So it turns out all the protect the kids from being turned transgender was indeed a moral panic. Well done us:
"The total number of youth who had any diagnosis of gender dysphoria was less than 18,000," Hughes explains. "Among those folks, there were less than 1,000 [youth] that accessed puberty blockers and less than 2,000 that ever had access to hormones."
In other words, the study found that less than 0.1% of teenagers with private insurance in the U.S. are transgender and receive gender-related medicines.
You’re framing it about the need for them to avoid negative experiences.
So did you:
The absolute *WORST* that public transportation needs to be is “meh, what’s that smell?”
No violence, no menacing, no rough youths smoking and listening to music loudly.
A whole lot of the “blue no matter who” voters who were insulated from their compassionate public policy choices are going to be no longer insulated from them.
I’m framing it as being about how they’re going to start voting the second they start participating in those negative experiences.
Except by your own writing they have already switched votes and are not yet facing any change due to the pricing idea.
It doesn’t happen every day. it doesn’t happen on every line much less every train. And so the people actually using those systems have no incentive to make them operate like you think they should – because they already do.
NYC has done the whole “Congestion Pricing” thing that is one hell of an incentive to use public transportation instead of just driving.
The absolute *WORST* that public transportation needs to be is “meh, what’s that smell?”
No violence, no menacing, no rough youths smoking and listening to music loudly.
A whole lot of the “blue no matter who” voters who were insulated from their compassionate public policy choices are going to be no longer insulated from them.
And *THAT* is a recipe for “Guiliani, but with congestion pricing”.
Jaybird's contention is that violence had to be eliminated from public transit for the "blue no matter who" crowd to avoid any negative experiences from congestion pricing that might be relate tangentially to a perhaps increase in transit ridership. My angle is that the increase you are highlighting is so statistically small across the entire system and ridership that I don't believe it's really noticeable and would be unremarkable absent "if it bleeds it leads" news coverage. 3.6 million people aren't going to notice 1.6 of anything happening unless someone shows it to them. And the only reason I can find why anyone would show it to them - much less try to make policy on it - is if they wanted to use scare tactics to achieve a political end they couldn't achieve via rational analysis.
On NYC subway and mass transit, felony assaults were up 65% from 2019 to 2024, according to the MTA. In 2019, 374 felony assaults were reported, while in 2024, 579 were reported. 43 people have been murdered in the subway system since March 2020.
So with 3.6 million riders a day in NYC, that's 1.586 felony assaults per day and any given rider has a 4.405555e-5 percent chance of being assaulted. Yep definitely a hellscape where the transit police need to be empowered to immediately kill anyone having mental health issues.
They are being silly and participating in a moral panic in as much as they want to deploy more police to the subways to make them sterile rather then fund actual treatment.
You and I also don't agree on the need for improvements to transit systems, which is why I asked you to lay out what you thought those improvements should be. We do agree that any change would cost money.
1) having moved to a transit desert (where the remnants of the red lined racial discriminatory routes no longer serve anyone) I want to see transit use expanded across the US.
2) having ridden Metro of the decade i lived in DC - and multiple times a year since on returns for work - I detest the reporting of such systems as contributing to, much less being, hellscapes.
3) I'm weary of the significant mismatch in mental health needs and mental health spending being laid t the feet of the mentally unwell, much less used as a distraction to indict the existing transit infrastructure. I do not agree that you solve the mental problems of people on the Metro by over policing them within the Metro.
As to your turn style jumpers - best I can tell that's been a feature of subway systems since they were dug. Probably best to just chuckle about it and move on.
Define Better. Then tell me how you want to pay for that "improvement." Then tell me why your proposed improvements MIGHT improve anything for a patron experiencing a mental health crisis.
You will never get to zero unless you want to live in a Judge Dredd style police state. Which indeed you may. I don't.
However since you don't ride Metro or the NYC subway or any of the other systems facing these issues I again remind you that what you see on the news is not representative of the experience of using them. They are the freak happenings that the "news media" prize because they drive engagement and thus profits. They are not the experiences of the riding public.
And they have little to say regarding the state of mental health treatment in the US other then the profit driven system we have accepted is an abysmal failure. Going Judge Dredd on those people in the subway won't fix that and thus no longer needs to be even remotely associated with the conversation.
Have you been on the NYC subway system or DC Metro or even the light rail in Denver? In the last couple of years? No?
See, what you and so many others conservatives in fly over country CONTINUE to miss about these systems is that most of what you see reported on Fox is an anomaly. It doesn't happen every day. it doesn't happen on every line much less every train. And so the people actually using those systems have no incentive to make them operate like you think they should - because they already do.
