Commenter Archive

Comments by Michael Cain in reply to Jaybird*

On “Open Mic for the week of 1/20/2025

And my at-this-moment impression is that Trump is insisting interest rates go down below where they price in the risk that Congressional Republicans will default.

Detroit went through bankruptcy and survived. May have done better than survived.

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Are we the baddies?

What's your world view? When I'm depressed, mine is that we're headed towards regional empires. In that case, Denmark (nor the EU) can protect Greenland and it's resources. Canada's not big enough to do that job. Greenland needs to be part of a US North American empire.

I dislike when I'm that depressed.

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The last time Trump was president, didn't at least one of the rating companies drop Treasuries to less than AAA? To screw with the credit rating of a city is one thing. To screw with the credit rating of the richest country in the world, that can literally print dollars to pay off the bonds, is another thing entirely.

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When a carrier strike group with a full air wing and nukes shows up offshore from Greenland's capital, and Trump declares Greenland is a US territory, the implied challenge to the other NATO members is, "What are you going to do about it, militarily?"

On “Weekend Plans Post: Was Last Year This Cold?

It was more fun when we were young and I was a warm to start then colder in the morning sleeper, and my wife-to-be felt frozen to start then turned into a toaster oven. I think you could have told time by where we were and how far apart.

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Isn't a plug-in outlet timer a whole lot easier?

On “Open Mic for the week of 1/20/2025

Yesterday South Carolina's state-owned electric utility announced it is seeking to sell two partially built nuclear power reactors. The reactor project was abandoned several years ago because, with cost overruns and delays, it was cheaper to buy power from almost any other source rather than finishing the project. The utility is now seeking bids from consortiums of companies that include someone who can handle the construction, someone who can handle the operations, someone who can handle the finances, and tech companies with data centers to consume the generated power 24/7.

The utility has indicated that it has no interest in owning or operating the reactors.

On “Trump Term Two, Day One, Executive Orders

I would have thought the preemption doctrine, eg, no state may impose restrictions tougher than the FDA's. Of course, this SCOTUS seems likely to toss that with respect to mifepristone.

One interesting question we'll get to watch is whether the Court decides that rules and statutes can be overridden by EO without any process.

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Random thought... How soon until the executive order forbidding states from imposing tougher constraints on growing conditions for food than the FDA has? One of Trump's energy EOs attempts to revoke California's waiver to impose tighter vehicle emission standards.

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When I bought a dozen eggs last week, they were a couple of bucks more than the previous time. Causes: on the first of the year a new state law came into force requiring cage-free production, and avian flu is still running through the flocks.

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I went and read the text and find it interesting that the name of the mountain is being changed, but the national park and preserve in which it is located explicitly retains the name Denali. Digging a little further, it turns out that "Denali National Park and Preserve" is a matter of statute. Several/many of the new EOs, including this one, have explicit language that says the order doesn't apply if it violates statute.

This is the same EO that renames the Gulf of Mexico. "Gulf of Mexico" is a term used in a variety of international agreements and treaties.

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No, this is completely different.

On “Weekend Plans Post: One Single Good Song in 2024

Back of the envelope, and making some assumptions -- eg, that you're doing that in 15 minutes -- says your average power output is 360 watts. From the internet, stair racers train at an output of about 270 watts, although for longer periods.

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If a comment with a link is edited, WordPress automatically throws the comment into moderation. This is self-defense, as the changed comment body is not subjected to the same set of filters that are run when a comment is initially submitted.

On “The Snow Bank

When I was a wee lad, in northwest Iowa in the late 1950s and early 1960s, snow typically covered the ground from mid-November to mid-March. Plains/prairies blizzards could build drifts 10-feet tall (or more*). There was always a week where the high was -10 °F.

There was a conspiracy of mothers who would arrange to send** all of the children from about 10 down out to "play" at the same time on days when there was no school. Faced with, say, 5 °F air temperature and a 20 mph breeze but with a 10 foot drift available, children passed along skills for digging snow caves, even to the littles. Five or six children packed into a snow cave could raise the temperature to something fairly tolerable.

* North of town, where the road dipped to cross a creek, a good blizzard could pile snow 20 feet deep across the road. Picture this: a big yellow road grader, with a huge snow blower attachment on the front, with the diesel engine cranked up to where it was screaming, creeping into the drift at a speed easily measured in inches-per-minute, blowing a column of snow 50 feet up in the air. 60 years on, the memory is still sharp.

** Rolled might be a better description. Joint range-of-motion was severely limited :^)

On “Short Status Report on the Abilities of AI

I am old enough to have an archaic attitude: A computer that doesn't compute what I want, the way I want it done, is just a badly-designed boat anchor. I suppose I should update that, given the state of the data centers that train/run the LLM models. A badly-designed multi-megawatt heating element.

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An attitude to warm my heart. Back in my tech career, I would threaten recalcitrant machines with being dismantled for spare parts.

On “Saturday Morning Gaming: Cryptmaster

Yes, literally for years. Amazing persistence.

On “A Society of Shame Attached to Everything

When I was in high school band, the director was a former Army Sergeant Major. He never scolded us; he never screamed at us; he never cursed. But he could calmly and quietly make it clear that you had disappointed him, and make you feel lower than dirt about it.

On “Saturday Morning Gaming: Cryptmaster

Done mucking around. This should be transparent to everyone, including our long-time troll :^)

On “Induction!

Come for the snark, stay for the math.

I remember the first time I banged my head against mathematical induction. After a while, it just became automatic.

On “Saturday Morning Gaming: Cryptmaster

I'm going to put a variety of comments here while I'm doing some software updates.

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