Romney’s Going Big in Iowa

Elias Isquith

Elias Isquith is a freelance journalist and blogger. He considers Bob Dylan and Walter Sobchak to be the two great Jewish thinkers of our time; he thinks Kafka was half-right when he said there was hope, "but not for us"; and he can be reached through the twitter via @eliasisquith or via email. The opinions he expresses on the blog and throughout the interwebs are exclusively his own.

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19 Responses

  1. Murali says:

    Dude you post is awesome! In fact, your whole series of posts on this election thingie have been great!Report

  2. Mike Schilling says:

    There was an amusing CNN article about how, now that Gingrich is a co-front-runner, he’s preparing to be attacked, where ‘attack” mean “quote accurately”.Report

  3. MFarmer says:

    Ron Paul has a good chance of winning Iowa. I started a post on my blog today claiming that Romney is making a strategical error not campaigning hard in Iowa, but I didn’t finish it. Huntsman has made a bigger mistake putting all his eggs in the NH basket.Report

    • Kolohe in reply to MFarmer says:

      Huntsman doesn’t have any money to do it any other way; the problems Romney has with the Iowa caucus goers, Huntsman has as well, with bells on.

      Ron Paul is shaping up to be an interesting wild card in both Iowa and NH, but I won’t believe that the passion and money his organization has will translate into actual votes until they do. 2008 taught me that.Report

  4. Kolohe says:

    You’re being a might bit uncharitable in some parts to a guy who took  your advice!  🙂

    It’s possible that they’re not ‘spooked’ so much, as see an opportunity.  They could have always seen this ‘not-Romney’ bloc as a stumbling block, but now with Newt being the not-Romney du jour, they now sense a unique chance to put this away.  (which is the heart of your analysis in both this and the previous post).  Head to head, Romney can go qualm for qualm with the thrice-married, corporate-influence-peddling, Queen-Nancy-sofa-sitting Gingrich.

    The other oolie in the media aspect in this race is you can’t discount the right wing media machine as the principle lens through which the Republican primary voter will get his or her information.  (I think, but would have to look up that all the early primaries are of the sort that would generally preclude opportunistic voting by non-Republicans- as there is no other game in town for the other league)


  5. Tom Van Dyke says:

    Bravo to the incisiveness and esp the even-handedness of this analysis.  WD, sir.

    I would add that New Hampshire, the 2nd poll and first real primary, has been in the bag for Romney since elsewhen.  However, Gingrich has pulled into a statistical tie, trailing only 29-27.  So Romney spent the weekend in New Hampshire.

    Should Romney lose the first 2, #3 South Carolina might turn and Romney’s on the outside looking in.  The CW has ridden on Romney’s putative electability and Newt’s lack of same. But GOP primary voters might go all-in, and decide to win or lose with a guy they agree with instead of one whose greatest political virtue is his, um, flexibility.Report

  6. Montanareddog says:

    Pedantry alert: you refer to Gingrich and Bachmann as “natural-born Cassandra’s”. The analogy is not quite correct since Cassandra was indeed a prophetess of gloom and doom but her curse was to be always correct in her prophecy, but never to be believed.

    Those two are rarely believed and less frequently correctReport

  7. Michael Cain says:

    “If he can win Iowa, he’ll win himself months of being able to shift to the political center…”

    Then please, let him lose in Iowa and take as long as possible to wrap up the nomination.  So that come November, it’s easy to remind people about just what the Republican Party positions are.Report