We are a little under a month and three more projection updates by me away from Oscars’ nominations morning on January 23rd. We’ve turned the calendar from 2023 to the actual year the ceremony will be held on in 2024. We are in a very vulnerable place for those of us who attempt to predict this stuff. Since Thanksgiving we’ve been used to a certain set of Best Picture contenders and critical darlings up and down the ballot having their way. Thus its easy to fall into a certain place of comfortability with how things look likely to be as we start hitting the homestretch of critics’ season and head into the industry stage of things.
But the thing is that every single year the industry decides to throw us for a loop and do their own thing. Films that looked strong among critics start to lose steam. Showy performances that aren’t the popular critics picks go from underdogs to frontrunners. And movies that mostly everyone thought were either also rans or outright snub-able, suddenly surge and become competitive to win the Best Picture prize. So many have become accustomed to certain consensuses from the critics’ stage of the awards race, but the industry is more likely than not about to show us they aren’t critics and wiling to veer from that critical consensus. And knowing that, its very easy for our predictions and expectations to get shaken up. Changes are coming to the race, and as someone who has become a bit bored by how stagnant things have felt since Thanksgiving I welcome any chaos the industry wants to cause.
This Saturday the growing major critics group that is the Hollywood Creative Alliance will stream their Astra Awards followed by the Golden Globes’ now significantly expanded membership having their say on national television the very next night. Next weekend the Critics Choice Awards take place on national television as well. BAFTA will be revealing their longlists for consideration this Friday and many industry-based guilds will be announcing their nominations including the all-important Actors, Directors, and Producers’ guilds next week. The upcoming first televised awards of the season will either see some critical darlings strengthen their position with the biggest critics groups or more populist members among these groups will try to get ahead of the industry on certain more Oscar-bait performances to award.
I’ve been writing about the Best Picture race for Ordinary-Times since the 2020 awards season and before that have followed the ups and downs of the race since I was in fifth grade, and I have never seen the field for the predicted ten see such little change coming out of the fall festivals. I have literally kept nine of the same ten since the fall and all ten since the critics’ stage of the season began. The only major change to the race has been The Color Purple going from a sure-fire contender to one fighting to get saved by guilds and hoping its support with the Hollywood Creative and Critics Choice groups made its screeners top of mind for industry voters. Other than that its been an amazingly stable and frankly kind of boring race.
But I do think we’re in for some serious shifting among the final two or three slots. Movies like The Color Purple, ‘Spiderverse’, Air, etc can suddenly look stronger to get in thanks to guild support. Movies like Anatomy Of A Fall, The Zone Of Interest, May December, or even a Society Of The Snow can see international groups like BAFTA push one or two of them into the lineup. Every year at least one film that no one is taking seriously as win-competitive at this point in the race, manages to surge with industry voters to either come close (The Father, All Quiet On The Western Front) or win (CODA). I have to think we’ll see something similar this year. After months and various updates waiting for it to happen, I think the likely Best Picture lineup is about to see a shake-up.
But all that said Oppenheimer still remains the movie to beat. As I write this it is starting to become the most awarded Best Picture winner among critics, and Christopher Nolan has such a lead in wins for Best Director that I now believe that race has shifted from just tilting his way to leaning even more towards him as we head into the televised awards. Since the 2018 season the popular critics pick for the big prize has finished top two at Oscar and the popular critics pick for Director has seen their movie finish top two even longer than that streak. I believe ‘Oppy’ is one of the top two contenders for what will be our Best Picture winner this year. The only question is which will emerge its main competition? There is a debate to be had for multiple movies being it, but I do wonder if that annual late surger has yet to enter the conversation.
Below you’ll find my post Oscars shortlists and pre televised awards projections for the upcoming Oscars ceremony. I’ve expanded from just the eight above-the-line categories to all of them. I’ll be updating these again after the guild nominations and televised awards and then one last time after BAFTA’s nominations come out days before the Oscars’ do. For now all we can do is sit back and watch to see what the industry will decide to do differently than critics have, and what momentum will be carried by the televised awards’ results.
