A Grave Disappointment
Well, that is a lot of excitement before a bust. Here is the track forecast for Hurricane Joaquin from two days ago:
Here is this morning’s version:
What a disappointment. We were teased with the prospect of a hurricane running straight up Chesapeake Bay. Now we aren’t even going to get landfall. I have read learned discussions about why. (Notice how it has not only changed direction, but has slowed down. The earlier projection had it as a weaker storm moving faster, and being pushed toward the short by a high pressure system. Instead it has slowed down and strengthened enough that no measly high pressure system can push it around.) I get that forecasting hurricanes is really hard. But still, one to three inches of rain and 50 mph winds aren’t going to give the kids a day home from school.
For those of you in California, Wikipedia has a lengthy article explaining what “rain” is.