Commenter Archive

On “The Election Year Changeups

The rule does not require counties to hand-count the results for each candidate, only the total number of ballots received at the polling place.

It will be interesting to see what the Georgia courts say. My understanding is that to conform to this rule, the local officials would have to violate a state law about when ballot box seals can be broken.

Presumably the purpose of this rule is to detect large shortfalls or overages in the number of ballots. It goes almost without saying that if there are small differences, all of the experience says the humans are wrong and the machines are right.

On “Weekend Plans Post: The Return to the Office

I kept granddaughter #3 the morning after I got the shots. We made the usual trip to the park, so I spent an hour pushing swings, bouncing the teeter-totter, and spinning the rotary climber. I'm popular with the mothers at the park because I'll spin the rotary climber.

She wasn't interested in the big enclosed climbing thing. The previous visit she was, got about two-thirds of the way up, and decided she was stuck. Had to climb up to rescue her. That thing is not sized for people with adult-length legs and adult-width shoulders.

"

I got my flu and Covid shots about ten days ago. Kaiser was using the Pfizer vaccine the day I was there. I always feel guilty that all I get is some discomfort at the injection site.

"

Putting a very small device in with the explosives so they can all be triggered at once isn't a hard problem. You have to push watts into transmitting the trigger signal to cover a large area, but that's even easier.

On “From The Financial Times: From Taipei to Budapest: the mysterious trail of exploding pagers

I have to admit that I'm somewhat surprised Iran isn't stamping out thousands of cheap communications widgets for its various proxies.

On “Clare Briggs: Movie of a Man with a Mosquito Bite on his Ankle

Things equivalent to a light box go back centuries. So, more likely that he did the line drawing absent facial features once, traced it ten times, then added faces, jacket texture, and such for each. Based on my own experience, tracing that sort of line drawing goes very fast.

On “Open Mic for the week of 9/16/2024

I seem to recall that the relationship between the state, the city, and the MTA is quite twisted, to the point where implementing something like this becomes next thing to impossible.

I recall times when I worked for the Colorado state legislature on the budget staff and having closed-door discussions with some member of the General Assembly that included things like, "Yes, ma'am. I understand that what you want to do sounds simple. But there are several statutes and a couple of things in the state constitution that are intended to make that sort of flow of funds impossible."

On “Missing the Forest for the Trees on Springfield

Like many cities/counties in the extended Rust Belt that are the size of Springfield and its surrounding county, population peaked in the 1970 census and has declined in every census since. Wikipedia's economy summary says the city lost 22,000 industrial jobs in the 1990s as facilities closed or relocated. The usual story in that situation is the population shrinks and gets older as younger workers and people with skills that can find employment elsewhere leave. Springfield seems to have avoided the catastrophic collapse of its tax base that sometimes happens in that situation.

On “Clare Briggs: Skimble Skamble Stuff

Doing it without thinking is fine. In fencing, you practice moves that require a sense of point for what seems like forever so that when the opening occurs, something below "thinking" knows where your weapon blade and tip are, where your joints are, how they're bent, and gets the point to the target, all w/o looking. (Traditional robot control solves horrible nonlinear optimization problems to do that. Large neural nets trained on enough data look like they're going to be much faster than those.)

Now that I have reached an age where the doctors worry out loud about loss of balance, one of my exercises/tests is to stand on each foot in the shower stall while I wash the other foot. If I am thinking about it it's more difficult than if I'm thinking about a piece of code I want to write.

On “Open Mic for the week of 9/9/2024

With tongue only partially in cheek, many people who have lived in Colorado for a couple of decades take that attitude toward Texans. When there's a news story about an out-of-control skier plowing into a lift line and injuring twelve people, the first thought that pops into Coloradans' heads is "Texan?"

One of our long-time curmudgeon columnists used to write things like, "Border wall? Sure, just so long as it keeps the Texans out of Colorado."

On “Clare Briggs: Skimble Skamble Stuff

When I am asked to give an example of "sense of point" to non-fencers I sometimes use the last one here. "In the shower, after you've washed and rinsed your hair, and before you open your eyes, can you reach out and touch the hot-water knob?"

On “Weekend Plans Post: Brisk. Finally.

The northern Front Range -- ie, the part north of the Palmer Divide -- was warmer and drier than usual this summer. Metro Denver has been in violation of ozone standards pretty much as long as those have been around. There was a stretch when new cars were getting cleaner faster than the population was growing, but we're past that and the Brown Cloud is making a comeback.

With the EPA's new tighter standard on ozone, it's unclear whether Denver can ever be in compliance. Topography and out-of-state wildfire smoke alone will put the city over the limit often enough to be in "serious" violation.