Best Picture: Tilts Oppenheimer
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 10
01. Oppenheimer (Unchanged Since Last Update)
02. Killers Of The Flower Moon (Unchanged Since Last Update)
03. Poor Things (Unchanged Since Last Update)
04. The Holdovers (Unchanged Since Last Update)
05. Maestro (Unchanged Since Last Update)
06. Barbie (Unchanged Since Last Update)
07. American Fiction (Unchanged Since Last Update)
08. Past Lives (Unchanged Since Last Update)
09. Anatomy Of A Fall (Unchanged Since Last Update)
10. The Color Purple (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
11. The Zone Of Interest (Unchanged Since Last Update)
12. Spider-Man: Across The Spiderverse (Unchanged Since Last Update)
13. Air (Unchanged Since Last Update)
14. May December (Unchanged Since Last Update)
15. Saltburn (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
16. The Iron Claw (Unchanged Since Last Update)
17. All Of Us Strangers (Unchanged Since Last Update)
18. Society Of The Snow (+2 Since Last Update)
19. Ferrari (-1 Since Last Update)
20. The Boy And The Heron (-1 Since Last Update)
– Off The Board Since Last Update: None
Best Director: Tilts Nolan → Leans Nolan
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Christopher Nolan; Oppenheimer (Unchanged Since Last Update)
02. Martin Scorsese; Killers Of The Flower Moon (Unchanged Since Last Update)
03. Yorgos Lanthimos; Poor Things (Unchanged Since Last Update)
04. Alexander Payne; The Holdovers (Unchanged Since Last Update)
05. Celine Song; Past Lives (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Bradley Cooper; Maestro (+1 Since Last Update)
07. Greta Gerwig; Barbie (-1 Since Last Update)
08. Justine Triet; Anatomy Of A Fall (Unchanged Since Last Update)
09. Jonathan Glazer; The Zone Of Interest (Unchanged Since Last Update)
10. Cord Jefferson; American Fiction (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Blitz Bazawule; The Color Purple (Unchanged Since Last Update)
12. Emerald Fennell; Saltburn (Unchanged Since Last Update)
13. J.A Bayona; Society Of The Snow (New Entry To The Board)
14. Michael Mann; Ferarri (Unchanged Since Last Update)
15. Hayao Miyazaki; The Boy And The Heron (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Sean Durkin (The Iron Claw)
Best Actor: Tilts Cooper
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Bradley Cooper; Maestro (Unchanged Since Last Update)
02. Cillian Murphy; Oppenheimer (Unchanged Since Last Update)
03. Paul Giamatti; The Holdovers (Unchanged Since Last Update)
04. Jeffrey Wright; American Fiction (Unchanged Since Last Update)
05. Colman Domingo; Rustin (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Leonardo DiCaprio; Killers Of The Flower Moon (Unchanged Since Last Update)
07. Zac Efron; The Iron Claw (+4 Since Last Update)
08. Barry Keoghan; Saltburn (+1 Since Last Update)
09. Andrew Scott; All Of Us Strangers (+3 Since Last Update)
10. Adam Driver; Ferrari (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Teo Yoo; Past Lives (-3 Since Last Update)
12. Matt Damon; Air (-5 Since Last Update)
10. Joaquin Phoenix; Napoleon (Unchanged Since Last Update)
14. Joaquin Phoenix; Beau Is Afraid (Unchanged Since Last Update)
15. Nicolas Cage; Dream Scenario (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– Off The Board Since Last Update: None
Best Actress: Tilts Stone
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Emma Stone; Poor Things (Unchanged Since Last Update)
02. Lily Gladstone; Killers Of The Flower Moon (Unchanged Since Last Update)
03. Carey Mulligan; Maestro (Unchanged Since Last Update)
04. Margot Robbie; Barbie (Unchanged Since Last Update)
05. Fantasia Barrino; The Color Purple (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Greta Lee; Past Lives (Unchanged Since Last Update)
07. Sandra Huller; Anatomy Of A Fall (Unchanged Since Last Update)
08. Annette Benning; Nyad (Unchanged Since Last Update)
09. Natalie Portman; May December (Unchanged Since Last Update)
10. Cailee Spaeny; Priscilla (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Helen Mirren; Golda (+4 Since Last Update)
12. Alma Pöysti; Fallen Leaves (Unchanged Since Last Update)
13. Aujanue Ellis-Taylor; Origin (-2 Since Last Update)
14. Teyana Taylor; One Thousand And One (-1 Since Last Update)
15. Trace Lysette; Monica (-1 Since Last Update)
