 people while, for the vaccinated, it is 5.5 per 100,000.

https://english.elpais.com/society/2022-01-18/the-success-of-covid-19-vaccines-against-omicron-vaccinated-up-to-five-times-less-likely-to-be-hospitalized.html

We have data. You just don't like it. Which I get, but I can't really help you.

On “Yes Virginia, There Was A Coup

He's trolling the fact that a great many people on the right don't see the 2020 Social Justice Protests as peaceful because some of those protests resulted in riots with significant property damage. It's an old, debunked "whataboutism" that many of us are weary of because its lazy.

On “No, Virginia, Natural Immunity is Not Six Times As Good As Vaccine Immunity

In Mississippi every time you are tested you are asked vaccine status. Of course, people can and probably do lie, and we are dead last in the nation in full vaccination.

On “Yes Virginia, There Was A Coup

Congress was violently attacked. To try and stop the certification of an election. Seems like a great use of that word.

On “Why Can’t Joe Biden Force His Agenda Through Congress?

We have spent close to 40 years cutting taxes and not cutting spending.

Congress can't adhere to its own appropriations deadlines.

2/3rds of federal spending (in total dollars) can be accounted for in revenue (in total dollars).

Discretionary spending (the part Congress appropriates every year) amounts to 1/3rd of spending.

So either you raise revenues, you close the Executive Branch, or you severely cut mandatory spending.

Its really that simple. And that maddening. And that frightening.

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