I spent a decade commuting in DC and witnessed NONE of the things you think need to be done away with. At all times of day, well into the night, and on weekends. It happened so infrequently as to be a local running joke.
All that aside, congestion pricing has NOTHING whatsoever to do with the very real crisis of mental health in this country. Its a weak, intellectually lazy distraction. There was a day I respected you enough to expect better.
one of the things you missed - likely not well covered by UK media - is the cost factor, and the privatization of healthcare in the US, including mental healthcare. One of the main reasons that community care was successful in countering institutions is that private providers and insurance companies could use it as an additional profit stream, and in a world where every increasing profits means costs must be contained, driving down the payouts for treatment. Any discussion of options in the US needs to include this set of circumstances.
Beyond that, welcome to writing on our side of the pond.
If, as the founders intended, the judiciary is co-equal to the executive, there its no Constitutional Crisis from the judiciary discharging it's duty to hold the executive accountable.
Looks like Mike Johnson will loose his first vote for House Speaker. Say what you will about the GOP - they do love to make their Speakers work for the job.
Most of the time those are still streets with cars on them - what with people living and working there. The Bourbon street access was also closed - in as much as temporary barricades can close anything. There's also reporting that he drove onto the sidewalk, so very little likely would have stopped him.
NOPD's failures are legion - any other day of the week this wouldn't have made the top 25.
It's an interesting bill, mostly making symbolic changes to how the feds deal with energy projects on federal lands - things like creating NEPA categorical exclusions for adding on to existing power transmission facilities on federal lands, or shortening the environmental review timelines for new lease sales. It also adds a lot of work to an already underfunded FERC.
What it doesn't do is supersede anything that states have the right to do - like approve siting or impose rate increases. Those ar ethe sort of things holding much of this up, and other then pointing out the problem, the feds have no role in addressing it.
It's not possible because ... checks notes ... permitting and most land use decisions are not federal decisions. Utility regulation at the installation level - where the broadband issues are surfacing - is a state thing. And lest we forget, there are 26 red states, most of whom don't want to be seen taking federal funds, even as their senators (who mostly voted against these projects) attend the ribbon cuttings.
That's the NIMBY problem at its finest, and one that Biden could never have grappled with - nor can Trump.
On “Open Mic for the week of 1/6/2025”
So it turns out all the protect the kids from being turned transgender was indeed a moral panic. Well done us:
https://www.npr.org/sections/shots-health-news/2025/01/06/nx-s1-5247724/transgender-teens-gender-affirming-care-hormones-jama
On “Re-Open the Asylums: A New Take”
So did you:
Except by your own writing they have already switched votes and are not yet facing any change due to the pricing idea.
So which is it?
"
next time you quote me, include the whole thing:
And his math doesn't add up.
"
shaming of public transit riders in NYC has never, to my knowledge, ever been a thing.
"
That's how you framed it. What did I get wrong?
"
What mechanism is showing wear in a metropolitan area with a lower number of homicides per 100K people then you currently experience in the Springs?
"
Jaybird's contention is that violence had to be eliminated from public transit for the "blue no matter who" crowd to avoid any negative experiences from congestion pricing that might be relate tangentially to a perhaps increase in transit ridership. My angle is that the increase you are highlighting is so statistically small across the entire system and ridership that I don't believe it's really noticeable and would be unremarkable absent "if it bleeds it leads" news coverage. 3.6 million people aren't going to notice 1.6 of anything happening unless someone shows it to them. And the only reason I can find why anyone would show it to them - much less try to make policy on it - is if they wanted to use scare tactics to achieve a political end they couldn't achieve via rational analysis.
"
Its for enabling economic activity by moving large numbers of people efficiently through an urban environment.
"
You must be new around here . . .
"
The Springs - which i visit about once every 18 months - is in no way equivalent to NYC. None.
The homicide rat is about 6.9 per 100,000. The homicide rate in NYC was 6.0 per 100,000 last year. The Springs is no more safe then NYC is.
You are also never threatened on transit in the Springs because there is no transit.
Nice try though.
"
So with 3.6 million riders a day in NYC, that's 1.586 felony assaults per day and any given rider has a 4.405555e-5 percent chance of being assaulted. Yep definitely a hellscape where the transit police need to be empowered to immediately kill anyone having mental health issues.
"
They are being silly and participating in a moral panic in as much as they want to deploy more police to the subways to make them sterile rather then fund actual treatment.
You and I also don't agree on the need for improvements to transit systems, which is why I asked you to lay out what you thought those improvements should be. We do agree that any change would cost money.