– Off The Board Since Last Update: None
Best Supporting Actor: Tilts Downey JR
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Robert Downey JR; Oppenheimer (Unchanged Since Last Update)
02. Mark Ruffalo; Poor Things (+1 Since Last Update)
03. Ryan Gosling; Barbie (+1 Since Last Update)
04. Robert DeNiro; Killers Of The Flower Moon (-2 Since Last Update)
05. Charles Melton; May December (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Sterling K Brown; American Fiction (Unchanged Since Last Update)
07. William Dafoe; Poor Things (+1 Since Last Update)
08. Dominic Sessa; The Holdovers (-1 Since Last Update)
09. Colman Domingo; The Color Purple (Unchanged Since Last Update)
10. Glenn Howerton; Blackberry (+1 Since Last Update)
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Matt Damon; Oppenheimer (-1 Since Last Update)
12. John Magaro; Past Lives (Unchanged Since Last Update)
13. Holt McCallany; The Iron Claw (Unchanged Since Last Update)
14. Paul Mescal; All Of Us Strangers (Unchanged Since Last Update)
15. Jesse Plemons; Killers Of The Flower Moon (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– Off The Board Since Last Update: None
Best Supporting Actress: Tilts Brooks
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Danielle Brooks; The Color Purple (Unchanged Since Last Update)
02. Da’Vine Joy Randolph; The Holdovers (Unchanged Since Last Update)
03. Emily Blunt; Oppenheimer (Unchanged Since Last Update)
04. America Ferrera; Barbie (Unchanged Since Last Update)
05. Taraji P Henson; The Color Purple (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Viola Davis; Air (Unchanged Since Last Update)
07. Jodi Foster; Nyad (Unchanged Since Last Update)
08. Julianne Moore; May December (Unchanged Since Last Update)
09. Rosamund Pike; Saltburn (Unchanged Since Last Update)
10. Racheal McAdams; Are You There God? Its Me, Margaret (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Penelope Cruz; Ferrari (Unchanged Since Last Update)
12. Vanessa Kirby; Napoleon (Unchanged Since Last Update)
13. Claire Foy; All Of Us Strangers (Unchanged Since Last Update)
14. Niecy Nash-Betts; Origin (Unchanged Since Last Update)
15. Cara Jade Myers; Killers Of The Flower Moon (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– Off The Board Since Last Update: None
Best Original Screenplay: Tilts The Holdovers
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. The Holdovers (Unchanged Since Last Update)
02. Barbie (Unchanged Since Last Update)
03. Past Lives (Unchanged Since Last Update)
04. Anatomy Of A Fall (Unchanged Since Last Update)
05. May December (+1 Since Last Update)
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Air (-1 Since Last Update)
07. Maestro (Unchanged Since Last Update)
08. Saltburn (Unchanged Since Last Update)
09. The Iron Claw (Unchanged Since Last Update)
10. Fair Play (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Asteroid City (Unchanged Since Last Update)
12. Origin (Unchanged Since Last Update)
13. Dream Scenario (New Entry To The Board)
14. Rustin (Unchanged Since Last Update)
15. Napoleon (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Priscilla (Was In The Wrong Screenplay Category)
Best Adapted Screenplay: Tilts Oppenheimer
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Oppenheimer (Unchanged Since Last Update)
02. Killers Of The Flower Moon (Unchanged Since Last Update)
03. Poor Things (Unchanged Since Last Update)
04. American Fiction (Unchanged Since Last Update)
05. The Zone Of Interest (+1 Since Last Update)
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. All Of Us Strangers (-1 Since Last Update)
07. Are You There God? Its Me, Margaret (Unchanged Since Last Update)
08. The Color Purple (Unchanged Since Last Update)
09. Spider-Man: Across The Spiderverse (Unchanged Since Last Update)
10. Blackberry (+1 Since Last Update)
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Wonka (+2 Since Last Update)
12. The Killer (New Entry To The Board)
13. Ferrari (-3 Since Last Update)
14. Priscilla (Was In The Wrong Screenplay Category)
15. Nyad (Unchanged Since Last Update)
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Dumb Money; Next Goal Wins
Best Animated Feature: Tilts Spider-Man: Across The Spiderverse
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Spider-Man: Across The Spiderverse
