Daily Archive: July 14, 2011

9

Life Imitating Fiction Watch

Given that Aaron Sorkin successfully predicted the major party candidates in 2008, Rahm Emanuel’s rise to Chief of Staff, the negation of an electoral rival by making them Secretary of State, presidential nicotine habits,...

18

At My Real Job: Expert Forecasting

At Cato Unbound, Dan Gardner and Philip Tetlock observe that expert predictions often miss the mark: In the most comprehensive analysis of expert prediction ever conducted, Philip Tetlock assembled a group of some 280...

7

As retcons go…

In looking at Captain America: The First Avenger on IMDB, I cannot help noticing the sheer number of folks associated with “Hydra” (Hydra soldier, Hydra pilot, Hydra heavy artillery soldier) and the unsheer number...

26

Searching For Truth Versus Debating

I actually posted this on my sub-site two days ago, but Rufus suggested today that this would make a good cross-post. And since, like all writers, I will re-use a piece any chance I...

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