Supreme Court Mandates Rulings: Read Them For Yourself

Andrew Donaldson

Born and raised in West Virginia, Andrew has been the Managing Editor of Ordinary Times since 2018, is a widely published opinion writer, and appears in media, radio, and occasionally as a talking head on TV. He can usually be found misspelling/misusing words on Twitter@four4thefire. Andrew is the host of Heard Tell podcast. Subscribe to Andrew'sHeard Tell Substack for free here:

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106 Responses

  1. A 6-3 vote? I wonder who the 6 were.Report

  2. Philip H says:

    I’m amused by all the reporting and commentary on this – because these aren’t decisions on the merits, just whether the mandates can or can’t stay in place as litigation proceeds.Report

  3. InMD says:

    Not super surprising. The CMS rule isn’t a stretch of the agency’s mandate the way the OSHA rule is.Report

  4. Pinky says:

    “It is not our role to weigh such tradeoffs. In our system of government, that is the responsibility of those chosen by the people through democratic processes.”Report

    • Mike Schilling in reply to Pinky says:

      “Though the VRA is right out.”Report

    • Greg In Ak in reply to Pinky says:

      We have elections pretty often. OSHA is led by people appointed by elected officials. Biden was elected. Elected officials put forth a policy, Supremes say the people are elected should make rules but stop the regs from a agency run by a person who answers to the Sec of Labor.

      I know this has become a popular conservative point but it’s circular and doesn’t make any sense as presented.Report

      • Pinky in reply to Greg In Ak says:

        Appointed officials put forward a policy that the legislative branch didn’t give them the power to do.Report

        • Michael Cain in reply to Pinky says:

          We live in interesting times. The SCOTUS seems set to finish establishing a “doctrine of important questions” saying that some matters are so important that Congress cannot delegate decision-making on them.

          I expect it to get a good workout next month, when the Court hears West Virginia v. EPA and consolidated cases. Demonstrating my own biases by phrasing, I expect the Court will rule that any action large enough to be effective against greenhouse gas emissions is too important for Congress to delegate.Report

          • Pinky in reply to Michael Cain says:

            I don’t think that’s a fair reading, and I don’t mean I think it’s partisan. It’s just inaccurate. They go on for pages presenting that Congress *did* not, not that Congress *can* not.Report

            • Philip H in reply to Pinky says:

              Except as I note below, Congress DID.Report

              • Pinky in reply to Philip H says:

                You laid out nicely that it didn’t. I mean, thanks for providing the documentation, but there’s nothing in it that would challenge the majority opinion.Report

              • Philip H in reply to Pinky says:

                SO you contend – as sadly does SCOTUS – that Congress telling the secretary of labor to issue regulations isn’t a delegation of decisional authority? Or do you contend – as they also do, that even when done clearly, Congress Can’t delegate authority?

                I mean as feds, when we receive federal law training, we are told over and over that when Congress says our agency SHALL do something, its not optional.Report

              • Philip H in reply to Pinky says:

                Article 1, Section 8:

                To make all Laws which shall be necessary and proper for carrying into Execution the foregoing Powers, and all other Powers vested by this Constitution in the Government of the United States, or in any Department or Officer thereof.

                Further, Article 2, section 3 is pretty clear that the President shall faithfully execute the laws of the land.

                You know, the SHALLS that Congress writes.Report

              • Pinky in reply to Pinky says:

                Philip, I contend that the majority is right, and the majority didn’t write what you’re saying they did.Report

          • Philip H in reply to Michael Cain says:

            That’s an interesting take on originalism – We, SCOTUS, have decided that Congress CAN’T do the thing the Constitution tells it to do, which is direct the Executive by passing laws. I guess its one way to further degrade the regulatory state that conservatives find so onerous.Report

          • Saul Degraw in reply to Michael Cain says:

            That doctrine will hold up until the next time the GOP controls the white house with a Democratic Congress.

            I for one, eagerly await the decision from Justice Howler Monkey entitled “it is okay when you are Republican.”Report

        • Philip H in reply to Pinky says:

          The Legislative Branch didn’t, so far as I know, prohibit it either.

          To assure safe and healthful working conditions for working men and women; by authorizing enforcement of the standards developed under the Act; by assisting and encouraging the States in their efforts to assure safe and healthful working conditions; by providing for research, information, education, and training in the field of occupational safety and health; and for other purposes.

