Screwing the blue pooch
Jack Gillis thinks the Blue Dogs’ days are numbered:
Blue Dog Democrats are essentially doomed. There’s no place left for them to hide. [Okay, okay, I promise to reduce the cliche to total-word ratio from now on.] Their careers are over, or all but over, even if a few of them hang on this November. Their force in national politics is about to collapse. And that will be the case regardless of the outcome of the vote on Health Care Reform upcoming in the next week or so and regardless of whether the Democrats keep control of Congress in the elections in November.
There are four phenomena at work destroying the Blue Dogs, and while they have for many years faced some combination of those, I don’t think they can survive all four at once. At the electoral level, they have to fight at either a tactical or strategic disadvantage, or both, and at the ideological level they have both an American problem and a philosophical problem.
I agree. Then again, where would the Blue Dogs go? Would they be red-blooded enough to avoid the RINO label if they joined the GOP? A few more pieces of big, liberal legislation (which the Blue Dogs oppose) and there won’t be any reason why voters who oppose that legislation would vote for a Democrat, any more than voters who supported the legislation would vote for a Blue Dog.