02. The Boy And The Heron
03. Elemental
04. Nimona
05. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Wish
07. Suzume
08. Chicken Run: Dawn Of The Nugget
09. Robot Dreams
10. The Super Mario Bros. Movie
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Migration
12. Trolls Band Together
13. Leo
14. The Peasants
15. They Shot The Piano Player
– Off The Board Since Last Update: N/A
Best Animated Short: Tilts Once Upon A Studio
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Once Upon A Studio
02. Pete
03. War Is Over!
04. Letter To A Pig
05. Eeva
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Ninety-Five Senses
07. Boom
08. Pachyderme
09. Humo
10. A Kind Of Testament
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. 27
12. Koerkoter
13. I’m Hip
14. Wild Summon
15. Our Uniform
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Not Possible, Category Is Shortlisted
Best International Feature: Tilts The Zone Of Interest
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. The Zone Of Interest
02. Society Of The Snow
03. Perfect Days
04. The Taste Of Things
05. Fallen Leaves
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. 20 Days In Mariupol
07. Four Daughters
08. The Promised Land
09. Totem
10. The Teacher’s Lounge
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Io Capitano
12. Godland
13. The Monk And The Gun
14. Amerikatsi
15. The Mother Of All Lies
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Not Possible, Category Is Shortlisted
Best Live Action Short: Tilts The Wonderful Story Of Henry Sugar
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. The Wonderful Story Of Henry Sugar
02. Strange Way Of Life
03. The After
04. The Shepard
05. The Anne Frank Gift Shop
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Good Boy
07. Invincible
08. An Avocado Hit
09. Dead Cat
10. Red, White, And Blue
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Yellow
12. The One Note Man
13. Knight Of Fortune
14. Invisible Border
15. Bienvenidos A Los Angeles
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Not Possible, Category Is Shortlisted
Best Documentary Feature: Tilts American Symphony
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. American Symphony
02. Still: A Michael J. Fox Story
03. 20 Days In Mariupol
04. Beyond Utopia
05. Four Daughters
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Bobi Wine: The People’s President
07. Going To Mars: The Nikki Giovanni Project
08. Stamped From The Beginning
09. The Eternal Memory
10. A Still Small Voice
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Apolonia, Apolonia
12. To Kill A Tiger
13. 32 Sounds
14. In The Rearview
15. Desperate Souls, Dark City, And The Legend Of Midnight Cowboy
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Not Possible, Category Is Shortlisted
Best Documentary Short: Tilts The ABCs Of Book Banning
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. The ABCs Of Book Banning
02. The Last Repair Shop
03. The Barber Of Little Rock
04. Last Song From Kabul
05. Deciding Vote
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Camp Courage
07. Black Girls Play: The Story Of Hand Games
08. If Dreams Were Lightning: Rural Healthcare Crisis
09. Wings Of Dust
10. Between Earth And Sky
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Island In Between
12. Nai Nai And Wai Po
13. Bear
14. How We Got Free
15. Oasis
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Not Possible, Category Is Shortlisted
Best Original Song: Tilts “What Was I Made For?”