          That’s the opening of the OSHA Act of 1970, what we call the organic act. Seems to me, simply based on that, that OSHA has purview, in that rampant COVID outbreaks impact the health of the workers in a workplace.

          SEC.
          2.
          Congressional Findings and Purpose
          (a) The Congress finds that personal injuries and illnesses arising out of work situations impose a substantial burden upon, and are a hindrance to, interstate commerce in terms of lost production, wage loss, medical expenses, and disability compensation payments.

          Again, COVID outbreak arise in workplaces – hospitals around the US are currently experiencing this, as are school districts. In the early days, we had numerous reports of outbreaks in meatpacking and poultry plants.

          (b)
          The Congress declares it to be its purpose and policy, through the exercise of its powers to regulate commerce among the several States and with foreign nations and to provide for the general welfare, to assure so far as possible every working man and woman in the Nation safe and healthful working conditions and to preserve our human resources —

          (3)
          by authorizing the Secretary of Labor to set mandatory occupational safety and health standards applicable to businesses affecting interstate commerce, and by creating an Occupational Safety and Health Review Commission for carrying out adjudicatory functions under the Act;

          And there Congress tells the Labor Secretary to create these regulations. In unusually plain language.

          Carrying it further, Congress directed the new agency to:

          (6)
          by exploring ways to discover latent diseases, establishing causal connections between diseases and work in environmental conditions, and conducting other research relating to health problems, in recognition of the fact that occupational health standards present problems often different from those involved in occupational safety;

          (7)
          by providing medical criteria which will assure insofar as practicable that no employee will suffer diminished health, functional capacity, or life expectancy as a result of his work experience;

          And then Congress told the Secretary to use the new agency to look at health in the workplace, separate from occupational issues.

          Down in Section 6 we see:

          SEC.
          6.
          Occupational Safety and Health Standards
          (a)
          29 USC 655
          Without regard to chapter 5 of title 5, United States Code, or to the other subsections of this section, the Secretary shall, as soon as practicable during the period beginning with the effective date of this Act and ending two years after such date, by rule promulgate as an occupational safety or health standard any national consensus standard, and any established Federal standard, unless he determines that the promulgation of such a standard would not result in improved safety or health for specifically designated employees. In the event of conflict among any such standards, the Secretary shall promulgate the standard which assures the greatest protection of the safety or health of the affected employees.

          Which means the Secretary of Labor HAS TO ISSUE regulations comporting with this standard. Equally important the Secretary is required by law to do so in the way that protects the most people.

          Bottom line – Congress was quite clear in 1970 what they wanted OSHA to do in instances like this. SCOTUS clearly disagrees with that. But the appointed officials certainly look like they are on solid ground.Report

  5. Saul Degraw says:

    The Six Horsemen of the Aplocalypse. Say what you will about Locernism, at least it is an ethos.Report

  6. Chip Daniels says:

    The elephant in the room is the fact that tens of millions of people have embraced the plague rats of misinformation and refuse to abide by even the simplest acts of pandemic hygiene like wearing a mask.

    Aided, abetted, and fueled by the Republican Party and Fox News media empire.Report

    • Pinky in reply to Chip Daniels says:

      Do you think that AOC was driven to mask violation by the mere presence of all those Florida Republicans?

      The elephant in the room is omicron. Likely every covid fact that was true 6 weeks ago will be false in 6 weeks. Any emotional justification for a federal mandate is also likely history. The law remains the law. Not only would we do more damage by throwing away the law than we would by enforcing mandates, there’s little reason to think that mandates would affect the course of the pandemic at this point at all.Report

      • Chip Daniels in reply to Pinky says:

        A couple hundred thousand Americans are dead today because of the tsunami of misinformation spread by the Republican Party and Fox News.

