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Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025
The main thing is that the guy who goes first sets not only the hand that everybody else has to beat but the number of rolls it’ll take to beat it. So, in this case, the guy got 4-of-a-kind on his first roll.
It’s a good roll!
But I tend to agree with the guy at the bottom. Four deuces in a six handed game? When 1s are wild? I’d say that there’s a 50/50 chance that someone will beat it.
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I asked chatGPT for some math help and he said that, if 1s are wild, you’ve got ~4% chance to roll four-of-a-kind with one roll of the dice.
Go around the table and do that five times? That’s a 20% chance.
So, no, not 50%.
But you’re going to see it all the time.Report
Who wins in the case of tie? If another player also has four deuces on their first roll? If the other players have to roll four threes or better, that reduces the 20% somewhat.Report
The dude doesn’t say.
If *I* were playing in my house for money (nickel, dime, quarter, of course), we’d eliminate the people who didn’t have a tie and re-bet and then change who has the first roll for the next round.Report