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Mike Schilling

Mike has been a software engineer far longer than he would like to admit. He has strong opinions on baseball, software, science fiction, comedy, contract bridge, and European history, any of which he's willing to share with almost no prompting whatsoever.

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56 Responses

  1. Avatar Kolohe says:

    You’re not going to like Rubio if you don’t like Republicans, but he’s not even close to the other two clowns personally or politically.Report

  2. Avatar Jaybird says:

    The funny tweet I saw yesterday is that the Republican Establishment is stuck choosing between whether they want to lose to Trump or whether they want to lose to Hillary.

    Trumwill had an awesome insight recently where he pointed out that Trump found a vulnerability in the Republican Primary code and is exploiting the heck out of it.

    From there, I’m guessing that the problem isn’t Trump as much as whomever the 2020/2024 nominee is going to be… if the establishment figures out how to exploit the same bug.Report

    • Avatar Kim says:

      The Republican Establishment has already lost.
      That’s why the trolls stopped bothering with the race.
      Leave it to trolls to hack the system for fun and profit!

      Who else figures out how to make a profit off having a Democratic Congressional Candidate in Wyoming?Report

    • Avatar North says:

      Exactly! The GOP has been dumbing down their internal politics/policy/assertion to make it more palatable to slip the internal contradictions through, and now lo and behold an apex predator from the entertainment industry has invaded the suddenly hospitable ecosystem and is flourishing.Report

  3. Avatar Saul Degraw says:

    I am largely leaning towards Trump and Cruz. Rubio would be the establishment choice but he also seems to be everyone’s second choice. Though Rubio could pull a Kerry. I don’t like Rubio and he is probably the one most likely to give HRC a run for her money. Cruz is an unmitigated asshole and seems to alienate almost everyone including many GOP politicians.

    Trump worries me*. I don’t share North’s confidence that the Democratic Party would be really lucky if Trump wins the GOP nomination. In my mind if Trump wins, there is something in the air, a very reactionary populist blowback.

    *Unless he goes third party. That would be great!Report

    • Avatar Jaybird says:

      “everybody’s second choice”

      This gives us Romney.

      Of course, “everybody’s third choice” gives us McCain.Report

      • Carson is toast now that he’s starting to make sense.Report

        • Avatar El Muneco says:

          Heh. He knows nothing about anything but neurosurgery, so it was clever on the part of his handlers to get him on the record about literally the only issue that made national political news – ever! – that is actually in his bailiwick.Report

          • Less than clever since it was completely the wrong thing to say to his so-con base.Report

            • Avatar El Muneco says:

              Not so sure. I think there’s a fair chance that a month afterward, the only persistent memory will be that he took a swing at Bush and connected. For it to cause actual damage, the base will have to both digest the substance of the comment and remember it. I don’t see any evidence that that’s happening with any candidate so far… So why not take a shot at distancing yourself from the Establishment?Report

    • Avatar North says:

      I do not see how a Trump candidacy could beat Hillary short of some sort of melt down on her part. The Dems get the entire Latino vote, most of the Woman vote plus no reduction in their other constitutencies in a contest with Trump right out the gate. They have none (NONE) of the institutional or doctrinal hobbles that the GOP suffers so they could unleash hellfire on Trump in the ad war and the man is a geyser of soundbites to fuel said soundbites. Finally it’d be even odds if the GOP establishment would actually try to push Trump over the finish line or if they’d concentrate on salvaging downticket races and containing the contagion.

      And finally, let me state this baldly. In a scenario where a GOP candidate is guaranteed the win? I’d rather have Trump in the White House than Rubio or Cruz. No contest. Trump might not actually be a rubber stamp for a GOP Congress and Senate (Remember the Filibuster would be on the next boat to Guatanamo as soon as the GOP controlled the executive).Report

  4. Avatar j r says:

    I’m still holding out for Trump vs Sanders, which would basically be the personification of every internet comment section ever.Report

  5. Avatar Aaron David says:

    2016 – The Blowhard vs. the Haridan! Come see the Clowncar of Republican Davids take on the Democrat Kankles Sampson! See them stab at her, see her drop email bombs like your moms!

    Come one, come all!

    Step Right Up!Report

  6. Avatar Roland Dodds says:

    My money his is still on Rubio, but I have seen enough pieces explaining the path Cruz is paving towards the nomination which makes me thinks the current situation is set in his favor.

    I still hope Trump gets the nomination. The head spinning within the Republican Party that will result will be epic.Report

    • Avatar North says:

      Trump is a mirage. It will be Cruz vs Rubio ultimately unless there’s some kind of insane Bush resurgence.Report

      • Avatar Glyph says:

        He’s sure lasted a lot longer than I would have expected a ‘mirage’ to last.

        I’m frankly dumbfounded that it’s gone on this long without collapsing.Report

        • Avatar North says:

          It’s not remotely surprising if you look at the actual numbers. To be the front runner in the clown car you just have to bobble between 20-30% of polled people. Even screening for likely voters is a difficult art. We’re talking about a man who’s been the frontrunner during the time when only the political nerds and geeks are actually paying attention.

          Now sure the GOP doesn’t like what Trump is up to, he’s damaging their brand, damaging their candidates and he’s spooking the herd. But to get rid of him they’d need to get some of the other non-trump candidates to drop out so that opposition to him will coalesce. There’s no single favored candidate out there strong enough to get the establishment to start throwing their weight around this early.
          My personal expectation: Trump will not win a single one of the first four primaries. His candidacy will crater shortly after that, Cruz will kiss his ring (assuming Trump goes down gently) and inherit his supporters and the true contest will begin.Report

  7. Avatar Tod Kelly says:

    As to this:

    “Speaking of race as if they were named Strom,”

    Trump seems a no-brainer to me, and I can kinda sort get that about Cruz (though it seems a reach). But why Rubio? As I recall, he’s the one GOP candidate who has spoken out in support of BLM.Report