        To spread this flood of propaganda was a willful choice, freely made by Republicans for short term political advantage.Report

      • North in reply to Pinky says:

        You don’t think that something that’d lead to more vaccinations would have an impact on the pandemic? How do you figure?Report

        • Pinky in reply to North says:

          I think we’re very close to the end of the story. Just looking at the raw numbers, they’ve been breaking that little Google chart’s software, with one-day new cases in some areas four times higher than any previous seven-day average. Still, the number of deaths hold steady or decline relative to last year’s seasonal pattern. The number of people who would be saved from death by omicron who still work in 100-employee businesses but haven’t gotten the vaccine yet? I don’t see it as a high number.Report

          • North in reply to Pinky says:

            I do agree that omicron is rendering most of the isolation arguments moot- it’s just too contagious to easily avoid. Which is why vaccination is more important than ever. As for deaths, I hope you’re right but fear that they’re coming in the next few weeks. Time will tell.Report

            • Pinky in reply to North says:

              I’ve been watching the numbers as nervously as anyone. I’ve seen some increases in deaths, for example in Canada and the UK. But they pale in comparison to their numbers during the last winter. It’s a real concern: a very-rarely-fatal variant that nearly everyone gets has the potential to cause a lot of deaths. I’m glad I’m vaccinated (and I’m fairly sure my bloodstream has a bunch of recently-arrived antibodies) and I believe in the moral case for the vaccine. But the death rate is:

              (percent vaxxed * likelihood of coronavirus when vaxxed * likelihood of death from coronavirus when vaxxed) +
              (percent unvaxxed * likelihood of coronavirus when unvaxxed * likelihood of death from coronavirus while unvaxxed)

              It looks to me like terms B and E are going to approach 100%, and term F is larger than term C but still fairly small, and the mandate wouldn’t change terms A and D significantly.Report

              • Brandon Berg in reply to Pinky says:

                Two interesting things I noticed today:

                1. California is reporting deaths on a three-week lag.

                2. The UK publishes two death statistics: Deaths with COVID-19 on the death certificate, and all deaths occurring within 28 days of a positive test. The latter is about three times as large as the former, and it’s also what’s shown on the Worldometers tracker.

                I’m not sure how common these practices are, but they suggest caution in interpretation of statistics.Report

              • Pinky in reply to Brandon Berg says:

                There are similar patterns in most US states, as well as in Canada, the UK, Scandinavia, generally across the northern hemisphere’s modern, high-mobility countries. All data is preliminary, always, but the observations are consistent. There have been increases in the number of deaths, but less than in the previous winter. How much of that increase is seasonal? How much lingering delta cases? How much driven by the sheer number of weaker-but-still-potentially-deadly omicron cases? We’ll see if that can be teased out of the data.Report

              • Dark Matter in reply to Pinky says:

                Covid mostly kills people who already have multiple problems. Lots them died last year. A year isn’t enough time to restock that population.

                Note the overall death rate holds steady at 100%.Report

      • Jennifer Worrel in reply to Pinky says:

        I agree with this. With Omicron, vaccinated / boosted are still contracting and transmitting. I don’t think OSHA is empowered to require employers to mitigate degrees of illness from viruses that can be contracted anywhere.Report

        • North in reply to Jennifer Worrel says:

          Sure, but vaccinated and boosted people are massively less likely to get seriously ill whereas the unvaxxed are the overwhelming majority of serious cases flooding the healthcare system.Report

          • Saul Degraw in reply to North says:

            This is still a pandemic of the unvaccinated. I have known vaccinated people with Omicron breakthrough infections but they have what appears to be moderate flu like systems. Unpleasant but nothing that needs the hospital.Report

        • InMD in reply to Jennifer Worrel says:

          Yea, it’s also the unvaccinated clogging up ICUs and ventilators for no reason other than their personal selfishness.

          I’m pretty agnostic on these mandates but not on the ethics of it. Anyone eligible not getting the vaccine is a free-riding a-hole prolonging the pain for everyone else.Report

  7. Saul Degraw says:

    I will point out what Kagan said. Nearly 1 million Americans have died from COVID. The death count might be higher when you factor in deaths that were not reported properly and/or people who died from other conditions because ICU beds were filled up by COVID patients and continue to be filled up by COVID patients. Public health has been one of the most traditional powers of the state. If this is not necessary and proper, nothing is.Report

    • Pinky in reply to Saul Degraw says:

      Public health has never been protected in this way in our history.Report

      • Philip H in reply to Pinky says:

        See Flu Pandemic, 1918 for the last time we had this intense level of public health impact from a pandemic.Report

      • LeeEsq in reply to Pinky says:

        Back in the day, public health used to be protection more vigorously because society accepted the state had a right to trample individuals during pandemics. Rather than have people quarrantine at home, they would be taken to special quarrantine hostels to protect uninfected people that lived with them and everybody else in the neighborhood. And vaccination would be forced.Report

    • Chip Daniels in reply to Saul Degraw says:

      That’s without even factoring in the economic devastation which is continuing even under Omicron.

