An Unfair, Post-Hoc Critique of Nate Silver
Trump’s probability of winning the nomination was not 1.5625%.
Trump’s probability of winning the nomination was not 1.5625%.
Why I think Elias’s latest is off the mark.
“Data that contradicts the Ideology is a lie; institutions that publish such data are the enemy; those individuals who consider such data are heretics.”
Statistics wizard Nate Silver talks about the re-launch of FiveThirtyEight on ESPN, political punditry, and burritos.
Democrats awoke today awash in the smug warmth that comes with electoral success. Rightly so, given last night’s results. Jon Tester and Claire McCaskill are still Senators? Tammy Baldwin will be the first openly...
Though I’ve made my view of the electoral situation pretty clear, I’m well aware that Tuesday’s election will be damned close. I’m well aware that as encouraging as Nate Silver’s model/conclusions are, he still predicts...
I love Nate Silver. I love his steady analysis of staggering reams of data. I love his measured treatment of complicated electoral possibilities. I love that he talks in terms of probabilities instead of...