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- Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025February 17, 202539 Comments
- From Washington Post: The Trump LexiconFebruary 17, 202510 Comments
- From Vox: How Democrats should respond to Trump’s war on DEIFebruary 14, 202524 Comments
- From Politico: Voters Were Right About the Economy. The Data Was Wrong.February 12, 202513 Comments
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Jaybird
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025New polls! We got 538 and we got RCP.J_A in reply to Jaybird
Ignoredon From Vox: How Democrats should respond to Trump’s war on DEISo if it didn't happen at work, or a similar environment, where you are forced to sit at a LatinX ex…North
Ignoredon Bull-DOGEing GovernmentIt seems to me that the Trumpian strategy, such as it is, is shambling into view now and it is, well…CJColucci in reply to DavidTC
Ignoredon From Vox: How Democrats should respond to Trump’s war on DEII don’t really have a say in what theories that physics chooses to pay attention to. Or college cour…Jaybird in reply to CJColucci
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025Jumaane Williams... oooh! He's a Democratic Socialist! Yeah, Hochul needs to get rid of Adams *YESTE…Jaybird in reply to CJColucci
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025Maybe the people who took it off the table shouldn't be in charge of deciding whether it's time to h…CJColucci in reply to Jaybird
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025So that's not an alternative.CJColucci in reply to Jaybird
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025No. The NYC Charter lays out the line of succession. First in line is the Public Advocate, then the…Jaybird in reply to CJColucci
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025As opposed to "letting them happen as scheduled". But I understand that that train has left the stat…Philip H in reply to Jaybird
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025It means that Russia and the US don’t get to ram snap elections down Ukraine’s throat in a “peace ac…

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CJColucci in reply to Jaybird
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025Jaybird in reply to Philip H
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025Philip H in reply to Jaybird
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025Saul Degraw in reply to DavidTC
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025Jaybird in reply to DensityDuck
Ignoredon Bull-DOGEing GovernmentDensityDuck in reply to Jaybird
Ignoredon Bull-DOGEing GovernmentJaybird in reply to InMD
Ignoredon Bull-DOGEing GovernmentDavidTC
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025Dark Matter in reply to Saul Degraw
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025InMD in reply to Jaybird
Ignoredon Bull-DOGEing GovernmentChris in reply to Glyph
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025Jaybird
Ignoredon Bull-DOGEing GovernmentJaybird in reply to Glyph
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025Glyph in reply to Jaybird
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025Glyph in reply to Chris
Ignoredon Open Mic for the week of 2/17/2025
The main thing is that the guy who goes first sets not only the hand that everybody else has to beat but the number of rolls it’ll take to beat it. So, in this case, the guy got 4-of-a-kind on his first roll.
It’s a good roll!
But I tend to agree with the guy at the bottom. Four deuces in a six handed game? When 1s are wild? I’d say that there’s a 50/50 chance that someone will beat it.
Report
I asked chatGPT for some math help and he said that, if 1s are wild, you’ve got ~4% chance to roll four-of-a-kind with one roll of the dice.
Go around the table and do that five times? That’s a 20% chance.
So, no, not 50%.
But you’re going to see it all the time.Report
Who wins in the case of tie? If another player also has four deuces on their first roll? If the other players have to roll four threes or better, that reduces the 20% somewhat.Report
The dude doesn’t say.
If *I* were playing in my house for money (nickel, dime, quarter, of course), we’d eliminate the people who didn’t have a tie and re-bet and then change who has the first roll for the next round.Report