      “Mild” cases still result in higher employee absentee rates and supply chain disruption.Report

  8. Philip H says:

    To reiterate:

    1) Over 844,000 Americans are now dead of CVOID. Many of them – probably the majority of them – working age adults.

    2) 208.6 Million Americans have been vaccinated

    3) Daily cases per 100,000 are now more then double the prior peak in early 2021.

    4) Unvaccinated people are around 14 times as likely to get Covid as vaccinated people.

    5) Unvaccinated people are being hospitalized at a rate of 67.9 per 100,000; vaccinated people are being hospitalized at a rate of 3.9 per 100,000.

    6) Deaths rates per 100,000 in rural areas are 0.71; in urban areas they are 0.54.

    This is very much now a pandemic of the unvaccinated and rural America. Its probably only coincidence however that rural America is overwhelmingly Red.Report

    • Pinky in reply to Philip H says:

      But there’s nothing in your reiteration that addresses the Court’s decisions.Report

    • Dark Matter in reply to Philip H says:

      Over 844,000 Americans are now dead of CVOID. Many of them – probably the majority of them – working age adults.

      According to Statista, 75% of the deaths are over the age of 65. 52% are over the age of 75. About half of those are over the age of 85.

      https://www.statista.com/statistics/1191568/reported-deaths-from-covid-by-age-us/

      My eyeball look at the graphs suggests the outbreak is doubling every 2 weeks. We’re all going to get it over the next two months.Report

    • Brandon Berg in reply to Philip H says:

      4) Unvaccinated people are around 14 times as likely to get Covid as vaccinated people.

      5) Unvaccinated people are being hospitalized at a rate of 67.9 per 100,000; vaccinated people are being hospitalized at a rate of 3.9 per 100,000.

      These may have been true of alpha, but I don’t think they were even true of delta, much less omicron. There’s nothing that’s 93% protective against symptomatic omicron infection, except perhaps prior omicron infection. A three-shot course appears to reduce hospitalization by around 90% (still less than you’re claiming), but IIRC the standard two-shot course only gives like 50-70% protection.

      Apparently there’s an omicron-targeted vaccine scheduled for March, but that will probably be a bit late.Report

    • Dark Matter in reply to Philip H says:

      Add to that list: 75% of the vaccinated people who die have 4 comorbidities.

      https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/covid-deaths-4-comorbidities/

      Thing is I can’t recall OSHA ever mandating vaccinations in the general workplace. It’s not what they do.

      This wasn’t an effort to protect people at work, it was an effort to protect people in general. If and when I get covid, it won’t be from exposure at work.Report

  9. Twitter post from OG and attorney Mark T, arguing that the SCOTUS stay is garbage:

    https://twitter.com/Markt_og/status/1481764335391326214

    Thread: I’m open to the idea that there was no authority under OSHA for the mandate. But to openly ignore the other factors for granting an injunction is just….wow. Would be reversible error if done by any other court.Report

  10. CJColucci says:

    John Roberts, saving conservatives from their own folly since 2005.Report

  11. Burt Likko says:

    Note that mandates imposed by a state government or voluntarily by an employer are unaffected by these decisions.

    As several have noted above, this means that in Red states where politicians have jumped on the antivax train, we may reasonably expect to see higher rates of infection, transmission, hospitalization, and ultimately death, because freedom. As I’ve opined elsewhere, getting a free vaccination against a potentially debilitating and deadly disease versus losing your job seems to me to be a “would you rather clean toilets or eat ice cream” kind of decision, but others feel differently. I’m not entirely sure the data is that dramatically different, though, and it further seems to me that this state of affairs is probably because COVID is so amazingly transmissible despite the precautions we’ve put in effect (and which a substantial portion of the population shirk or resist).

