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Jim Geraghty: Donald Trump: Could Third-Party Conservative Beat Him in November? – National Review

In such a scenario, the race would be decided in the House of Representatives, where each state delegation gets one vote and the majority choice wins. Right now, Republicans control 34 state delegations, Democrats control 14, and two are split evenly. The question is whether Republicans in the House vote would vote for Trump, the…

Joel Kotkin: We Now Join the U.S. Class War Already in Progress – The Daily Beast

We are now experiencing a growth in class-based politics not seen since the New Deal. During the long period of generally sustained prosperity from the ’50s to 2007, class issues remained, but were increasingly subsumed by social issues—civil and gay rights, feminism, environment—that often cut across class lines. Democrats employed liberal social issues to build a…

Noah Rothman: Time to Panic – Commentary

Donald Trump is back in the pole position. His commanding performance across almost all demographics and voting blocs in New Hampshire is staggering. Worse, Hillary Clinton’s disastrous performance among both swing and core Democratic voters in the Granite State suggests that the flamboyant, vulgar, intemperate businessman may be electable in November. … Donors and endorsements…

John Judis: Initial Reflections: A Better Night for Republicans – TPM Editors Blog

Clinton also displayed continuing weakness in connecting with voters. The quarter of Democratic voters who want a candidate who “cares about people like you” preferred Sanders by three to one. Those who wanted a candidate who was “honest and trustworthy” preferred Sanders by 82 to 11 percent. These kind of concerns could plague Clinton in…

Ross Douthat’s Primary Prediction Tweetstorm · Storify

1/ Okay, time for a last tweetstorm before the voting starts. — Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) February 1, 2016 2/ Thru the summer-fall-winter of Trump, I've tried to strike a balance btw treating the Trump phenomenon w/the seriousness it deserves … — Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) February 1, 2016 From: Ross Douthat’s Primary Prediction Tweetstorm · Storify

Trump says he won’t participate in GOP debate on Fox News – The Washington Post

Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump abruptly announced here Tuesday that he would not participate in Thursday’s scheduled debate, escalating his off-and-on feud with Fox News Channel and throwing the GOP campaign into turmoil. Trump’s assertion, which his campaign manager insisted was irreversible, came less than one week before the kickoff Iowa caucuses. He once again…

Rod Dreher: Trump & the Conservative Intelligentsia | TAC

{Via Mike Schilling}

But a funny thing kept happening. When I would go back to south Louisiana to visit my family, I often got into (friendly) arguments with people about conservative principles and policies. I noticed that we were at loggerheads over many things. It frustrated me to no end that reason was useless; “ideologically unmoored cultural passions” weren’t just something, they were the only thing. This was a tribal conservatism, one that had very little to do with ideas, and everything to do with nationalism and a sense of us-versus-them. To be a conservative is to agree with Us; to disagree with us means you must be a liberal.

I remember getting into it with my dad once after I moved home. I was driving him to the VA clinic for a check-up. This was during the Obamacare debate, and he started complaining about welfare spongers who expected the government to pay for their medical care. I pointed out that he was an avid user of Medicare and of veterans’ medical benefits, and that if not for those government programs, he would have died a long time ago.

From: Trump & the Conservative Intelligentsia | The American Conservative