Commenter Archive

Comments by Marchmaine

On “Open Mic for the week of 1/20/2025

The Fourteenth Amendment states: “All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside.”

As I note below, since it is *not* retroactive I think there's a decent chance that this will gain in popular support across both sides.

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Having now seen the text, my counter-intuitive take is that this will become broadly popular.

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/

On “Mister Baseball

Most announcers have changed their approach to be 'pro-ballclub' as employed by the team; fan broadcasters are pretty rare now. Ron Santo is the last one I can remember -- and that was purely because he was untouchable as a Cub (and only on radio).

On “Open Mic for the week of 1/20/2025

Let me just ask a curious question to Perplexity:
What year was EcoHealth Alliance first grant in wuhan?

EcoHealth Alliance's first grant involving research in Wuhan, China, was awarded in 2014. The U.S. National Institutes of Health (NIH) provided a grant to EcoHealth Alliance to study possible coronaviruses from bats, and $600,000 of this grant was given to the Wuhan Institute of Virology[5]. This grant was part of a larger $3.7 million award from the NIH to EcoHealth Alliance[5]. The project was initially set to run for five years and was renewed in 2019 for another five-year period, but it was subsequently terminated by the Trump administration in April 2020 following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic[5].

Can add citations in separate post if folks are interested...

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The only curious thing about the pardon is that it seems to imply that they needed 6-yrs to get the first operation monetized.

On “SCOTUS Upholds TikTok Ban: Read It For Yourself

Agreed and true.

It is indisputably the case that we should scramble our youth's brains with proper American algorithms, and I'm confident that Trump will find just the right company to do it.

I'm wondering if this becomes one of those things where we all go, "whelp, that was brilliant of Biden to force Trump to either shut it down or own the transfer" ... and Six months later we shake our heads as TwitterTok takes off.

On “Weekend Plans Post: One Single Good Song in 2024

When Donald Trump tells us that the weekend crowds in DC were the biggest ever, anywhere, in the history of the world... it will be (at least partly) because my eldest daughter is getting married in DC. I'm trying to work an inauguration joke into my toast, but no luck so far; best I can do is a bad pun.

We're all thrilled to be tooling around DC looking for places to stay, park, and dine inauguration weekend; DC, which in the most sedate and off-peak hours, I'd charitably describe as 'barely operational'. There are also rumors of snow. Everything will be fine.

At least the wine will be good as we're technically licensed for a day as a vendor, so I could work my wine connections and hand-pick the wines and pay discounted retail prices rather than inflated restaurant/caterer prices. There's even a special case of the good stuff for sharing.

On “The Shakedown

Only a phobophobe would hope for such a thing.

On “Short Status Report on the Abilities of AI

Also, one needs a time horizon plus continuity to plan future actions; the eternal present with limited or restricted continuity is self-limiting.

On “Trump’s Ace in the Hole

Really, it should be the BicentenniaL

On “Open Mic for the week of 1/13/2025

Nice... that's a fun one I've never heard before. The internet really is amazing for giving cranks a place to congregate and stimulate their crankishness. It's one of my favorite things.

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Yeah, when it hit me that 1776 was not the right reference date, I double checked and it seems we count ratification as 1788 with the 9th colony to vote yes, but last colony was 1789. Really we should round up to 1790 for a more user friendly date.

On “Short Status Report on the Abilities of AI

Feeling some metaphysical dread about making AI 'time aware'...

On “No Fighting In the War Room: Pete Hegseth Confirmation Hearing Livestream Edition

Heh, there are quite a few ways to lose the DoD argument available to the Dems.

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It isn't about the votes, entirely. It's about losing a fight in a way that sets you up to win the next one... or, even though the Dems don't have the votes, arguing that there are better Republican options is the way to get Republicans to get nervous about voting for lesser options and start to talk about better options.

Or... the Dems lose the vote on Hegseth having proposed a better approach to DoD and can bank that for future campaigns.

That's why I call it political malpractice... it isn't about always getting *your* guy or *your* way when you don't have the votes... it's about making the other team pay a prices for getting *their* way.

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Look, we can't always nominate people with a perfect resume like Donald Rumsfeld, but we do what we can...

More seriously, I think there's more than enough 'ammunition' to challenge whether he has the experience and institutional savvy to navigate DoD.

A better approach to derailing the nomination is to have shadow candidates (as part of the 'advise' portion of the advise and consent) who expose Hegseth for the over extended nominee that he is. This is just another example of political malpractice -- it feels better, but isn't effective.

On “Short Status Report on the Abilities of AI

I'm currently working in the space and would say that the way to think about the LLM is as one component of a framework. In simple terms, it's doing the amazing semantic work of interpreting questions, search, and formatting answers.

Where I'm seeing the tech actually go, however, isn't in hoping that LLMS get smarter and less hallucinogenic (though that's happening too), it's using the LLM as a lego block to do the semantic thing, while carefully limiting what it needs to review, plus adding human led review of output to further fine-tune and train what 'good' looks like.

But as others have mentioned, that makes it a really good 'search' engine; but much more than *just* a search engine since it does semantics much better than key word SOE... BUT, it really is kinda dumb and has a really hard time figuring out what a 'good' response is in applications we'd like to use it for -- not without strict focus and curation. So, a really cool tool that we'll definitely see more of, but not (probably) as direct access to the LLM itself.

On the less Tech Optimist side, the LLMs themselves outside of the current agentic use of them could (I'd hypothesize) slip their boundaries with enough training and compute, if not careful.

On “Open Mic for the week of 1/13/2025

From the Canal to the Yukon Territory...

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Heh, constitutional bake-off 1776 vs 1917.

edit: erm, I guess it's 1788... but 1776 is more dramatic.

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They aren't illegal if the border moves south.

Trade open borders for expanding borders!

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Then we annex Canada and BOOM! right back here again.

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Thanks for clarifying; strikes me a rhetorical escalation to call that Citizen Deportation, but it helps to know where that's coming from.

On slippery slopes in matters social, I have it on good authority from years of leftist criticisms that Slippery Slopes do not exist.

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Where's the claim that citizens will be deported?

Are you talking about 'undocumented citizens' ... I'd be curious what level of exposure that is... sure, I could imagine a 100yo fellow born at home in rural West Texas that might have some(?) challenges... probably not, but I could imagine a curious edge case.

Live birth recordings are generally available online on a state-by-state basis. Heck, you can get *anyone's* birth certificate after 75 yrs:

Protected records are:
Birth certificates from the last 75 years
https://ovra.txapps.texas.gov/ovra/order-vital-records?

Anyhow, would be interested in a cite where someone is making the case that Citizens are at risk.

Note, I'm not commenting specifically on the Laken Riley bill (which doesn't reference citizen deportations that I could tell from the article), but curious about this sort of claim that I'm starting to hear bubbling under the surface -- trying to get a bead on that.

On “Open Mic for the week of 1/6/2025

Ok, hear me out, what if we think of them as a feeder band for the Travelling Wilburys?

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Dang, the Left (tm) is mean.

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