"
I'm interested in defending it because:
1) having moved to a transit desert (where the remnants of the red lined racial discriminatory routes no longer serve anyone) I want to see transit use expanded across the US.
2) having ridden Metro of the decade i lived in DC - and multiple times a year since on returns for work - I detest the reporting of such systems as contributing to, much less being, hellscapes.
3) I'm weary of the significant mismatch in mental health needs and mental health spending being laid t the feet of the mentally unwell, much less used as a distraction to indict the existing transit infrastructure. I do not agree that you solve the mental problems of people on the Metro by over policing them within the Metro.
As to your turn style jumpers - best I can tell that's been a feature of subway systems since they were dug. Probably best to just chuckle about it and move on.
"
Define Better. Then tell me how you want to pay for that "improvement." Then tell me why your proposed improvements MIGHT improve anything for a patron experiencing a mental health crisis.
"
You will never get to zero unless you want to live in a Judge Dredd style police state. Which indeed you may. I don't.
However since you don't ride Metro or the NYC subway or any of the other systems facing these issues I again remind you that what you see on the news is not representative of the experience of using them. They are the freak happenings that the "news media" prize because they drive engagement and thus profits. They are not the experiences of the riding public.
And they have little to say regarding the state of mental health treatment in the US other then the profit driven system we have accepted is an abysmal failure. Going Judge Dredd on those people in the subway won't fix that and thus no longer needs to be even remotely associated with the conversation.
"
Have you been on the NYC subway system or DC Metro or even the light rail in Denver? In the last couple of years? No?
See, what you and so many others conservatives in fly over country CONTINUE to miss about these systems is that most of what you see reported on Fox is an anomaly. It doesn't happen every day. it doesn't happen on every line much less every train. And so the people actually using those systems have no incentive to make them operate like you think they should - because they already do.
I spent a decade commuting in DC and witnessed NONE of the things you think need to be done away with. At all times of day, well into the night, and on weekends. It happened so infrequently as to be a local running joke.
All that aside, congestion pricing has NOTHING whatsoever to do with the very real crisis of mental health in this country. Its a weak, intellectually lazy distraction. There was a day I respected you enough to expect better.
"
one of the things you missed - likely not well covered by UK media - is the cost factor, and the privatization of healthcare in the US, including mental healthcare. One of the main reasons that community care was successful in countering institutions is that private providers and insurance companies could use it as an additional profit stream, and in a world where every increasing profits means costs must be contained, driving down the payouts for treatment. Any discussion of options in the US needs to include this set of circumstances.
Beyond that, welcome to writing on our side of the pond.
On “Open Mic for the week of 12/30/2024”
If, as the founders intended, the judiciary is co-equal to the executive, there its no Constitutional Crisis from the judiciary discharging it's duty to hold the executive accountable.
SCOTUS got that horribly wrong.
"
I look forward to our legal eagles explaining this -
https://www.cnn.com/2025/01/03/politics/trump-hush-money-conviction-upheld/index.html
Because out here in the cheap seats, it looks like he got away with committing felonies.
"
Looks like they just wanted to sweat him for a bit.
Carry on.
"
Looks like Mike Johnson will loose his first vote for House Speaker. Say what you will about the GOP - they do love to make their Speakers work for the job.
On “Two attacks on US soil and both involve a car rental app”
Most of the time those are still streets with cars on them - what with people living and working there. The Bourbon street access was also closed - in as much as temporary barricades can close anything. There's also reporting that he drove onto the sidewalk, so very little likely would have stopped him.
NOPD's failures are legion - any other day of the week this wouldn't have made the top 25.
On “Open Mic for the week of 12/30/2024”
It's an interesting bill, mostly making symbolic changes to how the feds deal with energy projects on federal lands - things like creating NEPA categorical exclusions for adding on to existing power transmission facilities on federal lands, or shortening the environmental review timelines for new lease sales. It also adds a lot of work to an already underfunded FERC.
What it doesn't do is supersede anything that states have the right to do - like approve siting or impose rate increases. Those ar ethe sort of things holding much of this up, and other then pointing out the problem, the feds have no role in addressing it.
On “Joe Biden Agrees that Some People *DO* Deserve the Death Penalty”
And we're back to he's too senile to know what he's signing. Got it.
On “Open Mic for the week of 12/30/2024”
It's not possible because ... checks notes ... permitting and most land use decisions are not federal decisions. Utility regulation at the installation level - where the broadband issues are surfacing - is a state thing. And lest we forget, there are 26 red states, most of whom don't want to be seen taking federal funds, even as their senators (who mostly voted against these projects) attend the ribbon cuttings.
That's the NIMBY problem at its finest, and one that Biden could never have grappled with - nor can Trump.