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. “What Was I Made For?”; Barbie
02. “I’m Just Ken.” Barbie
03. “Road To Freedom”; Rustin
04. “It Never Went Away”; American Symphony
05. “The Fire Inside”; Flaming Hot
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. “Dance The Night”; Barbie
07. “Keep It Moving” The Color Purple
08. “Superpower (I)” The Color Purple
09. “Quiet Eyes”; Past Lives
10. “Am I Dreaming”; Spider-Man: Across The Spiderverse
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. “Can’t Catch Me Now”; The Hunger Games: The Ballad Of Songbirds & Snakes
12. “High Life” Flora And Son
13. “Meet In The Middle”; Flora And Son
14. “A Song For My People”; Killers Of The Flower Moon
15. “Dear Alien (Who Art In Heaven)”; Asteroid City
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Not Possible, Category Is Shortlisted
Best Original Score: Tilts Oppenheimer
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Oppenheimer
02. Killers Of The Flower Moon
03. Poor Things
04. The Zone Of Interest
05. Spider-Man: Across The Spiderverse
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Elemental
07. The Boy And The Heron
08. Society Of The Snow
09. American Fiction
10. Barbie
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Indiana Jones And The Dial Of Destiny
12. The Color Purple
13. The Holdovers
14. Saltburn
15. American Symphony
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Not Possible, Category Is Shortlisted
Best Sound: Tilts Oppenheimer
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Oppenheimer
02. Killers Of The Flower Moon
03. Maestro
04. The Zone Of Interest
05. Ferrari
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Barbie
07. The Killer
08. Napoleon
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
09. The Creator
10. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part 1
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Not Possible, Category Is Shortlisted
Best Editing: Tilts Oppenheimer
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Oppenheimer
02. Killers Of The Flower Moon
03. Poor Things
04. The Holdovers
05. Maestro
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Barbie
07. American Fiction
08. Anatomy Of A Fall
09. The Color Purple
10. Air
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. The Zone Of Interest
12. Society Of The Snow
13. Spider-Man: Across The Spiderverse
14. Past Lives
15. Saltburn
– Off The Board Since Last Update: N/A
Best Cinematography: Tilts Oppenheimer
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Oppenheimer
02. Killers Of The Flower Moon
03. Poor Things
04. Maestro
05. The Color Purple
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. The Zone Of Interest
07. Saltburn
08. Barbie
09. The Holdovers
10. Society Of The Snow
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. John Wick: Chapter 4
12. Past Lives
13. Asteroid City
14. Napoleon
15. El Conde
– Off The Board Since Last Update: N/A
Best Visual Effects: Tilts Godzilla Minus One
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Godzilla Minus One
02. The Creator
03. Poor Things
04. Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3
05. Spider-Man: Across The Spiderverse
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Society Of The Snow
07. Napoleon
08. Indiana Jones And The Dial Of Destiny
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
09. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part 1
10. Rebel Moon Part 1: A Child Of Fire
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Not Possible, Category Is Shortlisted
Best Production Design: Tilts Poor Things
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Poor Things
02. Barbie
03. Oppenheimer
04. Killers Of The Flower Moon
05. The Color Purple
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Asteroid City
07. The Zone Of Interest
08. Wonka
09. Society Of The Snow
10. Maestro
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Saltburn
12. The Creator
13. Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3
14. The Hunger Games: The Ballad Of Songbirds And Snakes
15. Beau Is Afraid
– Off The Board Since Last Update: N/A
Best Costume Design: Tilts Barbie
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Barbie
02. Poor Things
03. Oppenheimer
04. Killers Of The Flower Moon
05. The Color Purple
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Maestro
07. Wonka
08. Napoleon
09. Priscilla
10. Saltburn
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
11. Asteroid City
12. Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3
13. The Hunger Games: The Ballad Of Songbirds And Snakes
14. The Little Mermaid
15. Chevalier
– Off The Board Since Last Update: N/A
Best Hair & Makeup: Tilts Maestro
– TIER 1: MY CURRENT PREDICTED 5
01. Maestro
02. Poor Things
03. Oppenheimer
04. Killers Of The Flower Moon
05. Society Of The Snow
– TIER 2: “ON THE BUBBLE” CONTENDERS
06. Golda
07. Beau Is Afraid
08. The Last Voyage Of The Demeter
– TIER 3: LONGSHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
09. Ferrari
10. Napoleon
– Off The Board Since Last Update: Not Possible, Category Is Shortlisted
My first thought was “How many Oscars does Scorsese have by now?” and since I figured that the answer was “five or so”, I thought that Killers of the Flower Moon wouldn’t have a shot. As it turns out… he’s just got one. For “The Departed”.
That’s not the one that I would have given one but… I guess The Academy had to stick their thumb in somebody’s eye and giving it to Polanski was the best way to do that.
Anyway, my money’s on Scorsese for that one. They’ll give it to Oppenheimer for the quality of the film but I’m guessing that there’s still some animosity over the whole superheroes thing and they’ll want to give the statue to the guy who didn’t sell out. Nolan will get it next time, maybe.Report