Commenter Archive

Comments by Brandon Berg in reply to LeeEsq*

On “The Red Wave That Wasn’t

Primary voters are probably smarter than general election voters on average, but that's a low bar.

That's the problem with democracy. Not one voter in twenty has the critical thinking skills and knowledge necessary to even begin thinking intelligently about how to vote.

On “Ten Second News Links and Open Thread for the week of 11/7/2022

Actually, never mind. The judge delaying the judgment until after the election to hurt Biden (assuming that it was intentional) is consistent with your skepticism that it was done to help Biden. I was thinking more generally in terms of whether the timing made strategic sense in terms of the judge's presumable political preferences.

"

If the judgment had come down last week, Biden could have told young voters with student loan that their free ten to twenty grand might go away if there's no blue wave. It's not at all clear to me that that would have hurt Democrats.

On “Thursday Throughput: Invisible Universe Edition

Here's the study:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41380-022-01831-0

Also, I forgot Sytrinol, which contains nobiletin and tangeretin, both of which have been found (again, in preclinical research) to suppress microglial activation via the pathways mentioned in the paper.

"

ThTh6: I don't know how much credit to give it, but there was a recent study finding that COVID-19 infection sets off an inflammatory cascade in the brain that could lead to clinically relevant neurodegeneration over a period of years. If you've had COVID-19, especially pre-vaccination, it might be worth taking some nrf2 activators (curcumin, broccoli sprouts, EGCG) and fisetin to try to reduce the inflammation and ward off any future problems. I don't know that this will actually work, since clinical trials in humans are limited, but there's a lot of preclinical research suggesting a plausible mechanism.

"

ThTh3: I'm a bit annoyed at the way the continents just melt into each other without forming mountain ranges.

On a related note, everyone knows about Pangaea, but it's believed that supercontinents have actually formed several times in Earth's history. On a geological time scale, they seem to be a fairly regular occurrence.

On “The Red Wave That Wasn’t

Republicans barely retaking the House with Trumpists being overrepresented among the losers might be the best possible outcome. Republican control over one house prevents Democrats from having a free-for-all with the economic seed corn, while failing to capitalize on the way Democrats have embarrassed themselves over the first two years of the Biden administration may be the wake-up call Republicans need.

Or maybe primary voters will take exactly the wrong lesson from this. They're not smart people.

On “Ten Second News Links and Open Thread for the week of 10/31/22

False equivalence – oceanography as a science goes generally where the data go. Its what we are trained to do.

You should try applying that training in your writing here.

"

It's unclear from the information provided whether the policy is still in effect, and what the details were. It's entirely possible that they may have relaxed the policy once big tech companies fell into line. Maybe it only applied to certain large companies, etc.

I'm not treating this as established fact, but I'd really like to see their competitors dig into this.

The phone story is pretty negative on major phone managers, but reports positively on a small competitor. The TikTok story is fairly balanced. They do bring in a researcher to say something negative about it, but the criticism is reasonable.

"

With a $50 billion endowment, why does Harvard even have a $15 million insurance policy?

"

According to Reuters, 60 days severance can be paid in lieu of notice. Even the lawyer for the laid-off workers is saying they're in compliance:

https://www.reuters.com/legal/will-twitter-layoffs-violate-us-law-2022-11-04/

Why would the government require an employer to give laid-off employees access to the office and email? The point of the law is to give employees time to line up another job, not to give them opportunities for sabotage.

On “Throughput: The COVID Lab Leak Theory Resurfaces

As the saying goes, fiction has a well-known left-wing bias.

On “Ten Second News Links and Open Thread for the week of 10/31/22

This is secondhand information, but Kelsey Piper is a lefty who has no reason to lie here, and claims to have heard it from multiple NYT reporters: Apparently the NYT instituted an explicit hit-piece-only policy for tech reporting.

"

Can they just keep paying the workers for 60 days and call this the notice?

"

Part of the reason I have such profound contempt for the media is that good journalism is really important, and most of the people who have taken up that responsibility are falling disgracefully short of living up to it through some combination of brazen dishonesty and gross incompetence.

There are exceptions. There are people in the media doing legitimately good work. And I can't think of anyone more entitled to contempt for crappy journalists than good journalists.

I'm not at all familiar with Kari Lake's journalism. I'm not saying she was definitely a good journalist. She probably wasn't. But the idea that there's something inherently weird or hypocritical about a former journalist trashing other journalists is just silly.

Think about it this way: Suppose that 90% of oceanographers were global warming denialists. If you quit your job to pursue a career in politics, would you have good things to say about the field?

Also, there's some tension in the CNN story between "she was a household name" and "Fox 10 is hiding the fact that she used to work for them."

"

A new wrinkle in the Paul Pelosi assault case: The attacker is an illegal immigrant. When Canada sends people, they're not sending their best.

"

The lying is the point.

On “SCOTUS and Moore v Harper: To Be Democratic Or To Seem Democratic

The least gameable way to draw district borders is to make it an optimization problem. Just find the districting map that divides the state into n districts of equal population with the minimum total border length.

If you want, you can add an additional constraint that the district borders must overlap zip code or county borders or whatever, but the secret ingredient is removing human discretion.

This sounds like it might be NP-hard, so you can make it a contest. Put out a request for map proposals, and whichever map has district borders summing to the shortest total length wins.

The real problem, of course, is that this plan has to be passed into law by a legislature with the means and motive to draw borders favoring them.

On “Ten Second News Links and Open Thread for the week of 10/31/22

Early on, US inflation was largely attributable to supply-side factors, and a small part of it may still be, but if you look here, you can see that nominal GDP has clearly risen substantially above the pre-pandemic trend. This is a clear indication of people having too much money to spend relative to the real supply of goods and services that could have reasonably been expected even if we hadn't had any supply issues.

Low interest rates likely played some role here, but the stimulus spending and unjustified extension of expanded unemployment benefits and student loan forbearance clearly aggravated the problem.

While this is usually not the case, our current macroeconomic problems are directly attributable to the current administration's pants-on-head stupid policy, and it would have been even worse if Manchin and Sinema hadn't forced them to moderate their spending spree.

"

Someone, who may or may not be Kimmi, has been posting weird comments with a new name every time multiple times per week for months, if not years. They usually get deleted pretty quickly.

"

When someone tried to kill Brett Kavanaugh, was that because Democrats' rhetoric went too far? Did any of them admit this?

On “Ten Second News Links and Open Thread for the week of 10/24/22

I wouldn't really call it a concession, because I don't think I've claimed otherwise for quite some time, but yes, absolutely.

My disagreement with the Democratic partisans here is not about whether the Republican Party is a dumpster fire, but about whether the Democratic Party is as well.

"

But Biden has also very clearly taken steps to rhetorically distance himself from some of the stupider stuff.

It is worth noting that one of the first things Biden did after taking office was roll back Trump's executive order banning the stupider stuff in executive-branch training. Biden may not be out there saying that 2 + 2 = 4 is white supremacy, but at every step of the way he has had the backs of people who do.

*Comment archive for non-registered commenters assembled by email address as provided.

The commenter archive features may be temporarily disabled at times.