Multiple Wildfires Rip Through Los Angeles Amid Historic Winds

Andrew Donaldson

Born and raised in West Virginia, Andrew has been the Managing Editor of Ordinary Times since 2018, is a widely published opinion writer, and appears in media, radio, and occasionally as a talking head on TV. He can usually be found misspelling/misusing words on Twitter@four4thefire. Andrew is the host of Heard Tell podcast. Subscribe to Andrew'sHeard Tell Substack for free here:

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37 Responses

  1. Philip H
    Ignored
    says:

    Aside from the very real danger to humans here, there’s another story that will get buried for months but is critical to how this plays out – the same major insurers who have dumped homeowners in Florida because if hurricane risks have also dumped California homeowners due to fire risk. That’s an economic disaster waiting to compound the wildfire damage.Report

    • North in reply to Philip H
      Ignored
      says:

      If you can’t offer a policy at a price that people will buy and cover the losses, you don’t offer a policy. As in Florida, so in California.Report

      • Philip H in reply to North
        Ignored
        says:

        They could do just that but it would result in a slight drop in year over year profits, which is what they see as their fiduciary responsibility. No just returning a profit, but returning maximum profit every quarter and thus every year. Because eventually if they follow the road they are on they won’t exist as an industry.Report

        • North in reply to Philip H
          Ignored
          says:

          If by “do just that” you mean offer a policy that charges a premium that doesn’t cover their losses and pass those losses on to other customers in safer locales by way of higher premiums (and eventually get out competed by insurance companies that don’t and go out of business) or go out of business through rank insolvency. I… uh… kind of see why the insurance companies are electing to not “do just that”. They don’t have “subsidize people to live in flooding and forest fire prone locations” in their mandate nor do I think they should do so. Nor do I think should we do so.Report

  2. Jaybird
    Ignored
    says:

    Remember when Texas had a horrible winter and Ted Cruz immediately got on a plane to Mexico?

    Mayor Bass is off in Ghana.Report

  3. North
    Ignored
    says:

    Fruits of global warming and Cali’s decades of NIMBY housing policy. It’s gonna suck.Report

  4. Jaybird
    Ignored
    says:

    Isaiah Taylor has a harrowing insight into one of the things that brought us here. In response to being asked if it’s true that California was sued to prevent controlled burning, he answers:

    Unfortunately yes. In 2007 the Sierra Club successfully sued the Forest Service to prevent them from creating a Categorical Exclusion (CE) to NEPA for controlled burns (the technical term is “fuel reduction”). The CE would have allowed the forest service to conduct burns without having to perform a full EIS (the median time for which is 3.5 years). See: https://caselaw.findlaw.com/court/us-9th-circuit/1175742.html

    John Muir project helped to claw back the full scope of Categorial Exclusions from the 2018 Omnibus Bill as well (though some easement did make it through).

    In 2021 the outgoing Trump BLM was served with the following notice of intent to sue by the Center for Biological Diversity for their fuel reduction plan in the Great Basin: https://biologicaldiversity.org/programs/public_lands/grazing/pdfs/Fuel-Breaks-Fuels-Reduction-NOI-Draft.pdf
    BLM backed away from the plan after the transition.

    These are specific cases, but the cumulative outcome is that CA state agencies don’t even try it because they know they’ll be sued.

    My thought was that the best time to have begun heading off this particular fire would have been in 2012.

    This is about something that was prevented from happening back in 2007.

    I’d be interested in hearing from one of our more environmentally-compassionate folks about whether this fire was greener than the controlled stuff would have been.Report

    • Slade the Leveller in reply to Jaybird
      Ignored
      says:

      This was the outcome. The law triumphs over common sense, once again.

      “I cannot bring myself to believe that a Forest Service decision to cut brush and use controlled burns to reduce forest fire danger near urban areas is arbitrary and capricious.   And I cannot quite bring myself to believe that the categorical exclusion in this case, covering less than one half of one percent of federal land, will have a cumulative impact on our environment requiring years more research, analysis and report writing before we do anything to protect people from forest fires.   As a matter of common sense, cutting brush and using controlled burns on parcels no larger than 1,000 acres and 4,000 acres respectively seems most likely to have the cumulative impact of reducing the catastrophic effect of forest fires on people.

      Nevertheless, the government’s brief does not point us to anything in the record that supports my intuitive view.   The best I can find in the record is some scattered bits that were written after the categorical exclusion was made, saying that the categorical exclusion is not expected to contribute to adverse cumulative impacts on sensitive wildlife species.   The briefs and record control, and the government has made no serious attempt to show us why the categorical exclusion was not arbitrary and capricious or that it gave the required “hard look” at the categorical exclusion before promulgating it.   A judge’s duty is to decide the case based on the law and the record, not his personal policy preference.   I am therefore compelled to concur.”Report

    • Damon in reply to Jaybird
      Ignored
      says:

      I also seem to recall a new article on the state utility DEFERING miniatous on powerlines and instead giving it to shareholders, which, when those lines sag / fail start fires. Not sure if that issue was resolved or if it’s still being battled in the courts.Report

  5. Burt Likko
    Ignored
    says:

    A grim read and zero comfort to people who have been displaced, but Mike Davis’s Ecology of Fear from the dark ages of 1998 predicted exactly this and offers good insight into how fuel to power these fires accumulates and how the pressure of land development wins out over knowledgeable stewardship of the land.Report

  6. Jaybird
    Ignored
    says:

    This is one of the things that needs to be fixed.

    It strikes me as trivially true that the environmental harms that come from a controlled burn are smaller than the environmental harms that come from a wildfire.

    Report

  7. Saul Degraw
    Ignored
    says:

    Trump has decided in infinite predictability to use the fires to launch against NewsomReport

    • Jaybird in reply to Saul Degraw
      Ignored
      says:

      Can I attack the mayor?

      The Mayor is a Democrat, so… no.

      Can I attack the Governor?

      The Governor is a Democrat, so… no.

      Can I attack the State Government?

      The State Government is overwhelmingly Democrats, so… no.

      Can I attack the President of the US?

      The President of the US is a Democrat, so… no.

      What about the President-elect?

      *DING*DING*DING*DING*DING*DING*DING*DING*DING*Report

      • Saul Degraw in reply to Jaybird
        Ignored
        says:

        Unfortunately no one has convinced you that your trolling is not quite as clever or convincing as you think it isReport

        • Jaybird in reply to Saul Degraw
          Ignored
          says:

          How transparent do you think attempting to make these LA fires about Donald Trump is?

          I am pretty sure that you think that partisan dems will nod their heads.
          I am pretty sure that you think that partisan repubs will sputter in outrage.

          What I can’t wrap my head around is that your take is that swings will agree that it’s about Trump rather than about the people who actually have their hands on the steering wheel at the moment the Palisades burned down.

          Do you really think that they’ll agree with you?

          Because I don’t think they will. I think they’ll ask “how in the hell is this about Trump?”Report

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