    So what’s really happening here is a setup for a limits-of-Federal-authority argument and that it happens with a rule intended to curb a virulent, novel, potentially deadly disease (see statistics cited by Philip H, supra). I would say “Huh, it turns out the Constitution is a suicide pact after all!” but 1) these are decisions on preliminary injunctions, not final rulings; 2) the disease appears to spread, although more slowly, even in areas where mandates and masking are still required so maybe we’d be facing a death toll similar to what’s actually happening even with a contrary ruling; and 3) a permanent rule that goes through the Administrative Procedures Act process would be facing much better odds under the reasoning here than the emergency rule that’s, at the moment, stayed.

    Finally, let’s remember that no one deserves to get COVID and certainly no one deserves to die of COVID. That’s as true of Ron DeSantis as it is of you or I.Report

    • InMD in reply to Burt Likko says:

      Ron is vaccinated. He will be fine.Report

    • Saul Degraw in reply to Burt Likko says:

      “Finally, let’s remember that no one deserves to get COVID and certainly no one deserves to die of COVID. That’s as true of Ron DeSantis as it is of you or I.”

      Confession. I have probably taken more glee in sorryantivaxxer.com than is good for the psyche.Report

    • Dark Matter in reply to Burt Likko says:

      I would feel worse about the ruling if I thought it mattered more.

      Say the gov tells everyone they have until March to get vaccinated (and the vaccine takes 2 weeks to protect you). The outbreak will be over before that.

      That’s the power of exponential growth.

      We’re already at 4x our previous high and we’re doubling every 2 weeks.

      For the board, NOW would be a really good time to get a booster. Everyone is going to get covid, even if they have been vaccinated, even if they’ve previously had covid.Report

    • DensityDuck in reply to Burt Likko says:

      “in Red states where politicians have jumped on the antivax train, we may reasonably expect to see higher rates of infection, transmission, hospitalization, and ultimately death…”

      yeah…no

      For death rates by state, so far it’s a toss-up, with two of the top five voting Blue in 2020. So yeah, weasel-words “reasonably expect to see higher” is maybe valid, but it’s not like red state FREEDUMB ADDIX have all their citizens choking to death on their own puke while smart intelligent science-following blue state governments following safe and sane policies are coming through just fine.Report

      • Philip H in reply to DensityDuck says:

        in Red states where politicians have jumped on the antivax train, we may reasonably expect to see higher rates of infection, transmission, hospitalization, and ultimately death…

        Top 4 states for covid hospitalizations – Louisiana, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi. Note that while Louisiana has a democratic governor, he’s being regularly opposed by a Republican legislature.Report

        • DensityDuck in reply to Philip H says:

          Sorry, I’m still back in 2020 where deaths were the most important statistic.Report

          • Philip H in reply to DensityDuck says:

            Even then, hospitalizations and case rate were important.Report

            • Pinky in reply to Philip H says:

              The big thing that’s changed since 2020 is that Republicans weren’t gloating over the NYC outbreak. At least, no one I knew. We were worried for other people no matter their party affiliation. We were freaking out at the nursing home policy, not blaming those who got sick.

              This is something that Jaybird pointed out that I’ve really noticed in the omicron era. Now that liberals are getting the disease, they’re writing articles about how infection doesn’t make you a bad person. How utterly messed up must people have been, how smug and hate-filled, if that’s their reaction?Report

              • Philip H in reply to Pinky says:

                Republicans weren’t gloating over the NYC outbreak. At least, no one I knew. We were worried for other people no matter their party affiliation.

                You and I know very different Republicans. Because a great many were gloating about the outbreaks because they saw it as as yet another way to own the libs.

                Now that liberals are getting the disease, they’re writing articles about how infection doesn’t make you a bad person. How utterly messed up must people have been, how smug and hate-filled, if that’s their reaction?