On “The Party of the Middle

To take ia step further – oil, gas and coal power plants are often to be found in low income and often minority communities.

Just a historical note... The biggest of the coal burners in the Western Interconnect were sited near Native American areas, with the blessing of the tribes, because of the revenue and jobs the power plants and nearby coal mines provided.

As I point out too often, three US grids (interconnects), with three different histories and three different sets of problems/resources, probably requiring three different solutions.

"

I think that there needs to be a revolution in battery technologies, for one.

In ten years, the available battery tech will be quite different. Lithium-ion batteries keep getting cheaper, more efficient, smaller. They're very different from L-ion of ten years ago. Zinc-ion is in production now, with the dendrite problem solved. Heavier than L-ion, but a lot cheaper for grid storage. Any number of new chemistries being investigated.

"

Farley's example over at LG&M this morning is a good one, although he uses "powerful" rather than "elite": go to the small town where incomes are below the national averages and look at who is buying advertising on the local baseball park's outfield fences. Doesn't even have to be a small town. Fort Collins is 180,000 people now. I drive regularly past a ball field used for little league and other things. Car dealers. The larger but still local heating, air-conditioning, and plumbing firms. Housing developers. The bigger local restaurants.

"

Same amount of implementation as the Heritage Foundation's Project 2025 publication implemented, which was my point. Both sides have radicals. As it happens I agree with these particular (D) radicals, that we're not doing enough and not doing it fast enough. And disagree with the (R) radicals.

"

Harris's change on fracking is, pure and simple, that Pennsylvania has become a very important swing state. And touching natural gas fracking, except perhaps for some cleaning up of the process, is a no-no in Pennsylvania.

For me, with my admittedly narrow view on policy, the biggest difference between Walz and Shapiro was that Walz got Minnesota to take some quite aggressive climate change positions, while Shapiro favored moving more slowly, and in particular, encouraged fracking and the use of natural gas for a long time.

"

The original Green New Deal resolution, passed by US House Democrats. It would have radically changed, in a short period, major portions of the US economy. The power grid. Transportation. Heating of everything from homes to massive industrial processes. The Federal Reserve. Seriously, the proposed changes fit any reasonable definition of "radical".

On “Open Mic for the week of 9/2/2024

NWS forecast for tonight says snow above 12,000 ft in central Colorado.

On “A Cautionary Tale

Georgia has not accepted the ACA Medicaid expansion.

ETA: Sorry, you already made the point and I missed it. There are, however, only 10 states left that have not accepted the expansion.

On “The Swing State Shift

Opinions...

I agree that the polls are messed up. Not for the same reason you do. I have a sneaky feeling that in 2028 one or more of the big neural net models will embarrass the pollsters.

I am clueless about the swing states not in my region.

In region, I think Harris takes both AZ and NV despite any Republican shenanigans. The margins will be wider than the pollsters think.

On “Weekend Plans Post: The MRI

The only time I had an MRI was when a routine hearing test indicated asymmetric loss. That put me in the 1-in-200 range for a tumor along the auditory nerve, so they scanned. No tumor.

As you get older, they have all sorts of other interesting scans that they can inflict on you. I have low bone density [1], so every three years I get a DEXA scan. Lay in assorted positions on the table while they position the precision x-ray source to get pictures of the neck of your femur and parts of your spine. Nuclear stress test for heart and coronary arteries [2]. No tunnel, the gamma-ray camera just steps its way along while you lay on the table. That one is fun because they give you a letter to show the TSA if you fly soon after. For about three days, you're radioactive enough to trip the monitors at the airport. Assorted ultrasound scans [3]. Bit my tongue once to avoid saying something untoward about a very pretty young woman smearing me with lubricant.

I'm 70 now. I figure by this point I've accumulated a variety of health oddities. And been scanned enough ways to find them.

[1] Diagnosed in my mid-40s by a fluke. I gave them a large number of blood samples over the few months after that while they tried to find a reason why. Some of the testing was definitely in the "zebras, not horses" category, like odd cancers where there's only a hundred cases a year globally.

[2] My BP and pulse weren't recovering the way they should after exercise. In some cases those symptoms are due to you being about to fall over dead with some sort of cardiac problem. Nuke stress test said my heart and coronary arteries were "squeaky clean" (that's a quote). Pumping volume was great (echocardiogram, another ultrasound). So, take a little white pill every 12 hours and the symptoms go away.

[3] Any ultrasound that gets my kidneys shows my pet kidney stone. Always in the same place, always the same size, never gives me any symptoms.

On “Next! On To Elgin!

Across three browsers and two operating systems, the page renders as expected each time. I'll put this in my "could not reproduce" file.

*Comment archive for non-registered commenters assembled by email address as provided.

The commenter archive features may be temporarily disabled at times.