Is it actually possible?
Here’s a disturbing thought experiment:
It’s now considered common wisdom that Romney won the 2012 GOP nod because no one could get excited about any of the other moderates, and because the huge variety of the people on the cray-cray fringe split up the whacko-bird primary votes over time. Because, remember, the primaries aren’t all held on one day — and so those votes that, say, Bachmann or Cain got when they were the flavor of the day weren’t there when it was Gingrich or Santorum’s turn. Also, Romney was helped by the fact that some of those running late who knew they couldn’t possibly win withdrew early to give the Governor some much needed momentum against the eventual foe of Obama, because crazy or not, they were Republicans first and candidates second. Romney, in other words, was less the People’s Choice than he was the Last Man Standing.
So, assuming that Cruz, Carson, and Huckabee remain utterly unable to produce a blip on the radar transposed with the All-Caps Crazy that is Donald Trump — is it possible that the opposite could happen this time around? That Trump could get 15-30% of the vote in state after state, and that Walker, Bush, Rubio, Perry, Kasich, Christie, might take turns dividing up rest of the pie to a degree that, at the end, Trump is this election’s electoral Mitt Romney? It will be interesting to see what happens when polls are released in the coming weeks. But this morning, for the very first time ever, I find myself wondering: Is it actually possible he could get the nod? Because even if you’re a Democrat or HRC booster rooting for a fish-in-the-barrel victory next November, the thought that in 2015 a major political party in the US would put Trump atop their ticket should be completely and utterly horrifying to you.