                Those who remain unvaccinated, get COVID, and are now, again, clogging up the medical system begging for treatment are not bad people. They are making bad choices based on lies. Just as Republican politicians leading their states are making bad choices based on lies. That has been the case since the beginning.,Report

              • Pinky in reply to Philip H says:

                I remember the discussions on this site. No one was writing the kind of messages that you or Saul now post. As for your second paragraph, you missed the point; the left has been treating covid victims as inferior people from about the moment NYC got under control until the moment that they themselves started getting covid. The outdoor double-masked insulting the outdoor non-masked. The constant judgment. There’s a story that Democrats tell themselves that Republicans have no empathy, and don’t believe something is a problem until it happens to someone they know. The past month has documented which side that really applies to.Report

              • Philip H in reply to Pinky says:

                Who from the left carried rifles into a state house in protest of lockdowns and mask mandates? Who from the left is making death threats against public health officials? which politicians form the left are running websites to raise campaign donations calling for the firing of long serving public health leaders? Who from the left is going around screaming at underpaid waiters and baristas who politely try to enforce mask requirements in private businesses? Who from the allegedly left leaning Mainstream media is lying regularly about their own vaccine status to their viewers while peddling quack cures and denigrating vaccine developed by the last president? I could on and on.

                You want us to have empathy for people who, nearly two years on, continue to voluntarily dismiss the actual science, to make – as you put it – the unethical choice to remain unvaccinated while demanding they be cured by an increasingly overburdened healthcare system? You want us to turn a blind eye to the enormous amount of needless death and suffering they have caused in the whimsical and naïve name of some alleged freedom? You want us not to judge?

                That’s rich. And sorry, no. We will judge, Just as the right judges us. Remember – to a vast many IRL Republicans and conservatives I’m at best and idiot and at worst a traitor for being an open and proud liberal. Marjorie Taylor Green – who is very popular in her very red Congressional district – wants people like me hunted and driven out of government (if not outright harmed) when Republicans take power. As long as that remains in play conservatives don’t get to preach about the unfairness of being called out for their behavior.Report

              • CJColucci in reply to Philip H says:

                There’s no profit in talking to Pinky about who or what he knows or heard of who said or did what.Report

              • Dark Matter in reply to Philip H says:

                They are making bad choices based on lies.

                I don’t think so. IMHO they are making bad choices, then they look for lies to back up their “reasoning”.

                That’s one of the things about “reasoning”. For many people/issues it’s less of a tool to make a good choice and more of a tool for justifying the choice they’ve already made.Report

      • Dark Matter in reply to DensityDuck says:

        Interesting. Forcing people to be vaccinated is less effective than we’d like to think? Gov has less control than we’d like to think? Or maybe it’s politicians virtue signaling is less effective.Report

        • InMD in reply to Dark Matter says:

          My totally unscientific observation is that vaccination generally is most effective when mandated for children to enter school. No toddler-kindergarten kid is fighting it themselves and historically it was only a strange subset of parents undertaking that battle and accepting the consequences.

          You look at other traditionally optional vaccines primarily taken by adults like flu and rates are all over the place. Obviously rates are high among the elderly, and in professions like healthcare that mandate it for obvious reasons, but is much lower among younger people and people who don’t work white collar jobs that host an annual flu shot drive.Report

          • Chip Daniels in reply to InMD says:

            “historically it was only a strange subset of parents…”

            This is no longer true.

            And won’t revert back anytime soon, or when the next deadly public health crisis occurs.Report

            • Dark Matter in reply to Chip Daniels says:

              “Revert”? Far as I can tell we’ve gone through this every time a new vacation is released.

              The anti-cervix cancer vaccination is a good example. There are lots of others and the issue goes back for as long as this technology has been around.

              What’s new is everyone who is vaccination shy is going to get infected at the same time (to be fair so will everyone who has had the vaccination).Report

              • Philip H in reply to Dark Matter says:

                And what’s not actually new is the unvaccinated will be sicker and more likely to die.Report

              • Chip Daniels in reply to Dark Matter says:

                No we don’t.

                For every new vaccination, beginning with smallpox and continuing through polio, measles and HPV there has been a small subset of anti-vax holdouts.

                What’s different now is their numbers have exploded, fueled by a massive propaganda war waged by Fox News and the Republicans.

                The anti-vaxxers are here to stay and they won’t go back to being a fringe group within our lifetimes.

                ETA: And this won’t change with the next deadly pandemic no matter what it is.
                This SCOTUS case doesn’t say “This only applies to the omicron variant of the Covid-19 virus”. The hydrocloriquine injectors, pee-drinkers, and snake oil handlers aren’t going to disappear.Report

              • Dark Matter in reply to Chip Daniels says:

                For every new vaccination, beginning with smallpox and continuing through polio, measles and HPV there has been a small subset of anti-vax holdouts. What’s different now is their numbers have exploded…

                HPV coverage is currently 75%.

