Predictions and Hopes
Not to gloat, but I actually didn’t do too badly for my 2013 predictions. It helps that I finally gave up on my old saw about a publicity-hungry Britney Spears becoming a faith-on-sleeve evangelical Christian artist. I no longer believe that is in the cards. My prediction for the blog actually took until November 17, so I was off by two and a half weeks. I got the same-sex marriage prediction about… let’s call it, half right.
Still, it’s time to make predictions. And when it comes to things like Half-Life 3, I’ll call some of them “hopes” rather than “predictions.”
I predict that Brazil will defeat Argentina for the World Cup, the first time a team with home-field advantage is able to exploit it to the quadrennial championship. Which won’t stop me from rooting for United States and Italy. I hope that the Green Bay Packers give Matt Flynn a real contract to shore up the backup quarterback situation, and use their draft picks to strengthen the offensive line and the defensive secondary.
I hope that the Supreme Court uses the opportunity of Town of Greece v. Galloway to overturn the unprincipled and confusing holding of Marsh v. Chambers. But I predict that instead, Justice Kennedy will instead split the baby by distinguishing away the core issue instead of tackling it head-on.
I predict modest gains for the Republicans in midterm elections next November, insufficient to shift control of the Senate but enough to keep the GOP’s low-grade civil war unresolved. I hope that the Tea Party types don’t drive out too many of the people who still have an interest in governing.
I hope that 2014 is free from global disasters and the eruption of new wars, with the most dangerous flashpoints now looking to me like the civil war in Syria, a breakdown of control in and around Pakistan, and violence in the Caucasus. I predict that California’s economy will decline after a dry winter forces water rationing and kidney-punches the state’s agriculture. This would be a prediction I’d be thrilled to get wrong. Either way, it’s remarkable to note how vulnerable we still are to the weather.
I predict that our readership will expand here at Ordinary Times. I hope that our comments community retains its high quality in the process. Because I really like it here. There’s nowhere on the web quite like this, and it’s high time more people started recognizing it.
So… What are your hopes and predictions for the new year?
Burt Likko is the pseudonym of an attorney in Southern California. His interests include Constitutional law with a special interest in law relating to the concept of separation of church and state, cooking, good wine, and bad science fiction movies. Follow his sporadic Tweets at @burtlikko, and his Flipboard at Burt Likko.