                Covid coverage (at least one dose) is currently 75%

                https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7035a1.htm

                There are other vaccinations which have higher coverage, but that’s with the school system forcing it on small children before they can make a choice.

                Or lets look at other countries without the evil GOP.

                Germany has 75% coverage.
                France has 79%.
                UK 78%.
                Sweden 76%
                Finland 79%.

                The math strongly says the GOP didn’t create this problem and (amazingly) probably hasn’t made it worse. Everyone in the world knows about the vaccine. With perfect knowledge and perfect access, 20-25% choose not to vaccinate.

                This post requires a second link for world wide rates but I’ll post it on a reply to myself.Report

              • Philip H in reply to Dark Matter says:

                The fully vaccinated rate in the US is only 62.8%. Germany is 71.82%. The UK is 70.09%. France is 74.87%. Finland in 75.09%. And Sweden is 73.38%. Which means that in fact the US is doing worse then other nations. And there is likely a political/tribal identity component to that.

                The other problem I see with your analysis is the countries you chose are relatively small and relatively culturally homogeneous. In the US, full vaccination rates by state vary from 78.4% in Vermont down to 48.1% in Wyoming. Here in Mississippi its 48.8%. And with the notable exceptions of very purple Maryland and Virginia, the leading vaccine states are helmed by Democrats. Republicans are not blameless, and the states that are helmed by them are doing relatively worse, which keeps the US from being a leader in vaccinations.

                https://www.mayoclinic.org/coronavirus-covid-19/vaccine-trackerReport

              • Dark Matter in reply to Philip H says:

                You’re assuming that the GOP leaders are able to order their followers to believe what they want to believe.

                I’d say the reality is more they’re spineless and unable to resist what their followers want.

                Absolutely there are cultural aspects to this. But there’s also a blaming the weather man for the weather aspect to this as well.

                Our leaders are supposed to flinch away from things the people don’t want. That’s a feature, not a flaw. It works against us here and now but this too will pass.Report

              • Chip Daniels in reply to Dark Matter says:

                Republicans ALSO screamed about the HPV vaccinations.

                But even comparing vaccination rates of HPV and Covid is an error.

                There has never been a deliberate campaign against any other vaccination that compares to the Fox/ Republican campaign of lies and misinformation, in size and scope and effectiveness.

                This is radically new in American history and it won’t pass within our lifetimes.

                In ten years, Tucker Carlson and Joe Rogan and all the others will still be media figures, still reaching millions of people , still spewing whatever nonsense they happen to find pleasing at the moment.
                DeSantis and Abbot may be retired, but will surely be replaced with some other mouth breather who is essentially the same.

                Speaker of the House Boebert and Senate Majority Leader Dr. Oz will be doing things that only a crazy person would have said back in 2022.Report

              • Dark Matter in reply to Chip Daniels says:

                it won’t pass within our lifetimes.

                Lifetimes? It will be done this year.

                Covid will burn out in a few months. There will be no reason to force vaccination on adults so we won’t.

                The issue will go away.

                This vaccination will be added to the list of what is required for elementary school.

                Given how it was a century since the last pandemic and the increase is technologies; We either won’t see this again in our lifetimes and/or we’ll have better technology before we do.Report

              • Chip Daniels in reply to Dark Matter says:

                There will be no reason to vaccinate against measles, mumps, rubella, polio, smallpox?

                Is there some natural law that forbids viruses from occurring more than once a century?

                Were you asleep during the last three or four viral epidemics that were averted only due to the swift international action of quarantine and vaccination?Report

              • Just for the record, no one vaccinates against smallpox any more.Report

              • Dark Matter in reply to Chip Daniels says:

                There will be no reason to vaccinate against measles, mumps, rubella, polio, smallpox?

                Ignoring smallpox, none of these are controversial.

                New things are scary to adults because they’re new. Tried and true solutions are best. This is the very definition of “conservative”.

                Those vaccinations are tried and true.

                We’re not hearing “all vaccinations are bad” we’re hearing “this one is different”. Thus “religious” objections from people who have never had a problem with other vaccinations and still don’t.Report

              • Chip Daniels in reply to Dark Matter says:

                You’re making this comment on a thread where literally, the SCOTUS reasoning applies to ALL vaccine mandates by OSHA, whether by Covid or any other health emergency.

                Two Republican states have banned employer vaccine mandates for ANY vaccine.
                Ten states have banned state worker vaccine mandates.
                Six have banned vaccine mandates for health workers.
                Twenty states have banned proof of vaccination requirements.

                I know, you want to argue that this only applies to Covid, and as soon as another health emergency happens, well, by cracky Republicans will just cheerfully embrace vaccine mandates and masks and all manner of public health measures.

                But that’s whats called “saying the quiet parts loud”.

                The Republican leadership suddenly adopted an anti-vax posture because it happened to be convenient for them politically.

                But they couldn’t say that out loud because well, that would make them look craven and stupid, right?

                So, as with this SCOTUS case, they had to invent all sorts of bizarre illogic to puff it up into sounding like a principled stance.

                But the whole idea of a “principled stance” is that it applies generally, not just to this one thing that happens to be politically convenient at the moment.

                I know they are full of crap, and YOU know they are full of crap, but the true believers who drink their own urine and inject horse dewormer don’t, and they vote Republican and they run the party now.Report

              • Dark Matter in reply to Chip Daniels says:

                the SCOTUS reasoning applies to ALL vaccine mandates by OSHA, whether by Covid or any other health emergency.

                OSHA isn’t supposed to be dealing with “health emergencies”. That’s not it’s mandate. My expectation is the number of other “vaccine mandates” is zero, maybe excluding hospitals.

                …banned employer vaccine mandates for ANY vaccine.

                The number of “employer vaccine mandates” I’ve run into thus far is zero. My employer offers them, I accept, but there’s a strong argument that the gov is over reaching here.

                We have actual public health organizations and arms of government. I think the States have the authority the gov is trying for here but whatever.

                The BIG place where vaccines are mandated is for children in school, and far as I can tell that will continue.

                The gov has a LONG tradition of abusing any power it has it’s hands on, and giving it the power of forcing cultural cramdowns via employment seems like a issue.Report

  12. Saul Degraw says:

    If this is true, Sinema is at Norma Desmond levels of delusion: https://twitter.com/Amy_Siskind/status/1481731676669632516?s=20Report

  13. WVEsquiress says:

    Thank you to all of our excellent commentariat for their smart and informed discussion, relieving me of feeling compelled to draft an explainer.Report

  14. PD Shaw says:

    The Supreme Court may have bailed out the Democrats. Mandates (vax or test) in my state were targeted and required compliance by Oct. 4th for those employed in government, schools and health care providers. There have been numerous extensions (individual and by class) with the hospitals here needing an additional five months for compliance. An OSHA emergency rule can only remain in place for six months. Hospitals have several advantages in administering a vaccine mandate, most having started early in encouraging vaccination, having their own testing and vaccination capacity, and having had and enforced flu vaccine mandates for years.

    Mandates later needed legislation to implement that was difficult to obtain even with a supermajority Democratic legislature. Lawsuits sprang up, including from public service unions, based upon an interpretation of a healthcare freedom of conscious law that would have eviscerated the mandates. Initially there were not enough votes for an immediate effective date (as opposed to June) due to opposition from the black caucus. In addition, employers needed liability protection if they were to enforce vaccine mandates — the fear being that they would rubberstamp any medical / religious exemption otherwise. Again, the necessary votes were not there until language was removed expressly contemplating that employment could be terminated. There are legislators that support mandates, but not consequences.

    Six months is probably not enough time to effectively implement this type of rule and the results would have been chaotic and arbitrary enforcement. I think people greatly undervalue how policies may have some degree of general support which evaporates in its implementation.Report

  15. Jaybird says:

    Good news!

    Report

    • Pinky in reply to Jaybird says:

      It looks like that applies only to hospital reporting to HHS, not to state/local reporting to CDC, which is the origin of most of the data we all follow.Report

  16. Damon says:

    “A judge in Texas ruled on Friday that President Joe Biden could not require federal employees to be vaccinated against the coronavirus and blocked the U.S. government from disciplining employees who failed to comply.”

    https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/us-judge-blocks-biden-federal-employee-covid-19-vaccine-mandate-2022-01-21/

    Now things get interesting.Report